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Last Notes

2024-06-24 08:46:14

$BTC price Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Bitcoin is likely to test support at $60,000. If this level holds, consolidation may occur. If it breaks, further declines are expected.
Medium-Term (3-8 Weeks): Continued bearish momentum suggests potential further downside. A bullish reversal requires breaking above $70,000 with significant volume.
Both the daily and weekly charts indicate bearish momentum, with the next critical support level at $60,000. Breaking above $70,000 is essential for a bullish trend reversal.
A silver lining is last weekly $BTChttps://m.primal.net/IvxQ.png price touched the 21 MA for the first time since the halving. The new week opens below the 21 MA. If this continues for a few weeks, repeating what happened after the 2016 halving, a solid springboard can form. (The white dot is the 21 MA.)
https://m.primal.net/IvxS.png

2024-04-14 01:11:38

🚨 Breaking: Iran launches and concludes a slow drone attack on April 13, 2024, strategically timed between the close of Western markets and before Israeli stocks open on Sunday. A calculated move in a high-stakes global chess game. 🌍 #Geopolitics #MarketImpact

2024-03-24 07:23:58

https://m.primal.net/HnrR.png
What stage is each market right now?
Stock-
Complacency (before the crash) or Disbelief (early recovery)?
Crypto-
Hope (Early adopters) or Optimism (Early majority)?

2024-03-16 18:14:38

Just did it.
#note1nwu…jesy

2024-03-16 18:14:07

https://m.primal.net/HlfU.png

2024-02-18 11:09:34

How to Overcome the Inflation-Debt Paradox with AI Prosperity
Leveraging the super-enhanced productivity to reshape our economy into one where growth, low-to-no inflation, and debt reduction go hand in hand.
Imagine a new world where the same $100 bill can buy you significantly more goods and services than it does today, thanks to the deflationary impact of hyper-productivity. In this world, the Federal Reserve can lower interest rates without fear of stoking inflation, subsequently reversing the national debt and freeing up resources for growth and innovation.
But Now, Face the Economic Labyrinth Before Us
The current economic landscape is akin to navigating a impossible maze, where every turn presents the challenge of balancing inflation control with fostering economic growth, all while managing an ever-increasing national debt. The traditional tools wielded by the Federal Reserve, primarily the manipulation of the federal funds rate, have historically oscillated between stimulating growth and tempering inflation. However, this delicate equilibrium has been disrupted, evidenced by the unprecedented situation where the Fed was unable to transfer funds to the Treasury first time in history, and the national debt is projected to climb to a record 116% of GDP by the end of 2034, underscoring the urgency for innovative solutions to the burgeoning issue of national debt and its implications on fiscal policy.
Spending on interest exceeded a number of other budget categories
The Quest for a Sustainable Solution
The critical challenge lies in recalibrating the federal funds rate to stimulate economic activity without igniting inflationary pressures. This task involves a nuanced understanding of the velocity and magnitude at which rate adjustments can be made to cool an overheating economy without stoking the fires of inflation. The theoretical underpinning for this approach finds roots in the Keynesian economic model, which advocates for active government intervention to manage economic cycles. The model suggests that carefully calibrated fiscal and monetary policies can stimulate demand and growth in times of economic downturn, while controlling inflation during periods of expansion.
Strategizing Interest Rate Adjustments
Aiming for an interest rate slightly above the long-term inflation goal of 2% emerges as a strategic solution. This approach aligns with the Fisher Equation, which delineates the relationship between nominal interest rates, real interest rates, and expected inflation. By setting rates that are modestly above the inflation target, the economy can achieve moderate growth and employment gains without precipitating inflationary pressure. Moreover, this strategy facilitates a more sustainable framework for managing national debt, alleviating the fiscal strain on the Treasury.
Fisher Equation - Diagram
The AI Catalyst: Transforming Economic Dynamics
The advent of artificial intelligence (AI) and Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) introduces a paradigm shift. As Cathie Wood of Ark Invest suggests, these technologies are poised to serve as significant deflationary forces. The productivity boom fueled by AI—akin to the transformative impact of the Industrial Revolution—promises to elevate economic efficiency to unprecedented levels. This scenario is supported by Solow's productivity paradox, which observes that technological advancements initially may not reflect in productivity measurements until a significant integration period has passed. AI and AGI's full potential to revolutionize productivity and economic activity mirrors this concept, suggesting a future where the paradox is resolved, and productivity gains significantly outpace historical trends.
Enhancing Purchasing Power Through AI
In this new economic order, the concept of money itself undergoes a radical transformation. The deflationary impact of AI, coupled with its ability to exponentially increase productivity, could lead to a scenario where nominal inflation targets are maintained at 2%, yet the real inflation experiences a downward pressure, potentially reaching negative territories. This phenomenon is explained through the lens of the Quantity Theory of Money, which posits that the money supply's velocity and the volume of goods and services produced in an economy influence the price level. AI-driven productivity increases the volume of goods and services, thereby increasing the purchasing power of money.
A New Economic Renaissance
The emergence of an AI and AGI-driven economy not only promises to revolutionize our current financial systems but also fundamentally alters our understanding of money, interest, debt, and wealth. This shift introduces new economic theories and business practices, challenging and eventually replacing outdated models. The once-daunting challenge of national debt becomes a solvable problem, gradually clearing the path toward a future of financial stability and prosperity.

