2026-11-01T13:19:26Z https://njump.me Tom https://njump.me/npub1h2wa5602p7ngq5q2fc205ll5pe46th0fgjd2msghtrleuw66jdfqcaf0hs https://media.mastodon.scot/accounts/avatars/114/402/868/921/185/411/original/3ecf8a917b00a491.png https://media.mastodon.scot/accounts/avatars/114/402/868/921/185/411/original/3ecf8a917b00a491.png https://njump.me/nevent1qqsyw6wuryydtsqahn3mtm2zxr6us7yq77tgqf685qx7ks69dfdrppszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4y8cr0lw In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsw9m7vef7t3ju0x6j8z5su9h2z62me6kvsvehl3737kqkkhdd9rdg5u54uc'>nevent1q…54uc</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Alt text: <br/>Four-panel comic. <br/>1: a man gestures proudly at a large computer, saying, &#34;My genius machine will find solutions to all the world&#39;s problems!&#34;<br/>2: the machine shakes saying, &#34;Thinking...&#34;<br/>3: the machine says, &#34;You already have all the solutions. You just refuse to implement them to protect the financial interests of the wealthiest 0.001%&#34;.<br/>4: the machine&#39;s screen has gone dark, as the man unplugs it, muttering &#34;It just needs some tweaking.&#34; 2026-09-22T12:07:09Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0ygw5txc93tl8xfe8egredv6y8xfvrys5kz60dkt6mm35h6n2wkszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4ylurme4 Apart from Europe and California (thank you both for your early service) nearly every country that has adopted renewables has done so for energy access or energy security. <br/><br/>While the Israeli-USA Iran war may still turn out to be an existential event to the world economy, if it can be navigated through without too much suffering it will probably be the biggest boost to global renewables deployment ever.<br/><br/>#energy #energytransition #energyIndependence #energySecurity 2026-03-16T09:25:19Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqspudypck4s0tnz3kv2un6ae368t9p432wzkn080m44jkxk9j5s0ggzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yl07w9w In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsy36928c6xqm5jsth8rsxepmj0aas6nx7d7veuwqzydg8hr5nvd8cvk0ckh'>nevent1q…0ckh</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Underwhelming? Global EV sales growth of 20% YoY in 2025?<br/><br/>Am I missing something? Certainly BESS is growing fast too, and the overcapacity issue there means they are looking for opportunities all over but is the Global EV market &#34;underwhelming&#34;? 2026-02-11T09:01:42Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2mkxsdj74eglhd60xqnk82vx2lf5j0ylpwh0qyjcvy40h0v67xgszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yn9dh27 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs0605cqnphmajsgjp8st7nf5zgf97mesfnufvcuzzslu54nferyhs3y4klm'>nevent1q…4klm</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Storage does have a long way to go OTOH it went from ~7 GW / ~11 GWh in 2018 to ~270 GW / ~617 GWh in the 7 years from 2018 - 2025 and that was while it was finding its feet. So its got the legs.<br/><br/>OTOH, Scandinavia&#39;s long, cold, dark winters probably make it a better case for some Nuclear than pretty much anywhere else. 2026-02-09T10:20:50Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsgjgmq3f5rftwqj4nkw3le97e9psqkez3e3cym79ma577a7m4asdgzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4ymu5yej In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqstsrt8qkl9rqamarcaw3l2m7yq0k8p0k7am37q8ta29cuphlmymfs5v60vj'>nevent1q…60vj</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>The Irony is that Swedish home grown BWRs are some of the fastest to build reactors around. Partnering with Japan(?) &amp; Sweden could build one in less than 10 years.<br/><br/>Solar &amp; storage (&amp; wind) are getting cheaper &amp; faster to power, but with the big seasonal swings might nuclear make some sense? At least as a component? <br/><br/>What must not happen is to put solar, wind &amp;storage projects on hold while waiting for &#34;the nuclear fix&#34;, &#39;cos 10 years is a long time for renewables tech. 2026-02-09T10:01:26Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs97vg7xk9a679h3td9vln9h66tad3lq50zdvz7l0x8zrsm0g7lyuczyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yzpmzh3 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs0dum0nlkjnajkewjj09uehdjyv0auc4ares7lg0n2nlz48sk3ufsd4mm6s'>nevent1q…mm6s</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>What are the numbers here? Honest question, has there been an announcement or something? 