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  <updated>2026-06-22T17:31:18Z</updated>
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  <title>Nostr notes by Trevor Tombe</title>
  <author>
    <name>Trevor Tombe</name>
  </author>
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  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqswdlp3sauzc03ytjv9e6g8hyudn53g63sezxapclqs77vmagnf3xqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdscekwpv</id>
    
      <title type="html">Canada&amp;#39;s inflation rate rose to 3.2% in May. What&amp;#39;s ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqswdlp3sauzc03ytjv9e6g8hyudn53g63sezxapclqs77vmagnf3xqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdscekwpv" />
    <content type="html">
      Canada&amp;#39;s inflation rate rose to 3.2% in May. What&amp;#39;s behind the surge? Oil prices. That&amp;#39;s it. Most other important components are pulling down the overall rate. #cdnecon 🧵&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/794/626/608/940/832/original/e331a6cb6bbca87b.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2026-06-22T16:09:31Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqswmg2umupkeg53n47tllrtz86usp4hxlj4mxs96ftus7q6cdhpenqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds756cjw</id>
    
      <title type="html">Have Alberta&amp;#39;s finances gone off the rails? My latest for ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqswmg2umupkeg53n47tllrtz86usp4hxlj4mxs96ftus7q6cdhpenqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds756cjw" />
    <content type="html">
      Have Alberta&amp;#39;s finances gone off the rails? &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada on the province&amp;#39;s latest budget. &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2026/03/03/have-albertas-finances-gone-off-the-rails/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2026/03/03/have-albertas-finances-gone-off-the-rails/&lt;/a&gt; #ableg #cdnpoli #cdnecon
    </content>
    <updated>2026-03-03T14:28:38Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqszvrwq4cgdmng8emhz4a74f8y40x64mq80t7qq4nle2426kwp5z2czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsqlz0ya</id>
    
      <title type="html">The hidden costs of political uncertainty are high. We can see ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqszvrwq4cgdmng8emhz4a74f8y40x64mq80t7qq4nle2426kwp5z2czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsqlz0ya" />
    <content type="html">
      The hidden costs of political uncertainty are high. We can see that in Canada&amp;#39;s job market today. And there&amp;#39;s a lesson for those who view Alberta separatism as a costless protest vote. It isn&amp;#39;t. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2026/02/19/why-the-risk-of-separation-could-cost-alberta-thousands-of-jobs/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2026/02/19/why-the-risk-of-separation-could-cost-alberta-thousands-of-jobs/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2026-02-19T15:48:35Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqstm5zv9g09zwlmumh59m7rksxawrnvlqkrm0u8wpx7msz72h5u47czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsvct0ns</id>
    
      <title type="html">Interesting new Statistics Canada paper on firm sizes and the ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqstm5zv9g09zwlmumh59m7rksxawrnvlqkrm0u8wpx7msz72h5u47czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsvct0ns" />
    <content type="html">
      Interesting new Statistics Canada paper on firm sizes and the Canada-U.S. productivity gap. Shows most of our gap is due to Canada having more small firms (less productive). But most of the widening gap is due to large firms lagging. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Details: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/36-28-0001/2025012/article/00002-eng.htm?utm_source=mstatcan&amp;amp;utm_medium=eml&amp;amp;utm_campaign=statcan-statcan-mstatcan&#34;&gt;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/36-28-0001/2025012/article/00002-eng.htm?utm_source=mstatcan&amp;amp;utm_medium=eml&amp;amp;utm_campaign=statcan-statcan-mstatcan&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon
    </content>
    <updated>2025-12-22T16:04:14Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsr4gkhs7d2acuy0fp02y8d5v89t5gpe04y8y3ms3n9gcl2r6j8skszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsvrskrq</id>
    
      <title type="html">Really enjoyed contributing to this Alberta Views dialogue in ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsr4gkhs7d2acuy0fp02y8d5v89t5gpe04y8y3ms3n9gcl2r6j8skszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsvrskrq" />
    <content type="html">
      Really enjoyed contributing to this Alberta Views dialogue in their December issue on whether equalization is &amp;#34;unfair&amp;#34; to Alberta. Give both sides a read here: &lt;a href=&#34;https://albertaviews.ca/equalization-payment-unfair-alberta/&#34;&gt;https://albertaviews.ca/equalization-payment-unfair-alberta/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-12-19T16:50:06Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsqwekx5tmc4xryeq4ssrsnrt3kuaxx2yld3f0z3cjmhzpwvplnflqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsrxzd7x</id>
    
      <title type="html">An incredibly fascinating new paper by Casey Pender and Vincent ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsqwekx5tmc4xryeq4ssrsnrt3kuaxx2yld3f0z3cjmhzpwvplnflqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsrxzd7x" />
    <content type="html">
      An incredibly fascinating new paper by Casey Pender and Vincent Geloso (@VincentGeloso) on what we can learn from the most significant period of Canadian economic convergence with the U.S.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Read it here: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.policyschool.ca/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/FP14b-Removing-Barriers-FINAL.pdf&#34;&gt;https://www.policyschool.ca/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/FP14b-Removing-Barriers-FINAL.pdf&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli @policy_school&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/741/907/452/341/717/original/a13438b24e830ee4.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-12-18T18:09:12Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsf6kf64dn98tfz377f2w5la9r9w4uf4ht8z8m8dthupdjqvhpukfqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdseg5404</id>
    
      <title type="html">Waiting for a return to “normal” is a mistake. A new era for ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsf6kf64dn98tfz377f2w5la9r9w4uf4ht8z8m8dthupdjqvhpukfqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdseg5404" />
    <content type="html">
      Waiting for a return to “normal” is a mistake. A new era for Canada’s economy has already begun.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada on what the biggest economic stories of 2025 mean for Canada&amp;#39;s future: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/12/11/get-ready-for-a-troubling-new-era-for-the-canadian-economy/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/12/11/get-ready-for-a-troubling-new-era-for-the-canadian-economy/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnpoli #cdnecon
    </content>
    <updated>2025-12-11T18:03:22Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsxr86uvmeugpjj3nzj46qgntq88d28m3n5au2luq6rhvvjwqkcu2gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsztpyr0</id>
    
      <title type="html">Strong jobs report from StatCan this morning. Employment rose 54k ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsxr86uvmeugpjj3nzj46qgntq88d28m3n5au2luq6rhvvjwqkcu2gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsztpyr0" />
    <content type="html">
      Strong jobs report from StatCan this morning. Employment rose 54k in November, and unemployment fell to 6.5%, down 0.6 points from its peak. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;More details here: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/251205/dq251205a-eng.htm&#34;&gt;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/251205/dq251205a-eng.htm&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/668/102/902/690/964/original/dc7ec7ac2c200350.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-12-05T17:19:44Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsqhv6trm746s2cpjnadaslk7ef5c5z22jyk8x6xkhh85sd7cgqjlczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds0fzh7a</id>
    
