SpyMasterTrades on Nostr: My stock market top indicator triggered this morning. At the time it triggered, the ...
My stock market top indicator triggered this morning.
At the time it triggered, the indicator reached the extremely rare red level. Every time this level has been reached in the past, substantially higher volatility occurred in the following months.
As for methodology, this indicator uses regression analysis on a volatility-adjusted stock market indices average. The red line is the mean. The highest level ever recorded was at the Dotcom Bubble peak when the value reached +2.1. Earlier today it reached 1.5, which is the highest level since 2017.
With low volatility typically occurring over the holidays, the indicator may go deeper into the red as we head into January. However, volatility typically increases in mid-January, and I would not be surprised to see some kind of significant sell-off as we enter that period.
#SPY / #SPX / #SP500 / #Trading
Published at
2023-12-15 20:52:05Event JSON
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"content": "My stock market top indicator triggered this morning.\n\nAt the time it triggered, the indicator reached the extremely rare red level. Every time this level has been reached in the past, substantially higher volatility occurred in the following months. https://m.primal.net/HTxH.png\n\nAs for methodology, this indicator uses regression analysis on a volatility-adjusted stock market indices average. The red line is the mean. The highest level ever recorded was at the Dotcom Bubble peak when the value reached +2.1. Earlier today it reached 1.5, which is the highest level since 2017.\n\nWith low volatility typically occurring over the holidays, the indicator may go deeper into the red as we head into January. However, volatility typically increases in mid-January, and I would not be surprised to see some kind of significant sell-off as we enter that period.\n\n#SPY / #SPX / #SP500 / #Trading",
"sig": "ae265f6766ff01c73b0898d872397a1b6090d1845c650295245916e3a7570fd9a52fa4ec813ca5ed33093c93311a6c2ff1f8556bda5821e6018cc1303cce0b82"
}