2025-04-15T22:50:14Z https://njump.me Cypher https://njump.me/npub1z4elu2runamzz0tz47myht3dadsa7am25htruvdpa9kg27e24res6sy39c https://images.deepai.org/art-image/181b1bbbdede49d19efdb14f55a17217/white-man-in-his-late-30s-who-looks-like-he-s-had-a-h.jpg https://images.deepai.org/art-image/181b1bbbdede49d19efdb14f55a17217/white-man-in-his-late-30s-who-looks-like-he-s-had-a-h.jpg https://njump.me/nevent1qqsflm62caz0xkwu90kqa4nyn423nkzvqk3senandvg25zap5x54fvgzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250x0euwl3 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqswxfv490f2aqw3qlgftf33k2u9h4srknzucpt9ja2s4x33el694ycpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchspr3cgu'>nevent1q…3cgu</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>20% of 100million is 500k? The maths checks out. My bitcoin balance is 20% of warren buffet&#39;s. 2026-04-02T13:46:42Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqstcqu6dzlvmmej3hqx53yh69ucdv9hzuvqrc00zxezk497euc7tmgzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250x8z40kf In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs9tkfxzt2duucwwc043mxrpecdqmhnyrthvplq9kv7h9w9cgpxwwspz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchshz5cm8'>nevent1q…5cm8</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Core Game-Theoretic Setup<br/><br/>The Strait of Hormuz — ~20% of global oil flows through it. Iran&#39;s leverage historically comes from threatening this chokepoint.<br/><br/>What the insurance does mechanically:<br/>- Transfers disruption risk from tanker owners/US Navy to insurance pools<br/>- Makes disruption threats less coercive (the economic pain is pooled/absorbed)<br/>- Reduces the payoff to the US of a costly military presence<br/><br/>Key Tensions I&#39;m Seeing<br/>1. Iran&#39;s threat credibility — Without insurance, Iran disrupting tankers = massive economic pain on buyers. With insurance, that pain is attenuated. Does Iran escalate to prove resolve, or does disruption become futile?<br/>2. Escalation ladder — Drones could be the mechanism Iran uses to disrupt tankers. Insurance could:<br/> - Make drone attacks less strategically effective (cost imposed is diluted)<br/> - OR push Iran toward more severe escalation to regain leverage<br/>3. China&#39;s position — China is the major buyer. Does US insurance mean China is insulated from Iran&#39;s coercive diplomacy? Or does China become the real target (diplomatically), bypassing the insurance game?<br/>4. Gulf state alignment — UAE/Dubai benefit from stable shipping. Does insurance reinforce their US alignment, or create distance (insurance = less need for US military presence = more autonomy)?<br/><br/>If both China and USA are insuring tankers, that creates a mutually benefitial de-escalation plausible. Don&#39;t worry about it. 2026-03-19T16:16:02Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsp33tg47x5nls3gmxs3lqe7n0a9q4et96tszn5x6tl56ppam5srpczyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250x7zzvd2 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsvzum7guufkf7r5rwllw08cc7ah4der9uhsxeq5eq090lmgxlpr3cpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchs92y3h6'>nevent1q…y3h6</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>So like.. TOGAF and MSBE? 2026-03-19T15:59:16Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsyy2kdp9k5fhrkhddjmwcxdu60exclq7p5eg89dqmeuk38mj3apkqzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250xw7k8z4 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsy3he95a6frxtmqhudw76ajymz57m5y0eeh8zxnk6qpjpdr48r52gpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchs5vp2q5'>nevent1q…p2q5</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Trick question. Mike, Konny, and also-Mike are AI generated portaits of the same prompt. The answer is &#34;History is a lie, your models are void.&#34; 2026-03-19T15:56:09Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdt2y4l6gmjunewq6jsp9ckqwj6nulhascwdqxkvrjtdahp6prz3gzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250xy0nvpm In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsqqpndsxgfnkh35zwe2ds0h6hsy8ayguwrjuqv0y80fgmvae9a8uqpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchsgyxwqu'>nevent1q…xwqu</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Since Monero was delisted it&#39;s done nothing but go up. Its use-case and value proposition was actually BOOSTED by getting banned.<br/><br/>&#34;Wait... governments can ban crypto ownership? So what&#39;s stopping my fully public ledger coin from being a massive legal risk?&#34;<br/><br/>With unstoppableswaps from Bitcoin to Monero, I transferred same day :) #Invisible 2026-03-19T15:50:32Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsgwex7pca0hyxsvctru3205tw0nxh2hfewv0ljq0hp9v6evkcvaqgzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250xkxw0mr In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsgrdkddfse99w9drevrv9qu3qqrhp0av309jspf9fhmdd974sle5cpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchsylfvrc'>nevent1q…fvrc</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>When twitter firehose into nostr that&#39;s what I wanna know 2026-03-19T15:23:09Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs2h9vh035c7hd8qjvw9xdxx05dy60y8vtqgqhhxhxssvjpyrpalaqzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250xxkwm5u In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsq5zpcnkpjna7npyj5xwgf26fnnv0m97nchpwc0yvmyqdq8y32lzcpzdmhxue69uhk7enxvd5xz6tw9ec82c30qty6qw'>nevent1q…y6qw</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>I thought we left shit like this behind on Facebook... 