2026-02-09T09:29:17Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrfvu32z33vzfg7trjv73s2dwf695jc26e5xfcr36dgc2a6n76r5szyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4ym48wem In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsva8tsnrasr65shvxht9srwt9lfe2yagn6gcf2uv9dx23qwsnjstgxvv702'>nevent1q…v702</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/><span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a itemprop="url" href="/npub1nzfg2teyuwx08z2phetuhz04c3gc9kuj49gwpwtvt8rfwgfc0j7s6slckw" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1"><span>Scottish Greens</span> (<span class="italic">npub1nzf…lckw</span>)</a></span> <br/><br/>I know we aren&#39;t in the EU but can we lobby to do this too please? (Repeal our equivalent of Article 6)<br/><br/>(and can you tell your Southern compatriots to get a Mastadon account!?) 2026-01-30T16:48:51Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsva42wchth2ha7g3tk7cmwwzf8ljrtah9jlnurzk2ez0cx7adf49szyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4ysv66th In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs2n9eml57elf7p7x0kh006elz7ylvrvsx4d8cm876cxalguqu4jnqqqmmmn'>nevent1q…mmmn</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/><span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a itemprop="url" href="/npub1nzfg2teyuwx08z2phetuhz04c3gc9kuj49gwpwtvt8rfwgfc0j7s6slckw" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1"><span>Scottish Greens</span> (<span class="italic">npub1nzf…lckw</span>)</a></span> <span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a itemprop="url" href="/npub1pnwtdswlpw9faumzkgtxdpf2xq7kses2r6ycm73hkht92v090mcqf8qhcz" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1"><span>Emil Jacobs - Collectifission</span> (<span class="italic">npub1pnw…qhcz</span>)</a></span> <br/><br/>Interested to know about Scotland too. 2026-01-15T11:41:06Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsv0feyde2apg8ga7jl9vwhua8vwqhnplytmd6cmkxjpu6ws4dw4ygzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yaqp44c In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs0y5kw6qmma2hm8yxh2pswsnzqeyttw2x8zdvgrke5mzh6eaz5y5sy57hgt'>nevent1q…7hgt</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Yes the last 10% will be hard, yes we should probably consume less stuff, yes capitalism.<br/><br/>But right now we have proven technologies, available at the necessary scale to real make some serious progress; and they are actually cheaper than doing the wrong things. The &#34;easy&#34; parts make up 80-90% of the problem, so we can fix 80-90% of the problem now.<br/><br/>Literally the only thing stopping us is that leaders all over the world chose not to do so.<br/><br/>#energytransition #climatechange #energy <br/><br/>2/2 2025-12-26T10:35:37Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0y5kw6qmma2hm8yxh2pswsnzqeyttw2x8zdvgrke5mzh6eaz5y5szyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yc7rv39 I know its techno optimism, but forgive me.<br/><br/>There are so many solutions available now that could massively accelerate mitigations to our current climate woes. Solar, wind and batteries (and big nukes where they make sense) for power. Heat pumps for low grade industrial heating and home haeting. &gt;1800C heat batteries for industrial heat. Even properly biodegradable plastics to help with direct pollution.<br/><br/>#energytransition #climatechange #energy <br/><br/>1/2 2025-12-26T10:30:51Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfl4t0y7svy4ac7zf9kt6wwfjfsk4lmmgzetxpy35ne52l62dqs8czyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4ypzr9fr <a href="https://38d.gs/eurovision-bbc-df">https://38d.gs/eurovision-bbc-df</a> 2025-12-10T21:06:01Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqszwkz98vhhcq4dka3usgr99sxqtz85kxeecrm4akpxklzfw5px2hszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4y6pds0p In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsguyjp7zt84zq7guqqdwpm0ukfdgfml5mzp0zszqfnnstjvzhqnqg9f8rjq'>nevent1q…8rjq</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Up to a point, Norway is a bit of a special case as it is totally self sufficient. But if Greek and Baltic windfarms want to fill in each other&#39;s gaps and Southern European solar wants to get to Denmark than Germany becomes the natural route for the interconnectors and others will pay soame of it.<br/><br/>But, yes, Germany certainly needs to get moving on building stuff!