      <title type="html">Today&amp;#39;s data: GDP growth for the third quarter of 2025. ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsqhv6trm746s2cpjnadaslk7ef5c5z22jyk8x6xkhh85sd7cgqjlczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds0fzh7a" />
    <content type="html">
      Today&amp;#39;s data: GDP growth for the third quarter of 2025. Positive growth of 0.6% compared to Q2 (annualized rate of 2.6%). A strong report overall, headline growth beat expectations. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Details from StatCan here: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/251128/dq251128a-eng.htm&#34;&gt;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/251128/dq251128a-eng.htm&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/628/671/274/256/846/original/17754670507c2f0d.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-11-28T18:11:45Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2l78g5tcm8gk7qkgh58wzq7seddckq95tsedmzupqe88tl84069gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdskhxuuj</id>
    
      <title type="html">Full text of the agreement between the federal and Alberta ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2l78g5tcm8gk7qkgh58wzq7seddckq95tsedmzupqe88tl84069gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdskhxuuj" />
    <content type="html">
      Full text of the agreement between the federal and Alberta governments is available here: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/backgrounders/2025/11/27/canada-alberta-memorandum-understanding&#34;&gt;https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/backgrounders/2025/11/27/canada-alberta-memorandum-understanding&lt;/a&gt;  It&amp;#39;s big. Strong commitments for a new pipeline to the west coast, and significant increases in climate policy stringency in AB to go along with it.
    </content>
    <updated>2025-11-27T18:08:10Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqst8r6me8cyqrhfysqlh3sgq5ekg97uvas5qj492nfl583wmheepuszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsxvpp7m</id>
    
      <title type="html">An important step for internal trade! The “Canadian Mutual ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqst8r6me8cyqrhfysqlh3sgq5ekg97uvas5qj492nfl583wmheepuszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsxvpp7m" />
    <content type="html">
      An important step for internal trade! The “Canadian Mutual Recognition Agreement” signed yesterday could yield real economic gains: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/article/new-trade-deal-to-chop-red-tape-knock-down-trade-barriers-across-canada/&#34;&gt;https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/article/new-trade-deal-to-chop-red-tape-knock-down-trade-barriers-across-canada/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;For some analysis on what MR means, see this by me and Ryan Manucha: &lt;a href=&#34;https://macdonaldlaurier.ca/liberalizing-internal-trade-through-mutual-recognition-a-legal-and-economic-analysis/&#34;&gt;https://macdonaldlaurier.ca/liberalizing-internal-trade-through-mutual-recognition-a-legal-and-economic-analysis/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-11-20T16:07:28Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs08sgw9ll7m68kc4ecwh6p9zpsh826ymxvdy4cthnyujz6xxfd73gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds6h5vu0</id>
    
      <title type="html">Today&amp;#39;s data: inflation 📈 ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs08sgw9ll7m68kc4ecwh6p9zpsh826ymxvdy4cthnyujz6xxfd73gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds6h5vu0" />
    <content type="html">
      Today&amp;#39;s data: inflation 📈 &lt;a href=&#34;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/251117/dq251117a-eng.htm&#34;&gt;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/251117/dq251117a-eng.htm&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Consumer prices rose 2.2% since October 2024. But since it matters what you buy, experiences vary. Lower-income, single renters faced highest increases. Relevant to understand affordability concerns. #cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/566/780/871/494/437/original/7d35a6c09b8e19bf.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-11-17T19:52:12Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8v9rsqr9w2vqkf6ssqc80x6sv4254874krqupdwx5au8gaf6ue6czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdszn4pkr</id>
    
      <title type="html">It was billed as an investment budget—and in its framing, ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8v9rsqr9w2vqkf6ssqc80x6sv4254874krqupdwx5au8gaf6ue6czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdszn4pkr" />
    <content type="html">
      It was billed as an investment budget—and in its framing, it’s right about the problem. But on the numbers, it offers more continuity than change.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My contribution to @TheHubCanada’s roundup on Budget 2025: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/11/05/more-continuity-than-change-the-hub-reacts-to-mark-carneys-big-spending-budget/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/11/05/more-continuity-than-change-the-hub-reacts-to-mark-carneys-big-spending-budget/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-11-05T15:56:02Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsr0tqn56rrs50xkxklzcs4ud8pzuutq0qcp4hfq9cn3fsnxelzweszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds35p362</id>
    
      <title type="html">Big news relevant for Alberta and the oil and gas sector: the ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsr0tqn56rrs50xkxklzcs4ud8pzuutq0qcp4hfq9cn3fsnxelzweszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds35p362" />
    <content type="html">
      Big news relevant for Alberta and the oil and gas sector: the emissions cap will be scrapped. Emissions to decline using other tools.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;There&amp;#39;s merit to this decision. The policy had considerable drawbacks, even from a narrow climate policy perspective: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2023/04/20/trevor-tombe-capping-oil-and-gas-emissions-is-a-bad-idea/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2023/04/20/trevor-tombe-capping-oil-and-gas-emissions-is-a-bad-idea/&lt;/a&gt;
    </content>
    <updated>2025-11-04T21:10:10Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs867ym7ej4xmpdswq8zr3pga4rafvmsfzdv3d25sc0rwpl940p7hczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsnk2vhu</id>
    
      <title type="html">Canada&amp;#39;s 2025 Federal Budget is now out. All documents are ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs867ym7ej4xmpdswq8zr3pga4rafvmsfzdv3d25sc0rwpl940p7hczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsnk2vhu" />
    <content type="html">
      Canada&amp;#39;s 2025 Federal Budget is now out. All documents are available here: &lt;a href=&#34;https://budget.canada.ca/2025/home-accueil-en.html&#34;&gt;https://budget.canada.ca/2025/home-accueil-en.html&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-11-04T21:05:44Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0ecz9m5dvv678y3rm4mczuxphtn2ftyehh5g4k5tm77efr4fyv4qzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsw9jwj5</id>
    
      <title type="html">Doubling non-U.S. exports over the coming decade is easier than ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0ecz9m5dvv678y3rm4mczuxphtn2ftyehh5g4k5tm77efr4fyv4qzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsw9jwj5" />
    <content type="html">
      Doubling non-U.S. exports over the coming decade is easier than you might think. But truly boosting our economy requires much more.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada on the PM&amp;#39;s speech last week: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/10/30/doubling-non-u-s-exports-is-actually-easy/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/10/30/doubling-non-u-s-exports-is-actually-easy/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-10-30T15:59:32Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqszv4zzzctart2spmr7cv7zhfcwm9exq3h9v6snh8zsezt4f9d6snqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdslng3v5</id>
    
