Building Common Futures, a new energy transition consultancy. 35+ years of experience in the energy transition. Posting here on energy, climate &more 100% renewable energy globally by 2050 is possible! Views my own. ( searchable ) Expert in: the energy transition Driven by: the need for climate action Closely follows: Ukraine's liberation drive Lives in: Utrecht, the Netherlands
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2026-07-03T20:01:57Z Event JSON
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Last Notes npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Either that or "Let's see if we can reach bipartisan agreement on this" npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun On the situation in Germany: FNB Gas, an association of gas transmission operators in Germany, warned Wednesday (19 August) that the government's target of an average gas storage level of 71% by November 1 is now "virtually unattainable." https://www.dw.com/en/germany-energy-crisis-oil-gas-storage-lng-russia-graphic/a-78440677 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Out of the main LNG exporting countries, that leaves Australia. Not the most logical supplier distance-wise, and normally supplying Asian countries. And in the EU, we had decided to finally stop importing LNG from Russia by 31 December. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/163/731/916/409/818/original/cd0257b13dc95619.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Out of the main LNG exporting countries, that leaves Australia. Not the most logical supplier distance-wise, and normally supplying Asian countries. And in the EU, we had decided to finally stop importing LNG from Russia by 31 December. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/163/724/373/133/239/original/ef18f3e438a31d2b.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Gasunie does not buy or sell gas. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun We're of course making Europe more dependent on regular LNG supply now. Trump has already threatened to use US LNG to put pressure on the EU, e.g. for being nasty to his tech billionaire buddies. Normally, other countries would jump in, but Trump's war against Iran has knocked out Qatar for now. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dutch state-owned gas transmission company Gasunie confirms that the Netherlands will not be able to meet its gas storage filling targets of 74% (EU commitment) or 80% (government goal) by October. "But for a normal winter, it's sufficient". Germany is also way behind, btw. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/160/109/840/749/631/original/69e9199ef4b72e8d.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun German government has made quite an effort in the EC to stave off the #Verbrenneraus ('look, we should be allowed to burn something'). Now they may be starting to see a #Volkswagenaus instead npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun So do I. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun German state leader urges joint action to avert Volkswagen plant closures. Such a pity that the company spent so much time and effort in hiding the emissions of its diesel engines instead of racing to become an EV company. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/german-state-leader-urges-joint-action-avert-volkswagen-plant-closures-2026-08-24 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump threatens to use military force against high interest rates in the US. 🤡 https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-suggests-military-bond-markets-222513278.html npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dutch government (council of ministers) is back from summer holiday, and parliament returns in ten days from now. Would it be too much to expect the announcement of a strong climate offensive (accelerated emission reduction and adaptation) one of these days, in response to this Summer of Reckoning? #ClimateChange #heat #heatwaves #drought npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun https://www.trouw.nl/duurzaamheid-economie/klimaatschade-door-hitte-droogte-en-brand-dat-is-precies-waar-economen-al-decennia-voor-waarschuwen~b6a80362/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Nee, dat denk ik niet. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun "Economic damage from climate change arrives sooner than expected", headline in @npub1m06…e2lx today. While climate scientists were pretty much on the mark on warming (and a bit cautious on ots effects), economists may well have been too rosy about the impact. One of them, William Nordhaus, even got the pseudo-Nobel prize for economics for calculating that it was a smart idea to postpone climate action, as recently as 2018. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/126/114/874/182/555/original/ebb8c5c45e41eae7.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Sea what I mean? https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/123/344/600/816/642/original/a77737bfccca7eb2.