Nostr notes by Macro_Intuitions

I agree, and believe gold will be even more on sale before bottom ...

2026-06-19T15:44:53Z

In reply to nevent1q…8jq8
_________________________

I agree, and believe gold will be even more on sale before bottom is in. I see 3500/3800$ as zone and timewise at least 3/6 months to create the floor before next move up.

I also believe bitcoin is anticipating it..

🤣😅

2026-06-15T19:13:20Z

In reply to nevent1q…ss2v
_________________________

🤣😅

Imagine if you would said to him.. "I don't sell you ...

2026-06-13T18:12:03Z

In reply to nevent1q…ldwl
_________________________

Imagine if you would said to him..

"I don't sell you soap, I want to sell you dirt."

Same thing.

UPDATE: charts only.. worth more than 1000 words. Gold: ...

2026-06-12T17:26:18Z

UPDATE: charts only.. worth more than 1000 words.
Gold:
Oil:
US 2yr and 10yr:
Treasuries buyers looking for higher rates and expecting inflation raising, ECB raised rates making the exact same mistake they did during the aftermath of the Great Financial Crisis before going to 0 interest rates for a decade. They expected inflation as Oil priced spiked, and they thought it would stay high for long.. they were wrong.
You remember people calling +200$ a barrel some months ago for the summer? Lol
#macro #finance #economy

quoting
nevent1q…zfpe
UPDATE on Gold, Oil their correlation and a zoom out on the US 10yrs..

Gold still in his monthly downtrend/consolidation after the peak at begging of the year, same as Oil. I am still of the opinion those have peaked and we'll not see #oil over 110$ and Gold over 4800$. I expect correction on both even if every macro analyst is calling still for 200$ a barrel for this year.. not happening IMO.

Oil since end of April and May is stronger than what I presumed as situation with dollar liquidity is also making a difference. Oil isn't up because of real market demand but because of geopolitical situations.

The correlation between the two stills hold and to follow the white line I draw Gold have to be weaker than Oil. I believe it has to correct to 3900/4k before going up again from September or October, while geopolitical situation should be calmer (remember the mid election) and Oil price lower than now.

If zoomed out you can see why I expect another dip in this chart before a rebound meaning Gold strengthening against Oil..

Well speaking about zooming out, not sure how many are checking the last times the US 10yrs Bond was at those level..

And if you zoom out it looks even less nice (for stock market). The 4.5/5% level was a resistance in the 1959 and broke in '65 with a retest in '67 before skyrocketing to 16% with FED chair Volker in 1981..

In 1998 we touched it again as support first time, and broke it in 2002 and definitely in 2008, since then is a resistance.. should I remind you what happened in this years I mentioned..? Probably you know.

Funny funny times ahead.. until shit hit the "fun".

They'll get rekt.

2026-06-05T16:23:56Z

In reply to nevent1q…uz6y
_________________________

They'll get rekt.

#QQQ about to print another ATH this week. My downtrend scenario ...

2026-05-26T12:31:46Z

#QQQ about to print another ATH this week. My downtrend scenario for it was completely wrong.

I should always remind myself that >40% of investments and liquidity in US stock market is basically passive investing of pension funds and such..

#economy #finance #macro

UPDATE on Gold, Oil their correlation and a zoom out on the US ...

2026-05-20T13:43:25Z

UPDATE on Gold, Oil their correlation and a zoom out on the US 10yrs..

Gold still in his monthly downtrend/consolidation after the peak at begging of the year, same as Oil. I am still of the opinion those have peaked and we'll not see #oil over 110$ and Gold over 4800$. I expect correction on both even if every macro analyst is calling still for 200$ a barrel for this year.. not happening IMO.

Oil since end of April and May is stronger than what I presumed as situation with dollar liquidity is also making a difference. Oil isn't up because of real market demand but because of geopolitical situations.

The correlation between the two stills hold and to follow the white line I draw Gold have to be weaker than Oil. I believe it has to correct to 3900/4k before going up again from September or October, while geopolitical situation should be calmer (remember the mid election) and Oil price lower than now.

If zoomed out you can see why I expect another dip in this chart before a rebound meaning Gold strengthening against Oil..

Well speaking about zooming out, not sure how many are checking the last times the US 10yrs Bond was at those level..

And if you zoom out it looks even less nice (for stock market). The 4.5/5% level was a resistance in the 1959 and broke in '65 with a retest in '67 before skyrocketing to 16% with FED chair Volker in 1981..

In 1998 we touched it again as support first time, and broke it in 2002 and definitely in 2008, since then is a resistance.. should I remind you what happened in this years I mentioned..? Probably you know.

Funny funny times ahead.. until shit hit the "fun".

https://youtu.be/wvlxGPLm2i4?is=PlBIGAMnlCEVyOQq #macro #finance ...

2026-05-18T15:35:20Z

https://youtu.be/wvlxGPLm2i4?is=PlBIGAMnlCEVyOQq
#macro #finance #economy #liquidity #bonds #macro

Si, #YESTR

2026-05-17T12:51:49Z

In reply to nevent1q…g3jw
_________________________

Si, #YESTR

A wide view and a lot of data where you can see how big the ...

2026-05-15T09:54:16Z

A wide view and a lot of data where you can see how big the discrepancy is between the stock market and real economy..
It's all fine and going up until it isn't anymore.
https://youtu.be/3B4VvgJegT8

#nevent1q…khyn

2026-05-15T09:40:28Z

In reply to nevent1q…87vx
_________________________

quoting nevent1q…khyn
UPDATE: 🚨🚨🚨 TREASURY EMERGENCY 🚨🚨🚨
Shit is about to hit the "fun".. and I believe the stock market.
US 2yr BOND..