      <title type="html">From the Bank&amp;#39;s detailed analysis (their &amp;#34;MPR&amp;#34;) this ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqszv4zzzctart2spmr7cv7zhfcwm9exq3h9v6snh8zsezt4f9d6snqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdslng3v5" />
    <content type="html">
      From the Bank&amp;#39;s detailed analysis (their &amp;#34;MPR&amp;#34;) this morning, they estimate that the U.S. trade policy changes (up to Oct 22) will make Canada&amp;#39;s economy ~1.5% smaller than it would otherwise be. That&amp;#39;s large (roughly $1.1k per capita!).  &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.bankofcanada.ca/publications/mpr/mpr-2025-10-29/canadian-outlook/&#34;&gt;https://www.bankofcanada.ca/publications/mpr/mpr-2025-10-29/canadian-outlook/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/457/842/461/277/801/original/935dafb4c4babd04.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-10-29T14:07:44Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsqhjttdjvkv5uwfxp6ryuldha9aj500nvjtvfkhv79v860w3tv08czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsnpcxl0</id>
    
      <title type="html">Today&amp;#39;s data: inflation! 📈 Consumer prices in September ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsqhjttdjvkv5uwfxp6ryuldha9aj500nvjtvfkhv79v860w3tv08czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsnpcxl0" />
    <content type="html">
      Today&amp;#39;s data: inflation! 📈  Consumer prices in September are up 2.4% compared to Sept 2024. Up from a 1.9% inflation rate in August. What&amp;#39;s behind the increase? &lt;a href=&#34;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/251021/dq251021a-eng.htm&#34;&gt;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/251021/dq251021a-eng.htm&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/412/632/540/780/985/original/b39b40b926d7a117.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-10-21T14:30:15Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqszg0g28hyk3y38phtamt5azzze3cl9clsejys4f0xkv8xm75ktfnqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsxvwlzn</id>
    
      <title type="html">A separate Alberta would be a poorer Alberta. My latest for ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqszg0g28hyk3y38phtamt5azzze3cl9clsejys4f0xkv8xm75ktfnqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsxvwlzn" />
    <content type="html">
      A separate Alberta would be a poorer Alberta.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada on the fiscal and economic fantasies of those promoting independence: &lt;br/&gt;&lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/07/24/trevor-tombe-a-separate-alberta-would-be-a-poorer-alberta/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/07/24/trevor-tombe-a-separate-alberta-would-be-a-poorer-alberta/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-07-24T13:56:33Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqswelj96tkzgcxq2ad737j3l9jpatc52tqxh42sey52wcmkk8wx08czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds264vhp</id>
    
      <title type="html">What a higher NATO military spending target means for ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqswelj96tkzgcxq2ad737j3l9jpatc52tqxh42sey52wcmkk8wx08czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds264vhp" />
    <content type="html">
      What a higher NATO military spending target means for Canada&amp;#39;s finances. My latest for @TheHubCanada on the potential for a 3.5%&#43;1.5% target for NATO members: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/06/12/trevor-tombe-what-a-higher-nato-military-spending-target-means-for-canada/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/06/12/trevor-tombe-what-a-higher-nato-military-spending-target-means-for-canada/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/671/649/806/047/738/original/6d902b679128a37d.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-06-12T17:48:37Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsxdhqzcw6hl8tjy4mk4h5s9eezvdmj2dsjhg0ag2mcghx7tsrc6hszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdskk56fj</id>
    
      <title type="html">Liberalizing trade within Canada has long been a challenge. But ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsxdhqzcw6hl8tjy4mk4h5s9eezvdmj2dsjhg0ag2mcghx7tsrc6hszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdskk56fj" />
    <content type="html">
      Liberalizing trade within Canada has long been a challenge. But recent moves by governments right across Canada are making big improvements, led by Atlantic Canada. My new report with PPF explores some the potential gains:&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;a href=&#34;https://ppforum.ca/policy-speaking/free-atlantic-unlocking-regional-growth/&#34;&gt;https://ppforum.ca/policy-speaking/free-atlantic-unlocking-regional-growth/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-06-05T13:56:34Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqswknq7l023559mu8z7jd5q8fvydg0cps6mmgz7utxrkrdptljespczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsxrrr93</id>
    
      <title type="html">How much did the carbon tax actually impact inflation? My latest ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqswknq7l023559mu8z7jd5q8fvydg0cps6mmgz7utxrkrdptljespczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsxrrr93" />
    <content type="html">
      How much did the carbon tax actually impact inflation? &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/05/22/need-to-know-how-much-did-the-carbon-tax-actually-impact-inflation/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/05/22/need-to-know-how-much-did-the-carbon-tax-actually-impact-inflation/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/552/322/213/105/728/original/4a2593d0e231a35d.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-05-22T16:02:02Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9dyatrdezafpa6dgx6s2nhr4rc5460pckznsxy600l5zs4h83j4gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds4egk87</id>
    
      <title type="html">Today&amp;#39;s inflation data: avg prices rose 1.7% in April vs last ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9dyatrdezafpa6dgx6s2nhr4rc5460pckznsxy600l5zs4h83j4gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds4egk87" />
    <content type="html">
      Today&amp;#39;s inflation data: avg prices rose 1.7% in April vs last year. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Absent carbon taxes, inflation would have been 2.3% in April (see: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1810025601&#34;&gt;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1810025601&lt;/a&gt;). This 0.6% effect validates research (incl. by myself and @dr_jen_winter) on the effect of CTaxes. #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-05-20T14:00:17Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqspqcwu4sjt2wcpu7z4gct0rhyaep0tqp37rnqxqkmmtl6w8q4hwqczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds8xa46n</id>
    
      <title type="html">Today’s data: the StatCan payroll report! Employment down ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqspqcwu4sjt2wcpu7z4gct0rhyaep0tqp37rnqxqkmmtl6w8q4hwqczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds8xa46n" />
    <content type="html">
      Today’s data: the StatCan payroll report! Employment down slightly in February, mainly due to a drop in education, while average earnings reach nearly $1.3k per week, up 5.4% over this time last year. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Details: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250424/dq250424a-eng.htm?HPA=1&#34;&gt;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250424/dq250424a-eng.htm?HPA=1&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon
    </content>
    <updated>2025-04-24T13:34:42Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqswtyveklx4pljy3atsn7yej35cfjezenzus8sa23pukc5ywt452xczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsyzqvsr</id>
    
      <title type="html">The next government will set the Bank of Canada&amp;#39;s mandate. ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqswtyveklx4pljy3atsn7yej35cfjezenzus8sa23pukc5ywt452xczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsyzqvsr" />
    <content type="html">
      The next government will set the Bank of Canada&amp;#39;s mandate. It&amp;#39;s an issue receiving little attention.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada on the value of targeting inflation and nothing more: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/04/17/trevor-tombe-dont-mess-with-the-bank-of-canadas-mandate/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/04/17/trevor-tombe-dont-mess-with-the-bank-of-canadas-mandate/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-04-17T12:17:17Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2czrldfj7t8xatc0r98ldmkzj4cq6a9wj3s7wtj4f53r7uhnqgagzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds96ppq6</id>
    
