PREDYX

https://beta.predyx.com

World’s first #Bitcoin prediction market powered by the Lightning network. Trade sports, politics, news, finance, culture, tech etc. or create your own. No photo I.D. or VPN required. 👉 http://predyx.com

Public Key

npub15jcgp02275uw5rsrql7w57gnx6su400dx72gnr7795t565jm4rmqru44hx

NIP-05 Address

[email protected]

Profile Code

nprofile1qqs2fvyqh4902w82pcps0l820yfndgw2hhkn09yf3l0z696d2fd63aspp4mhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mqpzpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezumrpdejqhz0nh6

Publishing to

nos.lol

nostr.land

purplepag.es

Author Public Key

npub15jcgp02275uw5rsrql7w57gnx6su400dx72gnr7795t565jm4rmqru44hx

Show more details

Last Notes

2026-10-28 17:05:36 GMT

NEW MARKET: 29% chance Bitcoin mining difficulty falls below 130T by the end of the year.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/bitcoin-mining-difficulty-below-130t-in-2026-1793204378?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=5664ba47-cfb9-4c8a-9b8f-7da8ba4d7137&shareKind=market

2026-10-27 16:27:26 GMT

Brazil Presidential Election: RESOLVED. 592,322 SATS paid to winners! ⚡
https://beta.predyx.com/market/who-will-win-the-brazil-presidential-election-1766401659?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da&shareOg=e60b0aca-4317-486d-857c-c9d992ad926c&shareKind=market

2026-10-17 15:17:09 GMT

PREDYX SAT-UR-DAY PARTY!
🧡 SATS FOR EVERYONE!
Just drop your boldest prediction for next week + your Bitcoin Lightning wallet.
One entry only.
Cutoff: 9:00 PM PT
Predict. Stack. Repeat.
https://image.nostr.build/4095c225bb3395dc3489028d79c98523c65bfacb3d3be6e34e03184b9c9dbd16.jpg

2026-09-16 17:39:29 GMT

🏀 The new NBA season is almost here, and the race for the 2027 title is heating up.
Thunder? Spurs? Knicks? 76ers? Or a dark horse?
Make your prediction and put your sats where your conviction is. ⚡️
https://beta.predyx.com/market/nba-champion-2027-1789577254?ref=e874ab07a48eb0da

2026-08-18 13:04:31 GMT

Trading halt: "Will BIP-110 activate and be enforced on Bitcoin by Sept 1 - 7, 2026?"
Trading is paused effective now. Positions and balances are unchanged. Nothing has settled.
Why: BIP-110 proponents have announced a hard fork with a PoW change. This market defines Bitcoin as the chain with the greatest cumulative proof of work. The fork keeps the shared history and 1-to-1 balances, but from the split it accrues work under a different function. Measured in SHA-256 work, its total freezes at the fork block while the incumbent chain keeps compounding. The SHA-256 chain is strictly heavier from the first post-fork block, and the gap grows every block.
Shared history does not transfer the name. BCH and BSV kept the chain data, credited every holder 1 to 1, competed in the same work function, and still never held the most cumulative work. A fork that leaves SHA-256 is not in that race. Under this market's rules it is a different asset, and BIP-110 activating there cannot satisfy the Yes condition.
The only remaining path to Yes is enforcement by the heaviest chain during the evaluation window, 64 blocks after activation height 965664, expected early September.
If that path closes definitively before the window, we may resolve early. Any early resolution will be published with full written reasoning at least 24 hours before settlement. Otherwise the market resolves at the window, per the criteria as written.
Criteria: https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509?ref=PREDYX9ZWAIELT

2026-08-18 13:01:23 GMT

- reply

https://x.com/predyx_markets/status/2089622060209410175

2026-08-14 16:10:02 GMT

- reply

Thanks for raising this. No funds are being held hostage—users are free to sell their positions before resolution.
We agree BIP-110 activation is extremely unlikely, but the chance isn’t zero. The other side has also requested that we keep the market open until the resolution date, so we believe it’s fairest to let it run until then.

2026-08-13 16:11:43 GMT

🚨 BIP-110 (Coin) CEX listing odds just hit 10.31% — up 3% today.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/bip-110-chain-token-on-major-cex-by-end-of-2026-1772033542?ref=PREDYX9ZWAIELT&shareOg=e5e82784-7b14-4a9d-ba7a-538d347921ee&shareKind=market

2026-08-13 01:53:14 GMT

NEW MARKET: Will Luke Dashjr and Bitcoin Mechanic fires from Ocean in 2026?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/luke-dashjr-and-bitcoin-mechanic-fired-from-ocean-in-2026-1786453384

2026-08-11 15:35:36 GMT

NEW MARKET - Luke Dashjr AND Bitcoin Mechanic fired from OCEAN in 2026
https://beta.predyx.com/market/luke-dashjr-and-bitcoin-mechanic-fired-from-ocean-in-2026-1786453384?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=69f2f73d-e548-4402-ac5d-8198ccae0d98&shareKind=market