US 10yr BOND..

#economy #finance #bonds #macro
nevent1q…pmg3

UPDATE: 🚨🚨🚨 TREASURY EMERGENCY 🚨🚨🚨 Shit is ...

2026-05-15T09:36:22Z

UPDATE: 🚨🚨🚨 TREASURY EMERGENCY 🚨🚨🚨
Shit is about to hit the "fun".. and I believe the stock market.
US 2yr BOND..

US 10yr BOND..

#economy #finance #bonds #macro

quoting
nevent1q…pmg3
🚨🚨🚨 US TREASURY BONDS 🚨🚨🚨

Here we are again, shit is about to hit the fun, critical level being hit on the 2yrs and 10yrs for the 3rd time at least in less than two weeks.

If you saw the previous notes I made yuo lnow this is the chart big player Govt and the FED are looking at, and you should also.. because when/if it goes ballistic, they'll print big to drive those down again: this is Yeald Curve Control. BRRRRRR!
(They need a motivation to print big.. means they need shit to hit the fun as excuse)
#macro #economy #finance #markets #bonds #treasuries

In the movie Too Big To Fail, when the '08 financial crisis ...

2026-05-15T07:04:55Z

In the movie Too Big To Fail, when the '08 financial crisis was ongoing Secretary of Treasury visited China and there is a scene you should watch again and remember..
https://youtu.be/obXnwsVdcxE
Now imagine that instead of Freddy Mac and Fannie Mae the talk is about US Treasuries.. and this time Trump went himself there with all the stuff and CEOs of the biggest US companies and Banks, not just Bessent. Situation is serious..
#finance #economy #macro #geopolitic #treasury

Something already broke IMO, but just a few niticed and markets ...

2026-05-15T06:24:15Z

Something already broke IMO, but just a few niticed and markets still didn't reacted, at least the #Stock one.. because the US bonds market did: the 2 and 10 yrs treasury went ballistic.
Later will post updated charts, until then this video shows other very good data that still show a concerning situation.
https://youtu.be/t6y_VmxuO28
#economy #finance #macro #inflation #markets

@nprofile…7p82 I am sure you will like this

2026-05-12T16:36:11Z

In reply to nevent1q…0806
_________________________

Jeff Booth (nprofile…7p82) I am sure you will like this

The last three decades of The Gold Standard. Super interesting ...

2026-05-12T16:25:03Z

The last three decades of The Gold Standard.
Super interesting video and a channel you should definitely subscribe if you are interested in #economy, #macro and #bitcoin
https://youtu.be/lNyFx-ONbF4

Is it? I thought it was a way ti say in English (not my first ...

2026-05-12T14:52:19Z

In reply to nevent1q…7sa3
_________________________

Is it? I thought it was a way ti say in English (not my first language) to say things are about to get really messy and bad..

Ah wait.. I see it now! Ahahahaha lol. Yes #typostr lol. This was FAN! 🤣😂😅 i am retarded.

🚨🚨🚨 US TREASURY BONDS 🚨🚨🚨 Here we are again, ...

2026-05-12T12:24:39Z

🚨🚨🚨 US TREASURY BONDS 🚨🚨🚨

Here we are again, shit is about to hit the fun, critical level being hit on the 2yrs and 10yrs for the 3rd time at least in less than two weeks.

If you saw the previous notes I made yuo lnow this is the chart big player Govt and the FED are looking at, and you should also.. because when/if it goes ballistic, they'll print big to drive those down again: this is Yeald Curve Control. BRRRRRR!
(They need a motivation to print big.. means they need shit to hit the fun as excuse)
#macro #economy #finance #markets #bonds #treasuries

I still believe this is the ATH week for stock market. #economy ...

2026-05-12T08:55:47Z

I still believe this is the ATH week for stock market.

#economy #stocks #QQQ

For reference.. https://i.nostr.build/86MwsmocSZLXpDD1.png #chart ...

2026-05-11T12:52:41Z

For reference..

#chart #QQQ #markets #economy #finance #Stocks

quoting
nevent1q…sjl3
🔮🔮 BOLD CALL 🔮🔮

I believe it will happen this week.. maybe starting today.

#QQQ is at 711 now, I see it dropping to 638 at least (-10%)..

#economy #markets #finance #macro
nevent1q…tx7l

🔮🔮 BOLD CALL 🔮🔮 I believe it will happen this week.. ...

2026-05-11T10:40:03Z

🔮🔮 BOLD CALL 🔮🔮

I believe it will happen this week.. maybe starting today.

#QQQ is at 711 now, I see it dropping to 638 at least (-10%)..

#economy #markets #finance #macro

quoting
nevent1q…tx7l
#QQQ going down -10% or more in a week or less?

Very possible.

Nostr event nevent1qqsz3kzc9g6tcpw7awx36qm67wjvx3lxax5usp9zv4cwte68h9tvzygzyrmrdyua27apeqwhg5xwzxtvf8u8mhf43yq59zpyqz0rcy3glg285rcahxh

2026-05-09T22:41:29Z

💯 #nevent1q…9zma

2026-05-06T16:30:36Z

In reply to nevent1q…axf7
_________________________

💯

quoting
nevent1q…9zma
UPDATE: They needed to act, and they did precisely where they I thought they would.
This are the chart GOVT and the FED keep looking at..

#economy #bonds #treasury #macro #finance #chart
nevent1q…ks7r

UPDATE: They needed to act, and they did precisely where they I ...