      <title type="html">The S&amp;amp;P 500 has lost 10.5% of its value in two days. Since ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2czrldfj7t8xatc0r98ldmkzj4cq6a9wj3s7wtj4f53r7uhnqgagzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds96ppq6" />
    <content type="html">
      The S&amp;amp;P 500 has lost 10.5% of its value in two days. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Since 1980, we&amp;#39;ve only seen larger declines three other times: the &amp;#39;87 crash, Nov 2008, and Mar 2020. And those weren&amp;#39;t due to policy choices.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;This may be the largest self-imposed destruction of wealth ever.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/282/262/769/208/060/original/ef32bcd66a3942b5.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-04-04T23:22:21Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqspg9ejw3qudstl7alvje642zfyeg34jekckqa93ukg3xz7q06jzgqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdszzl9ln</id>
    
      <title type="html">How bad was today&amp;#39;s stock market decline? Of the 11,406 ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqspg9ejw3qudstl7alvje642zfyeg34jekckqa93ukg3xz7q06jzgqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdszzl9ln" />
    <content type="html">
      How bad was today&amp;#39;s stock market decline? &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Of the 11,406 trading days since January 1980, only 29 had larger declines.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/276/008/245/618/089/original/a16d12d6fe31e4bb.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-04-03T20:51:45Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsp0uemp4vqd5dxdzgd6pqf08m8ytl7sczt9nuuay0s6aql9zk0amszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdse7t52e</id>
    
      <title type="html">Some great new analysis by @TaxFoundation on the latest U.S. ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsp0uemp4vqd5dxdzgd6pqf08m8ytl7sczt9nuuay0s6aql9zk0amszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdse7t52e" />
    <content type="html">
      Some great new analysis by @TaxFoundation on the latest U.S. tariff developments: &lt;a href=&#34;https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/trump-tariffs-trade-war/&#34;&gt;https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/trump-tariffs-trade-war/&lt;/a&gt;  &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The U.S. is now set to have the highest average tax on imports since 1933.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/274/962/977/364/490/original/059d3cc175357fcb.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-04-03T16:25:55Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsgal03cmzha8w5lu35fscdmj6tcdd6u2sdkkdjwautqjj7zlsn2cqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsl8fnzg</id>
    
      <title type="html">If there’s one lesson from the 1930s, it’s that doubling down ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsgal03cmzha8w5lu35fscdmj6tcdd6u2sdkkdjwautqjj7zlsn2cqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsl8fnzg" />
    <content type="html">
      If there’s one lesson from the 1930s, it’s that doubling down on protectionism and retaliation will only deepen Canada’s economic pain.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada on the last time a trade war was a part of a Canadian election: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/04/03/trevor-tombe-theres-a-lot-we-can-learn-today-from-canadas-last-trade-war-election/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/04/03/trevor-tombe-theres-a-lot-we-can-learn-today-from-canadas-last-trade-war-election/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-04-03T15:42:28Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqszvr9dsfceqlpkhn2x2caljc4q8qjy32wp4hu4t9uw5ajatgwahxgzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsetjlwp</id>
    
      <title type="html">Has eliminating the federal retail carbon tax lowered gasoline ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqszvr9dsfceqlpkhn2x2caljc4q8qjy32wp4hu4t9uw5ajatgwahxgzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsetjlwp" />
    <content type="html">
      Has eliminating the federal retail carbon tax lowered gasoline prices? Yes. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;With two days of data now, here&amp;#39;s my estimate of the effect. Drop appears to fully reflect the tax change. (Note: no change CTax in QC, so that&amp;#39;s a nice comparator.) #cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/269/668/526/009/086/original/9bddcaea1bff3122.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-04-02T17:59:29Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9dq7m5rje9yjx2lwetewq0jh8kl509tqnrfm6evdkcrff0na958gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsazfstj</id>
    
      <title type="html">Duelling tax cuts from the Liberals and Conservatives may improve ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9dq7m5rje9yjx2lwetewq0jh8kl509tqnrfm6evdkcrff0na958gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsazfstj" />
    <content type="html">
      Duelling tax cuts from the Liberals and Conservatives may improve family budgets—but they&amp;#39;ll do little for the economy. My latest for @TheHubCanada &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/03/27/trevor-tombe-duelling-tax-cuts-from-the-liberals-and-conservatives-improve-family-budgets-but-do-little-for-the-economy/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/03/27/trevor-tombe-duelling-tax-cuts-from-the-liberals-and-conservatives-improve-family-budgets-but-do-little-for-the-economy/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon
    </content>
    <updated>2025-03-27T20:25:55Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqstqvpq202jkj700zul0rmg6mm49e0n54f85cet879phzxd0ttxetszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds0mq2fa</id>
    
      <title type="html">The proposed changes in personal income tax cuts by the LPC and ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqstqvpq202jkj700zul0rmg6mm49e0n54f85cet879phzxd0ttxetszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds0mq2fa" />
    <content type="html">
      The proposed changes in personal income tax cuts by the LPC and CPC affect different individuals/families differently. Depends on what credits you claim, your income, number of earners in the family, etc. Here&amp;#39;s my estimate of the full distribution of changes. #cdnecon&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/219/486/728/601/981/original/ec526b12002b8956.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-03-24T21:17:35Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8at7tpqkv27vdt0kx2glpwjafptfavnn584dynznj5lfhtmdpc5czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsk0dnzq</id>
    
      <title type="html">Comparing GDP/capita growth across OECD countries over the past ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8at7tpqkv27vdt0kx2glpwjafptfavnn584dynznj5lfhtmdpc5czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsk0dnzq" />
    <content type="html">
      Comparing GDP/capita growth across OECD countries over the past decade (plus selected aggregates like EU/G7/etc). #cdnecon&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/191/415/436/034/315/original/a9a951721f2c7e58.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-03-19T22:18:41Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfuks4vlcf0f8pwc406arlrq2hy968em8vlpaqu74y882s0dh9f2czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsc9vjyu</id>
    
      <title type="html">From StatCan this morning, the latest financial data for ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfuks4vlcf0f8pwc406arlrq2hy968em8vlpaqu74y882s0dh9f2czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsc9vjyu" />
    <content type="html">
      From StatCan this morning, the latest financial data for households in Q4 2024 shows a further decline in debt service costs. 14.4% of disposable income went to debt payments, down from 15.1% at peak and back to late 2017 levels. &lt;a href=&#34;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250313/dq250313a-eng.htm?HPA=1&#34;&gt;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250313/dq250313a-eng.htm?HPA=1&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/157/608/076/873/510/original/edce627f2c043332.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-03-13T23:01:02Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrluv3elcc0vcwwr6ujfjxvla6z450ue5zcw4p6jjvkk70ez6jkaszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsncupcy</id>
    
      <title type="html">I really enjoyed this @FrontBurnerCBC podcast on the Canada-U.S. ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrluv3elcc0vcwwr6ujfjxvla6z450ue5zcw4p6jjvkk70ez6jkaszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsncupcy" />
    <content type="html">
      I really enjoyed this @FrontBurnerCBC podcast on the Canada-U.S. trade war with @ArmineYalnizyan and @andrew_leach! They both gives excellent insight into how this might affect Canadians and some of the policy ideas out there. Give it a listen:&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;a href=&#34;https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/burner-phone-a-trade-war-call-in-special/id1439621628?i=1000699002813&#34;&gt;https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/burner-phone-a-trade-war-call-in-special/id1439621628?i=1000699002813&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon
    </content>
    <updated>2025-03-13T17:58:01Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrnq557u3u6g2x48mf4lv4kd37zzdtc4sglwfpc0y26xmnze8m8zszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsn3wy83</id>
    
