Peter

𝗙𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿: FutureWork IQ | En-ROADS Climate Ambassador | I speak about mitigation and adaptation in the face of the climate crisis | b. 316 ppm | 🇿🇦

https://peterdutoit.com/links

[bridged from peterdutoit.bsky.social by Bridgy Fed]

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Last Notes

2024-06-06 17:56:11

One thing is for sure, we are hurtling into the Age of Heat and the stories of this age need to be told.
This is an *excellent* read.
#Heatwaves #ClimateCrisis
reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/news/seven-l...

2024-06-06 08:09:08

This tells you *everything* you need to know about how serious they are about the clean energy transition.
“The Godfathers of climate chaos – the fossil fuel industry – rake in record profits and feast off trillions in taxpayer-funded subsidies.”—Antonio Guterres
#ClimateCrisis
https://inkcap.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:6sfrfhw2vlakpteolhj75stl&cid=bafkreibykwj2gpxmgiiiwdpu3scofoh2ll4oddta5jag67wbc6nath6awi

2024-06-06 07:31:58

Starting today through June 9, almost 370 million Europeans will elect members of the European Parliament.
European friends before you head to the polls over the next few days *please* read this!
zenodo.org/records/1149...
#EUElections #ClimateCrisis

2024-06-05 20:56:28

WMO:
“It is likely (86% chance) that at least one year between 2024 and 2028 will be warmer than the warmest year on record (currently 2023).
“There is a 47% likelihood that the global temperature averaged over the entire five-year 2024-2028 period will exceed 1.5°C above the preindustrial”

2024-06-05 20:40:34

Confirmed.
> May +1.52°C above preindustrial
> 11th consecutive month above +1.5°C
> +1.63°C 12-month runing mean above preindustrial
We are in a #ClimateEmergency

2024-06-05 19:29:42

This is something we can and must get 100% behind:
“I urge every country to ban advertising from fossil fuel companies.
“And I urge news media and tech companies to stop taking fossil fuel advertising.”— António Guterres
www.un.org/sg/en/conten...

2024-06-05 07:07:06

Nov 2023:
“We find that the rates at which precipitation extremes are projected to scale with global temperatures under-estimate those observed in nearly all climate models. There is risk of larger increases in extremes than those currently projected, particularly in terms of their frequency.”
🧪
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2024-06-05 03:43:09

“the warning may not have reached all of those at risk, and the public may not have understood the severity of the impacts or known what actions to take in response to the forecasts. It’s imperative to continue to improve the communication of risk that leads to appropriate, life-saving action.”

2024-06-04 20:11:24

“One of the important themes of discussion concerned possible early warning signals of approaching ocean circulation tipping points.
“It looks like there won’t be any reliable warnings before it’s too late to stop it. The only responsible way is the precautionary approach.”— Prof Stefan Rahmstrof

2024-06-03 10:31:09

The first step in the process of figuring out what we do next is to accept this reality:
“As a society, we have to admit that despite 50 years of knowledge about the dynamics of the collapse of our life support systems, we have failed to initiate a systematic change to prevent this collapse.”
🧪

2024-06-02 21:37:09

Now it’s Germany’s turn.
#FashFloods #ClimareCrisis #Germany
www.dw.com/en/heavy-rai...

2024-06-02 19:21:42

South Africa’s #SA2024Election have been concluded and declared free and fair.
Here are the parties and their corresponding seat allocations in the 400 seat National Assembly.
Strengthen to them as they attempt to govern in what promises to be the most disruptive 5 years in modern times.
https://inkcap.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:6sfrfhw2vlakpteolhj75stl&cid=bafkreieggnqtde2ajyoan2zn2zix4aocsca72hxmotndu3qqy6rnds6czq

2024-05-31 18:21:22

This all at a background heating of +1.63°C (12-month running mean) above preindustrial.
What happens when cross 1.5°C (imminent) and then 2°?
We are without question in a #ClimateEmergency!
🧪

2024-05-31 17:54:57

As physical environments become increasingly unstable as we continue on our heating trajectory, the need for early systems grows exponentially.
Do you have an "early warning dashboard" for the area you live in?
#ClimateCrisis
www.unep.org/topics/clima...