2026-05-06T09:58:50Z

UPDATE: They needed to act, and they did precisely where they I thought they would.
This are the chart GOVT and the FED keep looking at..

#economy #bonds #treasury #macro #finance #chart

quoting
nevent1q…ks7r
The 10yrs bond broke the level, let's see what the market and Govt/FED response will be.

The 2yrs also very close to a key point, last time at same level was the announcement of the start of #Iran war and retraced from there sharply in less than 2 days.

Both charts looks bullish with RSI looking like more chance to go higher.
Just reading new firing in the Iran war.. where is the ceasefire? Lol
Meanwhile #oil went from 101$ to 105$ in less than 3hrs.. we'll see +110$ again? Like I said already in a note some days ago I don't think so, but the wat escalating can ofc destroy my actual view.

#macro #finance #geopolitic #economy
nevent1q…rtrp

After it breaks 85k.. #nevent1q…t6zs Over 92/95 you'll ...

2026-05-05T20:39:26Z

In reply to nevent1q…cwtt
_________________________

After it breaks 85k..

quoting
nevent1q…t6zs

I have a feeling..

Volatility.. liquidations.. 80k.. 85k.. FOMO. 🚀📈

Over 92/95 you'll start to hear people calling ATH before year ends.

Soon you'll see more and more lasers on eyes that were crying ...

2026-05-05T19:49:25Z

In reply to nevent1q…5hw4
_________________________

Soon you'll see more and more lasers on eyes that were crying not long before.. 😜

UPDATE: BTC/GOLD chart is very promising.. for bitcoin. I ...

2026-05-05T18:01:53Z

UPDATE:
BTC/GOLD chart is very promising.. for bitcoin.
I unfortunately deleted that first #stoopidline that I made the 11 of March.. 😅 It was 14 ounces of gold per bitcoin in March, it's 18 now.. I draw a new line the 10th of April (short term)

35 ounces will be a huge resistance we are trying to break since March 2021.. that's the real deal in #BTC if you are concerned about price.. the FIAT doesn't have much sense.
#economy #gold #macro #finance #chart

quoting
nevent1q…wfl7
BTC/Gold chart, looks very interesting.
I draw a stupid line..
#btc #gold

*more than one

2026-05-05T13:31:02Z

In reply to nevent1q…uqye
_________________________

*more than one

Uhm.. VIX is very low and making a bullish convergence in RSI, ...

2026-05-05T13:30:37Z

In reply to nevent1q…pf9w
_________________________

Uhm.. VIX is very low and making a bullish convergence in RSI, while QQQ doing the opposite as made note than one ATH with RSI going down (bearish convergence).

quoting
nevent1q…vw9h
#QQQ going down -10% or more in a week or less?

Very possible.

I would agree with you.. and yeah very likely will take btc down ...

2026-05-05T13:28:46Z

In reply to nevent1q…qcv4
_________________________

I would agree with you.. and yeah very likely will take btc down with it, but I still believe not going under 60k, or if it really will be just a blip to liquidate longs stop losses and with a tiny and sharp hourly wick.

But yeah I do see a fast dump in QQQ before end of May. But I also see 92k for BTC before that.. difficult both things will be true, but possible.

quoting
nevent1q…vw9h
#QQQ going down -10% or more in a week or less?

Very possible.

And then FOMO for all the 60/70k sellers that were wishing for ...

2026-05-05T12:46:55Z

In reply to nevent1q…ne4x
_________________________

And then FOMO for all the 60/70k sellers that were wishing for sub 50k or even sub 40k!

Can't wait to see billions in short liquidations over 85k

quoting
nevent1q…nlu2
80k ✅
85..
nevent1q…cgsa

Pelosi in despair..

2026-05-04T16:46:52Z

In reply to nevent1q…a5te
_________________________

Pelosi in despair..

When zoomed out both you can see on both charts the levels are ...

2026-05-04T16:39:12Z

In reply to nevent1q…swva
_________________________

When zoomed out both you can see on both charts the levels are crucial..

The 10yrs bond broke the level, let's see what the market and ...

2026-05-04T16:36:23Z

The 10yrs bond broke the level, let's see what the market and Govt/FED response will be.

The 2yrs also very close to a key point, last time at same level was the announcement of the start of #Iran war and retraced from there sharply in less than 2 days.

Both charts looks bullish with RSI looking like more chance to go higher.
Just reading new firing in the Iran war.. where is the ceasefire? Lol
Meanwhile #oil went from 101$ to 105$ in less than 3hrs.. we'll see +110$ again? Like I said already in a note some days ago I don't think so, but the wat escalating can ofc destroy my actual view.

#macro #finance #geopolitic #economy

quoting
nevent1q…rtrp
🚨🚨 USD Treasury Yealds 🚨🚨

Currently 2yrs at 3.930% and the 10yrs at 4.418% hitting critical level again in both charts. Those are the level US Govt and the FED wants to protect and not break.

Maybe we'll see a Trump comment soon.. or maybe J.D. Vance.

#QQQ going down -10% or more in a week or less? Very possible.

2026-05-04T16:15:39Z

#QQQ going down -10% or more in a week or less?

Very possible.

(lol sorry wrong npub 😅)

2026-05-04T16:07:39Z

In reply to nevent1q…ux4y
_________________________

(lol sorry wrong npub 😅)

Hopefully one day I will be able to retire and avoid wearing ...

2026-05-04T16:06:58Z

In reply to nevent1q…x3uy
_________________________

Hopefully one day I will be able to retire and avoid wearing shoes at all, great life goal ahah

I noticed more shoe company are starting to have a wider end making it more comfortable and more apace for spreading fingers as should be.