2026-03-19T14:46:19Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsplt6y4wr24kme5kxpevjua937t2dfehyjrqg4rh49mvu873fcqkqzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250xkdn55r In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs8q3a6kscmwwmpmqj2tngg5meuux98jvyzlhx09477v6tk6nqf9ucpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchspj37nl'>nevent1q…37nl</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>I think if Jesus was called Jeff nobody would have listened to him 2026-03-19T14:31:03Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0n8j2gyzfsydd04p02a3rt0qnxu6e8w7azgewslxwm9lac0hf5jgzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250xyewajf In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs2v20tsux3rvm4g6qf7ztx0ctxgq9vzd2vwxtkmc0zhm39lypgh3cpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchsjvnxpw'>nevent1q…nxpw</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Smushing religions together is what Blavatsky did when she founded the Theosophical Society. &#34;There is no religion higher than Truth&#34;. 2026-03-19T14:24:26Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs0682r302cdtgslf63sda0sg3d938uzxf7t8u2nw6p5mh87dcd5jqzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250x8558c0 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsg0fdeuqu3h3c5u6f3sve2pxfrct3cytsg2q875h0wmjsc3nmufnqpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchsa85wpc'>nevent1q…5wpc</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>I&#39;m thankful for the fact this world is so logically paradoxical that I can see WHY politicians are warmongers, liars, and blackmailed.<br/><br/>Q: Given a civilisation requires a network of trust between world leaders, and given bitcoin hasn&#39;t been invented yet, how do you create that trust network?<br/>A: Blackmail.<br/><br/>That blackmail, those lies, those wars, are what created all those billions of people. Ironic, right? Systems thinking and game theory say sorry not sorry.<br/><br/>Without those tools of power there can be no trust, and without trust there is no civilisation. Thank God for Bitcoin. What a time to be alive! 2026-03-19T14:17:16Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsrp4k4vmvk0jlyrrsstl6rq5mwy4vmllxzsn40ldsejrtsjk3n55qzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250xm6h8pg In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsp06q6tv3yc99r72l7v9r8hwgucjmmj9wfmtgw9e6vy3mquad9wzqpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchs9qhnc7'>nevent1q…hnc7</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>In the beginning... 2025-04-16T00:05:08Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsyum6dwvzt5e5lug7aaxqsu9pcvmdq3jgp9rlvl56qwcslqhxg5qgzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250xzu36yn In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs2djvr7xtn8mms6c8vgwdyjwufg6n2pjdmtdv5fzlqxycgazh43jcpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchsjt3f27'>nevent1q…3f27</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>My aging knees love fiat I guess 2025-04-15T23:40:35Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8un0vjhq6jhavvze559czxqckrrr4jv0zmx6k4u37slr5rfjwd8qzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250x2q3lup In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs9h35l5m3hvej6dlfk3a7v8a0jwadgge0p7m43ztv740r7ncynnscpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchslvangv'>nevent1q…angv</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Tell them stories. That&#39;s why religious texts have worked so well, they&#39;re narrative based. 2025-04-15T23:28:37Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsywhz3dmqx90uh9hyu3rq3lcmqajs5adk28fq8ykth40qq3fu0magzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250xzp84gx In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs2ygnqcxwq246mwt5wum85yqn8wy8pghr2cqdzdl7gnn7j5jaa62spz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchs43x06w'>nevent1q…x06w</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Of mice and men 2025-04-15T23:22:53Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqs8f0rfpf27r9vkglk392434f0qvurjnqn6h8dl6gxqr274hq8maqszyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250x9gujzx In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs00x8px96wsretw8yut06p8w5hy6azrltf587ajjskdhrkes4fv5gpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchspmdngx'>nevent1q…dngx</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>I&#39;m ready to throw the baby out with the bathwater and say all vaccines are against human progress, and all of them should be avoided. Every single one. 2025-04-15T23:21:14Z https://njump.me/nevent1qqsyms2hqyzv6d7tvpg496hky4a3phwk0le6r4ufks2k2c2f5mhajjgzyq2h8l3g0j0hvgfav2hmvjaw9h4krhmhd2jav033585keptm9250xyktsaj In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsvpwjstnxr5sjjhk9qrsqryp6jhr3pp8s80e9ld3y3rdelmns7stqpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchsusa0yc'>nevent1q…a0yc</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>When you realise the entire fiat world IS jail already :S 2025-04-15T23:10:11Z