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun North Sea (30 km from the Dutch coast) reaches all-time high temperature of 21.5°C, beating the previous record set in 2018. This of course leads to heavier rainfall events, and damage to nature and fisheries. This is due to climate change, caused by burning fossil fuels. https://www.nu.nl/klimaat/6406844/hittegolf-in-de-noordzee-duurt-al-tachtig-dagen-en-leidt-tot-temperatuurrecord.html #northsea #marine #marinelife #heatwave #fossilfuels #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/123/326/055/816/600/original/b92a87ee09a55850.jpeg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun No, we were on a different ferry. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun So: if you want a car, try to get an electric one! (I do most of my travels by bike and public transport.) And if you're in an EV charging company or in government: Please work hard on further improvements and harmonisation! 8/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun But otherwise: an incredibly smooth ride. The low noise levels, the ease of driving in the mountains and in busy traffic, and the lack of exhaust fumes make any fossil fuel car feel pretty backward. And the average price we paid per km was a lot lower than for a comparable fossil fuel car. 7/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Then there's the upfront amount that is often reserved from your credit card. In one case, a failing charger of Norwegian Kople reserved €25 three times for 3 failed attempts, and only returned the reservation 10 days later. After I sent them an e-mail, but I won't know if that was necessary. 6/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Even afterwards, you often won't know what you paid per kWh. E-Flux sends you an e-mail "session sucessfully concluded", with the amount of kWh that you took up (sometimes 0.00 kWh, not 'successful' in my eyes). But not what you paid. You can find out on your credit card overview days later. 5/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Prices per kWh are all over the place and often require research to find out (and depend on which one of your cards/apps works for that charger). Signs by the roadside, like the ones for petrol and diesel, are still the exception. https://mastodon.energy/@Sustainable2050/116990463812426999 4/ #note1t20…75d4 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Quite a few chargers (1/4 of those we tried) didn't work at all. Sometimes clearly indicated, like this one next to a Lidl supermarket, but often not; then it becomes trial and error, and one after another driver has the same bad experience. 3/ https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/112/616/840/005/155/original/7be9b0886eb2bdc4.png https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/112/617/492/874/325/original/5d5f8d853f25381f.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun RE: https://mastodon.energy/@Sustainable2050/116987754766803603 After a 3-week summer holiday to Norway with our electric car (a VW ID.4), my conclusion is that the charging infrastructure is still in its infancy. Sometimes it works great, but as many times it doesn't. It's not mature yet. Work to do! 🧵 #EV #EVs #electricvehicles #charging #electrification #energytransition #note1cq2…ah59 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Like practically all far-right parties, Reform UK want to stop climate action. Perfectly aligned with fossil fuel interests, and could well be related to their murky financing. Reform’s Tice accused of misinformation after urging people to enjoy heatwaves https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/aug/17/reform-uk-richard-tice-stop-tackling-climate-crisis-enjoy-heat #heatwave #heat #ClimateChange #ClimateDenial npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Sure. I have a subscription. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The climate-fueled massive heatwaves, drought, and wildfires (understandably) lead to more attention for climate adaptation. The fact that we can never win the adaptation race if we don't reduce global emissions to zero is overlooked, and so is the resulting need to accelerate emission reduction. #heat #drought #climateChange #adaptation #emissions npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun In the media competition 'How to trivialise climate change', Dutch @nrc.nl has this strong entry on its frontpage today: "Waving against the heat. Higher temperatures good for sales of Spanish fans." #heat #heatwave #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/109/202/770/295/108/original/1262d4ea9d8c9a41.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Drought in the Netherlands: precipitation deficit for the season reached above 300 mm, a rare value, 150% above peak in a mediaan year. Now forecasted to stabilise thanks to a bit of rain. Worst in the west of the country. #drought #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/106/210/442/260/170/original/629310af39863670.png https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/106/210/508/204/739/original/c71367e8d7881a5e.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 562 m³/s now... But a little rain coming up on the forecasts. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Largest wildfire in Belgium's history: 27 km² burned and still rapidly expanding. Evacuations in several villages. https://nos.nl/l/2626995 #drought #ClimateChange #wildfires #heatwave npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Hungary now plans to sink two 80-metre barges near the plant to raise the local water level temporarily, while a submerged structure in the riverbed is being prepared as a longer-term solution. The country normally gets almost half of its electricity from the Paks power plant. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Drought in Europe: Today, Hungary's Paks nuclear power plant was operating at only around 25% of its capacity, with the government preparing emergency measures to prevent further reductions. Photo: the Danube at Paks https://dailynewshungary.com/danube-drought-central-europe-crisis/ #drought #climatechange #nuclearpower npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 12,500 people in Germany alone died due to the heat so far this summer. #heatwave #heat #climatechange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/100/349/782/033/005/original/d7e7ac65159ff7b0.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The water flow in the Rhine keeps plummeting. It had never been below 780 m³/s in summer. When we were at 650, an expert told us it couldn't go much lower. Now we're at 572 m³/s, the lowest on record, even below the ice blocked flow in the winter of 1929. #drought #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/100/129/209/725/407/original/d3a28c23d532a466.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Eerst maar eens zien of ze de link met klimaatverandering überhaupt erkennen. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 'Drought will cost Money' Dutch right-wing paper Telegraaf - not known for its support for serious climate action - has Einstein moment. #drought #extremeheat #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/097/707/100/778/597/original/4d333d574854b1d4.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Vast, climate-fueled wildfire forces evacuation of village in Eifel forest, Germany. Largest wildfire ever in the state of North Rhine Westphalia. https://www.dw.com/en/vast-german-wildfire-forces-evacuation-in-eifel-forest/live-78361311 #ClimateChange #extremeweather #heatwave #drought npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun RE: https://mastodon.ie/@EugeneMcParland/117078328558515338 Although airport employees repeatedly spotted the drone visually, the Federal Police’s warning systems registered nothing. Despite having a drone detection device actively in operation, no alerts were triggered. #note1rd2…xg6p npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun July was the second warmest on record globally, tied with 2024, and just behind 2023. The global average temperature for July 2026 was 16.90°C, 0.67°C above the 1991-2020 average for July and 1.47°C above the estimated pre-industrial average for the month. From https://climate.copernicus.eu/surface-air-temperature-july-2026 #ClimateChange #globalwarming https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/078/357/268/166/651/original/ee37462e05df38cd.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Oh wait, 575 m³/s in February 1929, but that was due to ice blocking the river flow ;) npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And the Rhine is not alone: most of Europe's rivers have a (very) flow now: red on this map. From https://nos.nl/l/2626232 https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/069/738/701/108/863/original/88ff5b0be0192fd0.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun All-time low water flow in the river Rhine! Where it enters the Netherlands, only 614 m³/s yesterday, breaking the November 1947 record of 620 m³/s. In summer, this is unheard of: normally it's around 1700 m³/s. Little or no rain upstream. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/069/721/860/570/556/original/3dcb127565ffbd3a.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The drought in the Netherlands keeps getting worse. The Rhine has reached levels lower than were thought to be possible. Water management board are struggling, and this is the weather forecast for coming week... https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/067/326/796/033/642/original/5ece4953deb67c2f.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Note that it's our dependence on fossil fuels again that drives this imperialism. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun "Greenland's elected leaders now face a delicate decision. They could grant permission for oil drilling, even though the planned wells appear to fall within a wetlands conservation area. Or they could refuse and, some worry, give Trump a pretext to advance his imperialist agenda." npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun An American oil company connected to Trump is preparing to sink wells in remote Greenland despite not having received permission from the local authorities. Materials to prepare for drilling were brought ashore in recent days on Greenland’s eastern coast. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/08/greenland-iwarning-trump-linked-oil-firm-prepares-drill?