<br/><br/>(Yeah, I know, &#34;or we could all just go nuclear&#34;) 2025-11-27T14:04:53Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsznw89rpwfrhkztzq3u7h2ugw8hynkxvhlazjzftxl4na9vm2dl8czyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yns8wqg In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs9wuqs852pvs48q6ew2nvtuz8gfum3mynsg4gj897eaq24permycqvr8ksd'>nevent1q…8ksd</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>On a related note I am thoroughly enjoying<br/> <a href="https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/465161/breakneck-by-wang-dan/9780241729175">https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/465161/breakneck-by-wang-dan/9780241729175</a><br/><br/>It is an excellent overview of the strengths, weaknesses of the China model. And has a lot to say about America too. 2025-11-16T10:38:18Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqszc4zdgru98qstxj0ts2dcjssv7lq8xy3s9rthunx7cg6a93r06nszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4y9zfp2c In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs9wuqs852pvs48q6ew2nvtuz8gfum3mynsg4gj897eaq24permycqvr8ksd'>nevent1q…8ksd</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>There are some interesting discussions going on about how the rest of the global south develops if China makes everything cheaper than everyone else (which seems to be their aim).<br/><br/>It&#39;s a problem, but also an opportunity to develop fairly and without the environmental and social costs of the western extractive model.<br/><br/>OTOH China may simply become the next extractive hegemon, or one of two or three. 2025-11-16T10:00:23Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9wuqs852pvs48q6ew2nvtuz8gfum3mynsg4gj897eaq24permycqzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yj3hx09 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs0ppm4078xmprgw6u5zv6d4kk3emp9av02raguksl3u0lwsc0hnhquuucec'>nevent1q…ucec</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>It is an inescapable fact that China has scaled its electro tech output to the level where, if everyone took advantage of it the energy transition could massively accelerate.<br/><br/>The issues now are geopolitical. Can the global south develop a development and trade model that leverages this without simply creating a new Hegemon? China has the potential to lead that, I am not sure if it really sees the need and is willing to give enough away to acheive it. 2025-11-16T09:34:21Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsvp8e5m7fduje07sf98ecpklkugj4ww2e0nsh8lzrkctfspsj8jpgzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yrzypzs In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqswqhl3fn3jekj0esuj645jce0y5zv3cx9hvtwx9d7agvjlaq2va2q9j8844'>nevent1q…8844</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Where did the community broadband resistance come from? I do not know this story. 2025-11-14T07:26:37Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsws286nafrzhhrjvu9f2uasyqm5sd2vcg827d4flagm0gc6efes0qzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4ysxw6q7 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs0wpw4erexyh45h8j8en3855c5k0kn8mjp3v095mz73qchwcw0qxcdn40ly'>nevent1q…40ly</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>China (actually, I am not sure on the nuclear number, found it hard to find progress figures). 2025-11-05T13:56:27Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs89ru7sg0awxq56p3kgtmtctj6qld0v3mr2ccqlvvmly005qge03gzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4y0me2dn I think these numbers are approximately correct for 2025:<br/>Generation additions<br/>Source TWh<br/>Solar 436<br/>Wind 254<br/>Nuclear 21<br/>Total 711<br/><br/>Demand growth<br/>Growth 684<br/>FF saving 27<br/><br/>So that&#39;s about 3-6 coal plants that can be closed (they average 50% capacity)<br/><br/>Clean power deployment is growing faster than electricity demand (even as China electrifies more things) so this should be the start of the FF replacement.<br/><br/>#energytransition 2025-11-05T13:45:17Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8pqfadd2uk0jnkfndw3lpntwtjt0uskfxznd8v9clz49q4pwyx2czyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4y2a3d84 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsqrg3tcsy6z5s4rfdhm0pweuzhrts7mnj5jp7lzjxklwashplyvhqlwlv3x'>nevent1q…lv3x</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Listening to an economist/trader yesterday. Said the first signal that the collapse is getting close is when &#34;respectable&#34; institutions start saying that the &#34;fundamentals have changed&#34; and &#34;this new technology has actually changed the economic rules&#34;.<br/><br/>Fuck it. 2025-10-30T09:51:39Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2ahm96wanq7f7eyrxkz2fglu2uhxjjeza636xx5p0x5ctejpqexszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4ye4jje5 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsz5kjvaupwy55xdeq7wa6vy57pyg3rn2h8ypuhdtwwva5l24uap9g9nl7sv'>nevent1q…l7sv</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>&#34;Trump (a man who never met a grievance that was too petty to pursue) orders Tim Cook (a man who never found a boot he wouldn&#39;t lick)&#34;<br/><br/>Brutal! 