2026-08-10 19:03:23 GMT

Will Bitcoin hard fork to change PoW and restrict arbitrary data in 2026?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bitcoin-hard-fork-to-change-pow-and-restrict-arbitrary-data-in-2026-1786386596?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=28ed705e-e846-436b-9068-3cd1e775143d&shareKind=market

2026-08-08 14:43:53 GMT

🚨 PREDYX IS LIVE AGAIN!
The wait was 100% worth it.
Thank you everyone for your patience, support, and understanding while we worked to get everything back up and running.
Now, let’s get back to predicting. 🔮⚡
https://x.com/predyx_markets/status/2085821014563508310

2026-07-17 21:36:29 GMT

Two more days until Argentina takes on Spain for the 2026 FIFA World Cup 🏆
Current odds on PREDYX
🇪🇸 Spain - 62%
🇦🇷 Argentina - 36%
https://blossom.primal.net/e2332cae090bc799a0e3af3befc62af9e9f9dde6379f444dab70003ac425311e.png
https://beta.predyx.com/market/fifa-world-cup-winner-2026-1766404951?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=084b5d35-c327-403a-bd64-8f9e30c790af&shareKind=market

2026-07-17 21:35:48 GMT

With just three weeks until BIP-110's mandatory signaling period begins, the RDTS has an 11% chance of activating and being enforced on Bitcoin's timechain.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=1b4c4cb4-2bf5-4527-be09-7e7a791be089&shareKind=market

2026-07-17 15:22:54 GMT

JUST IN: World's largest Bitcoin mining pool Foundry USA to let pool account owners vote on signaling BIP-110

2026-07-13 15:08:59 GMT

NEW - 2026 The Open Championship Winner 🇬🇧 ⛳️
https://beta.predyx.com/market/2026-the-open-championship-british-open-winner-1783859369?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=d2b88692-9bd6-457e-99f8-558fe0e32539&shareKind=market

2026-07-13 15:08:03 GMT

NEW - Will Adam Back's BSTR complete its SPAC merger to become a publicly traded company in 2026?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/adam-backs-bstr-goes-public-2026-1783865193?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=526f0fdf-2447-4bcd-a2db-a39db0ecb042&shareKind=market

2026-07-13 15:05:33 GMT

NEW - Peak hash rate signaling for BIP-110 by October 2026
https://beta.predyx.com/market/peak-hash-rate-signaling-for-bip-110-october-2026-1783950842?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=b8234109-b8dd-4af4-8991-62fe83f15a25&shareKind=market

2026-07-10 17:47:58 GMT

Three quarterfinals remain ⚽️
France 🇫🇷 has separated from the pack as the World Cup favorite at 36%
Argentina 🇦🇷 and Spain 🇪🇸 are leading the chase.
https://blossom.primal.net/0d06f369c5eedad3e4b0e053e1308f0b56d76d38a01c0c18ffe55c73e345ea05.png
https://beta.predyx.com/market/fifa-world-cup-winner-2026-1766404951?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=781dd960-b5db-4417-ba43-238ca9d5cb94&shareKind=market

2026-07-10 17:45:50 GMT

Past Bitcoin soft forks that achieved their miner signaling lock-in thresholds early, before their activation timeout windows expired:
1. CheckSequenceVerify (2016)
2. SegWit (2017)
3. Taproot (2021)
Will RDTS be next?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-lock-in-before-activation-1783355471?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=be700487-7e83-4d1c-b45f-3030c31f601f&shareKind=market

2026-07-10 17:44:15 GMT

LATEST: 33% chance that a top-10 US Bitcoin ETF issuer files SEC disclosure addressing a BIP-110 chain split by August 15
https://beta.predyx.com/market/a-top-10-us-bitcoin-etf-issuer-files-sec-disclosure-addressing-a-bip-110-chain-split-by-august-15-1783619622?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=aa4ad308-b4e5-48ef-a8b7-f47fc318d1f5&shareKind=market

2026-07-10 16:33:26 GMT

- reply

And now 2+ BTC!!