2024-05-31 07:55:20

That this needs to be said mid-2024 shows how completely and utterly disconnected the world is with the physics driving the climate crisis!
Keeping fossil fuels in the ground should have been common practice decades ago!
Yet here we are, cards firmly stacked for a 2° world. 🤷🏻
#ClimateCrisis

2024-05-30 17:46:56

The footage of these children falling ill and being rushed to hospital as a result of the #heatwave sweeping #India is truly shocking
We cannot look away
There are billions of people on the frontline of this crisis and this all at current heating levels
www.hindustantimes.com/trending/sch...

2024-05-30 14:40:06

👏🏻 Edinburgh!
This is the way.

2024-05-30 11:49:03

Results are now streaming in from the #SAElection24 that concluded yesterday.
It would seem the hold the ANC has had on South African politics for the past 30 years has been pried loose.
Massive result for #SouthAfrica
https://inkcap.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:6sfrfhw2vlakpteolhj75stl&cid=bafkreihxhxincjnyhdmg46yrktxctatfc22fgto5ujzmd4ju2msul4lvza

2024-05-29 16:16:52

"In the U.S., ideological polarization on climate change over the last decades has led conservatives and supporters of free markets and less government interference in the economy to hold beliefs about global warming that are inconsistent with the scientific consensus"
Rude awakening in 3.. 2.. 1..

2024-05-28 20:34:16

Any one that thinks we will some how miraculously be able to reduce emissions consistent with a 2°C pathway (ie 5.3% reduction in 2024 and every year thereafter) is in for a very rude awakening.

2024-05-28 20:10:42

The #heatwave in #India is breaking records!
Take a look at these temperatures today.
Source: India Meteorological Department
https://inkcap.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:6sfrfhw2vlakpteolhj75stl&cid=bafkreigiixdo34zeui75bd3xlrhyq6gaguau6xtyh6igqaos7cwaci2dea

2024-05-28 03:40:16

14 September 2023: “It is now almost certain that the 12-month running mean temperature will exceed 1.5°C by May 2024 or earlier.” —Hansen et al
April 2024: 12-month running mean temperature +1.63°C (Berkeley Earth & ERA5 datasets)
#ClimateCrisis
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2024-05-27 17:25:35

Reminder: People who need to *urgently* begin adaptation conversations are those who:
1. Live in places that are already close to thermal limits
2. Live near seasonal rivers and ice
3. Live along coastlines.
These places are the frontlines of the expanding #ClimateCrisis

2024-05-27 16:23:00

Basically anywhere south of #SanAntonio, #Texas is facing extreme heat today, matching what is happening in Mexico.
#Heatwave #ClimateCrisis
https://inkcap.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:6sfrfhw2vlakpteolhj75stl&cid=bafkreifoncreskjimat54hsmrocscq4ma6wv4uoomxjojsawxwgisutpre

2024-05-27 10:15:32

Latest on #heatwave sweeping #India
economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india/h...
#ClimateCrisis

2024-05-26 09:26:48

2024 is not just an election year. It is THE election year
64 countries—representing a combined global population of about 49%—are holding national elections, the results of which will prove massively consequential as we head deeper into the #ClimateCrisis
#Vote to keep fossil fuels in the ground
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2024-05-26 08:09:55

“What can I do about the the climate crisis?”
It begins with improving #ClimateLiteracy.
I strongly recommend starting the journey by absorbing Chapter 5 of the IPCC WGIII report — at least the Executive Summary for the time constrained. 😉
Share what you learn!
www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/w...
🧪
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2024-05-25 14:25:35

This resonated deeply @rupertread.bsky.social
I am exhausted by the fake optimism.
“Now is the time to get serious about adaptation and preparedness; because our hopes for preventing or sufficiently mitigating dangerous climate change must now be admitted to have been dashed.”
#ClimateCrisis