      <title type="html">A really thoughtful piece by @ChadBown and @D_A_Irwin exploring ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrnq557u3u6g2x48mf4lv4kd37zzdtc4sglwfpc0y26xmnze8m8zszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsn3wy83" />
    <content type="html">
      A really thoughtful piece by @ChadBown and @D_A_Irwin exploring point-by-point the case made for tariffs by the U.S. Administration. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Give it a read! &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/incoherent-case-tariffs&#34;&gt;https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/incoherent-case-tariffs&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-03-13T14:53:17Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8q6386dd2tvfpc75wl8kuwja99rquv6ragzxpzrykuumwavuaytqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdschnr3s</id>
    
      <title type="html">How much could consumer prices in Canada rise due to the ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8q6386dd2tvfpc75wl8kuwja99rquv6ragzxpzrykuumwavuaytqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdschnr3s" />
    <content type="html">
      How much could consumer prices in Canada rise due to the phase-one retaliatory tariffs vs the U.S.? &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;I take a stab at answering that in my latest for @TheHubCanada here: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/03/11/need-to-know-expecting-a-balanced-budget-dont-carneys-deficit-could-be-even-higher-than-trudeaus/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/03/11/need-to-know-expecting-a-balanced-budget-dont-carneys-deficit-could-be-even-higher-than-trudeaus/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/144/091/694/297/521/original/757eacf36928647d.jpeg&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-03-11T13:43:38Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs04u93uhuyv9ctk2x4qz9cwm6w3a9cdpgv9dy9w3qkfzz8hlmzpaczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds6rsnp8</id>
    
      <title type="html">U.S. debt completely unsustainable. The result: higher borrowing ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs04u93uhuyv9ctk2x4qz9cwm6w3a9cdpgv9dy9w3qkfzz8hlmzpaczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds6rsnp8" />
    <content type="html">
      U.S. debt completely unsustainable. The result: higher borrowing costs. Never before (at least since 1870) has their govt borrowing rate exceeded Canada’s by as much as it does now. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/03/06/trevor-tombe-canadas-federal-deficit-is-worrying-but-its-nowhere-near-the-fiscal-crisis-the-u-s-is-facing/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/03/06/trevor-tombe-canadas-federal-deficit-is-worrying-but-its-nowhere-near-the-fiscal-crisis-the-u-s-is-facing/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-03-06T14:53:18Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfcqmrh2asq3p299rx4h4n9c9xex9yq982qtletrqrc3l43ucm8fqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds6mwnnx</id>
    
      <title type="html">Not since the Great Depression have Canada-US tariffs risen as ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfcqmrh2asq3p299rx4h4n9c9xex9yq982qtletrqrc3l43ucm8fqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds6mwnnx" />
    <content type="html">
      Not since the Great Depression have Canada-US tariffs risen as broadly or as sharply. Uncertainty is now double the COVID peak. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada roughly quantifies the effect on investment and employment. It’s not pretty: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/03/04/need-to-know-trumps-tariffs-are-finally-here/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/03/04/need-to-know-trumps-tariffs-are-finally-here/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/104/605/504/114/614/original/46622e60cb567706.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-03-04T14:21:47Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsptacpszyp2x94w6ul4wqrm3gjeejr554z6ghk9dc8ex9y7wn6a2qzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdszmxxrt</id>
    
      <title type="html">With tariffs coming tomorrow, improving Canada&amp;#39;s economic ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsptacpszyp2x94w6ul4wqrm3gjeejr554z6ghk9dc8ex9y7wn6a2qzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdszmxxrt" />
    <content type="html">
      With tariffs coming tomorrow, improving Canada&amp;#39;s economic union is more important than ever. My latest for @MLInstitute argues that instead of waiting for a national solution, provinces can take unilateral action to do just that: &lt;a href=&#34;https://macdonaldlaurier.ca/breaking-barriers-how-provinces-can-drive-canadas-prosperity-by-unlocking-trade-and-labour-mobility/&#34;&gt;https://macdonaldlaurier.ca/breaking-barriers-how-provinces-can-drive-canadas-prosperity-by-unlocking-trade-and-labour-mobility/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-03-03T20:18:29Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrxvttxqcxlwv3qk8kate2gtryh76x3cmg9han8yfnjgy0udqe9sczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsyduqwn</id>
    
      <title type="html">Withholding funds is the Fed’s best weapon against internal ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrxvttxqcxlwv3qk8kate2gtryh76x3cmg9han8yfnjgy0udqe9sczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsyduqwn" />
    <content type="html">
      Withholding funds is the Fed’s best weapon against internal trade barriers.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada on how to push provinces to act: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/02/20/trevor-tombe-poilievres-plan-to-spur-interprovincial-trade-is-good-but-heres-a-better-one/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/02/20/trevor-tombe-poilievres-plan-to-spur-interprovincial-trade-is-good-but-heres-a-better-one/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-02-20T21:58:47Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsx2c8c23xtv7ev7ad44edz8apwt7dcx8u483rxt74fn60r07w3hmqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdstptvkz</id>
    
      <title type="html">Retaliatory tariffs simply won’t move the needle in the U.S. as ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsx2c8c23xtv7ev7ad44edz8apwt7dcx8u483rxt74fn60r07w3hmqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdstptvkz" />
    <content type="html">
      Retaliatory tariffs simply won’t move the needle in the U.S. as much as we might like. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/02/06/trevor-tombe-there-are-real-limits-to-what-canada-can-do-in-standing-up-to-trump/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/02/06/trevor-tombe-there-are-real-limits-to-what-canada-can-do-in-standing-up-to-trump/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-02-06T15:13:19Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9vmznyse2pvpf8crh0srl83xcx5pt857862pw8vrm6pj09e86a3czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds43ukww</id>
    
      <title type="html">Which exporting states are most impacted by Canada&amp;#39;s initial ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9vmznyse2pvpf8crh0srl83xcx5pt857862pw8vrm6pj09e86a3czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds43ukww" />
    <content type="html">
      Which exporting states are most impacted by Canada&amp;#39;s initial tariff retaliation of 25% on exports totaling $30 billion? Here is my initial estimate. #cdnecon&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/113/936/374/643/790/640/original/03673e73c5a10992.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-02-02T21:18:27Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqswlg58gucv7qls3dtq6s4nk4cul7zqec3ydjze6fn80eghjzznv2czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsethznh</id>
    