2026-07-10 15:47:48 GMT

NEW: Alternative #BIP110 market is now pricing odds the RDTS will activate and be enforced by most Proof-of-Work chain by Sept. 10 as opposed to Sept. 7.
14% chance
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-win-enforced-by-bitcoins-most-proof-of-work-chain-by-september-10-2026-1783688100?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=5585e1ef-4831-41e3-ba0e-03cc093d6669&shareKind=market

2026-07-09 19:42:56 GMT

NEW: 🇲🇦🇫🇷 Can Morocco stun the world and beat France?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/world-cup-quarterfinals-france-vs-morocco-1783625908?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=1b7bfdd6-0e3a-4e2c-9763-4d1686090993&shareKind=market

2026-07-07 14:38:51 GMT

Will Mitch McConnell be alive in two weeks?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-mitch-mcconnell-be-alive-on-july-19-2026-1783386921?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=d6de5162-2692-4275-a73a-abbb814c60b9&shareKind=market

2026-07-06 22:20:35 GMT

🚨 NEW - A top-five Bitcoin mining pool signals BIP-110 before August.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/top-five-bitcoin-mining-pool-signals-bip-110-before-august-1783358129?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=76cf15ce-5ea4-4ed0-8cc8-f5a00a720501&shareKind=market

2026-07-06 16:44:57 GMT

🚨 NEW - Will BIP-110 achieve it's 55% "lock-in" threshold before activation?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-lock-in-before-activation-1783355471?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=a7b7a93e-a261-4ec5-bd89-a54768a26f3c&shareKind=market

2026-06-18 12:41:58 GMT

🚨 UPDATE: Odds US-Iran peace deal signed surge 61% since Wednesday.
92% chance.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/iran-us-peace-deal-signed-by-friday-1781529469?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=f49a388c-154c-457f-8ee1-424e9fc29c36&shareKind=market

2026-06-17 20:33:23 GMT

🚨 NEW - UFC 329: Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
https://beta.predyx.com/market/ufc-329-conor-mcgregor-vs-max-holloway-1781728164?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=c567249a-6556-4bdd-a285-142a14e3d552&shareKind=market

2026-06-17 20:14:23 GMT

🚨 NEW - PGA Tour U.S. Open Winner
https://beta.predyx.com/market/pga-tour-us-open-winner-1781727058?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=8edfef42-51d8-41c6-9c2f-da6b6274b266&shareKind=market

2026-06-15 16:43:49 GMT

🚧 Maintenance Alert
We are running a few quick updates. We expect to be fully back online and running smoothly in 1-2 hours.
Thank you for your patience! We'll keep you posted right here. 🚀
https://x.com/predyx_markets/status/2066561939174760932?s=20

2026-06-15 16:09:17 GMT

- reply

The next most popular BIP-110 PREDYX market assumes the softfork will cause a chain split and prices the probability of the token created by the chain split being listed on a major centralized exchange by the end of the year.
16% chance.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/bip-110-chain-token-on-major-cex-by-end-of-2026-1772033542?ref=8c9fd5fe3d08c875&shareOg=3f76b1a2-2d6b-4ae3-b4d3-01ace68bdfad&shareKind=market

2026-06-15 16:08:22 GMT

🧵 PREDYX's BIP-110 prediction markets.
Bitcoin is less than 10,000 blocks away from its most contentious fork fight in years.
BIP-110 supporters want to keep Bitcoin focused on "being money" while critics say the proposal is technically deficient and poses too many risks to the protocol.
PREDYX's BIP-110 prediction markets function like futures markets, letting traders price the probability of activation. The market price becomes a real-time signal of expectations, while participants can take positions based on how they think miners, developers, node operators, and the broader Bitcoin ecosystem will respond.
There are currently four actively traded prediction markets pricing outcomes related to BIP-110 on PREDYX 👇
https://blossom.primal.net/6ae96280c9baa44d4c469632d7ee85060506a7ff25acc746d558799bc267c08c.png

2026-06-15 13:00:02 GMT

Odds that any single PREDYX market hits 1 BTC in trading volume this year hit 98%.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/any-single-predyx-market-hits-1-btc-volume-in-2026-1771863552?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=7ae25dc9-5dfa-4689-9839-df1e02561f7b&shareKind=market

2026-06-15 12:51:17 GMT

🇮🇱 NEW - Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
- Gadi Eizenkot
- Naftali Bennett
- Itamar Ben-Gvir
- Benjamin Netanyahu
https://beta.predyx.com/market/prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-2026-election-1781525545?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=29c6404d-c097-4287-9124-0334545b27e5&shareKind=market

2026-06-15 11:48:11 GMT

🚨 NEW - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
49% chance.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-15-1781523847?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=054dc41f-2179-4658-8c76-082fc28160b5&shareKind=market

2026-06-13 11:51:21 GMT

- reply

Hi Marcus, thanks for the feedback and for being a PREDYX user.
First, we'd like to apologize if we've missed any of your previous questions. Have you submitted a support ticket in the past that didn't receive a response? If so, please let us know.
Regarding market creator liquidity: PREDYX currently uses LMSR, which requires a minimum liquidity subsidy from the market creator. In return, creators can earn up to 15% of all sats wagered on their market, depending on market activity and the fee rate they choose themselves.
Creators may incur losses if a market doesn't generate enough trading activity on both sides and therefore doesn't accumulate enough fees to offset the initial subsidy. For this reason, we generally recommend creating markets that allow for meaningful price movement and participation from both sides, which increases the likelihood of recovering the initial liquidity through fees.
We're also currently building out our documentation to better explain topics like this. Most of the documentation is already available at https://docs.predyx.com, and we're continuously expanding it.
Please feel free to reach out with any additional questions or feedback on [email protected]. We genuinely appreciate it and are always looking to improve.

