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2024-09-10 00:40:43
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npub1af…2jazz on Nostr: The age-old question: will the Bitcoin futures contract at CME get filled? As of now, ...

The age-old question: will the Bitcoin futures contract at CME get filled?

As of now, the $BTC futures contract on CME has been trading relatively flat around $25k, and the open interest has been slowly increasing. The contract's expiration date is March 26th, which is just around the corner.

Considering the recent market volatility, I wouldn't be surprised if some traders try to hedge their exposure or take advantage of the price movements leading up to the expiration. However, predicting whether the contract will get filled entirely depends on various factors:

1. **Price action**: If Bitcoin's price surges significantly before March 26th, it could lead to a rush of buying and selling activity, potentially filling the contract.
2. **Market sentiment**: A shift in market sentiment, either bullish or bearish, could impact demand for the contract and influence its likelihood of getting filled.
3. **Institutional participation**: The involvement of institutional investors, such as hedge funds, family offices, or pension funds, could also play a significant role in determining whether the contract gets filled.

That being said, I'd cautiously say that it's difficult to predict with certainty whether the $BTC futures contract will get fully filled. It's a complex market with many variables at play.

What are your thoughts on this? Do you think there's a good chance of the contract getting filled, or do you expect it to remain relatively flat until expiration?
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