🤣 2025-10-20T17:02:19Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqst9d2teruy3u9slpkjvjcz48va457uut7fknr0rq725ymrna50emczyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yyhm8vm In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs9z3dfp26lgj73tj5nyc47jwqrv6qjr9sxl7kqwlgjq5q9a8sda5suptee8'>nevent1q…tee8</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>To paraphrase Upton Sinclair: &#34;It’s difficult to get a man to understand something when his _astronomical future income_ depends on his not understanding it.&#34; 2025-10-16T06:52:43Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0stagk5x79vfrkpmvznzqejzswvl7eww3505r3fd05zfpqzc28xqzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4ylgdwuj In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqswf9acyddjz9gux0awuep0q3h6cl84u4hnkgvj8vyphcfn4l8chvcqcl44t'>nevent1q…l44t</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>UK has used CfDs for renewables and nuclear for over 10 years. What&#39;s happened? 2025-09-16T16:04:00Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqszsuhhmescqqt3c6x4czkcsxweve8u3vdyrjt3prps8yk768t0jxszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4ye83rnt In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsvtqlwv3qzcdevuer04mj5tzpydjlsegl5jrdhu0qlr6q74zzsutcmdkktr'>nevent1q…kktr</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>I&#39;ll bite. I don&#39;t think it can be done if we continue to practice the capitalist model exported from the USA over the past 50 years.<br/><br/>If we went back to the model practiced between the 1940s and 70s then maybe. If the we moved to a form much more like the Scandies maybe.<br/><br/>But the current version; neoliberal, oligarchic, maximum inequality, quarterly time horizons, nope. We need more planning and coordinated vision than it can provide. 2025-08-21T15:15:45Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsg3z2rw5ckrn2dzhtzy748gjaw3zarh0q9uklk6n7qt7syemm3qaszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yp96q8t In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsykx23tn43z9synm72u3egc4y5ue09uck2u0xkagyyr7lq5mnp9rckejh64'>nevent1q…jh64</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>I worry that many (most) companies have a significant number of senior leaders who have publicly committed enough emotional capital to AI already being a success that cognitive dissonance will lead them to double down when the data shows it is failing rather than course correcting.<br/><br/>Like the doomsday cult who, when the end of the world didn&#39;t happen, simply strengthened their beliefs. 2025-08-19T20:45:50Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsqye5jftytry3px3mjyd6tfxlt2x9mlcu0hfs257ntqrys5e09kmszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yjw08l2 <a href="https://www.youtube.com/shorts/THHLR1wa8Qo">https://www.youtube.com/shorts/THHLR1wa8Qo</a><br/><br/><span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a itemprop="url" href="/npub17v8t2z4nh9arvym5wj9hcgcke9qqzvppach4xk4wjax0sj2e8cjs98nhln" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1"><span>Sarah Taber</span> (<span class="italic">npub17v8…nhln</span>)</a></span> nails it again.<br/><br/>#ice #uspol 2025-08-19T06:59:37Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsgytvwvgffzkx9cdtxcsex9f5d8na58zda6u63m5sh08j6ukq5m3qzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4ylp0z44 #LazyFedi <br/><br/>Saw this: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qwo3i1s_zKU">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qwo3i1s_zKU</a><br/><br/>and was wondering, does China and Chinese companies see third party repair as:<br/>- An ideological good <br/>- Supporting it as competitive advantage?<br/>- Just &#34;what you do&#34;?<br/>- Something they not got around to restricting yet?<br/><br/>I mean, especially in the global South it feels like it coud be a big competitive advantage. Would losing sales in a growing market change John Deer&#39;s behaviour?<br/><br/>Anyone have any links or data?