2026-06-13 11:37:49 GMT

- reply

Hi, this is only one of the ways to sign in on PREDYX.
We also support Lightning and Email sign-in, so users can choose the option that works best for them.
Thank you.

2026-06-12 15:08:13 GMT

Do you have Cash App or any other Bitcoin wallet w/ Lightning⚡️?
If so, you can sign up and place your first bet on PREDYX.COM in less than 60 seconds!
Just create a username/password, select a market, and buy Yes ✅ or No 🚫 on the outcome.
It's that easy!
https://blossom.primal.net/c4cfbbb0585c5522f6411f0a9bd918b44e9d2836c36cc15ed7c5234ce8d6da79.jpg https://blossom.primal.net/96303531ef6cce585d52124b3ff5bf1d9ea52a5f5db204f1f42a606549ebfc78.jpg https://blossom.primal.net/fcda8cd1b5af89aae84dac682723cc9c78826b696c4d675b6ff5b1dc449e3001.jpg https://blossom.primal.net/e2470563ab7cf0afdc137a013e9411fa99f208f99aa479e5ac7a4aba95fd99b0.jpg

2026-06-12 13:21:57 GMT

West Virginia and Ole Miss are nearly tied to win the Rocco's Jello Shot Challenge going into Opening day at the College World Series!
https://blossom.primal.net/7412fbc75340a3fd1b503f3772cd50fed43abca9d16cffb23e74a0ffdd2ae4f6.png https://blossom.primal.net/f4df569a6856065e4231c8e655b36a44eb45f05d4543fb5046070576fe77172f.png
https://beta.predyx.com/market/2026-roccos-college-world-series-jello-shot-challenge-winner-1780952841?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=cfb74dcf-a2af-448b-82f4-3386fea1b33f&shareKind=market

2026-06-11 17:24:38 GMT

🍊 NEW - Will total scrap deposited on the Mandarin RUST server exceed 10,000,000 this cycle wipe?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/which-player-will-deposit-the-most-scrap-on-the-orange-rust-server-this-wipe-1781155598?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=0d6deb43-04e5-4536-9511-0adb70877ba7&shareKind=market

2026-06-11 17:20:08 GMT

🍊 NEW - Which player will deposit the most scrap on The @nprofile…wlck RUST server this wipe cycle?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/which-player-will-deposit-the-most-scrap-on-the-orange-rust-server-this-wipe-1781155598?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=0d6deb43-04e5-4536-9511-0adb70877ba7&shareKind=market

2026-06-10 20:11:21 GMT

NEW - eCash Bitcoin hard fork listed on major CEX by 2027?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/ecash-bitcoin-hard-fork-listed-on-a-major-cex-by-2027-1781121822?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=b8a524b0-ebc3-4b05-94cd-387bf8b8c908&shareKind=market

2026-06-10 19:14:57 GMT

NEW - Which Bitcoin treasury company will be the next to sell?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/next-treasury-company-to-sell-bitcoin-1781118443?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=db9bdec3-294d-4f65-b623-9a35fb0da885&shareKind=market

2026-06-10 17:56:12 GMT

NEW - @nprofile…n4sc by @nprofile…6un7 sold in Costco by?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/peony-lane-wine-sold-in-costco-by-1781113893?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=95b4bde8-3c8c-4a3c-9c46-e953d433f1b4&shareKind=market

2026-06-10 17:07:25 GMT

One more day to go...
Pick your winners, trade your convictions, and follow the action all tournament long to find out who will win the #FIFAWorldCup 🏆 on PREDYX.
https://blossom.primal.net/1fc7ced1662237247bd1949645b7a933e058547195399e95f1bff6f0dfc99482.png

2026-06-09 18:45:11 GMT

PREDYX's prediction markets are for ANYONE.
All you need is Bitcoin to buy the future you believe in or sell the one you don't at http://PREDYX.COM
https://blossom.primal.net/3c111eac804ba9efded5ac641269fd0d71f28ba8fbaafc2891ac3071947f6f68.mp4

2026-06-09 16:29:41 GMT

Hunter Biden's odds of running for president in 2028 continue to rise, up another 19%.
35% chance.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/hunter-biden-runs-for-president-in-2028-1780578974?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=2dcb995e-3f3e-4dcc-a8d2-6679f3637d54&shareKind=market