      <title type="html">Quick calcs: U.S. tariff is on 80% of #cdnecon exports (not on ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqswlg58gucv7qls3dtq6s4nk4cul7zqec3ydjze6fn80eghjzznv2czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsethznh" />
    <content type="html">
      Quick calcs: U.S. tariff is on 80% of #cdnecon exports (not on services), trade-weighted average rate of 15% (25% goods; 10% energy).&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;If U.S. demand falls in proportion to the tariff (to illustrate), then that&amp;#39;s a $160 billion hit ($100b direct &#43; $60b upstream), ~3% of total.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/113/931/409/243/919/973/original/672d3b52da242bac.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-02-02T00:15:41Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0n4su84ze7wlzmjjszapdrt6ytyw5j26kagypezg8qwmdudacg3szyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsqldwr9</id>
    
      <title type="html">Quick calcs: U.S. tariff is on 80% of #cdnecon exports (not on ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0n4su84ze7wlzmjjszapdrt6ytyw5j26kagypezg8qwmdudacg3szyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsqldwr9" />
    <content type="html">
      Quick calcs: U.S. tariff is on 80% of #cdnecon exports (not on services), trade-weighted average rate of 15% (25% goods; 10% energy).&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;If U.S. demand falls in proportion to the tariff (to illustrate), then that&amp;#39;s a $160 billion hit ($100b direct &#43; $60b upstream), ~3% of total.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/113/931/380/042/665/965/original/e4edcdc883fadd79.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-02-02T00:08:16Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsghthnra8c0lu2vzt7pu750jeze3fytmyc0txfaadlsu9jtqnwcggzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds29mzfp</id>
    
      <title type="html">The Bank of Canada lowered its policy rate to 3%, noting also ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsghthnra8c0lu2vzt7pu750jeze3fytmyc0txfaadlsu9jtqnwcggzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds29mzfp" />
    <content type="html">
      The Bank of Canada lowered its policy rate to 3%, noting also that &amp;#34;a trade conflict would most likely lead to weaker GDP and higher prices in Canada.&amp;#34; &amp;#39;Quantitative tightening&amp;#39; is also ending.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Details: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2025/01/fad-press-release-2025-01-29/&#34;&gt;https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2025/01/fad-press-release-2025-01-29/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&#43; Report on #cdnecon: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.bankofcanada.ca/publications/mpr/mpr-2025-01-29/&#34;&gt;https://www.bankofcanada.ca/publications/mpr/mpr-2025-01-29/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/113/912/230/594/068/843/original/9e3e4630f0fbe37a.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-01-29T14:58:19Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9h7m7pge2ygm4xavp6xjx9ddu0lzjljre3mv60qgkv8u69nc93hqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds7slw3d</id>
    
      <title type="html">Where might U.S. tariffs have the greatest effect in Canada? ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9h7m7pge2ygm4xavp6xjx9ddu0lzjljre3mv60qgkv8u69nc93hqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds7slw3d" />
    <content type="html">
      Where might U.S. tariffs have the greatest effect in Canada? Here&amp;#39;s an experimental estimate of exports to the U.S. per worker by census division. #cdnecon&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/113/895/444/563/829/366/original/631845dc36f38001.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2025-01-26T15:49:24Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2a9awsyzw95ww0qutdc06ef0crwq8qyy0lkfu665436wgj854jkgzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsl8xc84</id>
    
      <title type="html">Is the Alberta Pension Plan idea dead? If you&amp;#39;re looking for ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2a9awsyzw95ww0qutdc06ef0crwq8qyy0lkfu665436wgj854jkgzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsl8xc84" />
    <content type="html">
      Is the Alberta Pension Plan idea dead? &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;If you&amp;#39;re looking for a break from federal politics/Canada-US issues/etc., check out my latest for @TheHubCanada here: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2025/01/09/trevor-tombe-is-the-alberta-pension-plan-idea-dead/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2025/01/09/trevor-tombe-is-the-alberta-pension-plan-idea-dead/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2025-01-09T17:03:25Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsvqdgfhypsqljhvr7zvjurx79zudu7pwe355dn327dv3dxqfzyj3qzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdssczzl5</id>
    
      <title type="html">The federal Chief Actuary has released their analysis of what ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsvqdgfhypsqljhvr7zvjurx79zudu7pwe355dn327dv3dxqfzyj3qzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdssczzl5" />
    <content type="html">
      The federal Chief Actuary has released their analysis of what Alberta would receive should it exit the CPP. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;It&amp;#39;s clear and accessible; give it a read: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.osfi-bsif.gc.ca/en/oca/oca-factsheets-other-reports/chief-actuary-position-paper-subsection-1132-canada-pension-plan&#34;&gt;https://www.osfi-bsif.gc.ca/en/oca/oca-factsheets-other-reports/chief-actuary-position-paper-subsection-1132-canada-pension-plan&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;TL;DR: The Government of Alberta&amp;#39;s 53% share is rejected. I&amp;#39;ll explain. #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2024-12-20T21:57:14Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2ye9lj2ednmfdq4tcxqsdsxu4m35vt2we8m7p0d359eteyhg5l5szyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdshj7fhx</id>
    
      <title type="html">Today&amp;#39;s data: average earnings! 🥳 From today&amp;#39;s StatCan ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2ye9lj2ednmfdq4tcxqsdsxu4m35vt2we8m7p0d359eteyhg5l5szyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdshj7fhx" />
    <content type="html">
      Today&amp;#39;s data: average earnings! 🥳 From today&amp;#39;s StatCan release (&lt;a href=&#34;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/241219/dq241219a-eng.htm?HPA=1&#34;&gt;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/241219/dq241219a-eng.htm?HPA=1&lt;/a&gt;), weekly earnings are now 5.3% above last year (faster rise than inflation). Adjusting for compositional changes, inflation-adj real hourly wages are nearly back to pre-COVID trend. #cdnecon&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/113/680/672/914/401/541/original/676f96867feb814a.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-12-19T17:30:09Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsg95cj5h7fgxdrw92d4t5fp57gclcy3apx2tdjc08n6x79xlyn0ggzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdst6lhcg</id>
    
      <title type="html">With all the goings on, there&amp;#39;s probably no interest in why ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsg95cj5h7fgxdrw92d4t5fp57gclcy3apx2tdjc08n6x79xlyn0ggzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdst6lhcg" />
    <content type="html">
      With all the goings on, there&amp;#39;s probably no interest in why the 2023-24 deficit grew from $40B to $62B. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Just in case: ~75% due to contingent liabilities related to Indigenous rulings/awards; rest due to lower tax revenues.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Details: &lt;a href=&#34;https://budget.canada.ca/update-miseajour/2024/home-accueil-en.html&#34;&gt;https://budget.canada.ca/update-miseajour/2024/home-accueil-en.html&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/113/664/642/466/469/932/original/d7161bfab11f4328.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-12-16T21:33:24Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdprmw9dcjvelgu4rj7vy0mw4es2k45rvffq6yct77ryxem8pnaxqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds8xyd9y</id>
    