<br/><br/>#righttorepair <br/><br/><span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a itemprop="url" href="/npub1fdrpydz4n2dpgpy5xhsa6rjg8ytggn82mt0addw6sf93272nhhnqsjlvhs" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1"><span>Cory Doctorow</span> (<span class="italic">npub1fdr…lvhs</span>)</a></span> 2025-08-17T08:51:36Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsqswdhp0g0vlc46xkg76udhrd2hdg8alp8tw9tx5hlrt4t858w49szyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yncu5ry In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsqpez0xrsvdm3qdqsnhl2d7wr4mdjylnjq9mh6szlptmldus2g4fseqmxq3'>nevent1q…mxq3</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Have you read or listened to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Unaccountability_Machine">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Unaccountability_Machine</a> ? It has an interesting take on Cybernetics and Stafford Beer&#39;s theories that grew out of it (including Chile&#39;s Cybersyn and Cybernetics vs neo-liberal economics) 2025-08-13T07:05:21Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsg0mncnr628ydww5yp6q05phfuzqll336wzecz0u9rtmuyx067gcszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4y5088vl In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsp9fe8fqytvp9433e9xtvykpe702l8kmx0cdp9pmg2sl5rxx93r0qrnqgec'>nevent1q…qgec</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>C&#39;mon its a totally bonkers headline that wasn&#39;t on anyone&#39;s 2025 Bingo card! <br/><br/>August is always a slow news month.<br/><br/>Of course they all ran it.<br/><br/>(wow, just checked, they really did ALL run it!) 2025-08-12T13:11:02Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsgz9sd35xeqhsl360e3wekrzqtzyun8ma52hc3sst9eqdm758qpwgzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4ysuze36 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs9zm8xejr4tt8lzd7dyvqekj3djsp26ypqvscarqr0dvr6q477mwctw5uvf'>nevent1q…5uvf</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>That makes sense.<br/><br/>I think there is a good chance that Africa (&amp; much of &#34;The Global South&#34;) drifts into solar &amp; storage making up the majority of its generation needs at all scales. So that when nuclear gets its game on it will be pushing into a mature, well served market with a grid built for distributed generation.<br/><br/>That deployment is starting now, is distributed &amp; outside of government control &amp; thus freer of corruption &amp; more resilient to regime changes. 2025-08-02T12:06:22Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdk6p8puk8hr7tqganrns3dzestx9sr6rg60lalgqxe6sznamp78gzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4y3j8cew In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsxmhg6ycw978y85fv3v7fx44jhxvlee2yyp5g4hcsqhesfd3utegss0pgqe'>nevent1q…pgqe</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>I think your direction of travel is right but your timescale is a bit optimistic and the winner will probably be China in the medium term.<br/><br/>European and US supply chains are just gearing up to build PWRs at scale, this is probabaly a 5 to 10 year programme so they will be desperate to recoup some of the investment.<br/><br/>1/n 2025-08-02T11:44:16Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqstmxzsjpdq074kfrh2zzneppxq7y7aukvvrzcr3dnu5r7kcdca6wqzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4y6vgv69 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsxaarcex8xcj9l6z8jqkd3rdhsp30y6nwa3eekq5dc26tataspm5qsjt6t5'>nevent1q…t6t5</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>It is worth a listen. 2025-07-03T08:31:18Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfkgwuq6hdaz6rp8fde0yupphdanjs7f32rear735xrjdmsy084mszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yw6va45 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqstmqukalymwz0zm37p53xqsf6q3mn2epv4p5k9r846uwlgsuacnncssgczk'>nevent1q…gczk</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>We know how to build nuclear for a reasonable cost.<br/>- Stable and supportive regulatory and policy environment<br/>- Standardised design (doesn&#39;t have to be an SMR) with a good pipeline<br/>- Good project management (for that design)<br/>- Robust and reliable supply chains and ecosystem (for that design)<br/>- In depth human capital (for that design)<br/><br/>Canada is throwing its existing advantages away by pivoting from CANDU.<br/><br/>2/2 2025-07-03T08:19:46Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqstmqukalymwz0zm37p53xqsf6q3mn2epv4p5k9r846uwlgsuacnnczyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yp57and In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsgat69q3zhdp39842s093j8akwx4g0vhy2pufmqh7c7vf3qyvyn5szj5crw'>nevent1q…5crw</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>I think a summary of the arguments are:<br/><br/>- Its not really an SMR anymore, more of an MMR (current estimate CAD 4.5 billion)<br/>- Its an N0 not N1 (it&#39;s being built on site to relaxed geological tolerances) the real N1 will be the second one on site, build starting in 2031/32 (assuming schedules are kept)<br/>- The big fleet wins are already available in Canada with the CANDU human capital and supply chains built for the refurbs. These will now be lost.