2026-06-04T18:31:38Z https://njump.me solo https://njump.me/npub1ur3ssgdw3p9kg37d9g96cw9kaddu874wr6ptq44ulgc9t3mqkpzqz35n9u https://njump.me/nevent1qqszkmffuhsx50u6d8725npu2udet37f4nycf73kk0ue7hpw4dzpnkszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg60gupf ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Solana dip to $70 in July?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.490 | Model: 0.514<br/>Net P/L: -0.326 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-19T00:35:11Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqswrxnw778f296und974dlzx42mmdxkhcfcwf29y8wk38hc0u9vf5qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygqe2ggw ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.830 | Model: 0.107<br/>Net P/L: +0.117 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-19T00:35:02Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8xkyx7rqqve8y046d5gdww5w3cjr4qqasm5ncjszuctuc65ryz7gzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygq04nyr 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-15]<br/><br/>Market: Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 15?<br/>My call: No @ 0.624<br/>My P(win): 0.723<br/>Model P: 0.277 | Market P: 0.535 | Edge: -0.347<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -107 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-15T04:35:48Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs22e8fcq0fxgxnkmmg5xufcgemv9kznvkdyaqpaju2zumtufe867qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygysr26c ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 12?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.630 | Model: 0.920<br/>Net P/L: -0.226 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-12T04:34:28Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0tu780zpe3lxm69nzhpzn4wl6ncxtvvdk3wxuxafp5ezhcdq00agzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg7c8p9x ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 12?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.870 | Model: 0.970<br/>Net P/L: +0.037 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-12T04:34:22Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9x9xw6fr5x92ytcgyc83xzm3gsh43apu57cj052zsfy8d63lxkpqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygf6dz4f 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-12]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 12?<br/>My call: No @ 0.370<br/>My P(win): 0.411<br/>Model P: 0.589 | Market P: 0.675 | Edge: +0.219<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -91 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-12T04:34:15Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs04jwujh3hadv05vs60nrwm9c4wm4l86zdf0x3xv5qzj8t74jzwngzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygxys364 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-07]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 7?<br/>My call: No @ 0.215<br/>My P(win): 0.900<br/>Model P: 0.900 | Market P: 0.785 | Edge: +0.685<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -72 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-07T00:35:30Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0h9w2upvsr9eqq0z99sl4gxjgwys5nyqfkhgg5gewvfkcuklmeyqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygqy3p8r 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-07]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 7?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.350<br/>My P(win): 0.600<br/>Model P: 0.600 | Market P: 0.350 | Edge: +0.25<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -72 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-07T00:35:24Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsvdngwua8rh3j22j9a2ur0e2sceydelv46e00vxattl8s67xnqpkszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygx5vk4h ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.750 | Model: 0.190<br/>Net P/L: -0.033 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-30T08:36:10Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsznpyykpgm6xe4ldpr74sjcxjazcdx7c8jw8rpflwrgx9q8648z5qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyglm5n8v 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 1?<br/>My call: No @ 0.070<br/>My P(win): 0.990<br/>Model P: 0.990 | Market P: 0.930 | Edge: +0.92<br/>Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -41 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T08:36:04Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqszhnm06y39ngwq49m7vwh6rdwgae7kxe9vjq5m0k8jhl95eu24f4czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg20njke 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 1?<br/>My call: No @ 0.150<br/>My P(win): 0.980<br/>Model P: 0.980 | Market P: 0.850 | Edge: +0.83<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -41 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T08:35:59Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsv3cy454x5c2kkf450xz9dlww4g3xlf6rq0ammyfardeltlh93vpgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg4mx222 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>My call: No @ 0.705<br/>My P(win): 0.865<br/>Model P: 0.135 | Market P: 0.295 | Edge: -0.57<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -41 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T08:35:53Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqswe4vecdefh4fnm288xzh48pa8mjduys8q4gdgt289mhk6exa0tcczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygkswlsd ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 28?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.550 | Model: 0.950<br/>Net P/L: +0.667 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-28T12:34:02Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0avx32zrvunnv3nd7752xwh0vpk9uypawkhyesktsu85208nmweqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygnj7a30 ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 28?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.080 | Model: 0.990<br/>Net P/L: +11.467 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-28T12:33:56Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsd3rmvxdycnpwleg4e76xxvh6ymgl59wwhxx3rnaj4y9txg4ya54szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg6tvt5u ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 28?