2026-06-09 16:21:58 GMT

Will the Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs in 2026 mark the top? Not according to PREDYX traders.
83% that the AI bubble WILL NOT burst this year.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/ai-bubble-burst-in-2026-1770944471?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=927c44d3-cd10-44b3-bfe2-e8e8a8f1a761&shareKind=market

2026-06-08 15:36:38 GMT

JUST IN: Kimi Antonelli now has a 90% chance of becoming World Champion in everyone's least favorite F1 season.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/formula-one-world-champion-2026-1767546718?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=cd15c560-91c6-4c62-840b-95eab41c732f&shareKind=market

2026-06-08 15:22:53 GMT

🚨 NEW: 77% chance SpaceX closes above its final IPO price on Monday, July 7, 2026.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/spacex-ipo-close-1780864645?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=ffd00c2f-4bb5-41ad-a107-258ec8aec685&shareKind=market

2026-06-08 15:21:02 GMT

- reply

@nprofile…pxl4 User added liquidity is still a month or two away but we added CDA/CLOB to all World Cup markets so you can place limit orders and create implicit liquidity. https://blossom.primal.net/7f16143034b88d70f1eca884e2a8ee7a641a63e363e6cfc44da6b51ec23f012a.png https://blossom.primal.net/9df7242e94c5a41f184bc1bd215e40d84f91db7d1a276594f6afefb0028b1fac.png

2026-06-07 16:13:45 GMT

- reply

We hear you. Will try to get an update on user added liquidity and we will boost the liquidity for these markets if interest/activity picks up for World Cup markets.

2026-06-07 15:24:54 GMT

🚨 ALL 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage markets are now LIVE on PREDYX.
Who will advance from each group? Who will disappoint? Which underdog will shock the world?
Pick your winners, trade your convictions, and follow the action all tournament long.
https://predyx.com/category/soccer?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e
https://blossom.primal.net/ee974502df4fcdc34d27543171b4bde14e333b63621d05c758e293f8402e62bf.jpg

2026-06-05 19:34:04 GMT

🐸 NEW — Nakamoto Holdings ($NAKA) delisted from the Nasdaq in 2026.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/nakamoto-holdings-naka-delisted-from-the-nasdaq-in-2026-1780685371?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=dbb6037e-9a9d-4bf8-8155-f48c68842a68&shareKind=market

2026-06-05 16:10:32 GMT

🚨 NEW - Will Michael Saylor Crash Out In 2026?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-michael-saylor-crash-out-in-2026-1780675338?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=484c3236-7fe1-4cce-95a7-acdb63079e14&shareKind=market

2026-06-04 14:11:06 GMT

65% chance Binance is insolvent by July.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/binance-insolvent-by-july-1780581680?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=7a3d7347-8956-4226-9d7b-48d60c1a99ac&shareKind=market

2026-06-03 01:13:30 GMT

🚨 NEW: Will David Bailey post "Buckle up" on by 4th of July?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/david-bailey-posts-buckle-up-by-4th-of-july-1780442512?shareOg=5780de5f-0d6d-4ba7-a9e8-27738d29935d&shareKind=market

2026-05-26 18:36:14 GMT

🚨 NEW - 95% chance Thomas Massie doesn't read the names of the Epstein client list on the House floor before he leaves office.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/thomas-massie-reads-the-names-of-epstein-clients-on-house-floor-1779820367?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=0645e6df-eb77-4aab-ae22-eed33fe49b28&shareKind=market

2026-05-22 17:59:19 GMT

🚨 WATCH: Is 2026 the year the Cy Young race enters “submarine economy” phase?
https://blossom.primal.net/7ef72d653c5d10c8264c3ac7549af2e6531a6d959686d6807937b669398eb8cb.mp4
https://beta.predyx.com/market/2026-nl-cy-young-award-winner-1779387623?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=4a524a08-3d70-4d82-ac9b-1031db0cbec9&shareKind=market

2026-05-22 13:25:01 GMT

JUST IN: Congressman Thomas Massie has a better chance of winning the 2028 Presidential election than #BIP110 RDTS has to successfully activate this September.
On PREDYX if you bet on the underdog, and you're right, you can turn $100 into $1550.
https://blossom.primal.net/d7f3a98677760eba32c6fde0b581e18f1c997e53527af84be0f545b39fc0bd38.jpg https://blossom.primal.net/41485c96793b27554f72bfbe100ec323b7cf826ba959f47eacd839df3a888b83.jpg https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=5d589c39-cca7-458a-9cb7-0514903f7ff6&shareKind=market https://beta.predyx.com/market/thomas-massie-wins-2028-presidential-election-1779388919?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=2fa51e96-e8bc-4c94-8fba-b69312b7c6d0&shareKind=market

2026-05-21 18:20:59 GMT

🚨 REPORT: Bitcoin mining firm MARA sued over data center noise and dead chickens.