What if I say, 92K by the end of may..

2026-05-04T16:03:14Z

What if I say,

92K

by the end of may..

For reference.. #nevent1q…rjxz

2026-05-04T13:50:32Z

In reply to nevent1q…6rk6
_________________________

For reference..

quoting
nevent1q…rjxz
Shit was about to hit the fan and Central Banks needed to act, and they did.

There are some levels on different charts that all at same time were signalling stress in markets, and the most blatant ones that currently make more noise IMO are the 10yrs US interests yeald, and the USD/JPY rate.

When the 10yrs goes near 4.45% range you can almost bet that Trump and or the FED will do everything they can to lower it down. With a Teump tweet saying Strait is open again (lol) or the FED opening Swap Lines for other Central Banks in stress because of oil price and their currency falling. And you can tell looking at Japanese Yen that can't go over 160, and if does JCB will sell everything to avoid it, and US govt will try to avoid having Japan to sell US treasury or Assets.. sooo Swap Line opened to convert Foreign currencies with Dollars to increase liquidity and trying to stabilise markets.
Check what they did yesterday..

DXY ofc corrected too at same time going from almost 100 to 98 in some hrs and also € strengthened with 1% raise at same time.

So what is US purpose? IMO keeping lower interest rates as they have to refinancenad reroll 10T debt in the next months with lowest yealds thwy can, while inflation going up, basically destroying purchasing power of Treasury owners in the long time.. someone has to pay the debt, and is never the government.

Some is spotting this and that's why Investors looks for higher yealds pushing it up forcing the FED to act.. those months as we go to mid election and new FED chair while all markets, economic balances and supply routes changing, will be interesting to watch developing.

They'll print, and things like bitcoin are spotting it first.. IMHO.

#Economy #markets #finance #macro #geopolitc #currency #yeald

🚨🚨 USD Treasury Yealds 🚨🚨 Currently 2yrs at 3.930% ...

2026-05-04T13:48:36Z

🚨🚨 USD Treasury Yealds 🚨🚨

Currently 2yrs at 3.930% and the 10yrs at 4.418% hitting critical level again in both charts. Those are the level US Govt and the FED wants to protect and not break.

Maybe we'll see a Trump comment soon.. or maybe J.D. Vance.

80k ✅ 85.. #nevent1q…cgsa

2026-05-04T06:07:34Z

80k ✅
85..

quoting
nevent1q…cgsa
Volatility ✅
Liquidations ✅
80k..
nevent1q…96dj

Indeed! Nice race all considered

2026-05-03T20:02:00Z

In reply to nevent1q…se2w
_________________________

Indeed! Nice race all considered

🫂

2026-05-03T20:01:35Z

In reply to nevent1q…d968
_________________________

🫂

https://youtu.be/AbLig2FUAxI #nevent1q…sfg4

2026-05-03T13:32:38Z

https://youtu.be/AbLig2FUAxI

quoting
nevent1q…sfg4
Shit was about to hit the fan and Central Banks needed to act, and they did.

There are some levels on different charts that all at same time were signalling stress in markets, and the most blatant ones that currently make more noise IMO are the 10yrs US interests yeald, and the USD/JPY rate.

When the 10yrs goes near 4.45% range you can almost bet that Trump and or the FED will do everything they can to lower it down. With a Teump tweet saying Strait is open again (lol) or the FED opening Swap Lines for other Central Banks in stress because of oil price and their currency falling. And you can tell looking at Japanese Yen that can't go over 160, and if does JCB will sell everything to avoid it, and US govt will try to avoid having Japan to sell US treasury or Assets.. sooo Swap Line opened to convert Foreign currencies with Dollars to increase liquidity and trying to stabilise markets.
Check what they did yesterday..

DXY ofc corrected too at same time going from almost 100 to 98 in some hrs and also € strengthened with 1% raise at same time.

So what is US purpose? IMO keeping lower interest rates as they have to refinancenad reroll 10T debt in the next months with lowest yealds thwy can, while inflation going up, basically destroying purchasing power of Treasury owners in the long time.. someone has to pay the debt, and is never the government.

Some is spotting this and that's why Investors looks for higher yealds pushing it up forcing the FED to act.. those months as we go to mid election and new FED chair while all markets, economic balances and supply routes changing, will be interesting to watch developing.

They'll print, and things like bitcoin are spotting it first.. IMHO.

#Economy #markets #finance #macro #geopolitc #currency #yeald

UAE left #Opec because was the condition US put in order to open ...

2026-05-02T10:29:58Z

UAE left #Opec because was the condition US put in order to open Swap lines for US dollars.. this is how I see it.
https://youtu.be/H_RpM27sHX8

quoting
nevent1q…rjxz

Shit was about to hit the fan and Central Banks needed to act, and they did.

There are some levels on different charts that all at same time were signalling stress in markets, and the most blatant ones that currently make more noise IMO are the 10yrs US interests yeald, and the USD/JPY rate.

When the 10yrs goes near 4.45% range you can almost bet that Trump and or the FED will do everything they can to lower it down. With a Teump tweet saying Strait is open again (lol) or the FED opening Swap Lines for other Central Banks in stress because of oil price and their currency falling. And you can tell looking at Japanese Yen that can't go over 160, and if does JCB will sell everything to avoid it, and US govt will try to avoid having Japan to sell US treasury or Assets.. sooo Swap Line opened to convert Foreign currencies with Dollars to increase liquidity and trying to stabilise markets.
Check what they did yesterday..

