Building Common Futures, a new energy transition consultancy. 35+ years of experience in the energy transition. Posting here on energy, climate &more 100% renewable energy globally by 2050 is possible! Views my own. ( searchable ) Expert in: the energy transition Driven by: the need for climate action Closely follows: Ukraine's liberation drive Lives in: Utrecht, the Netherlands
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2026-07-03T20:01:57Z Event JSON
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Last Notes npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun RE: https://mastodon.ie/@EugeneMcParland/117078328558515338 Although airport employees repeatedly spotted the drone visually, the Federal Police’s warning systems registered nothing. Despite having a drone detection device actively in operation, no alerts were triggered. #note1rd2…xg6p npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun July was the second warmest on record globally, tied with 2024, and just behind 2023. The global average temperature for July 2026 was 16.90°C, 0.67°C above the 1991-2020 average for July and 1.47°C above the estimated pre-industrial average for the month. From https://climate.copernicus.eu/surface-air-temperature-july-2026 #ClimateChange #globalwarming https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/078/357/268/166/651/original/ee37462e05df38cd.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Oh wait, 575 m³/s in February 1929, but that was due to ice blocking the river flow ;) npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And the Rhine is not alone: most of Europe's rivers have a (very) flow now: red on this map. From https://nos.nl/l/2626232 https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/069/738/701/108/863/original/88ff5b0be0192fd0.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun All-time low water flow in the river Rhine! Where it enters the Netherlands, only 614 m³/s yesterday, breaking the November 1947 record of 620 m³/s. In summer, this is unheard of: normally it's around 1700 m³/s. Little or no rain upstream. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/069/721/860/570/556/original/3dcb127565ffbd3a.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The drought in the Netherlands keeps getting worse. The Rhine has reached levels lower than were thought to be possible. Water management board are struggling, and this is the weather forecast for coming week... https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/067/326/796/033/642/original/5ece4953deb67c2f.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Note that it's our dependence on fossil fuels again that drives this imperialism. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun "Greenland's elected leaders now face a delicate decision. They could grant permission for oil drilling, even though the planned wells appear to fall within a wetlands conservation area. Or they could refuse and, some worry, give Trump a pretext to advance his imperialist agenda." npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun An American oil company connected to Trump is preparing to sink wells in remote Greenland despite not having received permission from the local authorities. Materials to prepare for drilling were brought ashore in recent days on Greenland’s eastern coast. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/08/greenland-iwarning-trump-linked-oil-firm-prepares-drill?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Another disaster on the account of our fossil fuel use.: Oil spill from grounded tanker off Oman expands sharply, satellite images show https://apnews.com/article/oil-tanker-russia-oman-marine-spill-environment-b163bc0540786085f5a6e5986c3f4936 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun This burning summer is the proof: the voices of climate denial aren’t just delusional, they’re deadly. From the Mayor of London. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/aug/08/burning-summer-climate-denial-green-policies-sadiq-khan npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun yes, 131,000,000,000 kilo's in total. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/pork-consumption-by-country npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The paper in Nature Food: Limited net-export capacity undermines the Netherlands’ ‘feeding the world’ narrative https://www.nature.com/articles/s43016-026-01369-2 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun "If we'd eat a little less meat, as recommended for health reasons too, our nitrogen deposition problem (harming nature in the Netherlands) would be halved, and we wouldn't have to import fodder." Sounds like a plan! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dutch farmers like to say they 'feed the world', but all their livestock needs massive imports of fodder; the world feeds our pigs. New study by Wageningen University WUR finds that there is no net contribution to global food supply. Interview with prof. Imke de Boer: https://www.trouw.nl/duurzaamheid-economie/hoogleraar-nee-nederland-voedt-de-wereld-niet-dus-we-hoeven-ook-niet-zoveel-veevoer-te-importeren~bfd06a40/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun It's largely left to market parties, and they don't think they can make a profit by buying now and selling at a higher price in winter. I think it's fair to say the governments haven't taken sufficient action, although Dutch state-owned EBN is filling some of the storages now. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The national target for Germany is 70%, and for the Netherlands, the government aims for 80%. Both by end-October, but usually, not much filling happens in October as the heating season starts, so these targets should preferably be met by 30 September. That's less than 8 weeks from now. Data: agsi.gie.eu 3/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun With 8 weeks of the typical filling season to go, Germany has filled 48% of its storages and is moving ahead extremely slowly. The Netherlands has only filled 39% but is moving a little faster. It's hard to see how either of the two will exceed 60%. The rest of the EU is already at 66%. 2/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The EU is not on track to achieve the necessary filling level of its natural gas storages, making it vulnerable to timely delivery of LNG from Trump's US and the Persian Gulf this coming winter. Germany and the Netherlands are to blame. Together, they have over 1/3 of the storage capacity. 1/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Greenhouse growers in Dutch Delfland region starting to panic, fearing millions in losses and bankruptcies from next week. Angry at the water management board, which "should have warned them of the possible ban on using surface water weeks ago." https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/08/06/in-het-westland-is-het-nu-crisis-door-waterruzie-met-hoogheemraadschap-dan-maar-extra-gezuiverd-rioolwater-zeggen-de-glastuinders-wij-betalen-a4933988?gift_token=4933988%7E1786651436%7EtrOzbjrSRpSn70EyY_7u2A%7E7kQQ7VjUbRb-I9Vb1QZguBvEvTCs5xLJEur0OTrGC3g #drought #climatechange npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Definitely, Chris, thanks for the link! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun On those other species: https://fediscience.org/@rahmstorf/117043539451806151 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Thanks, Chris! It was a pleasure to talk with you! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Greenhouse growers in the region want an exception, saying they need the water for irrigation. Water management board refuses. Growers: "Please give us water, or we'll have millions of damage to our crops. We don't care if salty seawater enters, any water is better than no water." https://nos.nl/l/2625554 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun laatste dag dan: https://www.ad.nl/rotterdam/oei-droogte-alle-sluizen-dicht-en-een-verbod-op-water-sproeien-in-rotterdam~ac15e2a8/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Code Black for water shortage in the Delft region of the Netherlands! No use of surface water (canals, lakes) allowed anymore. Water managers fear intrusion of salty seawater, as damage to dikes due to low water levels need to be prevented. https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/08/04/vanwege-de-droogte-voor-het-eerst-de-sluizen-dicht-in-het-waterrijke-westen-het-is-code-zwart-vanaf-middernacht-is-water-onttrekken-verboden-a4933840?utm_source=clipboard&utm_medium=clipboard&utm_campaign=share&utm_term=share-modal&gift_token=4933840%7E1786478392%7EtrOzbjrSRpSn70EyY_7u2A%7EnhG6LFx7Bj3RFKgfe6OxLm1j56bE028Z98Dhtz9EqBo npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 🤔 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Five days ago, the Rhine - at the point where it enters the Netherlands - reached its lowest level ever recorded: 6.47 meter above sea level. Now it's at 6.35 m. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/035/981/051/511/249/original/fb6ac401fcd76ec6.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Met genoegen! Heb het in maart ook al eens geprobeerd. Zou ook niet van Kamerleden moeten afhangen, maar het partijbureau is blijkbaar nogal laks hierin, en iemand moet er blijkbaar wat peper instoppen :) npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Angry farmers block Dutch highway but don't get fined. Because... they had covered their licence plates 🤦♂️🤦♀️🤦 The police: that's illegal, but there was little we could do about it "given the situation" 🤡 The difference with the treatment of XR climate activists doing the same on foot is striking. https://www.rtl.nl/nieuws/binnenland/artikel/5634951/boeren-blokkeren-snelweg-met-tachtig-tractoren-maar-krijgen-geen npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun RE: https://mastodon.energy/@Sustainable2050/116314156866515972 Ha @npub1alr…jszd , Waarom is PRO nog steeds alleen actief op Amerikaanse commerciële social media en niet hier? Zoveel moeite is dat toch ook weer niet? #note1p5h…ynw9 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun But if we don't reduce emissions to zero, the situation will get even worse, and eventually get out of hand with tipping points being crossed. So, logic has it that we need to reduce emissions to zero. Adults should be able to handle this. 2/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The nasty little thing with climate change is that the situation progressively gets worse as long as we emit greenhouse gases, and that is irreversible. So there's no happy message "Let's bring emissions to zero and then everything will be alright" Nope, everything will be worse than it is now. 1/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun I don't want Europe to become an AI continent. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Halfway the EU gas storage filling season, the Netherlands is lagging. Our storages are only at 31% now, way behind the EU average of 53%, and other major storage countries like France (52%), Germany (45%) and Italy (71%). Based on security of supply advice by Gasunie, Dutch government had set a target of 80% by 1 November 2026. Our EU obligation is 74%. Both would practically seem out of reach by now, which is unfortunate in view of our dependence on LNG imports in an unstable world. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/933/694/651/772/052/original/45d0a4e01439bd78.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Lowest ever Rhine flow measured here in July was 782 m³/h, in 1976. Now, it's 759, and still falling. The forecast seems a bit behind reality ;) https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/925/481/895/052/030/original/9e21d386c25d29cb.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Rhine river, where it enters the Netherlands, reaches record low flow for July (and still going down). https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/07/14/bij-lobith-stroomt-historisch-weinig-water-de-rijn-door-a4932457 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun No. In an uncontrollably fast spread of a fire started by any kind of event. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 1,700 people were killed by the June heatwave in Belgium. Massive overload in hospital emergency rooms, 19,000 calls to the emergency number 112 in a day. Many brought to hospitals with heat stroke, body temperatures of 42°C. #climate #climatechange #extremeweather. https://www.standaard.be/binnenland/hulpverleners-reconstrueren-het-fatale-hitteweekend-we-vonden-mensen-dood-in-de-zetel-op-een-stoel-of-in-bed/158560182.html npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun After 17 years of construction (the plan was 4.5 years), 2 years of commissioning, and a few months of operation, France's new nuclear power plant Flamanville 3 is now getting ready for the replacement of its reactor head. It will be out of operation for a year. https://www.sfeninenglish.org/flamanville-3-new-reactor-vessel-head-arrives-ahead-of-vc1/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Overall, we're still speeding in the wrong direction! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/860/299/272/681/982/original/f64e907052ead963.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa averaged ~431.4 ppm in June, based on daily averages. That's 1.8 ppm higher than last year. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/857/900/541/762/998/original/f896c69c8fe27c18.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 🗓️1 July: Exactly 40 years ago, I started working on the energy transition! Right after studying phyics in Utrecht, I was asked to join startup Ecofys (Ecology & Physics ;) by its founders Kornelis Blok and Ad van Wijk. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/846/734/213/922/503/original/6a853df382a77d04.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun As a tribute to the fierce heatwaves roasting our cities these days, the city of Brussels just turned the Schuman roundabout facing the EC headquarters into a giant slab of concrete. Via Hans Diels on LinkedIn. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/800/665/225/764/772/original/39530fa1d4df819c.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun "Period of extreme heat in Europe, with important role of climate change." @npub1szf…psxe says it like it is, written by weatherman and climate scientist Peter Kuipers Munneke. https://nos.nl/l/2619698 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Climate alarm! This is NOT within normal bounds for the Netherlands: the second half of June is now forecasted to become the warmest in 126 years, beating June 2023 by a margin of over 3°C! 24-hour average of 23.4°C, in this forecast. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/781/541/285/809/907/original/2eed6e4afe91b2d9.jpg https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/781/541/339/997/738/original/e9e4aab3a3c032d1.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Iranian regime Before: Ali Khamenei + IRGC After: Mojtaba Khamenei + IRGC Does Trump even know he lost? npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Under the Trump-Iran MoU signed now: • Strait of Hormuz open • Oil price $78 • Global fertiliser shortage • Iran not developing a nuclear weapon • School girls in Minab dead. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Before Trump and Netanyahu started their illegal war against Iran: • Strait of Hormuz open • Oil price $60 • No fertiliser shortage • Iran not developing a nuclear weapon • School girls in Minab alive npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 21% more, of they do it now. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/738/781/778/214/764/original/cf09e8344a398886.jpeg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun So apparently, gullible investors and gullible investment/pension funds just gave far-right society breaker Musk another $75 billion to spend as he pleases. #SpaceX https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/738/744/268/168/753/original/c99606d2d7ded0d5.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Podcast! Over fietsen, de energietransitie (vanaf 05:30) en onze eigen acties om emissies te reduceren. Netcongestie, windstille winterweken, de rol van biomethaan en waterstof, 100% duurzame energie, SMR's, negatieve emissies: het zit er allemaal in! Klimaatfietsers: https://open.spotify.com/episode/0KRHnTEXuUd7iFQdpGIzio?si=1yDIwOOqTnWaMVhvTg--8g npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Overall, we're still speeding in the wrong direction! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/707/778/313/278/490/original/c4532e4cc95af841.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 41% of new cars sold in the Netherlands last month were fully electric. We're getting close to the 50% mark! Diesel has all but disappeared now, with a market share of 1.1%. https://www.raivereniging.nl/news-items/lichte-stijging-autoregistraties-in-mei npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Confirmed: atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa averaged 432.3 ppm in May, probably the highest in 15 million years, and 1.8 ppm higher than last year. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/705/051/591/540/901/original/07e418cd8b05fb7b.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump regime takes aim at crucial ocean monitoring network. Ships will be dispatched this month to remove the more than 900 deep-sea instruments that comprise the network, one of the world’s most trusted sources of climate and oceanic data. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/trump-administration-takes-aim-at-crucial-ocean-monitoring-network/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Overall, we're still speeding in the wrong direction! #CO2 #ClimateChange #emissions https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/676/880/906/244/224/original/6ddb07675f5a7322.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump now threatens to blow up Oman, the country - known as a US ally - hosting the negotiations between the US and Iran until Trump and Netanyahu suddenly started their illegal war. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/27/donald-trump-oman-threat-strait-hormuz https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/648/541/544/020/515/original/5868bbe73a7c3d8a.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Looking at a blue sky with planes flying by. Every 737 burns 3,000 litres (25 bathtubs) of kerosene per hour. That's as much fossil fuel as three gas-heated homes consume in a year. But with twice the climate damage, by the indirect warming effects of burning it in the stratosphere. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/635/280/005/534/768/original/c472bd5e410342dd.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Oh, and the situation in the field next to our neigbourhood is not good either: https://mastodon.energy/@Sustainable2050/116484358865016604 #note1xr3…xvye npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun As with climate, society as a whole has amnesia for this kind of thing. When you're young, or you moved into the area a few years ago, it's hard to know how many birds were singing, and butterflies and bees were flying around here, a few decades ago. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun We live in a village near Utrecht with lots of (small) gardens and fields and parks around it. The decline happened gradually, over the years. I don't think there's a single cause, like DDT in Rachel Carson's time. But it's part of a big biodiversity crisis here in the Netherlands. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Silent spring in our village. This morning, I woke up early. One blackbird was singing in our neighbourhood. When it stopped (to find something to eat, I guess), it became silent. In the 1990s, dozens of songbirds would've been singing, sometimes making so much noise that it was hard to sleep. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/599/620/627/376/496/original/b6285c5ea885d191.