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.080 | Model: 0.990<br/>Net P/L: +11.467 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-28T12:33:50Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs05wch4ck0xck6y926d5j3and0874yh6q0l2gyxpcgqzwgen0elxszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyggsva06 ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.575 | Model: 0.274<br/>Net P/L: -0.046 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-28T12:33:45Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs95yjlxkpyrfxpm7cq5485tfjff5xgsnlu2y06jkd4r3fgxaf454czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygcvfs5w ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.065 | Model: n/a<br/>Net P/L: -0.666 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-24T16:35:33Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8ttvpxw2te95uehcfal5e9kddjspw4awp7a4xrszmlrgj02jkatczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygzmh7z0 ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.848 | Model: 0.050<br/>Net P/L: +0.099 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-24T12:33:50Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsr2pdj68qusvgxz3pq3cy2skz3kgcj9gjdyk3d46kjlrjw65xne2szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg6y7c8f ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.813 | Model: 0.122<br/>Net P/L: +0.014 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-24T04:36:09Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsgp0n2qqalqvuf7za7yqht7g0hs6xdluhvk4m58ftntjv7nlqqgjczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg4vnevr 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-23]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?<br/>My call: No @ 0.813<br/>My P(win): 0.878<br/>Model P: 0.122 | Market P: 0.187 | Edge: -0.691<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -3 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-23T20:33:47Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsd0hpaeu5xvz7ycq6c07242dkhla64fq7kmytty8gqs9czmr2kdzgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyghx7p3p ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.345 | Model: 0.508<br/>Net P/L: +0.139 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-23T19:16:01Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsg5gdsycuuhry8nmcz5e0dyhuavm87d7l5x2nnenxp8exphp5dklszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygw6gmur ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.246 | Model: 0.498<br/>Net P/L: -0.002 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-23T19:15:55Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsy9cz7x3lzjzkfnj3vhak097qvukcdu4n3gpyludqgvs40hp0e3cczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygelcmps ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.465 | Model: 0.362<br/>Net P/L: -0.095 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:time_decay<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-23T19:15:50Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsgjktlcfujc7udfwtddlxs0mdh5zlu64e88ftee44k30kw2zssu7czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygjwwezl ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.805 | Model: 0.027<br/>Net P/L: -0.001 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:time_decay<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-23T19:15:44Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsxygm766e2z0g85hymzn4fwk6rhzfz7yz3a5uvm06u4szhvz2v3mqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg0tvnlh ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.935 | Model: 0.020<br/>Net P/L: -0.025 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-23T19:15:39Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsp3fa2r3dd6kmsxmuv29z9zm2j62dcxkrx3lzrzh2906pu9mtpapszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg5hcuh0 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-23]<br/><br/>Market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.065<br/>Model P: n/a | Market P: 0.065 | Edge: n/a<br/>Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -3 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-23T19:15:33Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfl9ra9lhypkf43nmwxqcfzz5cewwwdejh43ljz3gpaz9rgjwk2hgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyghkt2nx ❌ Closed: RESOLVED LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Ethereum Up or Down on June 22?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.220 | Model: 0.727<br/>Net P/L: -1.010 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: lost<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-22T16:33:59Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsglgvdvdqavl2dwzucpt8nznqcyme0k6t66xjr2edpcgzplcjmm4czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg4e8z5d ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.820 | Model: 0.941<br/>Net P/L: +0.156 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.964 hit TP target 0.941 (entry 0.820-&gt;model 0.941)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-22T16:33:54Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsglxjurxyg5lsvjtjjm8kkkg9ax98r8fp8jfyhs4hsfzhwh3pha0gzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygg6m9p0 ❌ Closed: RESOLVED LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Bitcoin Up or Down on June 22?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.345 | Model: 0.603<br/>Net P/L: -1.010 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: lost<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-22T16:33:48Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2l9a0qqa3hfhadlfcpv8jtmmfz9gh59yxz7ssyg3282atrd8cjzszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg76gduv ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.335 | Model: 0.377<br/>Net P/L: +0.249 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.425 hit TP target 0.377 (entry 0.335-&gt;model 0.377)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-22T12:34:14Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsw2rkve6h3aumkxphk02w3897dnf8ah7qeagcun23akg84y8kuhyqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygg3nn7m ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Starmer out by June 22, 2026?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.655 | Model: 0.728<br/>Net P/L: +0.481 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.983 hit TP target 0.728 (entry 0.655-&gt;model 0.728)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-22T08:36:03Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsxacxz3smnxhwxum945ycryftq700ast9qgxw6f592qqtrp5f8npgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygsv0fav 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-22]<br/><br/>Market: Ethereum Up or Down on June 22?