      <title type="html">About 2.4 million jobs are exposed to U.S. tariffs, and about ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdprmw9dcjvelgu4rj7vy0mw4es2k45rvffq6yct77ryxem8pnaxqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds8xyd9y" />
    <content type="html">
      About 2.4 million jobs are exposed to U.S. tariffs, and about 300,000 of those jobs are at suppliers to exporters in another province.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest on @TheHubCanada on what Trump&amp;#39;s threats mean for workers: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2024/12/12/trevor-tombe-what-do-trumps-threats-mean-for-working-canadians-2-4-million-jobs-are-exposed-to-u-s-tariffs/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2024/12/12/trevor-tombe-what-do-trumps-threats-mean-for-working-canadians-2-4-million-jobs-are-exposed-to-u-s-tariffs/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/113/640/276/394/900/222/original/5479848e51965253.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-12-12T14:16:47Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqswcuyjj6gqx0njeyxqx2u3d6m94swc5zyklq3sclwzch4f97d85zczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds56372x</id>
    
      <title type="html">It&amp;#39;s also sometimes interesting to compare the current policy ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqswcuyjj6gqx0njeyxqx2u3d6m94swc5zyklq3sclwzch4f97d85zczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds56372x" />
    <content type="html">
      In reply to &lt;a href=&#39;/nevent1qqsz582skzmxgukxcy3ssg30nyztfql8wmzqkefnq0n9ryk6sar0hlqpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumt0wd68ytnsw43qm5nrzq&#39;&gt;nevent1q…nrzq&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br/&gt;_________________________&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;It&amp;#39;s also sometimes interesting to compare the current policy rate to some estimate of where it historically would be given labour market and inflation conditions. This would suggest ~2% is appropriate. Note post-pandemic might have a structural break in the rule here.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/113/634/880/428/005/365/original/5de20242bbd31c0d.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-12-11T15:24:31Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsz582skzmxgukxcy3ssg30nyztfql8wmzqkefnq0n9ryk6sar0hlqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds97mw5j</id>
    
      <title type="html">The Bank of Canada lowered its policy rate this morning by 0.5 ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsz582skzmxgukxcy3ssg30nyztfql8wmzqkefnq0n9ryk6sar0hlqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds97mw5j" />
    <content type="html">
      The Bank of Canada lowered its policy rate this morning by 0.5 points, to 3.25%. We&amp;#39;re now at the top end of their &amp;#39;neutral rate&amp;#39; range. #cdnecon &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Details: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/12/fad-press-release-2024-12-11/&#34;&gt;https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/12/fad-press-release-2024-12-11/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/113/634/880/335/321/401/original/1fcf894aa325ad2b.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-12-11T15:24:29Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdg20rugcr7vepgjuj7h9fvgq0d82qzq26777cgqj8yxkc78c276gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds5js3zc</id>
    
      <title type="html">Significant U.S. tax changes are on the way. Canada will need to ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdg20rugcr7vepgjuj7h9fvgq0d82qzq26777cgqj8yxkc78c276gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds5js3zc" />
    <content type="html">
      Significant U.S. tax changes are on the way. Canada will need to respond. And soon.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada on what Trump&amp;#39;s tax plan means for Canada: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2024/11/14/trevor-tombe-what-trumps-tax-plan-means-for-canada/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2024/11/14/trevor-tombe-what-trumps-tax-plan-means-for-canada/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2024-11-14T17:46:17Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0lpyfhq5e93xeh5vvxvt9thfs95mmsska9gvusz9xhfypgrus5pqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds9xy02n</id>
    
      <title type="html">Canadians are paying billions in hidden taxes on new homes. ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0lpyfhq5e93xeh5vvxvt9thfs95mmsska9gvusz9xhfypgrus5pqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds9xy02n" />
    <content type="html">
      Canadians are paying billions in hidden taxes on new homes. It’s especially bad in BC, where the affordability challenge is greatest.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2024/07/25/trevor-tombe-canadians-are-paying-billions-in-hidden-taxes-on-new-homes/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2024/07/25/trevor-tombe-canadians-are-paying-billions-in-hidden-taxes-on-new-homes/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #bcpoli #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2024-07-25T13:58:09Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs97wa4lpymdscdktjw7pjkpkvzxfwwg69a2m62g7hyup2rq9nesvczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsdcxmww</id>
    
      <title type="html">This morning, the Bank of Canada lowered its policy rate from ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs97wa4lpymdscdktjw7pjkpkvzxfwwg69a2m62g7hyup2rq9nesvczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsdcxmww" />
    <content type="html">
      This morning, the Bank of Canada lowered its policy rate from 4.75% to 4.5%. The second rate cut in a row. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Details: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/07/fad-press-release-2024-07-24/&#34;&gt;https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/07/fad-press-release-2024-07-24/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Also released it&amp;#39;s quarterly econ analysis: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/07/mpr-2024-07-24/&#34;&gt;https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/07/mpr-2024-07-24/&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;#cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/112/841/775/828/117/135/original/e6d4231aaac7f0e9.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-07-24T13:47:35Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8cjh9xclhv5rslgw9jatxtst8yl9w3x9jl9za9uj9pe8x9gjh89szyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds7yc9da</id>
    
      <title type="html">Several Premiers raised concerns about equalization today. Little ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8cjh9xclhv5rslgw9jatxtst8yl9w3x9jl9za9uj9pe8x9gjh89szyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds7yc9da" />
    <content type="html">
      Several Premiers raised concerns about equalization today. Little of substance, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t a case for change. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;From me last month: it may be time for a new deal for provinces &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2024/06/13/trevor-tombe-its-time-for-a-new-new-deal-for-provinces/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2024/06/13/trevor-tombe-its-time-for-a-new-new-deal-for-provinces/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnpoli #cdnecon
    </content>
    <updated>2024-07-18T01:13:01Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs82sqv4308qjpaak28lenslmdtqawe08k8c3q3mdfx43rgvdr28egzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds5elhqk</id>
    
      <title type="html">Canada&amp;#39;s inflation rate slowed to 2.7% in June, down from ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs82sqv4308qjpaak28lenslmdtqawe08k8c3q3mdfx43rgvdr28egzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds5elhqk" />
    <content type="html">
      Canada&amp;#39;s inflation rate slowed to 2.7% in June, down from 2.9% in May: &lt;a href=&#34;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/240716/dq240716a-eng.htm?HPA=1&#34;&gt;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/240716/dq240716a-eng.htm?HPA=1&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;On a monthly basis, this means the rate of price increases is normal. #cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/112/796/371/341/465/223/original/75038269775b7ceb.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-07-16T13:20:38Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0v90m7xv63la3d39jq30fs8pwaw5fafvq9zdwurtss04lj23f3aqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsxsuxzy</id>
    
      <title type="html">Canada’s resource sector is its productivity powerhouse. My ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0v90m7xv63la3d39jq30fs8pwaw5fafvq9zdwurtss04lj23f3aqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsxsuxzy" />
    <content type="html">
      Canada’s resource sector is its productivity powerhouse.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2024/07/11/trevor-tombe-canadas-resource-sector-is-its-productivity-powerhouse/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2024/07/11/trevor-tombe-canadas-resource-sector-is-its-productivity-powerhouse/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/112/768/029/931/340/620/original/13c5ec850815051b.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-07-11T13:13:02Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqstt0gcea8dwc8zpdqv7vltm7t7z8f72jwh6y9dlnytxmc8dtwmcvqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdse26nmf</id>
    