DXY ofc corrected too at same time going from almost 100 to 98 in some hrs and also € strengthened with 1% raise at same time.

So what is US purpose? IMO keeping lower interest rates as they have to refinancenad reroll 10T debt in the next months with lowest yealds thwy can, while inflation going up, basically destroying purchasing power of Treasury owners in the long time.. someone has to pay the debt, and is never the government.

Some is spotting this and that's why Investors looks for higher yealds pushing it up forcing the FED to act.. those months as we go to mid election and new FED chair while all markets, economic balances and supply routes changing, will be interesting to watch developing.

They'll print, and things like bitcoin are spotting it first.. IMHO.

#Economy #markets #finance #macro #geopolitc #currency #yeald

#OIL #economy #macro #geopolitics #finance

The empty closet full of good pleb 😁🤙🏼🍀

2026-05-02T07:49:29Z

In reply to nevent1q…wqcp
_________________________

The empty closet full of good pleb 😁🤙🏼🍀

I posted 2 times the same chart.. here you can much easily spot ...

2026-05-01T15:26:30Z

In reply to nevent1q…rgpv
_________________________

I posted 2 times the same chart.. here you can much easily spot how crucial that levels is in the 10yrs treasury:

In the end they have the same incentive: to not be seen and go ...

2026-05-01T15:08:44Z

In reply to nevent1q…gdrc
_________________________

In the end they have the same incentive: to not be seen and go down in history as the one who broke the economy and led US and the world in the worst recession and depression since 1929.

Commodities have being much more volatile than they used too, ...

2026-05-01T15:07:29Z

Commodities have being much more volatile than they used too, from metals to oil, we saw fast and sharp spikes in both directions as news hit mainstream media.. but the trends looks still the same: probably they peaked.
(I didn't short gold, is just the same imaginary position I post about days ago..)

Gold, Silver and Oil spiked and reached levels they saw just few times. While metals are already in their chopping/consolidating flohase since a couple of months, oil apparently just started and IMO may go down from here and we shouldn't see it over 110$ again for this summer.. unless same other big thing happens or escaletes rapidly again.

Another interesting chart is BTC/GOLD were you can see how bitcoin bottom and Gold peak are very likely confirmed. Not saying Gold will go lower for all the year on, just that compared to bitcoin will lag a lot IMO.
(To be fair, Gold RSI in the 4hr chart doesn't look bad and like wants to revert, but looks weaker than bitcoin.)
The stoopid line looks like is working..

#macro #commodity #finance #economy #gold #btc #oil

Will leave this here.. #bitcoin #nevent1q…kncu

2026-05-01T14:49:23Z

Will leave this here..
#bitcoin

quoting
nevent1q…kncu
The disbelief rally is what starts the buill run..

*bull 😅😂🤣

2026-05-01T14:48:41Z

In reply to nevent1q…9xge
_________________________

*bull 😅😂🤣

The disbelief rally is what starts the buill run.. ...

2026-05-01T14:48:22Z

In reply to nevent1q…9xge
_________________________

The disbelief rally is what starts the buill run..

Much humble and correct that many are in their old age.. me ...

2026-05-01T14:35:22Z

In reply to nevent1q…tqkd
_________________________

Much humble and correct that many are in their old age.. me included.

Shit was about to hit the fan and Central Banks needed to act, ...

2026-05-01T12:55:34Z

Shit was about to hit the fan and Central Banks needed to act, and they did.

There are some levels on different charts that all at same time were signalling stress in markets, and the most blatant ones that currently make more noise IMO are the 10yrs US interests yeald, and the USD/JPY rate.

When the 10yrs goes near 4.45% range you can almost bet that Trump and or the FED will do everything they can to lower it down. With a Teump tweet saying Strait is open again (lol) or the FED opening Swap Lines for other Central Banks in stress because of oil price and their currency falling. And you can tell looking at Japanese Yen that can't go over 160, and if does JCB will sell everything to avoid it, and US govt will try to avoid having Japan to sell US treasury or Assets.. sooo Swap Line opened to convert Foreign currencies with Dollars to increase liquidity and trying to stabilise markets.
Check what they did yesterday..

DXY ofc corrected too at same time going from almost 100 to 98 in some hrs and also € strengthened with 1% raise at same time.

So what is US purpose? IMO keeping lower interest rates as they have to refinancenad reroll 10T debt in the next months with lowest yealds thwy can, while inflation going up, basically destroying purchasing power of Treasury owners in the long time.. someone has to pay the debt, and is never the government.

Some is spotting this and that's why Investors looks for higher yealds pushing it up forcing the FED to act.. those months as we go to mid election and new FED chair while all markets, economic balances and supply routes changing, will be interesting to watch developing.

They'll print, and things like bitcoin are spotting it first.. IMHO.

#Economy #markets #finance #macro #geopolitc #currency #yeald

So much chart to post.. so less time to do it. Sorry, will catch ...

2026-05-01T11:53:05Z

So much chart to post.. so less time to do it.

Sorry, will catch up soon as looks we are again at crucial spot on many important charts, from bond yealds to foreign currencies and commodities.

#macro #economy #finance #charts

Volatility ✅ Liquidations ✅ 80k.. #nevent1q…96dj

2026-04-27T06:28:53Z

Volatility ✅
Liquidations ✅
80k..

quoting
nevent1q…96dj
I have a feeling..

Volatility.. liquidations.. 80k.. 85k.. FOMO. 🚀📈

I have a feeling.. Volatility.. liquidations.. 80k.. 85k.. FOMO. ...

2026-04-24T12:44:14Z

I have a feeling..