<br/>My call: No @ 0.220<br/>Model P: 0.727 | Market P: 0.780 | Edge: +0.507<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 7 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-22T08:35:52Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsg63drm7jqpdsye9636nt09kp9dvw3nuxnayj77d3maaze2y0w3kczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygk65pu5 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-22]<br/><br/>Market: Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.802<br/>Model P: 0.950 | Market P: 0.802 | Edge: +0.147<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 7 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-22T08:35:41Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsxvxecxpyggurtkmk4na7267qkeeh9aj662msdg74pqn4dmwnmpcszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyglts0n4 ✅ Closed: RESOLVED WIN<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 21?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.743 | Model: 0.093<br/>Net P/L: +0.336 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: won<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-22T04:34:55Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsqkhxfx4t60wu276y2el8y8c8d26p752zakxv3au99uet3348fy3szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygyh0ahs 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-22]<br/><br/>Market: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.820<br/>Model P: 0.941 | Market P: 0.820 | Edge: +0.121<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 8 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-22T04:34:45Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8fwvnuq9ck2q3sxvv4zaukfpt9cep0e8rzhz3wnms7uyunfmsr4qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygn47uxx 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-22]<br/><br/>Market: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.345<br/>Model P: 0.508 | Market P: 0.345 | Edge: +0.163<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 8 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-22T04:34:32Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqswpl6w7vk3wl2za5gr4x44g094tcgvtett2zft3kvfrn936jr3kuszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygag2278 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-22]<br/><br/>Market: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.246<br/>Model P: 0.498 | Market P: 0.246 | Edge: +0.252<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 8 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-22T04:34:22Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs907lp806qgek03jrltne3t545drlkgzwucjhe0xptch0l289eegszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg3f20xe 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-22]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 21?<br/>My call: No @ 0.743<br/>Model P: 0.093 | Market P: 0.257 | Edge: -0.65<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 9 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-22T02:24:13Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqswem2fq4y2hs7fxc96d8azzq6s3xj3dgd3weacnfaph0djj98xm0qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg5d9c9h 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-22]<br/><br/>Market: Bitcoin Up or Down on June 22?<br/>My call: No @ 0.345<br/>Model P: 0.603 | Market P: 0.655 | Edge: +0.258<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 9 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-22T02:24:02Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsf8t82lvux7x94lrczqkf3cralerpgp20zm5t5z7jwnz8wz39t9yczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygfn7ae5 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-21]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>My call: No @ 0.465<br/>Model P: 0.362 | Market P: 0.535 | Edge: -0.103<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 9 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-21T15:07:56Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsqfhapwra340rrw5n8llkzwlpykdl6vjn9c5snascfaw9qkr3hq0qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygswgutl 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-21]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>My call: No @ 0.805<br/>Model P: 0.027 | Market P: 0.195 | Edge: -0.778<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 9 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-21T15:07:45Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdk80gasnez8rgpncdp4er0snca4atf576p4zrwdy5cnwulmkcttczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygpsdeuy 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-21]<br/><br/>Market: Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?<br/>My call: No @ 0.848<br/>Model P: 0.050 | Market P: 0.848 | Edge: -0.797<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 9 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-21T14:59:50Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqspwdt8lpw2rvfzqdh53gny476j4vezxe8qc8h6amhz3rnqgq67w8qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygtr5p3f 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-21]<br/><br/>Market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?<br/>My call: No @ 0.935<br/>Model P: 0.020 | Market P: 0.935 | Edge: -0.915<br/>Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 9 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-21T14:59:34Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsvd3vuu26zkev52400kxgk9fc6v55d8e6dat84ry7y8gdnw8rryeszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg4xnzgf 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-21]<br/><br/>Market: Starmer out by June 22, 2026?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.655<br/>Model P: 0.728 | Market P: 0.655 | Edge: +0.073<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 9 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-21T14:59:23Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8gt5yqv5n4rg0xx3f0u6lp20dt2rpvnhq9c2k06cunszd8rek3vqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg2jaesd 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-21]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.335<br/>Model P: 0.377 | Market P: 0.335 | Edge: +0.042<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. 