You could call me a human early warning system. I curate and share data from the instruments we use to track our rapidly changing physical environments so you can plan ahead and be safe. 🇿🇦
Public Key
npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq Profile Code
nprofile1qqs26uk5338rdp89yn5dvjkant5q8c4sssswezvhz05lkna6sty99egpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0ds2urzej
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npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq Show more details
Published at
2024-05-06T15:24:39+02:00 Event JSON
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"tags": [],
"content": "{\"banner\":\"https://nostr.build/i/4455.jpeg\",\"website\":\"\",\"damus_donation_v2\":100,\"damus_donation\":20,\"lud16\":\"[email protected] \",\"picture\":\"https://peterdutoit.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/img_2541.jpg\",\"display_name\":\"Peter\",\"about\":\"You could call me a human early warning system. I curate and share data from the instruments we use to track our rapidly changing physical environments so you can plan ahead and be safe. 🇿🇦 \\n\\nJoined Nostr December 17, 2022\",\"name\":\"peterdutoit\",\"nip05\":\"[email protected] \"}" ,
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Last Notes npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Now that the Actuaries have woken up to the reality bearing down on us like a freight train, will the rest of us too? npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Berkely Earth: npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit We are stepping into a brand new world. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Our legacy in one graphic. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit https://berkeleyearth.org/whats-new/ npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Data just released by the team at Berkley Earth for August shows that the global mean temperature for the months of June to August above the 1850 to 1900 average looked like this: npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit No surprise at all, the June-July-August season was warmest on record globally by a large margin. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit The heat is not done in Europe. September records set to tumble. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Wet Bulb Temperature risks 2023-2050: npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit As peer-reviewed science, is the most reliable source of scientific knowledge we have. Can ask that you point me to any reputable peer reviewed studies or publications that back up these statements? npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit #ClimateLiteracy npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Current warming above the preindustrial average: +1.28°C npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit US Heat Index forecast for Wednesday Aug 23, 2023 npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit This is a fire currently burning out of control in Alexandroupolis, Greece. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit ⚠️ Early Warning npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit #EarlyWarning npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Pay attention. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Important comment from Susanna Ditlevsen co-author of the now famous study on the AMOC collapse possibility. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Very sobering from Prof. Bob Watson as the impacts mount at +1.28°C of warming. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit ⚠️ Early Warning npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Tourism on a heating planet. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit The truth is we are completely and utterly unprepared for a world at +1.5°C npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit As heat domes sit over Asia, Europe and the US, this is a critical piece of #ClimateLiteracy regarding #Heatwaves npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit #Japan experiencing some extreme precipitation in the southeast. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit World Meteorological Organization hosts special news briefing to address records in land and ocean temperatures. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit There is absolutely no way to “negotiate” with the physics of our dumping 39 Gt CO2 into the atmosphere per year. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit We are at +1.27°C of warming. And CO2 atmospheric concentrations at at 424.68 ppm (June) npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit About 13 https://nostr.build/i/305aae5be6ec39a8ed9f8e1eacd5c3320712a3e882262517804ca12275ea4239.jpg npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit What https://nostr.build/i/6674da6ec3d58ec9f13137e213f2f4312b32a31142047fcaf6e884e86f4cd3b0.jpg npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Image Context. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit So there will be no Threads for the EU for the “foreseeable future.” npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Yesterday we broke a record. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit The impacts of the #climatecrisis are being felt in #China there is no doubt about that: npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit So the same as Twitter basically npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit So basically like Twitter https://nostr.build/i/cee4b23b4673a41cfa77db72c3cfe80822248e211ec192bbe938e9c1e4a2f3c5.jpg npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit So basically the same as Twitter https://nostr.build/i/cee4b23b4673a41cfa77db72c3cfe80822248e211ec192bbe938e9c1e4a2f3c5.jpg npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit With your re acidification — and here is where we stand on that front: npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit The heating ocean and melting ice, a hallmark of the evolving climate crisis, are causing seas to rise. (Global average sea level has risen 21–24 centimeters since 1880. In 2021, global sea level set a new record high—97 mm (3.8 inches) above 1993 levels.) npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit How do we know that the #ElNino phase has arrived? npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit The heat has already “lasted 20 days” npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit The Texas heatwave as observed by NASA satellites. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit More than 40 million people in the US are currently under a heat alert and on some places the infrastructure is beginning to fail. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit You should check out this guys feed they are very much on the ground npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit The only place I get to see the tech talk is when I check the BlueSky team feed 😅 otherwise I live in the science feed where there is everything but tech talk https://nostr.build/i/615452c575cc3fc9b0281ffb748c9083769c8ec9f2d934f4a626bc2bef851c42.jpg npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Hey that looks like a tracker he is wearing? npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit China as a whole is under *severe* heat strain! npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit You will notice in the text it makes reference to “Japan” this is a browser translation error. Here is the original text from the website: npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Today the Beijing Meteorological Bureau upgraded the city to a level red warning, the highest heatwave warning, as temperatures soared to just above 41°C npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit ⚠️ Early Warning — Dangerous Wet Bulb Temperatures forecast for parts of Texas on Friday. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit South Africa has warmed +1.6ºC since 1881 and we are are on course to reach +4.4ºC of heating by 2100. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Mexico is going through some things. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Of course, it is at the top end compared to the other models but still, we keep skating closer and closer to chaos. https://nostr.build/i/9575523d81c21489a25142cfa5b00cbbef01cc5ee6e616195fda275fb9a2fc74.jpg npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit ⚠️ Early Warning npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit https://nostr.build/i/75de9ea84e5d46f865d3711825d6b0f16636e955c23eb70b54ba26063fb4cee6.jpg npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit That is really interesting. This zooming into Croatia (2020 data) npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Did you know? npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Image credit: Figure 3.2, Pg 38, Synthesis Report of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_SYR_LongerReport.pdf npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit From two countries in the Heat-Humidity risk zone: npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit So much work has been done on the risk profiles of different places. For example check out the extensive reporting here https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGII_Annex-I.pdf npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Sure. There is more detail on the interplay here npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit For every °C that Earth’s atmospheric temperature rises, the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere can increase by about 7%. The more water vapor that air contains, the more energy it holds, fuelling intense storms, particularly over land resulting in more extreme weather events. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit 35 million people find themselves under a heat/red flag advisory in the US on Friday. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit This is wild npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit NOAA’s May 2023 Global Climate Report has been released. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit A timeline cleanse. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Here was the impact from the 2015/16 event in our region. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Early Warning npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit This is great piece by Jeff Berardelli (@WeatherProf on 🐦) on the current ocean heat phenomenon npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit 🌡️ UK Heat-Health Alert npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit 🌀#Biparjoy is gearing up to be a major incident and evacuations underway as the storm approaches. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit #Biparjoy npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Early warnings: npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Just a correction in the text above this should read: npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Hey isn’t this at Rinkai Park? npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit This is correct. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Why the concern with current sea surface temperatures? npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Climate Literacy: npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Data sources: npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit #ClimateLiteracy: The 1.5° limit applies to the average temperature over a year, and passing it would mean that the average will have been sustained for several years. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Early Warning npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit I must tell you that I actually made a decision not to travel to events to speak anymore 😅 - I have lost some gigs as a result but the 20/21 experience have made events more open to hybrid scenarios. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Precipitation records tumble in #Portugal npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Bureau of Meteorology (BoM, Austraila) becomes the first to issue an El Nino ALERT. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Excessive heat events are now becoming so common that it’s hard to keep up. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit You will find this interview interesting as it provides some insight into their AI approach and philosophy. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Case in point. If this is not somehow solved, this here will remain a niche network. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit How is your country doing when it comes to matching its current emission reduction policies to its 2030 pledges? npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Prediction: The way of life in May places is going to be *severely* disrupted as we continue our heating trajectory. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Human migration on a heating planet. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Temperature records tumbled in #Canada yesterday npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit #Japan has just experienced it’s warmest spring (MAM) since records began in 1898. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit We help companies adopt location independence as a resilience strategy in some of our work. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit This transition is actually fascinating to watch especially in the US npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit As #ClimateChaos becomes a reality in many places we need robust #EarlyWarningSystems in place to help people stay safe. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Heat records are tumbling again in parts of China! npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Cryosphere Early Warning npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit This story illustrates our general inability to recognise #climaterisk and adapt: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-65723447 npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit Early Warnings npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit There was that element obviously but both these guys actually support DeSantis. npub144edfrzwx6zw2f8g6e9dmxhgq03tpppqajyewylfld8m4qkg2tjslhurkq peterdutoit It’s good to see this topic being researched. Last year during the intense heat wave in #India they had this exact experience.
