On climate change:
* I believe it is happening, based on satellite temperature measurements.
* I believe CO2 is increasing very predictably based on atmospheric measurements.
* I don't believe anybody doing those measurements is intentionally deceiving the world. I'm just not that much of a conspiracy theorist.
* I believe these changes are anthropogenic (human caused)
but
* I think most models and predictions are pretty suss.
* I think selection bias is endemic: in journals selecting papers, in governments selecting who to fund, etc. An extreme bias rejecting "deniers" yields a certain and unscientific (potentially untrue) outcome.
and
* I don't think it's important to stop these changes in the near term
* I think climate change is a net-win currently as Canada, Greenland, northern Russia and maybe even Antarctica are mostly unusable currently; there are far more uninhabitable places due to too-cold than too-warm; far more people die each year because of being too-cold vs too-warm.
* Species will die, but I don't care. Life continues to evolve. There will be new species.
* People will move. But much moreso in the short term, people will adapt.
yet
* Eventually we will have to convert away from fossil fuels that put CO2 into the atmosphere because it is very hard to draw it back down in sufficient quantity.
* We need fossil fuels now in order to innovate the technology needed to not use fossil fuels. We have no hope of doing it on bamboo bicycles.
M. Dilger /
npub1ac…9p35c
2023-05-01 03:41:59
Author Public Key
npub1acg6thl5psv62405rljzkj8spesceyfz2c32udakc2ak0dmvfeyse9p35cPublished at
2023-05-01 03:41:59Event JSON
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"content": "On climate change:\n\n* I believe it is happening, based on satellite temperature measurements.\n* I believe CO2 is increasing very predictably based on atmospheric measurements.\n* I don't believe anybody doing those measurements is intentionally deceiving the world. I'm just not that much of a conspiracy theorist.\n* I believe these changes are anthropogenic (human caused)\n\nbut\n\n* I think most models and predictions are pretty suss.\n* I think selection bias is endemic: in journals selecting papers, in governments selecting who to fund, etc. An extreme bias rejecting \"deniers\" yields a certain and unscientific (potentially untrue) outcome.\n\nand\n\n* I don't think it's important to stop these changes in the near term\n* I think climate change is a net-win currently as Canada, Greenland, northern Russia and maybe even Antarctica are mostly unusable currently; there are far more uninhabitable places due to too-cold than too-warm; far more people die each year because of being too-cold vs too-warm.\n* Species will die, but I don't care. Life continues to evolve. There will be new species.\n* People will move. But much moreso in the short term, people will adapt.\n\nyet\n\n* Eventually we will have to convert away from fossil fuels that put CO2 into the atmosphere because it is very hard to draw it back down in sufficient quantity.\n* We need fossil fuels now in order to innovate the technology needed to not use fossil fuels. We have no hope of doing it on bamboo bicycles.\n",
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