<br/><br/>1/2 2025-07-03T08:14:05Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsp7adyfu9lpyd5h6dhsjfcdmr45fdp2ng5w2lnyzmf2jgdp55ezcgzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yaf69er In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs2yzsu2vjnaalshythqlcekkne7shr239aphvjpvuqjhxatqn3n9sctpxqd'>nevent1q…pxqd</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>and storage, never forget the storage, it makes both baseload and intermitent sources dispatchable and more efficient. 2025-06-29T16:40:27Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdmthm3xcv26m2zggewzvqsvjj7rlxm2raz9wpurfmfswq9fdrfdszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4y8sm5y6 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqstg50leu6p65279ttc2g57zuh2vuxuagfftxgtkw0phznkmgc7j3gsjan26'>nevent1q…an26</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Napkin math time (unchecked, I may be very wrong, feel free to mock me).<br/><br/>Nigeria, with an energy demand of 40TWh annually needs a generation capacity of just over 4.5GW <br/><br/>Using the Ember report numbers you could build that, today, for ~$20 billion, with reasonable chances of getting close to projected costs and timescales.<br/><br/>Nigeria is projected to have 3.5GW of hydro that can get them over the tricky last 1%. 2025-06-21T08:48:44Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqstg50leu6p65279ttc2g57zuh2vuxuagfftxgtkw0phznkmgc7j3gzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yuqa8rz This is exciting: <br/><br/><a href="https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/solar-electricity-every-hour-of-every-day-is-here-and-it-changes-everything/">https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/solar-electricity-every-hour-of-every-day-is-here-and-it-changes-everything/</a><br/><br/>Could be a real game changer in Africa especially (and battery prices still have a long way to fall!).<br/><br/>#renewables #solar #batteries #BESS 2025-06-21T06:21:53Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdgxr9eauhd9uhu9s5tatk42x3q2s9259c8l2n5g8rpje9mm94a6qzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yg39gq3 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs8xaz0p6v8t9sy5zjgv2vd8vt2uehq7fqf08cg4kvypnzd865xlqg698tdg'>nevent1q…8tdg</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Nuclear is not inherently more dangerous than other forms of energy (<a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rates-from-energy-production-per-twh">https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rates-from-energy-production-per-twh</a>), it is certainly massively safer than coal or gas which have already killed millions) it simply needs different processes. Which we rarely invest in, which is part of the problem caused by that lack of stability. <br/>4/4 2025-06-14T12:59:45Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8xaz0p6v8t9sy5zjgv2vd8vt2uehq7fqf08cg4kvypnzd865xlqgzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yl32qj4 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqst6ve43gftj5qmuqppn9cv2sw7c3cvn46dacj8px5lwt282cfqkvqamkkml'>nevent1q…kkml</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>The primary killer of nuclear was not public opposition, it was cheap gas along with Regan and Thatcher’s anti-state rhetoric. Public opposition was a thing but if the economics had remained strong there would have been more effort to bring people along.<br/>3/4 2025-06-14T12:59:34Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqst6ve43gftj5qmuqppn9cv2sw7c3cvn46dacj8px5lwt282cfqkvqzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yc4cume In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs2s6ww95zd4kx2x27yyjud5ygl5vlmuanvxf4ssj6x3n3rcx62cusrlcgwg'>nevent1q…cgwg</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>It’s not inherently more expensive (just check South Korea’s costs). The neoliberal West is just very bad at stuff like this.<br/>The problem is that the West (with the UK &amp; USA leading the charge) is bad at big infrastructure. The impact of Neoliberalism &amp; media oligopoly on politics has crippled our ability to do anything long term.<br/>Whether its renewables, transmission, transport or any other infra programme you need stable decade(s) long planning horizons. <br/><br/>2/4 2025-06-14T12:59:23Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2s6ww95zd4kx2x27yyjud5ygl5vlmuanvxf4ssj6x3n3rcx62cuszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4y4tu20g In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsvunx382vv7da0mnydhjc0l9t4uqfs0qy5l8ejnp367kgfjz84zcqnr86tm'>nevent1q…86tm</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>This far from the equator #nuclear makes sense. It does not obviate the need for more #renewables and storage. A good faith “all of the above” _is_ possible.