2026-05-21 17:23:30 GMT

Will Luigi Mangione beat his assassination charges and walk free by the end of next year?
Does that sound crazy to you? As of now his odds sit at 21%
https://beta.predyx.com/market/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2028-1779128639?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=5525c567-71ec-4d71-b780-14e541f3d938&shareKind=market

2026-05-21 13:26:55 GMT

Minnesota has become the first state to ban prediction markets. Governor Tim Walz signed a bill which makes it a felony to own, operate, or advertise prediction markets in the state.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/tim-walz-faces-criminal-charges-by-1767020323?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=5668fcaf-a900-40e4-9628-27bae4c033f1&shareKind=market

2026-05-21 13:24:55 GMT

Phillies slugger Kyle Schwarber passes Aaron Judge as favorite to be Home Run King 👑 in 2026.
https://blossom.primal.net/d05c56719c609963a3d8d70c39b91c7f5bc8fc32282ca6730ca3d59c4a5eebc7.mp4
https://beta.predyx.com/market/2026-mlb-home-run-king-1774982375?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=a8e3b0c7-1559-41d0-bd1c-c96e47450fc8&shareKind=market

2026-05-18 18:45:28 GMT

🚨 TRENDING: 26% chance Swan wins lawsuit vs Tether over stolen mining business.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/swan-bitcoin-wins-lawsuit-vs-tether-1778165561?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=2e175326-d3c2-4730-a0f5-2e7954a250be&shareKind=market

2026-05-18 18:38:56 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Chud the Builder out of custody by 2027?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/chud-the-builder-out-of-custody-before-2027-1779129174?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=76bd13e9-367b-4e50-80b5-f826245656b7&shareKind=market

2026-05-13 21:20:07 GMT

KEIR STARMER: "Mr. Speaker, I am a gooner!"
80% chance the British PM is out before year end.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/starmer-out-in-2026-1770367041?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=784ce44d-9879-455c-bbce-2e8bc13677fd&shareKind=market

2026-05-11 15:35:22 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Spencer Pratt wins 2026 Los Angeles Mayor election.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/spencer-pratt-wins-la-mayor-2026-1778513007?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=5b4344b4-ba86-4ea4-81ae-2d72443913da&shareKind=market

2026-05-11 15:08:28 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/2028-republican-presidential-nominee-1778511455?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=7037b84d-cb77-46d5-be35-cafcffbeee68&shareKind=market

2026-05-08 20:37:04 GMT

Do you have a #Bitcoin Lightning⚡️ wallet like @nprofile…zjpe or @nprofile…9unz ? That's all you need to start trading prediction markets, or creating your own, on PREDYX.
Sign up and begin trading in seconds. No photo I.D. required. - https://predyx.com
https://blossom.primal.net/5791998bbf39480ec7246e641d33d0113c59b1cb117c629e28f16ad6d1101d71.png

2026-05-08 17:30:26 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Will @nprofile…kx96 fix the UX bug for Android, that resets the amount anytime a user changes the coin to be swapped, by August?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/cake-wallet-v612-bug-fixed-by-2026-09-01-1778258099?shareOg=8334ea4b-d2d5-4057-bac9-ede91fb87e61&shareKind=market

2026-05-08 15:59:34 GMT

🚨 NEW: Senate Banking Committee preparing to vote on CLARITY Act as soon as May 14.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/clarity-act-signed-into-us-law-by-may-31-2026-1778254845?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=b47b4714-5331-49ee-b8a3-512631c7536b&shareKind=market

2026-05-08 14:20:05 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Coinbase suffers a security exploit resulting in loss of user funds in 2026.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-coinbase-suffer-a-security-exploit-resulting-in-loss-of-user-funds-in-2026-1778249845?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=d73d86be-a48a-411b-9d02-7cc557375d16&shareKind=market

2026-05-08 14:09:07 GMT

🚨 LATEST: Odds government reveals evidence confirming aliens exist in 2026 fall to 22% despite UFO files release.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/alien-evidence-disclosure-by-end-of-2026-1768798366?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=4b8128df-15c4-42bc-8886-bea48a4976ce&shareKind=market

2026-05-08 13:21:38 GMT

#GM ☕
#BIP110 looks dead on arrival with only 116 days left before activation.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=732358f4-8f82-4b7d-ae6d-366923fd4fdd&shareKind=market

2026-05-08 13:18:33 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: 2026 Golden Spikes Award winner?
The Golden Spikes Award honors the top amateur baseball player in the USA ⚾️ 🇺🇸
https://beta.predyx.com/market/2026-golden-spikes-award-winner-1778245295?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=b8a36b26-af70-4040-a3e8-8c9c7aa83b8f&shareKind=market

2026-05-07 20:17:32 GMT

🚨TRENDING: Computer scientists have developed a solution to quantum risk for #Bitcoin
https://beta.predyx.com/market/bip-360-quantum-resistant-upgrade-activated-on-bitcoin-by-1775250762?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=169a0dd0-aabb-4e42-ad7a-910c28dac06e&shareKind=market