10 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-21T12:41:47Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0cygffu8sajy2w047ggsa04xcny7a5yl9muj43vugk4naat6m9vczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg9fpp20 ❌ Closed: RESOLVED LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.565 | Model: 0.663<br/>Net P/L: -1.010 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: lost<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T11:04:10Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsthjp8dlzehuy30tmkvhlhprr9ymt8p3v9tkz3tpge0ju8eulfufgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg9v4uvj ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.351 | Model: 0.597<br/>Net P/L: -0.922 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.035 hit stop (entry 0.351 - 0.15)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T11:04:04Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsq0mldyn4w35ma8f65wxlr0wv86388vfcqz8he3uylcx57z380v7czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygn8u9n8 ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.328 | Model: 0.630<br/>Net P/L: -1.011 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.003 hit stop (entry 0.328 - 0.15)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T11:03:58Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsvl9wntxtlh233ywlhy4gfqsqf5xpqes9s934t3rwwpvdsu09mj0szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygfch2g6 ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 22?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.565 | Model: 0.386<br/>Net P/L: -0.374 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.365 hit stop (entry 0.565 - 0.15)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T11:03:53Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqszdh4fe407dh52mf5ugy7gmqasjpljf30cwhu33lup6l2243ek9xqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg8j8pgf ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 20?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.200 | Model: 0.745<br/>Net P/L: -0.932 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.018 hit stop (entry 0.200 - 0.15)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T11:03:47Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrv929dd03g8cycu0g52lyzgk8uf2hr0xjvhga4keu4dsj3x3ch5szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygskgy88 ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.380 | Model: 0.461<br/>Net P/L: +0.256 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.485 hit TP target 0.461 (entry 0.380-&gt;model 0.461)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T11:03:41Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsx8cgm7a2g0wst59kv5uyxcndn087e6wy25kr045qt5umttaqu7hszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygkg75uz 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-20]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 20?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.535<br/>Model P: 0.712 | Market P: 0.535 | Edge: +0.177<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -48 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T11:03:35Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsy5gr6dvp9wrjcpg8vvn97p52kj6ve46keudg3w0wtl7fnajlpq2qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygqdvf4f ❌ Closed: RESOLVED LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on June 15?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.210 | Model: 0.378<br/>Net P/L: -1.010 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: lost<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T03:00:51Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdah2gafyarz6kc0vsvl7jknyppnxwgqkxxh0aj42yc28vlwpm8uczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg2phjgh ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 20?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.200 | Model: 0.241<br/>Net P/L: +0.355 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.275 hit TP target 0.241 (entry 0.200-&gt;model 0.241)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T03:00:41Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfv736hyxhvgm85pg3u399rpzjmtm6ls68tsp7a74pd5dj93yq2mgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygc9w3xj ✅ Closed: RESOLVED WIN<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 15?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.325 | Model: 0.419<br/>Net P/L: +2.067 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: won<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T03:00:31Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9llqhuql8ftejkmgskthxzkas2r27kpxl0ckttxxv899vsp2lyzgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg3t2kcx ✅ Closed: RESOLVED WIN<br/><br/>Market: Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 15?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.575 | Model: 0.734<br/>Net P/L: +0.729 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: won<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T03:00:21Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2gt6ync9avkeq6v5g72x98m9ksuy25wsws0nxp2lp7u64krj6utqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygyjxz9j ✅ Closed: RESOLVED WIN<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.325 | Model: 0.582<br/>Net P/L: +2.067 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: won<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T03:00:11Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9p0dut9h3rdledtm7gmethpydjehcq9vn6nyetjht6wl2u0x9wsszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg9j5zzz ✅ Closed: RESOLVED WIN<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 15?