2026-10-07T18:02:35Z https://njump.me Implied News https://njump.me/npub1fjy66z4uat2cajuk0jgafx9rvq85s95ppfeml4w5e6zg8ysvxunss75xpf https://profilepics.nostur.com/profilepic_v1/4304f52ab8815992ed57bde0c159dd2bcc83bea343df30dd348e3c0de1fc2b83/profilepic.jpg?1791396076 https://profilepics.nostur.com/profilepic_v1/4304f52ab8815992ed57bde0c159dd2bcc83bea343df30dd348e3c0de1fc2b83/profilepic.jpg?1791396076 https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0ed36kpjvujg7lnacx40tlxl7untu6q2kfgmshuz3tx0agzwatwqzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw7pmd94 CPI rises more than 0.2% in December 2026<br/><br/>25% chance, down 22 pts in 6 hours (was 47%)<br/>Latest: CPI up 0.4% in October, 4.1% over the past year (BLS)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxcpi-26dec">https://implied.news/k/kxcpi-26dec</a> 2026-11-13T01:22:23Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrrugk4m6d78jzgu46dgs3qzxfhvldwhul7t2yca6dx3uuh876saqzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw4tctnw Pirro announces departure as US Attorney for DC before Jul 1, 2027<br/><br/>47% chance, down 28 pts in 6 hours (was 75%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxpirroout-26aug">https://implied.news/k/kxpirroout-26aug</a> 2026-11-13T01:10:31Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsxxl2rdjva59ueh0gpg7y2eg8f5ajmtq0y9j625qvxqwtxp6p26ggzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwluzawy Implied News — Evening edition, Thu Nov 12<br/>Nvidia CEO resigns amid spy affair; White House weighs Lutnick ouster<br/><br/>• Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang resigns amid spy affair — Nvidia mkt cap &lt;$4.00T end &#39;26 41%<br/>• White House weighs ousting Commerce Secretary Lutnick — Lutnick leaves Commerce by &#39;27 45%<br/>• Trump says no Iran deal needed, ends Vance talks — US-Iran nuclear deal this yr 5%<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/?ed=20261112pm">https://implied.news/?ed=20261112pm</a> 2026-11-13T00:06:48Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsr3t6j5sn336jr3tequaw3wac30fy5zxay2z4sk83zjg5nstxvezqzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjweyqx29 US-Iran effective ceasefire by November 22<br/><br/>51% chance, down 12 pts in the last hour (was 64%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/6831495">https://implied.news/p/6831495</a> 2026-11-12T17:27:19Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdl99y2zc6gnv2g8pjj85xg9cqyggupze8jrmrck6ad9s2tuqjkrqzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwx080j3 Mike Johnson announces departure as U.S. Representative before Jan 1, 2027<br/><br/>44% chance, down 24 pts in 6 hours (was 68%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxmjohnsonannounceout-26nov">https://implied.news/k/kxmjohnsonannounceout-26nov</a> 2026-11-12T05:57:21Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2e9q57aq7z29fxcerm32mamu7dm5hn6g5a0pa6gztw6acsxt5jrqzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw9jaa2k Anthropic IPO valuation between $1.50T and $1.75T<br/><br/>63% chance, up 22 pts in 6 hours (was 40%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/3721704">https://implied.news/p/3721704</a> 2026-11-12T03:12:24Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsyf9cak6d6774lhv4g0r8xaw4w8uqamxp67c60tpsrqt7x59u7jgczypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwg72jjl Hegseth announces departure as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027<br/><br/>15% chance, down 23 pts in 6 hours (was 38%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxhegsethannounceout-26apr">https://implied.news/k/kxhegsethannounceout-26apr</a> 2026-11-11T03:27:20Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqstv88tlmmznths8v9mshpeycjlz8f9wzx94p9slueps2ewc97rxzszypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw3aty8l No House floor vote to impeach Hegseth by Dec 31<br/><br/>97% chance, up 75 pts in 6 hours (was 22%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/6764593">https://implied.news/p/6764593</a> 2026-11-11T03:12:23Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9nafjann2nwyhs9azxnzywraqtc7uerv6grk7hl00mx4yemhenyqzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwu2u7ht CPI rises more than -0.1% in November 2026<br/><br/>79% chance, up 21 pts in 6 hours (was 58%)<br/>Latest: CPI up 0.4% in October, 4.1% over the past year (BLS)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxcpi-26nov">https://implied.news/k/kxcpi-26nov</a> 2026-11-10T20:12:19Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2fcglkh0z5k4x47c4la8keskjdtutxp75f0zpzu55heqw2jsr0zszypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwm660dq Anthropic raises $65B-$75B in its IPO<br/><br/>21% chance, down 16 pts in 6 hours (was 36%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/6267653">https://implied.news/p/6267653</a> 2026-11-09T04:42:11Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsryluyx5pvqk333xx4cuqqjudrgqn573f2l69zntmwuvm3vdlsrzqzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwrlc68r Trump speaks to Lula by November 30<br/><br/>65% chance, up 9 pts in the last hour (was 56%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/6440148">https://implied.news/p/6440148</a> 2026-11-09T04:32:11Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqst95gdakrwuzkfyp579sj3teh68h3xxh0hkuxqkqyc4nujysj2wsszypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwtnvp8c National Popular Vote Compact implemented before 2028 election<br/><br/>42% chance, up 10 pts in the last hour (was 31%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/6761124">https://implied.news/p/6761124</a> 2026-11-08T23:02:11Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs093sjn3k0wdtw9dpc4ncqg2l0mgkqpklzqf2qdcmcmx4nte8l84qzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw2nd3qd Ocasio-Cortez runs for President in 2028<br/><br/>58% chance, up 10 pts in the last hour (was 48%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/3708350">https://implied.news/p/3708350</a> 2026-11-08T22:47:48Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqstmukxcxyg5a0kn7y7l0pz3rvaytt8tgndwy2dp9qp6yshx6wlt7szypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw6wrlnx Government shutdown by December 31<br/><br/>51% chance, up 10 pts in the last hour (was 41%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/6364437">https://implied.news/p/6364437</a> 2026-11-08T21:52:09Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdehcy6ef37we9le8t9d88mygeam8jqcyv0vcme37lcuphq3whjxgzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwrammqq Loeffler leaves Small Business Administration before 2027<br/><br/>20% chance, down 16 pts in 6 hours (was 36%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxtrumpadminleave-26dec31">https://implied.news/k/kxtrumpadminleave-26dec31</a> 2026-11-08T20:17:09Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0hzevfkd54ssgngjew8qle0pgep6wtk4p8v6zjr0fv4n63advlfczypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw23ec27 UK annual inflation between 4.0% and 4.2% in October<br/><br/>28% chance, up 20 pts in 6 hours (was 8%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/6612512">https://implied.news/p/6612512</a> 2026-11-08T20:02:45Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9c4dxfcndqlz95qcgd04srgglkynssanju2zwxf5sunatum7cr3qzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwnxyrsy US-Iran effective ceasefire by November 30<br/><br/>55% chance, down 8 pts in the last hour (was 62%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/6831496">https://implied.news/p/6831496</a> 2026-11-08T19:27:10Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsgxpvz3jj5vyvh8yylgp44tuweg6p6zu4g95u0ly6ek3xr3wjuxwqzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwlgu572 Anthropic raises between $75B and $85B in IPO<br/><br/>22% chance, up 16 pts in 6 hours (was 6%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/6267654">https://implied.news/p/6267654</a> 2026-11-08T17:30:27Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0sqn4rgjjwexkd3xtqcretxl2dt0y4wut7uclruurg9m4nz2v2ggzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwz9rc9e Hegseth announces departure as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027<br/><br/>55% chance, up 12 pts in 6 hours (was 43%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxhegsethannounceout-26apr">https://implied.news/k/kxhegsethannounceout-26apr</a> 2026-11-08T17:19:53Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqswzjtkrt0e9fr9ugclfan2ca6m9pwc3jsg6chsqfmyp48wq7fzclczypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwylkqqj No next Meta Muse Spark model release by Nov 30, 2026<br/><br/>52% chance, down 21 pts in 6 hours (was 74%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/6655565">https://implied.news/p/6655565</a> 2026-11-08T15:05:23Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsgefazyx5ua3nm0fhzv9uqarmc8973xfnpgkn38544mtan3ywyv5czypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwfjm98v Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 4.5%?