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun People who are not aware of the practical irreversibility of climate change may think 'Sometime in the future, we'll figure out how to reduce emissions to zero, and then everything will be fine again'. While it won't. So it could lead to too little sense of urgency. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun I have the impression that, while public awareness of climate change is widespread, awareness of its irreversibility and long-term lock-in remains limited and substantially below scientific understanding. Are you aware of opinion research / surveys that produced data on this? npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Bad news for New Orleans: get out of there within decades. The paper itself is behind a high paywall, and the 3-7 meters of sea level rise mentioned by the Guardian can't be this century. Subsidence probably plays a bigger role in the short run. But they're working together. ‘Point of no return’: New Orleans relocation must start now due to sea level, study finds https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/04/new-orleans-sea-levels-relocation-climate-crisis npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Relief: Orbán concedes; no Hungarian version of Jan 6 to be expected. Friend of Russia, Trump and Wilders out. Pro-EU Magyar in, with a landslide win. https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c2d8zw2d3rkt npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Italy Sets Jet Fuel Limits at Some Airports on Supply Shortage - Europe is the main importer of jet fuel — including kerosene — from the Persian Gulf. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-05/italy-sets-jet-fuel-limits-at-some-airports-on-supply-shortage npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Source: https://www.keuze.nl/data/energie/gasvoorraad npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Q: How does the filling level of Dutch gas storages compares to that of previous years? A: Not good. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/280/272/925/026/460/original/32d47427d5119e70.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Btw, @npub1axq…e2u3, why not call blackmail blackmail, instead of 'sticks' and 'negotiation tactics'? npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 4 years into Russia's full-scale brutal invasion and bombing of Ukraine today. The way to shorten it is to double our support to Ukraine. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Witkoff is a real estate developer and with him and that Yakir Gabay it's more like a Gaza Real Estate Vultures Board. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The latest in our climate chaos theatre: Arctic ice melting in January! @npub1ype…jy5c on Bluesky: SUMMER IN WINTER IN GREENLAND Crazy Temperatures tonight up to +9C (above summer average), persisting during the day. 24 stations at low elevations out of 31 above freezing today. Kitsissorsuit is chasing the WORLD RECORD of the highest monthly temperature anomaly. >+14C ! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/949/202/899/920/490/original/19b61b918b1a68e2.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Announced by the White House, widely reported a week ago, and not denied by Sigrid Kaag. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 1.5 years ago, the AIVD found 'compromising information' leading to the conclusion that Markuszower is a 'risk to the integrity of government'. https://nos.nl/artikel/2524553-de-jonge-aivd-vond-belastende-informatie-over-markuszower 2/2 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dutch government coalition-in-the-making explores co-operation with Markuszower's group of far-right MPs who just left Wilders' PVV. Markuszower is the guy that didn't pass the screening by Dutch intelligence service AIVD for a position in the outgoing government. 1/2 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Not at all promising company, and with a heavy stench of Trump's 'New Gaza' (without the Gazans) real estate plans. Kaag may well have joined to try to do something for the people of Gaza, but with this board, that seems hopeless to me. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Steve Witkoff is the Putin-admirer that serves Russia's interests in the "peace negotiations" with Ukraine. Jared Kushner is Trump's son-in-law, landing shady family business deals in the slipstream of Trump's foreign 'policy'. Tony Blair is cashing in on his UK PM past with dubious regimes. Marc Rowan is a billionaire private equity friend of Trump. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun So fmr Dutch Minister & D66 leader Sigrid Kaag is not part of Trump's "Board of Peace", but of his closely related "Gaza Executive Board", which has 4 members in common with the founding Executive Board of Trump's "Board of Peace": Witkoff, Kushner, Blair, Rowan https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2026/01/statement-on-president-trumps-comprehensive-plan-to-end-the-gaza-conflict/ https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/946/194/671/370/529/original/94a829fbe72cccf6.