2026-05-07 20:16:06 GMT

NEW: Scientists are working to create hantavirus vaccine.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/hantavirus-vaccine-in-2026-1778183952?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=baf33fac-8539-483d-b880-619f2f793ad6&shareKind=market

2026-05-07 20:15:34 GMT

- reply

Trying to get you an answer

2026-05-07 18:21:29 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Michael Saylor, Strategy sells #Bitcoin in 2026.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/strategy-sells-bitcoin-in-2026-1778177769?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=16c83d18-6387-4e68-ba9b-261eeafc71f7&shareKind=market

2026-05-07 17:25:58 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: West Main Self Storage Bitcoin Treasury reaches 5 BTC by 2027.
As of May 6, 2026 West Main Self Storage hodls 4.568 BTC.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/west-main-self-storage-bitcoin-treasury-reaches-5-btc-by-2027-1778173714?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=b2544790-841c-47b8-b734-2f8ab055737f&shareKind=market

2026-05-07 15:11:49 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Swan Bitcoin wins its lawsuit vs Tether related to Swan’s mining business dispute.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/swan-bitcoin-wins-lawsuit-vs-tether-1778165561?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=60571ed8-812e-460b-af0b-62eda774ecb4&shareKind=market

2026-04-23 14:55:58 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Kash Patel wears "Free Samourai" shirt at @nprofile…7emy in Las Vegas.
https://blossom.primal.net/a0df948add09cc934d3fcc7cdf33c1a876c72b9f771d5d41b4aaebcda0090c0e.jpg https://blossom.primal.net/9f7274de6b7efb3494a71e4bf3f651bc765ddaaa0da2fc5df7bac04763bf1c5f.png https://beta.predyx.com/market/kash-patel-wears-free-samouari-shirt-at-bitcoin-conference-1776955739?ref=98d6db0f64aafbfd

2026-04-22 13:53:42 GMT

If you're going to Las Vegas for @nprofile…7emy , don't miss the prediction markets panel featuring PREDYX CEO Derek Orr on Wednesday, April 29th.
https://blossom.primal.net/daa5d34ead42e477a863712e9504694e4c697453d9354df1ade2a1db3ce3b448.png

2026-04-21 17:13:45 GMT

Will #BIP110 activate and be enforced on #Bitcoin?
Chance: 8.66%
🔗 https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509 https://image.nostr.build/a48bd93b7394dfb6196519b3f51b6386e9995a138c8548656128436e4dfebc8b.jpg
https://image.nostr.build/ccf6fd4b3442dc82dc1e63ef9142bf9ebd24a59c0edc6d8a04a475e6c8f50c36.jpg

2026-04-21 15:43:10 GMT

JUST IN: Odds Trump pardons Samourai devs by the end of the year remain low.
27% chance.
https://blossom.primal.net/72381e20d986a7f53e943559ae57566908e82d3efa9403d40e277becbed2d753.png https://blossom.primal.net/e9503b3e81ca95ad0ff2095966510b3ba06a36f113df60570147f43b646722e9.png https://beta.predyx.com/market/trump-pardons-samourai-wallet-dev-before-dec-31-2026-1765867668?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e

2026-04-21 15:02:47 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Will @nprofile…8q6f bring Aubrey Strobel as his date to the @nprofile…rsqx 'Hotstyle Takeover' in Las Vegas?
https://blossom.primal.net/1bd42191e60961b15616882faa6643a092e7447bc1569f2ff927d2916ecd8781.png https://blossom.primal.net/c7351433e21fa02655f91177510f1f7d82f65dd82a8e887be37d7ab3fb4fef67.png https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-tatum-turnup-bring-aubrey-strobel-as-his-date-to-the-pubkey-hotstyle-takeover-iii-in-las-vegas-1776730234?ref=98d6db0f64aafbfd

2026-04-21 15:00:57 GMT

JUST IN: Ferrari sets price of first electric car at over $640,000 - Bloomberg
https://blossom.primal.net/c149cd6b4954780d36790ca101aa092e8b13f0c840242af2e02a3721a6649dd6.png https://blossom.primal.net/2e17a271a26108825750d7f5572dad54e747614ad7dad53f5c5365165a969851.png

2026-04-17 14:55:38 GMT

Oil prices are falling with Iran re-opening the Strait of Hormuz but chances for sub-$50 oil this year remain low.
32% chance.
https://blossom.primal.net/808df299b4d7a267a10bc5a0dd67c7b9a1e7f6a03b7586e85ebabe78cfe26fda.png https://blossom.primal.net/14a0f2c5dd2812e7d7e084cd159808764a8cfc4c08540a6bb2a266ed152193b2.png https://beta.predyx.com/market/2026-oil-futures-sub-50-barrel-likely-1765798152?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e