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Another disaster on the account of our fossil fuel use.: Oil spill from grounded tanker off Oman expands sharply, satellite images show https://apnews.com/article/oil-tanker-russia-oman-marine-spill-environment-b163bc0540786085f5a6e5986c3f4936 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun This burning summer is the proof: the voices of climate denial aren’t just delusional, they’re deadly. From the Mayor of London. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/aug/08/burning-summer-climate-denial-green-policies-sadiq-khan npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun yes, 131,000,000,000 kilo's in total. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/pork-consumption-by-country npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The paper in Nature Food: Limited net-export capacity undermines the Netherlands’ ‘feeding the world’ narrative https://www.nature.com/articles/s43016-026-01369-2 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun "If we'd eat a little less meat, as recommended for health reasons too, our nitrogen deposition problem (harming nature in the Netherlands) would be halved, and we wouldn't have to import fodder." Sounds like a plan! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dutch farmers like to say they 'feed the world', but all their livestock needs massive imports of fodder; the world feeds our pigs. New study by Wageningen University WUR finds that there is no net contribution to global food supply. Interview with prof. Imke de Boer: https://www.trouw.nl/duurzaamheid-economie/hoogleraar-nee-nederland-voedt-de-wereld-niet-dus-we-hoeven-ook-niet-zoveel-veevoer-te-importeren~bfd06a40/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun It's largely left to market parties, and they don't think they can make a profit by buying now and selling at a higher price in winter. I think it's fair to say the governments haven't taken sufficient action, although Dutch state-owned EBN is filling some of the storages now. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The national target for Germany is 70%, and for the Netherlands, the government aims for 80%. Both by end-October, but usually, not much filling happens in October as the heating season starts, so these targets should preferably be met by 30 September. That's less than 8 weeks from now. Data: agsi.gie.eu 3/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun With 8 weeks of the typical filling season to go, Germany has filled 48% of its storages and is moving ahead extremely slowly. The Netherlands has only filled 39% but is moving a little faster. It's hard to see how either of the two will exceed 60%. The rest of the EU is already at 66%. 2/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The EU is not on track to achieve the necessary filling level of its natural gas storages, making it vulnerable to timely delivery of LNG from Trump's US and the Persian Gulf this coming winter. Germany and the Netherlands are to blame. Together, they have over 1/3 of the storage capacity. 1/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Greenhouse growers in Dutch Delfland region starting to panic, fearing millions in losses and bankruptcies from next week. Angry at the water management board, which "should have warned them of the possible ban on using surface water weeks ago." https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/08/06/in-het-westland-is-het-nu-crisis-door-waterruzie-met-hoogheemraadschap-dan-maar-extra-gezuiverd-rioolwater-zeggen-de-glastuinders-wij-betalen-a4933988?gift_token=4933988%7E1786651436%7EtrOzbjrSRpSn70EyY_7u2A%7E7kQQ7VjUbRb-I9Vb1QZguBvEvTCs5xLJEur0OTrGC3g #drought #climatechange npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Seeing the beautiful and still impressive Norwegian glaciers, it's sad to know they're rapidly retreating. One sign said "If we manage to keep global warming below 1.5°C, around 25-30% of the glaciers can be preserved." Video taken at Suphellebreen, part of Jostedalsbreen. #globalwarming #ClimateChange #glaciers https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/049/297/125/874/005/original/6db8cdb22e8576a2.mp4 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Definitely, Chris, thanks for the link! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun On those other species: https://fediscience.org/@rahmstorf/117043539451806151 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Thanks, Chris! It was a pleasure to talk with you! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Greenhouse growers in the region want an exception, saying they need the water for irrigation. Water management board refuses. Growers: "Please give us water, or we'll have millions of damage to our crops. We don't care if salty seawater enters, any water is better than no water." https://nos.nl/l/2625554 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun laatste dag dan: https://www.ad.nl/rotterdam/oei-droogte-alle-sluizen-dicht-en-een-verbod-op-water-sproeien-in-rotterdam~ac15e2a8/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Code Black for water shortage in the Delft region of the Netherlands! No use of surface water (canals, lakes) allowed anymore. Water managers fear intrusion of salty seawater, as damage to dikes due to low water levels need to be prevented. https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/08/04/vanwege-de-droogte-voor-het-eerst-de-sluizen-dicht-in-het-waterrijke-westen-het-is-code-zwart-vanaf-middernacht-is-water-onttrekken-verboden-a4933840?utm_source=clipboard&utm_medium=clipboard&utm_campaign=share&utm_term=share-modal&gift_token=4933840%7E1786478392%7EtrOzbjrSRpSn70EyY_7u2A%7EnhG6LFx7Bj3RFKgfe6OxLm1j56bE028Z98Dhtz9EqBo npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 🤔 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Five days ago, the Rhine - at the point where it enters the Netherlands - reached its lowest level ever recorded: 6.47 meter above sea level. Now it's at 6.35 m. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/035/981/051/511/249/original/fb6ac401fcd76ec6.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun "You should support climate action, for your children and grandchildren" is a bit shortsighted. You should support it for everyone living now, especially those already taking the hardest hits all over the world. And your neighbours, friends, family, yourself. And future generations. And other species. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Met genoegen! Heb het in maart ook al eens geprobeerd. Zou ook niet van Kamerleden moeten afhangen, maar het partijbureau is blijkbaar nogal laks hierin, en iemand moet er blijkbaar wat peper instoppen :) npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Ha @npub18k9…30hx , dit past toch eigenlijk niet bij jullie oproepen voor meer digitale autonomie? npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Angry farmers block Dutch highway but don't get fined. Because... they had covered their licence plates 🤦♂️🤦♀️🤦 The police: that's illegal, but there was little we could do about it "given the situation" 🤡 The difference with the treatment of XR climate activists doing the same on foot is striking. https://www.rtl.nl/nieuws/binnenland/artikel/5634951/boeren-blokkeren-snelweg-met-tachtig-tractoren-maar-krijgen-geen npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun RE: https://mastodon.energy/@Sustainable2050/116314156866515972 Ha @npub1alr…jszd , Waarom is PRO nog steeds alleen actief op Amerikaanse commerciële social media en niet hier? Zoveel moeite is dat toch ook weer niet? #note1p5h…ynw9 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Positive messages can be about things we can improve while reducing emissions. Take electric cars: reducing air pollution and lung disease next to emissions. Or wind farms in the North Sea helping to restore biodiversity. I'm sure we can come up with tons of examples. Just don't sell crap. 5/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun I get that we need positive messages, too. In combination with facing the facts, that is. I don't think that fooling people with the fiction that we can prevent the climate situation getting worse (or even improve it) is helpful. It's dishonest. 4/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun "Look at those terrible wildfires. We can stop them by reducing our emissions to zero". Crap, unfortunately. We can reduce the risks by forest management, different te species, etc. But the climate conditions that fuel wildfires will get worse as long as we haven't reached net zero emissions. 3/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun But if we don't reduce emissions to zero, the situation will get even worse, and eventually get out of hand with tipping points being crossed. So, logic has it that we need to reduce emissions to zero. Adults should be able to handle this. 2/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The nasty little thing with climate change is that the situation progressively gets worse as long as we emit greenhouse gases, and that is irreversible. So there's no happy message "Let's bring emissions to zero and then everything will be alright" Nope, everything will be worse than it is now. 1/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun That's exactly what my post says. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Lowest ever Rhine water flow measured at the German-Dutch border in July was 782 m³/h, in 1976. Now, we're at 680 m³/h! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/010/792/692/449/723/original/72652dbf0f71b08f.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun I don't want Europe to become an AI continent. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Just that a petrol engine has an efficiency of 25% :) For 15 km, you'll need 1 litre of petrol or 2.5 kWh of electricity. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Taking the electric car to Norway, and noting the enormous difference between German Raststätte (dirty, junk food, too few chargers, some out of order, out in the rain) and their Danish equivalents (clean, OK food, ample chargers, all functioning, under a roof). https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/987/740/277/909/281/original/f7715acbc0b39b42.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun I wonder how the behaviour of the Argentinian football team during and after the world cup final is seen at home, but in the eyes of most Europeans, it certainly wasn't an advertisement for the country. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Listen to Britain’s dawn chorus of 1976: the dramatic loss of birdsong in 50 years. Great audio reconstruction. Same here near Utrecht, the Netherlands: From deafening chorus to almost silent spring. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jul/03/dawn-chorus-uk-birdsong-50-years-audio-landscape npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Halfway the EU gas storage filling season, the Netherlands is lagging. Our storages are only at 31% now, way behind the EU average of 53%, and other major storage countries like France (52%), Germany (45%) and Italy (71%). Based on security of supply advice by Gasunie, Dutch government had set a target of 80% by 1 November 2026. Our EU obligation is 74%. Both would practically seem out of reach by now, which is unfortunate in view of our dependence on LNG imports in an unstable world. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/933/694/651/772/052/original/45d0a4e01439bd78.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Lowest ever Rhine flow measured here in July was 782 m³/h, in 1976. Now, it's 759, and still falling. The forecast seems a bit behind reality ;) https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/925/481/895/052/030/original/9e21d386c25d29cb.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Rhine river, where it enters the Netherlands, reaches record low flow for July (and still going down). https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/07/14/bij-lobith-stroomt-historisch-weinig-water-de-rijn-door-a4932457 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun No. In an uncontrollably fast spread of a fire started by any kind of event. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Wildfire shuts down Autoroute du Soleil, south of Paris. Severe delays on high-speed rail too. Climate-fueled heatwaves have consequences. https://f24.my/C3Ej.bs https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/911/338/406/556/020/original/ac06ebc0b5cbe1b8.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 1,700 people were killed by the June heatwave in Belgium. Massive overload in hospital emergency rooms, 19,000 calls to the emergency number 112 in a day. Many brought to hospitals with heat stroke, body temperatures of 42°C. #climate #climatechange #extremeweather. https://www.standaard.be/binnenland/hulpverleners-reconstrueren-het-fatale-hitteweekend-we-vonden-mensen-dood-in-de-zetel-op-een-stoel-of-in-bed/158560182.html npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun After 17 years of construction (the plan was 4.5 years), 2 years of commissioning, and a few months of operation, France's new nuclear power plant Flamanville 3 is now getting ready for the replacement of its reactor head. It will be out of operation for a year. https://www.sfeninenglish.org/flamanville-3-new-reactor-vessel-head-arrives-ahead-of-vc1/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 'Never before have 11,000 hectares burned this early in the summer in southern France in at least the past 20 years' https://www.lemonde.fr/en/environment/article/2026/07/07/never-before-have-11-000-hectares-burned-this-early-in-the-summer-in-southern-france-in-at-least-the-past-20-years_6755215_114.html npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Overall, we're still speeding in the wrong direction! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/860/299/272/681/982/original/f64e907052ead963.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa averaged ~431.4 ppm in June, based on daily averages. That's 1.8 ppm higher than last year. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/857/900/541/762/998/original/f896c69c8fe27c18.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 🗓️1 July: Exactly 40 years ago, I started working on the energy transition! Right after studying phyics in Utrecht, I was asked to join startup Ecofys (Ecology & Physics ;) by its founders Kornelis Blok and Ad van Wijk. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/846/734/213/922/503/original/6a853df382a77d04.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The train from the village to Utrecht has a bit of a heat problem, I think ;) https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/816/370/508/643/170/original/db72194637bae3e7.jpg https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/816/370/622/783/384/original/86eb9c3ff73ecdf6.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun In short, this is a weirdly extreme event, only possible due to climate change. As @tinuspulles.bsky.social pointed out, explanations like 'heat dome' and 'jet stream' are about mechanisms. The driving force behind all of this is global warming, largely due to burning fossil fuels. 7/8 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The absolute high temperatures that we'll experience in the coming days are extreme, too. For 75 years, we knew that the highest temperature ever recorded was 38.6°C in Warnsveld (1944). Then came July 2019, and we crashed forward to 40.7°C (Gilze Rijen, 25 July). Now, 39-40°C is already possible again. 6/8