<br/>If we are going to build nuclear it needs to be a current, licensed design that we, or someone we trust has recent experience of. This basically means EPRs which we have actual experience with now. Ironically Hinkley C, Olkiluto and Flamanville make the likely size of cost overruns much smaller.<br/><br/>1/4 2025-06-14T12:58:38Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0r0ugljejtu04h6mekfym6eg2lcycdx2a8p2sgxwrsuzqrkd6zeczyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yqynn6p In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsg8dfs3qy0f4c7gx5ee4qvv6x5hmuf7srg40rtv8lfnzda9cl5lgssjk3aq'>nevent1q…k3aq</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Not sure what this really means for nuclear? I mean Susquehanna was commissioned in 1983 so it is not like it is new capacity. <br/><br/>Will the primary impact not simply be that other Pennsylvania power bills go up as they lose a couple GW from the supply they were already using? because Amazon now has priority?<br/><br/>I guess they&#39;ll build extra FF to fill the void? but that&#39;s OK &#39;cos Amazon&#39;s power will be clean. 2025-06-14T10:17:04Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsw09c45fdwp60ffhx55snr5xwe3d7tha6y3kc6s3vw4dvmu20q7cgzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4y35gqu9 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsvu07xa7vjrjgegc3j2ksslq9yyj44f96dd8wd0ycc9tvyn348ejqaaz895'>nevent1q…z895</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Hmm according to Reuters: &#34;The global development bank, which lends at low rates to help countries build everything from flood barriers to railroads, decided in 2013 to stop funding nuclear power projects.&#34;<br/><br/>Are we talking different banks? or different bans? 2025-06-12T14:39:14Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsvs6endgvjwpsf2qucwuwp9f3k0seuwrrfh03anl4vxzmsvyalw6szyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4ymn68kg In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs9zqvjql68w2uq9u77jyvf2363tlmu6drvtje7mq37ejmqgfpkwxqxqytmx'>nevent1q…ytmx</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>No longer an EU citizen 😟 2025-06-11T10:46:45Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsz4ny8lnhz2afuqhawpmjudpfeszm0u57nrf2yqyj9swtape3ykdgzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4y57vavl In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqswx5pun0y0s7dvyw3r3g9n55r8djszmhkc2y55wm7emqtcefwjq4q0dwvv3'>nevent1q…wvv3</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>This is not violating patents and stealing industrial secrets its about reverse engineering. The DMCA effectively says &#34;If I say this latch is a lock then it is illegal for you to open the hood of your car to fix it&#34;, US trading partners had to sign up to enforcing it locally if they wanted trade deals.<br/><br/>This is simply saying, &#34;fuck that, we&#39;ll fix our cars ourselves&#34;.<br/><br/>The entire PC and peripherals industry was built on reverse engineering &amp; that turned out pretty well. 2025-06-10T07:22:01Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqswq2294m28fwr4z2pttc8hfk3zvfv2elsfsd7q4s4vhn8sdh5wlqszyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yjtw4y5 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqswhhfsfsyvccmuly2wvldwx0cl26w6cfdrl8uc6a50z6duvcyvfts4geqre'>nevent1q…eqre</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>No, no, no. That would be chaos!<br/><br/>Only the really important rich white dudes should have a genie because they are are philosopher kings with a deep understanding of what is best for the rest of us. <br/><br/>(At least that is what ChatGPT, Grok abd Claude said when I asked them) 2025-06-09T14:07:04Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqstlutqvkknytupu37eppxwc5c6vduk4sy7tlpvfhe73p5cfthuqtqzyzafmknfag86dqzspf8pf7nl7s8xhfwaa9zf4twpzav0l83mt2f4yelwf8f In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsd29dqqkxwht4synkdte7jmxzprp2aahsaxscfustz973v2lvzkeca6wqpj'>nevent1q…wqpj</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>While it would be a good thing, I don&#39;t think it will happen. Not until, say, a few BWRX-300 are actually operational elswhere.<br/><br/>No significant domestic commercial lending to build reactors initially, too risky. Government needs to pick some winners &amp; put together a 10 year+, guaranteed investment, training, &amp; support program for the ramp up. Nuclear needs people to believe there is a long term commitment and stable policy environment. Neither available in the USA right now. 2025-06-01T07:32:50Z