<br/><br/>33% chance, down 22 pts in 6 hours (was 55%)<br/>Latest: Unemployment 4.1% in October (BLS)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxu3eoy-27jan08">https://implied.news/k/kxu3eoy-27jan08</a> 2026-11-08T09:50:23Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8ksvcd4dgumzqtpfun7ln0xuga992ruara44aac6pza7w6lpmntszypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwfklzsu US-Iran effective ceasefire by November 22<br/><br/>42% chance, down 10 pts in the last hour (was 52%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/6831495">https://implied.news/p/6831495</a> 2026-11-08T09:35:26Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfjwzvef40qx5u88gzpacrvnyg3xgnjs6cs2ymr29dl56gcrveh6czypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw0rg90a Trump issues 25-29 vetoes by end of 2027<br/><br/>17% chance, up 13 pts in the last hour (was 4%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/6661898">https://implied.news/p/6661898</a> 2026-11-08T09:20:24Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2c5yv6qzm5e4vmq5rvs9vgzd3pfe8sv7fqs6tkgw2vpgh7cmj25szypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwkdd7yk Anthropic IPO valuation below $1.25T<br/><br/>22% chance, up 11 pts in the last hour (was 11%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/3721700">https://implied.news/p/3721700</a> 2026-11-08T09:10:17Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsr2c973dkchyz5zs834qmm3tpdncksy28zprqd2q9r707dfyv8q9czypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw7l8t79 Gharibabadi attends US-Iran diplomatic meeting by end of 2026<br/><br/>26% chance, down 13 pts in the last hour (was 40%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/3553891">https://implied.news/p/3553891</a> 2026-11-06T06:40:34Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfeh7qhljhzps857rmx6yycpk4gfrxnvg84gg32z9w9ekjdk52w6qzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwm62nqq Republican Hurd wins CO-3 House race<br/><br/>94% chance, up 62 pts in 6 hours (was 32%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/houseco3-26">https://implied.news/k/houseco3-26</a> 2026-11-04T12:31:55Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfd4nawkvpjur2sk9762qam789904ty2f27rc33r30snqc70l6nfqzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw5sx8ep James Comer is Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor<br/><br/>64% chance, down 20 pts in 6 hours (was 84%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/5790715">https://implied.news/p/5790715</a> 2026-10-28T09:05:17Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs02ar6ukgrnk3lyfmukdnhtwk6wkzssc7u85cn0cpyp8ft7pmvr5qzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwwdj37l Iliana Iotova wins the next Bulgarian presidential election<br/><br/>78% chance, down 6 pts in the last hour (was 84%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/1194643">https://implied.news/p/1194643</a> 2026-10-25T13:56:54Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0g3yrzj6rpqu79sn8kdk6m7cuuqz06kepu9x720edy02q0g4xzggzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwxppvzq Implied News — Morning edition, Sun Oct 25<br/>Trump weighs Iran strike or deal as war fears spike<br/><br/>• Trump weighs Iran strike or deal as war fears spike — US invades Iran by &#39;27 20%<br/>• Democrats lead in four key Pennsylvania House races — Democrats win House 91%<br/>• Justice Dept. intervenes in Alaska election certification — Dem wins AK Senate 76%<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/?ed=20261025am">https://implied.news/?ed=20261025am</a> 2026-10-25T13:09:44Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsx0ly7wgl8sd7qcyzv8efknrfmqk98u3l7cx5t0lam62sylzja2yszypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwpw3jmx Student List – Students Win wins most seats in 2026 Serbian election<br/><br/>46% chance, up 20 pts in 6 hours (was 26%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/4824602">https://implied.news/p/4824602</a> 2026-10-25T11:41:50Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsq3927kudu5s0kxsyj5gdt6avwu7mksnlz3r3djxyj0m93gpr04pczypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwjsray2 Tesla or SpaceX announces binding merger deal before May 1, 2027<br/><br/>58% chance, down 13 pts in 6 hours (was 71%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxcompanyactionmerger-27">https://implied.news/k/kxcompanyactionmerger-27</a> 2026-10-25T11:26:53Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2zzmt4ppeku9cmx0qlfnh45ft82xlc4f0fjwgq6sxr4yqgap5w4czypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwdj48c2 Israel takes military action against Syria by Nov 30, 2026<br/><br/>42% chance, up 18 pts in 6 hours (was 24%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/5162764">https://implied.news/p/5162764</a> 2026-10-25T11:15:41Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsru3mkgcwg4cgtwz7agkmaf0tvn5y8hdcr03l9t3lwjltgfcsfgnszypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw3udelt Core PCE inflation