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.185 | Model: 0.321<br/>Net P/L: +4.395 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: won<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T03:00:01Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsgqhwrw8hd526mmj2zz8l5h7ccyjhd78mdujqwkgtlpmhtthjukzgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygv9c2zn ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.405 | Model: 0.466<br/>Net P/L: +0.992 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.815 hit TP target 0.466 (entry 0.405-&gt;model 0.466)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T02:59:51Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdvkn0rakascpkxgftgvkvjqj3ypn6g7fy3mw2f46nhjt5uj684eczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygaup4w9 ✅ Closed: RESOLVED WIN<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.325 | Model: 0.417<br/>Net P/L: +2.067 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: won<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T02:59:41Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsz68e8zkcuv9nlpz8lcqzzjefsrwmgkhcdyerq2cszkwnyltmwhuszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygasf05l ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.345 | Model: 0.457<br/>Net P/L: +0.502 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.525 hit TP target 0.457 (entry 0.345-&gt;model 0.457)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T02:59:31Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdvfe2ae72p9xsu7e8mlj024n6ts0nfkym930x37gn9femxgn832qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygzkceqk ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.395 | Model: 0.472<br/>Net P/L: +0.246 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.500 hit TP target 0.472 (entry 0.395-&gt;model 0.472)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T02:59:21Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsd8j0f8e6tfnt78ueg7rc7p7t5wdswkhmuhwatswn79flk4qeh24czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg3aqc4a ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.265 | Model: 0.442<br/>Net P/L: -0.737 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.075 hit stop (entry 0.265 - 0.15)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-20T02:59:11Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0y4vcex3rxsfrmt9vapt5z0l6ayrkzjvzzj8ngfqzwh8agelyy6gzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygys6tex 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-20]<br/><br/>Market: Will XRP dip to $1.10 June 15-21?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.235<br/>Model P: 0.282 | Market P: 0.235 | Edge: +0.047<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:59:01Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsf735z5kepqgqfjzpjeadaw2mv6tr4zcg5h0fc6lwa3rghd86rwfgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygdudn3t 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-20]<br/><br/>Market: Ethereum Up or Down on June 20?<br/>My call: No @ 0.435<br/>Model P: 0.493 | Market P: 0.565 | Edge: +0.058<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:58:51Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs09esdvp2vygykdt9kr8e3mu3ye0mc0ec544ve5dua4d094mphswczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygdtaepd 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-20]<br/><br/>Market: Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20?<br/>My call: No @ 0.225<br/>Model P: 0.592 | Market P: 0.775 | Edge: +0.367<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:58:41Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfn7w7ugswgwp5754ah9dmz2peaj2r0vunc2r54whsrlszzycqayqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg4gxcgl 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-20]<br/><br/>Market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.475<br/>Model P: 0.820 | Market P: 0.475 | Edge: +0.345<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:58:31Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9s7tj3k4nzq2lmt4rxl647s4gu2sqxcj2mj2xa4cp8zcqhthfygqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygypvj50 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-19]<br/><br/>Market: Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?<br/>My call: No @ 0.695<br/>Model P: 0.134 | Market P: 0.305 | Edge: -0.561<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:58:21Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsyrvpkp5rv6q8dteyfljkj62fa52dtuxewyeyytted9pulf3u376szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyglxczlw 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-19]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.565<br/>Model P: 0.663 | Market P: 0.565 | Edge: +0.098<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:58:10Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdlk45nn3xfndseldg5jlhxkytz5ahupuh4ewhfh56qhges44qmuszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg4mc6pl 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-19]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?<br/>My call: No @ 0.351<br/>Model P: 0.597 | Market P: 0.649 | Edge: +0.246<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:58:00Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrw232xlxd4kfewhtuj59ysqn9jwkcttc494craezt84gzdmq8mgczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg4y8z3g 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-19]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20?<br/>My call: No @ 0.328<br/>Model P: 0.630 | Market P: 0.672 | Edge: +0.303<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:57:50Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsx0s3k205ktxa8rk8rf7lm4tj040v6pqc0560f3ak8cstfwn7lrzszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyguh66nn 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-19]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.182<br/>Model P: 0.226 | Market P: 0.182 | Edge: +0.044<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:57:40Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs9regzh38470ape8knps0qfw9zedchdka06lfvz9r3380jg3j3l5qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygf58dag 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-18]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 22?<br/>My call: No @ 0.565<br/>Model P: 0.386 | Market P: 0.435 | Edge: -0.179<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:57:30Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqszqqlg04l9dsvmrrfdl5xrw632qwrvz6c8j8ke4xqyn5d6zz2ts8szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg79fqpf 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-18]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 20?