      <title type="html">Cut red tape. Boost productivity. Foster growth and labour ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqstt0gcea8dwc8zpdqv7vltm7t7z8f72jwh6y9dlnytxmc8dtwmcvqzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdse26nmf" />
    <content type="html">
      Cut red tape. Boost productivity. Foster growth and labour mobility.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Ontario has a chance to do all of these and more.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2024/06/27/trevor-tombe-ontario-can-easily-add-4-billion-a-year-to-its-economy-and-all-it-takes-is-playing-nice-with-the-western-provinces/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2024/06/27/trevor-tombe-ontario-can-easily-add-4-billion-a-year-to-its-economy-and-all-it-takes-is-playing-nice-with-the-western-provinces/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2024-06-27T14:40:28Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8fvaeupvt8munpces3mhwcxe3mr224atjx4l5zlywvg0e7qlc75czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsdd0vrz</id>
    
      <title type="html">Today&amp;#39;s data: inflation! Rises to 2.9% in May, compared to ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8fvaeupvt8munpces3mhwcxe3mr224atjx4l5zlywvg0e7qlc75czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsdd0vrz" />
    <content type="html">
      Today&amp;#39;s data: inflation! Rises to 2.9% in May, compared to 2.7% in April. Main reason for the acceleration: travel tours and communications. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Some more in the thread. #cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/112/677/413/105/105/654/original/89a7af0bdbbb1fc7.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-06-25T13:07:59Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqs87e3fa763txh5xpyuqdqm9ekjx3vlfl93m9j4ggzgwl6frjum88gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsv0h6gr</id>
    
      <title type="html">Now more than ever, the time is ripe for another new deal for ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqs87e3fa763txh5xpyuqdqm9ekjx3vlfl93m9j4ggzgwl6frjum88gzyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsv0h6gr" />
    <content type="html">
      Now more than ever, the time is ripe for another new deal for provinces. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada on fed-prov finances: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2024/06/13/trevor-tombe-its-time-for-a-new-new-deal-for-provinces/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2024/06/13/trevor-tombe-its-time-for-a-new-new-deal-for-provinces/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnpoli #cdnecon
    </content>
    <updated>2024-06-13T14:52:27Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsxjjku7a34cg7ekkfg8v3dvq2n22leleddytjfdf9j0r2uz5l4fpszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds5ka60q</id>
    
      <title type="html">When it comes to how we experience inflation, not all goods are ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsxjjku7a34cg7ekkfg8v3dvq2n22leleddytjfdf9j0r2uz5l4fpszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds5ka60q" />
    <content type="html">
      When it comes to how we experience inflation, not all goods are created equal. &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada on why inflation may feel higher than the statistics suggest: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2024/05/30/trevor-tombe-the-experts-who-downplay-affordability-issues-are-wrong-youre-right-to-be-worried-about-the-pinch/&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2024/05/30/trevor-tombe-the-experts-who-downplay-affordability-issues-are-wrong-youre-right-to-be-worried-about-the-pinch/&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/112/530/172/766/737/153/original/d342e8606f31805d.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-05-30T13:02:50Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsr7mvrefm7qyeec5lmtx97ycm8v3ulmwuv55kr4z2lrphkx28dt8czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsxf5shd</id>
    
      <title type="html">Calgary&amp;#39;s inflation rate in April was the highest in the ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsr7mvrefm7qyeec5lmtx97ycm8v3ulmwuv55kr4z2lrphkx28dt8czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsxf5shd" />
    <content type="html">
      Calgary&amp;#39;s inflation rate in April was the highest in the country, at 3.6% compared to the Canada-wide rate of 2.7%. A 0.9 point gap.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;I estimate that most (0.5 points) of this gap is accounted for by faster rent increases in the city.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/112/480/154/982/099/121/original/2a5eaaf3e593e44f.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-05-21T17:02:40Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsqte7cxhxu8yzjyt4nxyq0a25zffxqwwrm2us0fny7ag46uggk5mczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds6cue8n</id>
    
      <title type="html">Today&amp;#39;s data: inflation rate falls to 2.7% in April. Would ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsqte7cxhxu8yzjyt4nxyq0a25zffxqwwrm2us0fny7ag46uggk5mczyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds6cue8n" />
    <content type="html">
      Today&amp;#39;s data: inflation rate falls to 2.7% in April. Would have fallen more, but gasoline pushed the rate up. Shelter remains largest contributor, but pace of increase is falling.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;a href=&#34;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/240521/dq240521a-eng.htm&#34;&gt;https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/240521/dq240521a-eng.htm&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/112/479/379/629/298/716/original/575820c42ed61142.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-05-21T13:45:28Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqsyk3m9flp86np95q7wnj6zdudmeqhsuqyzdluj6s75np35d7tcrnszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsr08z28</id>
    
      <title type="html">The effective tax on new investment in Canada will increase from ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqsyk3m9flp86np95q7wnj6zdudmeqhsuqyzdluj6s75np35d7tcrnszyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kdsr08z28" />
    <content type="html">
      The effective tax on new investment in Canada will increase from 13.7 percent to nearly 17 percent. It&amp;#39;s probably the largest tax increase you&amp;#39;ve never heard of.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;My latest for @TheHubCanada here: &lt;a href=&#34;https://thehub.ca/2024-05-16/trevor-tombe-canada-just-introduced-the-largest-tax-increase-youve-heard-of&#34;&gt;https://thehub.ca/2024-05-16/trevor-tombe-canada-just-introduced-the-largest-tax-increase-youve-heard-of&lt;/a&gt; #cdnecon #cdnpoli
    </content>
    <updated>2024-05-16T16:31:34Z</updated>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>https://njump.me/nevent1qqszckrunnqm9295f9842jzsafayzrtjkt6zxyk49730hmcdptxpv4czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds8dyuju</id>
    
      <title type="html">Today&amp;#39;s jobs report for Alberta gives example of how rising ...</title>
    
    <link rel="alternate" href="https://njump.me/nevent1qqszckrunnqm9295f9842jzsafayzrtjkt6zxyk49730hmcdptxpv4czyrlm0edyqhx8pfvxaqv36e3mfj4tx8cet7grlmgjt349dvx9k7kds8dyuju" />
    <content type="html">
      Today&amp;#39;s jobs report for Alberta gives example of how rising unemployment isn&amp;#39;t necessarily a bad thing. Unemp rate rose &#43;0.7 (!) but was *entirely* due to an increase in labour force participation (a good thing!). Employment rose (and kept pace with population growth). #ableg&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src=&#34;https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/112/417/770/509/873/292/original/361c6b67f4f34ffc.png&#34;&gt; 
    </content>
    <updated>2024-05-10T16:37:28Z</updated>
  </entry>

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