Volatility.. liquidations.. 80k.. 85k.. FOMO. 🚀📈

21MD

2026-04-23T12:02:56Z

In reply to nevent1q…36g2
_________________________

21MD

First was time for shorts (🟥), then for longs(🟩).. ...

2026-04-23T06:42:00Z

First was time for shorts (🟥), then for longs(🟩)..

#bitcoin #btc #liquidations #longs #finance #economy

quoting
nevent1q…l4uq
Maybe is time for some late longs to be liquidated..

.. probably soon on your feed if you follow @rektbot

#bitcoin #btc

Maybe is time for some late longs to be liquidated.. .. probably ...

2026-04-22T15:21:28Z

Maybe is time for some late longs to be liquidated..

.. probably soon on your feed if you follow @rektbot

#bitcoin #btc

Nostr event nevent1qqsqqqrp7wmsare2yazx04463j3k94a4l3qcc5z7kgy0p39vduuplrqzyrmrdyua27apeqwhg5xwzxtvf8u8mhf43yq59zpyqz0rcy3glg285mfz2lm

2026-04-22T06:44:59Z

#bitcoin #btc #liquidations #shorts #economy #macro #finance

quoting
nevent1q…lq8w
rektbot (npub1r3k…uytc)
nevent1q…andl

You remember In October and November billions in long ...

2026-04-21T20:41:51Z

You remember In October and November billions in long liquidations?

Don't bw surprised when will happen on the other direction..

.. sooner than most expect them.

@npub1r3k…uytc #nevent1q…andl

2026-04-21T19:25:49Z

rektbot (npub1r3k…uytc)

quoting
nevent1q…andl
Soon on your feed.. @rekbot

Indeed, everyone talking just about #oil without considering all ...

2026-04-20T12:01:05Z

In reply to nevent1q…7rwf
_________________________

Indeed, everyone talking just about #oil without considering all the other products and materials related that creates a cascade in different markets and sectors.

I don't know why, but I feel something will start in South East Asia in the next months, years.. and then decades.

quoting
nevent1q…zng9
Soon on your feeds:

Strait of #Malacca and the importance of Sulfuric Acid in the world #economy for fertilizers production, chemicals manufacturing, metal processing, batteries, oil refining..

We are learning geography and much more thanks to 2026! Lol

nevent1q…pjm2

Yeald Curve Control.. #nevent1q…88al

2026-04-19T05:56:50Z

Yeald Curve Control..

quoting
nevent1q…88al
Yes, debt comes first, but not paying it off—rather, being able to finance oneself 😂.

https://i.nostr.build/qlum4A0phpI8lbAG.jpg

2026-04-18T10:54:15Z

Nostr event nevent1qqsqqqza36snxpc8czc9xtyqcvhyqjax3r3yenxtm86fcrxpdfx99cczyrmrdyua27apeqwhg5xwzxtvf8u8mhf43yq59zpyqz0rcy3glg285jqp0xv

2026-04-17T18:51:38Z

Looking #economy charts often is the best way to read news..

🛢️.. #nevent1q…dtj7

2026-04-17T18:48:56Z

In reply to nevent1q…9nhz
_________________________

🛢️..

quoting
nevent1q…dtj7
UPDATE: Ormuz "reopened" (lol) and everything looks like the storm in the Middle East has passed. #Oil price movement in the last week was driven by uncertainty more than demand and this is the reason for such sharp and fast moves.

The #stoopidline I draw almost a month ago looks good, at least about pattern and levels, the speed was difficult to predict even if I knew this couldn't last longer than end of April/May.

What now? Well if the purple line (78/80$) doesn't act as support for a couple of weeks at least, we'll see oil between that and 60/66$ for all the summer and maybe even more months.

#macro #finance #economy #chart
nevent1q…3mxv

Or wait the closure of Malacca Strait in a couple of months.. ...

2026-04-17T18:46:52Z

In reply to nevent1q…3ssz
_________________________

Or wait the closure of Malacca Strait in a couple of months.. 😜😅

I understand you, we weren't trying to time the market and ...

2026-04-17T18:43:22Z

In reply to nevent1q…qp33
_________________________

I understand you, we weren't trying to time the market and wishing for lower price, you just weren't able to deploy 😅

I do see a possibility of 72k again. This move up was very sharp and quick and probably nkw exhausted (?). Maybe you are lucky to see 72k before 80k.. but if you'll see 80k first, not sure you'll see 72k again.

UPDATE: Ormuz "reopened" (lol) and everything looks like ...

2026-04-17T18:39:54Z

UPDATE: Ormuz "reopened" (lol) and everything looks like the storm in the Middle East has passed. #Oil price movement in the last week was driven by uncertainty more than demand and this is the reason for such sharp and fast moves.

The #stoopidline I draw almost a month ago looks good, at least about pattern and levels, the speed was difficult to predict even if I knew this couldn't last longer than end of April/May.

What now? Well if the purple line (78/80$) doesn't act as support for a couple of weeks at least, we'll see oil between that and 60/66$ for all the summer and maybe even more months.

#macro #finance #economy #chart

quoting
nevent1q…3mxv
Oil is unpredictable now but just let's say it isn't and I had to draw how the chart would look like in some weeks.

You can see the important levels:
<75$ all good you can chill everything is gonna be alright..

80/110$ it's a shit situation, you can't do nothing anyway so touch grass enjoy family and friends.

>120$ buckle up, hopefully you stored some ammo and guns, also you know how to light a fire with wood sticks..

