Title: Short Text Note by LynAldenquoting nevent1q…pffqWhen it comes to AI, philosophical people often ask "What will happen to people if they lack work? Will they find it hard to find meaning in such a world of abundance?"
But there is a darker side to the question, which people intuit more than they say aloud.
In all prior technological history, new technologies changed the nature of human work but did not displace the need for human work. The fearful rightly ask: what happens if we make robots, utterly servile, that can outperform the majority of humans at most tasks with lower costs? Suppose they displace 70% or 80% of human labor to such an extent that 70% or 80% of humans cannot find another type of economic work relative to those bots.
Now, the way I see it, it's a lot harder to replace humans than most expect. Datacenter AI is not the same as mobile AI; it takes a couple more decades of Moore's law to put a datacenter supercomputer into a low-energy local robot, or it would otherwise rely on a sketchy and limited-bandwidth connection to a datacenter. And it takes extensive physical design and programming which is harder than VC bros tend to suppose. And humans are self-repairing for the most part, which is a rather fantastic trait for a robot. A human cell outcompetes all current human technology in terms of complexity. People massively over-index what robots are capable of within a given timeframe, in my view. We're nowhere near human-level robots for all tasks, even as we're close to them for some tasks.
But, the concept is close enough to be on our radar. We can envision it in a lifetime rather than in fantasy or far-off science fiction.
So back to my prior point, the darker side of the question is to ask how humans will treat other humans if they don't need them for anything. All of our empathetic instincts were developed in a world where we needed each other; needed our tribe. And the difference between the 20% most capable and 20% least capable in a tribe wasn't that huge.
But imagine our technology makes the bottom 20% economic contributes irrelevant. And then the next 20%. And then the next 20%, slowly moving up the spectrum.
What people fear, often subconsciously rather than being able to articulate the full idea, is that humanity will reach a point where robots can replace many people in any economic sense; they can do nothing that economicall outcomes a bot and earns an income other than through charity.
And specifically, they wonder what happens at the phase when this happens regarding those who own capital vs those that rely on their labor within their lifetimes. Scarce capital remains valuable for a period of time, so long as it can be held legally or otherwise, while labor becomes demonetized within that period. And as time progresses, weak holders of capital who spend more than they consume, also diminish due to lack of labor, and many imperfect forms of capital diminish. It might even be the case that those who own the robots are themselves insufficient, but at least they might own the codes that control them.
Thus, people ultimately fear extinction, or being collected into non-economic open-air prisons and given diminishing scraps, resulting in a slow extinction. And they fear it not from the robots themselves, but from the minority of humans who wield the robots.
リン・オールデンは、AIが人間の仕事や意味に与える影響に関する哲学的な懸念に対処しています。以下は、議論からの10の主要な洞察です：
- **置き換えの恐れ**：AIやロボットがほとんどの作業で人間を上回ることができる場合、人間に何が起こるのかについての懸念が高まっています。これは、労働力のかなりの部分が置き換えられる可能性があります。
- **歴史的文脈**：歴史的に見て、技術の進歩は仕事の性質を変えてきましたが、人間の労働の必要性を排除することはありませんでした。
- **AI開発の課題**：人間を完全に置き換えることができるロボットを作ることは、多くの人が考えるよりも複雑であり、まだ数十年先の技術とデザインの進歩が必要です。
- **人間の回復力**：人間は自己修復の特性と生物学的な複雑さを持っており、現在の技術では再現できないため、近い将来に完全に置き換えられる可能性は低いです。
- **共感と社会**：人間の共感の本能は、協力と相互の必要が不可欠な環境で発展してきたため、多くの人が経済的に無関係になる場合の社会的ダイナミクスについて懸念が生じます。
- **経済的無関係**：技術が進歩するにつれて、ますます多くの人々が経済的に無関係になる恐れがあり、倫理的および社会的な問題が提起されます。
- **資本対労働**：ロボットを所有する者（資本）と労働に依存する者との間の格差は、労働の非貨幣化を含む重大な社会問題を引き起こす可能性があります。
- **絶滅の恐れ**：少数派が資源を支配し、大多数が慈善に依存するような社会崩壊や緩やかな絶滅への根底にある恐れがあります。
- **未来の影響**：多くの人間が意味のある仕事を見つけられない可能性がある未来は、経済的に生産的でないと見なされる人々の扱いについての疑問を提起します。
- **制御と権力のダイナミクス**：この議論は、技術を誰が制御するのか、そしてその結果として生じる可能性のある権力のダイナミクスについての懸念を強調し、社会構造や個人の生計に影響を与える可能性があります。