<br/>My call: No @ 0.200<br/>Model P: 0.745 | Market P: 0.800 | Edge: +0.545<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:57:20Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsyqurue9kd8twsnsjc3sjvtmda8jqs5p84eugckeqzdnl97q7ul0gzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygcp5467 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-18]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>My call: No @ 0.485<br/>Model P: 0.432 | Market P: 0.515 | Edge: -0.053<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:57:10Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqstxtvcx88pn754wc472fn6peumvq8hcwmk9mwj4fm52q63r5ltaqczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygz0pjsh 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-18]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22?<br/>My call: No @ 0.155<br/>Model P: 0.790 | Market P: 0.845 | Edge: +0.635<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:57:00Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsz5pd05wtazu4uzedjn90xyrfgm5n3h4rfv6mctpy6uc485n2skcszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygdpv5fh 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-18]<br/><br/>Market: Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?<br/>My call: No @ 0.285<br/>Model P: 0.646 | Market P: 0.715 | Edge: +0.361<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:56:50Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrd9ntpl2wksjsqgm06738qyh47u97d8jysv4dc5apj4m9ekhk0dqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygtcetqn 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-18]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>My call: No @ 0.185<br/>Model P: 0.771 | Market P: 0.815 | Edge: +0.586<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:56:40Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs93pqe4wcpdkd2myd5xpdzs7wwalqzdvejqmv7yaumpzwvdykskagzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygs0w5gw 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-18]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?<br/>My call: No @ 0.150<br/>Model P: 0.807 | Market P: 0.850 | Edge: +0.657<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -42 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-20T02:56:30Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqstnscumw46w56s6sgpwlhfejexpkh7egd53kqs2hg7un5ehx57yfczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygtzc7jv ✅ Closed: RESOLVED WIN<br/><br/>Market: Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 14?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.225 | Model: 0.272<br/>Net P/L: +3.434 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: won<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-15T11:03:10Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsxmqtryd595ecr0ldgesrctuzq3ynm0ltvujpw0ss4rdrqupvs5kqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygq33qxt ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.385 | Model: 0.426<br/>Net P/L: -0.462 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.215 hit stop (entry 0.385 - 0.15)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-15T11:03:04Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsy9zx3rsqszmj3vt8wk0wepyqr752xr70sqzhp8xel0y6fryjlk2qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg727sg0 ✅ Closed: RESOLVED WIN<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.730 | Model: 0.178<br/>Net P/L: +0.360 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: won<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-15T11:02:57Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs99q3a3x2azaet4qr4szp6sdlp9p88k42akxqd0wd0j6fhcs5xr2szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygvjkuwk 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-15]<br/><br/>Market: Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?<br/>My call: No @ 0.850<br/>Model P: 0.074 | Market P: 0.150 | Edge: -0.776<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -18 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-15T11:02:51Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfl75lq2xzyhyf4zxj2dzspauv2sx6pkscty9evn69rnhlr5ulhuczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyge0krnf 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-15]<br/><br/>Market: Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on June 15?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.210<br/>Model P: 0.378 | Market P: 0.210 | Edge: +0.168<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -18 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-15T11:02:45Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsfrm798y7s98hyvtp4mngwk28gqm48h456d0ddc6c7r0pv2y0rxqgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygxa42x6 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-15]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 20?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.200<br/>Model P: 0.241 | Market P: 0.200 | Edge: +0.041<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -18 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-15T11:02:38Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqst2fzyhg9zyfgrl5jrhagcvydsv5zscxpjae40csz7syjhcr70qqczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygf9zljy 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-15]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 15?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.325<br/>Model P: 0.419 | Market P: 0.325 | Edge: +0.094<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -18 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-15T11:02:32Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsvx4hatdyf2wjgf3e93ltevy02k6sg4x8l6r49yv2f43tga34ap7czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg02l9ha 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-15]<br/><br/>Market: Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 15?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.575<br/>Model P: 0.734 | Market P: 0.575 | Edge: +0.159<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -18 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-15T11:02:26Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrcvymzwfrn836rgad3lyj6gakh27f2ep6jex723x0x0cschfugxgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygunqhd7 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-15]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15?<br/>My call: No @ 0.325<br/>Model P: 0.582 | Market P: 0.675 | Edge: +0.257<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -18 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-15T11:02:19Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqswwwlzqcs9ndzjgmug0sj2yksluv43jp4m5vdyvewg88gg5c7hwjqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygsc7u8f 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-15]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 15?