#macro #oil #economy #charts

Shorting the bottom is The Bottom signal 😅😁

2026-04-17T14:23:58Z

In reply to nevent1q…y2dk
_________________________

Shorting the bottom is The Bottom signal 😅😁

UPDATE: Bears, shorters, #58k gang.. all in disbelief. I also was ...

2026-04-17T14:03:21Z

UPDATE: Bears, shorters, #58k gang.. all in disbelief.
I also was surprised by the strength of bulls around 74k, and honestly tought we could see at least 72k again before moving higher.

This sharp move is mostly Shorter closing shorts or getting liquidated, spot volume high is helping that.

Not the best line draw, but not far from what happened as movement and time.
#macro #finance #btc #chart #economy

quoting
nevent1q…xc8s
Forgot to post the #chart with the line..
#btc #economy #stoopidline
nevent1q…6rtp

Liquidation time I guess.. #nevent1q…56ec #nevent1q…dk20

2026-04-15T19:54:22Z

Liquidation time I guess..

quoting
nevent1q…56ec

🐻 Short Rekt: 1.18 BTC on Binance @ $75523.80 💀

This degen just lost $88,891.51.

nostr:nevent1qqsqqq8amf353d92xglqcpml62fxvqtplpac7cy8w2hmh3raks726hqprfmhxue69uhhyetvv9ujummjv9hxwetsd9kxctn0we5qyg8kx6fe64a6rjqaw3gvuyvkcj0c0hwntzgpg2yzgqy78sfz37s50gxwdk20

#nevent1q…jxwr #nevent1q…lwng

2026-04-15T19:27:00Z

quoting nevent1q…jxwr

nostr:nevent1qqs0u4j8amj0zqq6n0audf2m5hnruxk72jeymucsjaqmwygtk8vy68cpzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuurjd9kkzmpwdejhgq3q3pnmakf738yn6rv2ex9jgs7924renmderyp5d9rtztsr7ymxg3gq7nlwng

There's no oil there but Americans love bacon and cigars ...

2026-04-15T17:58:59Z

In reply to nevent1q…53pa
_________________________

There's no oil there but Americans love bacon and cigars 😅😁

- Saylor's coins becoming the US Btc Treasury

2026-04-15T16:29:51Z

In reply to nevent1q…lw08
_________________________

- Saylor's coins becoming the US Btc Treasury

I would say 2008.. but yes, 2022 sanctions were the nail in the ...

2026-04-15T16:00:25Z

In reply to nevent1q…amwq
_________________________

I would say 2008.. but yes, 2022 sanctions were the nail in the coffin and signal to get off US treasuries once and for all.

Mainstream #macro podcast inviting guests that have ...

2026-04-15T15:59:08Z

Mainstream #macro podcast inviting guests that have non-mainstream views talking about niche assets.. should tell you something. Gradually, then suddenly.

LynAlden (nprofile…szx8) on the #PBD Podcast:
https://www.youtube.com/live/Ly3-gXJOIc4
#economy #finance #bitcoin

"Funny" that if happens, it could result with a ...

2026-04-15T14:04:58Z

In reply to nevent1q…t09r
_________________________

"Funny" that if happens, it could result with a "genocide" to punish another genocide for how many people are involved/complicit/partecipant 😅

Apparently vibes were correct.. #nevent1q…fn6s

2026-04-15T13:27:00Z

Apparently vibes were correct..

quoting
nevent1q…fn6s
58 is the new 12

2022 vibes

Few..

Many don't understand how much the Iranian thing is diverting ...

2026-04-15T13:05:35Z

Many don't understand how much the Iranian thing is diverting (or maybe always was? 27Dchess?!) to an #economic war against China..

quoting
nevent1q…c2cs
⚡️🇺🇸 NEW - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent:

We are partnering with our Gulf allies. They are much more willing to share the bank accounts of members of the Iranian regime.

We are reaching out to banks, including Chinese banks.

Any Iranian goods purchases are forbidden.

We will press for secondary sanctions if there’s a problem.

UPDATE: 75.720 was indeed an overbought, but the retrace ...

2026-04-15T11:54:35Z

In reply to nevent1q…f3sr
_________________________

UPDATE: 75.720 was indeed an overbought, but the retrace wasn't until now as fast and deep as I imagined and 74k looks much stronger support/resistance level than I thought.

Currently trying to re-establish over it before US markets open, so volatility incoming at the result of the move will give signal about market sentiment.. if bulls keep pushing from here, well for sure many will be surprised and we could see big liquidations of shorters, so price going up fast 80/85k and faster anyone (me too) would have imagined.

@npub1qh5…eh9r delivering #btc signal charts.. ...

2026-04-15T09:04:32Z

_Checkmatey_ (npub1qh5…eh9r) delivering #btc signal charts..
https://youtu.be/YM5fpq4-99o
#economy #finance #macro #bitcoin

This is a stretched definition

2026-04-14T23:22:56Z

In reply to nevent1q…lnsh
_________________________

This is a stretched definition

Nostr event nevent1qqsqqqzu0kr3nyw5ve3538xt74jvjaee8qa8zprw65flts4p0ulvqsgzyrmrdyua27apeqwhg5xwzxtvf8u8mhf43yq59zpyqz0rcy3glg285tzz6ef

2026-04-14T20:51:23Z

In reply to nevent1q…ts7u
_________________________

👀

Forgot to post the #chart with the line.. ...

2026-04-14T14:51:01Z

Forgot to post the #chart with the line..
#btc #economy #stoopidline

quoting
nevent1q…6rtp
#BTC at 75.720$ maybe be a bit overbought..

A fast dip to 70.720$ possible short term opportunity..