2024-05-25 11:22:31

MUST WATCH:
"The dream in the USA of 'electric SUVs for all' rests on the back of extraction from the mines of Congo and from the bodies of Congolese workers who are supposed to bear the brunt of that Dream. This is not a viable future."— @jasonhickel.bsky.social
#ClimateCrisis #EnergyTransition

2024-05-25 10:18:21

Societal collapse is determined by how fragile that society is and it’s normally a combination of internal and external forces that combine to aid collapse.
Climate change will find and exploit all fragility.
Here is a great visual aid to understand how this plays out.
vm.tiktok.com/ZMMEFxk7f/
https://inkcap.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:6sfrfhw2vlakpteolhj75stl&cid=bafkreig273c675764nchcb5zhpaxvgs4s64ajo2rkoc2eo7645wzykvr4u

2024-05-25 08:16:35

#Mexico faces unprecedented heat danger:
“It is unprecedented, because communities will experience temperatures that they have not faced. It is the task of the Institute to make it known to the citizens so that they can take appropriate measures.”—Jorge Zavala Hidalgo, Director, ICAyCC
#Heatwave

2024-05-24 17:15:52

One of the most powerful steps we can take to cut emissions is to stop burning coal as fast as possible.
We have known this for decades.
Status in 2024 as we are about to cross +1.5°C of heating.
Source: bloombergcoalcountdown.com
#ClimateCrisis
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2024-05-24 15:56:53

"The Caribbean is home to some of the strongest Atlantic hurricanes ever recorded. Half of the 40 Cat. 5 Atlantic hurricanes since 1851 formed in the Caribbean, including Hurricane Wilma in October 2005, the most intense Atlantic hurricane ever observed."—@michaelrlowry.bsky.social
The Caribbean👇🏻
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2024-05-24 05:56:58

When reseach says global GDP will fall by 16% when we pass 2° (on current trajectory in 16 years) then this is why.
Reminder situation in #PortoAlegre is playing out in the context of +1.63°C 12-month running mean above preindustrial.
What is coming is unimaginable!
#ClimateCrisis

2024-05-23 21:23:54

I don’t think any of us really understand how quickly collapse can happen:
> Almost 40% of the country’s dams below 20%
> 40% are between 20 and 50% full. > Mexico City (Pop. 22.51m) forced to reduce water supply as reservoirs that feed city dry up.
> Stores running out of mineral water.

2024-05-23 16:56:30

If you live in the region impacted by the northern hemisphere "hurricane season" then this is for you.
www.noaa.gov/news-release...

2024-05-23 12:43:15

India's deal with the devil.
Heatwave drives Delhi’s power demand to historic 8000 MW peak energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/power/h...
Where does most of the electricity come from in an attempt to stay cool? 285 coal power plants.
Resulting CO2 emissions👇🏻
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2024-05-22 20:09:55

You reap what you sow I guess.
www.eia.gov/todayinenerg...

2024-05-22 07:11:13

Good to remember as we see a multitude of these events globally.

2024-05-22 06:27:50

As the #SingaporeAirlines incident is in the news cycle, a reminder from June 2023:
“Clear-air turbulence (CAT) is hazardous to aircraft and is projected to intensify in response to future climate change.”
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
#ClimateCrisis

2024-05-21 18:48:29

This young child rescued from flood waters that engulfed their kindergarten doesn’t know it yet, but the world they will grow up in will be marked by repeated events like this as we pass 1.5° and then 2°
They will inherit climate chaos from adults who have absolutely failed them.
#ClimateCrisis
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2024-05-21 13:23:05

This is our doing because we refuse to stop burning fossil fuels.
Fossil CO2 emissions are projected to rise by +0.5% in 2024.
+1.63ºC 12-month running mean above preindustrial in Berkely Earth and ERA5 datasets.
1.5ºC imminent.
www.reuters.com/world/americ...
#ClimateCrisis #Heatwave #Mexico

2024-05-21 06:17:59

Anybody telling you that we will keep temperatures below 2° is selling you hopium.
> 2024-2030 *annual* reduction requirement for a 2°C pathway = 5.3%
> 2024 projected fossil CO2 emissions = +0.5% (ie 2024 target will be missed.)
Now do the math.
What will the 2025 target be?
#ClimateCrisis