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs sees no specific security problems in traveling to the US. By now, I think they should at least make it orange for people of color traveling there. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/940/872/420/929/623/original/e003ec6da5957f05.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Lijkt me terecht. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun +150 GW in a year: record new wind power capacity installed globally in 2025! Not really evenly spread over the world ;) China +100 GW (that country where Trump couldn't find a single wind turbine :) Europe +17 GW US +7 GW India +6 GW Rest of the World +20 GW https://windinsider.com/2026/01/21/gwec-reports-record-wind-energy-additions-in-2025-with-asia-emerging-as-the-primary-growth-engine/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun RE: https://fediscience.org/@ZLabe/115938918325068899 Globally, temperatures over land are already 2°C higher than they were around 1970! #note12u9…xe53 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun I know he'll be back, but can European and other leaders now please spend the spare minutes to ramp up support for Ukraine, increase the pressure to stop Israel's ongoing genocide in Gaza, and strengthen efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions? Thank you for your attention to these matters. Trump walks back Greenland tariffs threat, citing vague ‘deal’ over territory https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jan/21/trump-framework-greenland-tariffs-threats npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun RE: https://mastodon.social/@tdp_org/115933647694807699 As Jan Vos of Dutch wind energy association NedZero noted, Trump had mentioned wind turbines 16 times before even getting around to Greenland (which he also called Iceland). As usual, most statements were wrong. China is world leader in installed wind capacity, adding another 100 GW last year. #note19se…2n6l npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dutch far-right leader Wilders is losing ground. After his failed government coalition, followed by an election defeat for his PVV (going from 37 seats in 2023 to 26 in 2025), 7 out of his 26 MPs are now jumping ship. That leaves 19, half the number of 2.5 years ago. https://nos.nl/artikel/2598974-opstand-tegen-wilders-zeven-pvv-ers-beginnen-eigen-fractie npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Hey, and that's me! Stopped tweeting and deleted my 100k+ tweets when Trump took over in the US. Kept the account dormant in hope of better times, but haven't looked back. Still 34k followers, I now see, but probably mostly dormant too. I like the pictures :) https://xcancel.com/Sustainable2050 https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/924/043/725/660/699/original/29a9ae0d9cdb5f7d.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And, of course, VVD, active on X today: https://xcancel.com/vvd npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And here's CDA, still seen on X the day before yesterday, retweeting their @npub13nu…mn52 : https://xcancel.com/cdavandaag npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And @npub16aw…z868 , posting on X at a leasurely pace. Last one was the day before Christmas. Will they / did they quit? https://xcancel.com/D66 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun I'm not aware of other parties that have done so. But could be. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And now for the parties: Here's GroenLinks-PvdA, still posting on X four days ago: https://xcancel.com/gl_pvda npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Moving to the right, it becomes slightly less surprising that politicians still rely on Musk's X. Here's @npub1zdr…j799 of the VVD (not on Mastodon?), still active today: https://xcancel.com/DilanYesilgoz npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And @npub1se2…qhqn of christian-democrat CDA (not on Mastodon?). Still on X last week: https://xcancel.com/henribontenbal npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And here's @npub1wga…zz7v of @npub16aw…z868 , probably our next Prime Minister. Still there earlier today: https://xcancel.com/robjetten npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Ah, there's @npub1gcn…9c2t of the Greens/Social-democrats GroenLinks-PvdA (not on Mastodn?). Still there two days ago. https://xcancel.com/jesseklaver npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Via xcancel.com we can find out what our politicians are still doing on X. Let's check on a few Dutch ones. 🧵 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Headline in Dutch [@nrc_nl](https://mastodon.nl/@nrc_nl ) : "Europe draws red line after new threats by Trump." Unfortunately, that remains to be seen. With some friends of Putin&Trump among the member states' leaders, some less courageous ones, and strong business interests, it's not so easy. We'll know more by the end of this week. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/920/452/423/716/158/original/d0e4a2e51615c564.jpg