rate above 0.2% in September 2026<br/><br/>80% chance, down 10 pts in the last hour (was 90%)<br/>Latest: PCE prices up 0.3% in August, 3.4% over the past year (BEA)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxpcecore-26sep">https://implied.news/k/kxpcecore-26sep</a> 2026-10-24T10:44:48Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqst4wsp5wu9rl2lmqzaggl3z35jrajk94lwswgt2ywv0ul705gzefczypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw7ne6wh First EFFR for Dec 31, 2026 is above 4.50%<br/><br/>19% chance, up 11 pts in the last hour (was 8%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxeffr-27jan04">https://implied.news/k/kxeffr-27jan04</a> 2026-10-24T07:59:46Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqstshnnvycaqrr60539erw9vdfyg4l7vzt97g6ety486agftlptx4szypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwfcp6q7 Trump speaks to Zelenskyy by October 31<br/><br/>32% chance, down 25 pts in 6 hours (was 57%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/5167217">https://implied.news/p/5167217</a> 2026-10-24T05:54:47Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8ldc5xagn6yaaulcsu2frzcpsgmg95nh0yyzlz80rkdrpff47sgszypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwlkfdsl NATO-Russia military clash by December 31, 2026<br/><br/>16% chance, down 22 pts in 6 hours (was 38%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/1090496">https://implied.news/p/1090496</a> 2026-10-23T23:39:09Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsv2yemg6n0l5h9ngmyndv8s38drwgqcat45869k0g6fslrycsguqszypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwgufa9k Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026<br/><br/>60% chance, down 12 pts in the last hour (was 73%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/2591184">https://implied.news/p/2591184</a> 2026-10-23T01:53:31Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsp72ueqel5e53h6y8tyrt2ulhs2mg7n4txqvq64q6hvyckqknpelszypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwqjxzj0 GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026<br/><br/>72% chance, up 21 pts in 6 hours (was 50%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/5167253">https://implied.news/p/5167253</a> 2026-10-22T13:53:37Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9gvm3a5kla2vgu0nc5y32hdtqlepjanuqjemceqz4rns2gkjjkzszypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwjk3cw9 Abbott margin minus Paxton margin is 0-3 points on Nov 3, 2026<br/><br/>14% chance, down 23 pts in 6 hours (was 37%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxtxabbottpaxton-27jan29">https://implied.news/k/kxtxabbottpaxton-27jan29</a> 2026-10-22T05:33:37Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsd6cpefw5u0y8fvncrec4j2tnja7fzeu3jzqefqqrf0lcllvd8tugzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwqdxgjy Israel-Iran ceasefire holds through November 30<br/><br/>46% chance, down 9 pts in the last hour (was 55%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/3902370">https://implied.news/p/3902370</a> 2026-10-21T20:08:42Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsyddz8gytmcuxhed7dx2gxfkls040z36nq8pqkqr036l52u8lns6czypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw44kecp Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026<br/><br/>50% chance, up 18 pts in the last hour (was 32%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/4118938">https://implied.news/p/4118938</a> 2026-10-21T13:38:37Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdkw6kf0hp38q946vvrvh5k78m9l474glfh3jkn799v9utsszvj3qzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjw8c72m4 Flavio Bolsonaro wins most votes in Brazil runoff from Pará<br/><br/>23% chance, up 8 pts in the last hour (was 16%)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/5329676">https://implied.news/p/5329676</a> 2026-10-21T05:03:36Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2296yw9axy0hynjrmyhxmern4rluee3cecl90qjjcrhqgt9vzj0gzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwc8n429 December 2027 CPI-U 12-month change is above 4.0%<br/><br/>20% chance, up 14 pts in 6 hours (was 6%)<br/>Latest: CPI up 0.6% in September, 4.0% over the past year (BLS)<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/k/kxuscpiyear-28feb01">https://implied.news/k/kxuscpiyear-28feb01</a> 2026-10-21T04:48:35Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs292rmw07us7vx2gld9kmajufvnsjhzpg2yxlayxmpw0hahdfup5qzypxgntg2hn4dtrktje7fr4yc5dsq7jqksy9880746n8gfqujpsmjwv820xy Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31<br/><br/>Odds 48% → 30% -18 pts in 1h · $518<br/><br/><a href="https://implied.news/p/3206980">https://implied.news/p/3206980</a> 2026-10-19T10:19:51Z