2024-05-19 11:41:18

News in from Yola, Nigeria, some 60km from the Nigeria/Cameroon border.
"Heat-Waves Kill 200 In Adamawa In 2 Weeks" (dailytrust.com/heat-waves-k...)
Instrument readings:
+1.63ºC 12-month running mean above preindustrial
+1.3ºC latest 5-year average above preindustrial
+1.5ºC imminent
https://inkcap.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:6sfrfhw2vlakpteolhj75stl&cid=bafkreiaie5bs6uiqf367s4sheug6bpufywcrjkwfruco62z2frha6dtlde

2024-05-17 09:38:29

I think it would be accurate to say that our infrastructure is *not* designed for the world we are racing into.
https://inkcap.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:6sfrfhw2vlakpteolhj75stl&cid=bafkreiamby6kb4gmrc4o2wtnikf7ykdiqgqitu3tebemw3laf4wuuvgawq

2024-05-17 05:10:18

We are completely unprepared.
“Inconsistent or incomplete planning, a lack of funding, and the failure to make timely preparations are leaving communities vulnerable as periods of extreme temperatures become more frequent, longer in duration and affect a wider sweep of [ #India].”
#ClimateCrisis

2024-05-16 16:01:42

Latest Hansen, Kharecha, Sato communication:
“Present extreme planetary energy imbalance will limit La Nina-driven temperature decline. Thus, El Nino/La Nina avg global temp likely is about 1.5°C, suggesting that, for all practical purposes, global temperature has already reached that milestone.”

2024-05-16 10:27:52

#ExtremePrecipitation events in the last 36 hours:
Italy:
www.ilgiorno.it/milano/crona...
Iran:
www.intellinews.com/heavy-floods...
Colombia: www.eltiempo.com/colombia/cal...
#FlashFloods

2024-05-16 06:48:33

The reality of what we face is coming into sharp focus and much of this is unavoidable as a result of missing the 1.5°C target and now likely the 2° target.
Bangkok joins the cities and towns in Rio Grande du Sul facing climate migration in the near-term. (See www.reuters.com/world/americ...)

2024-05-15 22:04:12

Jan 12, 2024, Hanson, Sato & Ruedy:
“We expect record monthly temperatures to continue into mid-2024 due to the present large planetary energy imbalance, with the 12-month running-mean global temperature reaching +1.6-1.7°C relative to 1880-1920 [reached in ERA5 & Berkeley Earth datasets] and…
1/2

2024-05-15 21:56:55

🚨🧪

2024-05-15 13:40:38

Did you know:
"A systematic review demonstrates that 26 of 39 studies identified suggest that teleworking [ #RemoteWork] reduces energy use, induced mainly by distance travelled, and only 8 studies suggest that teleworking increases or has a neutral impact on energy use."
#ClimateLiteracy
Data:👇🏻

2024-05-15 12:48:23

@frediotto.bsky.social on the intense deadly heatwaves that many places in Asia experienced in April and into early May:
"The world is not prepared for today's climate change, [+1.3ºC which is latest 5-year average above preindustrial] let alone the future."
#Heatwaves #ClimateCrisis
Story here👇🏻

2024-05-14 16:14:20

Heat stress arrives in Florida - forecast for Wednesday May 15, 2024 (via @bmcnoldy.bsky.social)
https://inkcap.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:6sfrfhw2vlakpteolhj75stl&cid=bafkreicwwjmfsqvyeehaov46oloktrhbpv45tly7d6nyjbm6i2yljh6un4

2024-05-14 10:27:09

NOAA HMS smoke detection - North America
🟧 Heavy
🟨 Medium
🟩 Light
Data: noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/mapview...
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2024-05-14 07:51:29

While much is being said about the fires burning in Canada let us not forget #Mexico!
Mexico Is Battling 159 Active Wildfires: www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024...
Background heating +1.3ºC (latest 5-year average)
+1.5ºC imminent
Map data: firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs...
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2024-05-13 10:31:30

The #ClimateCrisis is a #FoodCrisis