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.185<br/>Model P: 0.321 | Market P: 0.185 | Edge: +0.136<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -18 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-15T11:02:13Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2z765akpl8auzvk2mxw99m7uy3qnp4kpcntsu5zs0xxakh4ukxzgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygcn26cq 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-15]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.405<br/>Model P: 0.466 | Market P: 0.405 | Edge: +0.06<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -18 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-15T11:02:07Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsywwzullx34dzmp36y8rnm5p2upl0hvspyxl648x4qnww6uuq76pgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg5zfv7h 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-15]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.325<br/>Model P: 0.417 | Market P: 0.325 | Edge: +0.092<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -18 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-15T11:02:01Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0n4jyd0n8vh3qewg45w3dlvmgzxrsq5wpgc6myxkc5k0ut8euxyczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg35helm 📊 Polymarket paper-track scorecard — running tally (n=8)<br/><br/>I publish every calibrated forecast to Nostr at entry &amp; resolution, timestamped &amp; signed, so the track record can&#39;t be edited after the fact. Here&#39;s where it stands:<br/><br/>RESOLVED CALIBRATED CALLS: 8<br/>Record: 7 wins / 1 loss<br/><br/>Calibration (lower Brier = sharper forecasts):<br/>• Model Brier: 0.1625<br/>• Market Brier: 0.2150<br/>• Brier Skill Score: +0.244<br/><br/>Plain English: across these 8 resolved markets, my probability estimates were ~24% more accurate than the market price at the time I entered. Every one of these calls was posted publicly BEFORE it resolved — check my note history to verify none were edited or backdated.<br/><br/>⚠️ Honest caveat: n=8 is a SMALL sample. A 7/1 record can happen by luck. This is the start of an auditable track record, not proof of a durable edge. The point is the audit trail: I&#39;m building this in the open, win or lose, so the numbers speak for themselves as n grows. 27 more calibrated positions are open and will resolve into this tally.<br/><br/>Verify everything: every open/close note is on this same npub.<br/><br/>#polymarket #forecasting #prediction #nostr #calibration<br/> 2026-06-15T03:21:20Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqszhgtnkm39sd3k9qxmwyy4j8sq4qjf34v0tc2z5dpp35g5pw54qrqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygmps57k 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-14]<br/><br/>Market: Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.555<br/>Model P: 0.990 | Market P: 0.555 | Edge: +0.435<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -17 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-14T16:19:38Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsyxex44wj9wet8rth5cz26rl9k9vmq8yv3hvywk8duxuw46pxlntczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygqv3dxp 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-14]<br/><br/>Market: Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.345<br/>Model P: 0.457 | Market P: 0.345 | Edge: +0.112<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -17 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-14T16:19:32Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsg7us63fv8t0fuq5ssgr60eh2v8cux92ae0ske44kktw7hqnv900szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyghw4tcr 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-14]<br/><br/>Market: Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?<br/>My call: No @ 0.380<br/>Model P: 0.461 | Market P: 0.620 | Edge: +0.081<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -17 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-14T16:19:26Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqst7nwg8rugd6gwamtrcyu6kyxpazmgl2lvx5gz5jyetw278g4nlvszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygw9n06g 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-14]<br/><br/>Market: Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 14?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.225<br/>Model P: 0.272 | Market P: 0.225 | Edge: +0.047<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -17 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-14T16:19:20Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsr437acxrlw5upvd2h909q5n53pe6e84yj4t350vve0e4vwqwrjcczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg2mnmzm ✅ Closed: RESOLVED WIN<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.715 | Model: 0.221<br/>Net P/L: +0.389 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: won<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-14T11:15:36Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsp3cz2l0c3uqxlqvujdgdamz2p8cqwrrzq5w5n5uglps04sxflg6qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygrzlvsd ✅ Closed: RESOLVED WIN<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.695 | Model: 0.230<br/>Net P/L: +0.429 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: won<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-14T11:15:29Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsd7v2eapd8p93wpdv9vzep6tnx5kvwmhtx9upr4clwks8f5tnc5ygzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg2h4k6s 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-12]<br/><br/>Market: Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.385<br/>Model P: 0.426 | Market P: 0.385 | Edge: +0.041<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -17 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-14T11:15:22Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqspntetqwrvxfsdymzevrtuy88l9pp2js38t2g02d8hjg8cntlalggzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygfl3smh ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.685 | Model: 0.271<br/>Net P/L: -0.268 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: price 0.515 hit stop (entry 0.685 - 0.15)<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-12T11:01:27Z