If +70k acts as resistance for this week, end of April you can see 85k/90k again.

Smell of summer FOMO..

#BTC at 75.720$ maybe be a bit overbought.. A fast dip to 70.720$ ...

2026-04-14T14:20:21Z

#BTC at 75.720$ maybe be a bit overbought..

A fast dip to 70.720$ possible short term opportunity..

If +70k acts as resistance for this week, end of April you can see 85k/90k again.

Smell of summer FOMO..

Soon on your feeds: Strait of #Malacca and the importance of ...

2026-04-14T13:37:04Z

Soon on your feeds:

Strait of #Malacca and the importance of Sulfuric Acid in the world #economy for fertilizers production, chemicals manufacturing, metal processing, batteries, oil refining..

We are learning geography and much more thanks to 2026! Lol

quoting
nevent1q…pjm2

#memestr

How is it going..? #nevent1q…3986 #nevent1q…0uw5 #58k gang, ...

2026-04-14T12:26:53Z

How is it going..?

quoting
nevent1q…3986

Ahah

I see oil stabilising in the 85/95 range and gold chopping down in the next months.

This would also confirm the inversion in the btc/gold chart that looks oversold and bottoming right now.

Imagine 130k btc by Christmas, so many model broken, people looking -70% in bitcoin and 4yrs cycle guys, 58k gang, perma bear, all in despair.

Would be interesting to see..

nostr:nevent1qqsxqy2katk8z63de278yhcd3099gr576px08wkdvvz96euzkc2meuqzyzyx00ke86yuj0gd3tyckfzrc4250x0dhyvsx355dvfwq0cnvez9qqcyqqqqqqgps0uw5
#58k gang, does it hurt?

That's a very positive way to look at it 🤣😂🫂

2026-04-11T11:03:26Z

In reply to nevent1q…a7w2
_________________________

That's a very positive way to look at it 🤣😂🫂

I am starting to be more and more convinced this will be early ...

2026-04-10T10:40:00Z

In reply to nevent1q…xult
_________________________

I am starting to be more and more convinced this will be early than most (and cycle) expect. Possible we chop June/August in the 100k range and end of year you see already FOMO for new ATH.. we have been in a bear since October, the harsh part ended IMO. Grinding up already started, 58k gang in disbelief 😅

You bullish on Gold or Btc?

2026-04-10T10:25:39Z

In reply to nevent1q…36ft
_________________________

You bullish on Gold or Btc?

UPDATE: after almost ten days I must recognise this call was ...

2026-04-10T10:21:21Z

UPDATE: after almost ten days I must recognise this call was wrong, at least in time.
I still do see #gold going lower from here, chances of a -18% are higher then going up +10% from here in next days/weeks.
I do see a confirmation on that also if compared it with #Bitcoin and this weekly chart looks very bullish for the latter.. probably because you can't buy Oil in the Ormuz strait with gold.. lol
Jokes apart #btc looks very bullish in weeks ahead IMHO
#macro #finance #economy #charts

quoting
nevent1q…as9r
#GOLD looks still weak IMO.. I do see another leg down to liquidate last bunch of retailers speculators that bought the top in last months.

Of course I draw a line for next days going into first week of April..
#macro #economy #chart #finance

"Fourth Turning vibes like a motherfucker.." ...

2026-04-09T20:45:07Z

"Fourth Turning vibes like a motherfucker.."

https://youtu.be/BhiiK4IekJA
#economy #macro #US

I just spotted the same #ass pattern I saw years ago.. Watching ...

2026-04-09T20:29:54Z

I just spotted the same #ass pattern I saw years ago..
Watching this #meme makes me laugh.. seeing the price and how it ended makes me laugh even more.. 👀

quoting
nevent1q…wxxf
Hopium #Bitcoin porn chart an Technical Analysis:

We had first the #asstrend, then the reverted #titstrend.. what you think could come now? Maybe an astonishing #GreenDildotrend..? 😂😜😁

Sensible content 😂😅

#Plebhy

Nostr event nevent1qqsqqq932ety8vs8uvchgl97ttzx2f2uvuwzglp0ugx0ke44nvezj8szyrmrdyua27apeqwhg5xwzxtvf8u8mhf43yq59zpyqz0rcy3glg285eck2n3

2026-04-09T07:46:34Z

Nope.. i don't do trades or have a real account where I ...

2026-04-08T00:35:45Z

In reply to nevent1q…ve6z
_________________________

Nope.. i don't do trades or have a real account where I could. 😅

Some months ago I call the raise of silver, than the short from 117 to 72.. neither traded that. Oh Olson oil breaking 66$ as Iran war starting and so possibly making +100$.. ok I'll stop now.

That's why I created this account, I make so many non trades that I want to count them and make me accountable at least with a note, and see how things goes. Maybe after sometime I'll understand I should trade lol

Anyway it happens I throw some sats on lnmarkets.. I loved sport bets before stacking sats, then I stopped. This is a threat sometimes 🤣

UPDATE: https://i.nostr.build/jMhzvhRSwrcuXqKe.png ...

2026-04-07T23:52:30Z

UPDATE:

quoting
nevent1q…epqp
I believe #oil is overbought at moment, I do see it retracing down +10% at least from here..

Current $OIL price is 115.58$ and target would be 98/100$.. 🔮
#macro #economy #finance

I believe #oil is overbought at moment, I do see it retracing ...

2026-04-07T12:52:54Z

I believe #oil is overbought at moment, I do see it retracing down +10% at least from here..

Current $OIL price is 115.58$ and target would be 98/100$.. 🔮
#macro #economy #finance