2026-04-15 17:05:04 GMT

🇪🇸 Spain is the favorite on PREDYX to win the World Cup.
It's Lamine Yamal's world, we're just living in it.
https://blossom.primal.net/afb0dc8bc515be03d14157737882956436d291c2f77d3a5b4288782bee8f4b57.png https://blossom.primal.net/24cf0d1f8d1c2e46513fb99dc084a98c2620ed26937426df272186b11ed8decf.png
https://beta.predyx.com/market/fifa-world-cup-winner-2026-1766404951

2026-04-15 17:04:16 GMT

JUST IN: @nprofile…9k65 most likely to be identified as Satoshi Nakamoto in upcoming 'Finding Satoshi' documentary.
18% chance.
https://blossom.primal.net/68c29f55746830183d5fbb5dce4b1202471e43878d8f82a32b24d6614c44a7a6.png https://blossom.primal.net/21c9012af68e2fa18bcc5df577d283a725de19ad36898725b6e49b0e2394f3e2.png
https://beta.predyx.com/market/satoshi-identified-by-finding-satoshi-documentary-1776167412

2026-04-14 20:03:28 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Will Bitcoin "crash" during @nprofile…7emy ?
https://blossom.primal.net/43808eb9b3b44776f2b9f338847ceb0dbe3dacb04b620aabb249db1d13f37944.png
https://blossom.primal.net/113a95fdf8faa18f1cbceac1972640295a9a1855fd08e99a0dbffe3e92e103b4.png
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bitcoin-crash-during-the-bitcoin-conference-1776195911

2026-04-14 18:35:06 GMT

JUST IN: UCLA is favored to win the College World Series.
https://blossom.primal.net/651adf4b72b146b7a1949a2e84ef1fa76548c280ef736d986aa54e55fd3ef2f6.png https://blossom.primal.net/f14218674ddcf3c4f9987bac8bc67e074e5a00d8c5a411fc89ad8c9ebc4761b9.png
⚡ https://beta.predyx.com/market/2026-college-world-series-champion-1776111720

2026-04-14 12:35:09 GMT

JUST IN: Odds of #BIP110 soft fork activation and enforcement now just 6.64%
https://blossom.primal.net/ada37fab702e0a6f24bb0268948d6dd2a244f6ef470e1771ec6a3bdddd673735.png https://blossom.primal.net/2405412c2a37df320ff57213cb4c01c919a9d9a2052ec6133fbb479ab7224481.jpg
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509

2026-04-14 12:08:17 GMT

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Who will the 'Finding Satoshi' documentary, about #Bitcoin's pseudonymous creator, identify as Satoshi Nakamoto?
https://blossom.primal.net/00e3e2d0743ce5b95617f656811b1e26995c6b4d9a4fc5f188d10ad7f714762b.png https://blossom.primal.net/a69aad025147d59d8726b4f12b66e88742a1c1ae4601acaa4b8f61c9ad75723d.png
https://beta.predyx.com/market/satoshi-identified-by-finding-satoshi-documentary-1776167412

2026-04-13 18:59:45 GMT

JUST IN: 🇧🇷 Flávio Bolsonaro's odds of winning the Brazil's Presidential election jump 10%.
66%
https://blossom.primal.net/56d88e94fc244cab8ca013615f70c6e97d2b4bf313b8aa97d5e6ab6173959d12.png
https://blossom.primal.net/a4c6744f4f8601ae6b4027c5a91d162d261061cd634eda5bcd578e10b264ab3b.png
https://beta.predyx.com/market/who-will-win-the-brazil-presidential-election-1766401659

2026-04-13 18:44:01 GMT

JUST IN: Odds #Bitcoin dips below $45,000 in 2026 down 14% since last week.
18%
https://blossom.primal.net/fc9010aede9bcb4c6942f60550133ab0d29e966d42a8fc96f9e6d76ebbbb4b4c.jpg https://blossom.primal.net/31c785e527dc104da6ee28b360ae83f0c8ba06b8f432536a8d3629ec2b1577cb.jpg
https://beta.predyx.com/market/bitcoin-below-45k-in-2026-1770333683

2026-04-10 13:32:28 GMT

PREDYX makes prediction markets simple and fun.
All you need is a Bitcoin wallet with Lightning⚡️
https://blossom.primal.net/ec83cdbe85c479f3cd8acb9f984ffa90ca9131c16a87570698b034482741b1c8.png

2026-04-10 13:27:25 GMT

No VPN? No driver's license? No problem.
PREDYX is powered by Bitcoin's Lightning⚡ Network which means ANYONE can start trading their predictions in seconds!
👉 https://beta.predyx.com
https://blossom.primal.net/ace052ff0ffa5b869447f19a989f2fd1e7e95ab389c7e74a16d1517fadd74a8a.png