2024-01-05 05:41:46

I anticipate the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts in 2024, but I'm considering their broader economic implications quite different from our expectation.
Traditionally, rate cuts stimulate growth by making borrowing cheaper. But I believe the increased liquidity from these rate cuts may be used more for managing government fiscal challenges, such as refilling the Treasury and paying off national debt, rather than stimulating the economy.
This approach differs significantly from the economic expansion during the Reagan era, which suggests a more complex and perhaps less optimistic outcome for the stock market in the coming years.

2023-12-03 00:47:20

I created a $BTC analyst agent (thanks to OpenAI) to predict future $BTC price move. Here is how we collaborated:
To calculate the Bitcoin price prediction, we followed a multi-step process leveraging both your uploaded data and my analytical capabilities as Crypto Analyst:
Data Utilization: We began by examining the file "BTC-USD since 2014.09.17 -2023.12.02.csv", which contained historical Bitcoin price data. This dataset provided a comprehensive view of Bitcoin's price movements over time.
Model Reference: We then referred to the insights from the source. This source offered various analytical models and insights, such as the Bitcoin stock-to-flow model, trading rules based on halving cycles, and other technical indicators like RSI and moving averages.
Analysis and Synthesis: Combining these two sources, I performed a detailed analysis. This involved applying the concepts from the PlanB insights, such as halving impacts and stock-to-flow ratios, to the historical price data.
Predictive Modeling: Using this combined analysis, we constructed predictive models. For instance, we looked at the trends surrounding halving events and their historical impact on Bitcoin's price to estimate future movements.
Ongoing Updates and Refinements: Throughout this process, we constantly updated and refined our models and predictions based on the latest available data and insights, ensuring that our analysis remained current and relevant.
By working together, we were able to utilize your data effectively and apply sophisticated analytical methods to derive insightful predictions about Bitcoin's price trends.
https://m.primal.net/HSGt.png

2023-10-29 21:44:54

- reply

Past boom & bust cycles were violent. Since the liquidity eased in Oct. 2022, everything has been under control. No big swings. There will be rolling recessions or growths, intertwined and alternating
Don't see a major collapse in the US market. Elsewhere? All hands on deck.

2023-10-29 21:20:14

Continue exploring algo trading. Invested in 10 Symphonies. Will observe for a quarter before decision making.
https://image.nostr.build/0bd0f0020d6fc0960954f4264e51c2a748f3e7d305ac7ae2ed0e3b9cfb3c6b52.jpg

2023-10-21 04:54:07

https://m.primal.net/HOHy.png Recession never took over the economic steering gear. We have been in inflationary expansion since May 2003 till today Oct 20, 2023. Will situation change? At least the monthly chart is slow to tell.

2023-10-21 04:50:46

https://m.primal.net/HOHy.png Recession never took over the economic steering gear. We have been in inflationary expansion since May 2003 till today Oct 20, 2003. Will situation change? At least the monthly chart is slow to tell.

2023-10-09 00:29:30

The potential impacts of the Israel-Hamas escalation on the US inflation, interest rate and stock prices:
1. Oil supply fears fan inflation risks. With M2 money supply already constrained by central banks, this extra inflation impulse would be more persistent.
2. To counter rising inflation, the Fed may have to accelerate interest rate hikes and quantitative tightening. This would reduce liquidity further when it is already flat.
3. Stocks would likely price in higher recession odds over a 6-12 month horizon. The strong dollar adversely impacts US earnings from overseas. This could weigh on stocks as well.

2023-10-09 00:23:18

我們在不斷地進進出出小型的滾動衰退recessions. 前幾個星期感覺我們在走出一個小的衰退, 那麽明年一季度是否再次進入下一個的經濟低迷, 然後再很快復蘇起來. 期待Fed 統一全面降息似乎沒有必要, 微刺激需要刺激的經濟sectors,快速注入資金, 再快熟抽走資金, 這個似乎是Fed CBDC可以實現的.

2023-10-09 00:18:36

We're continuously moving in and out of minor rolling recessions. Past few weeks feel like we're coming out of a small one, so will we dip into another economic slowdown in Q1 next year, then quickly recover again? A sweeping Fed rate cut doesn't seem necessary, targeted stimuli for sectors needing it, quick capital injection and withdrawal, seems like something Fed CBDC could enable.

2023-10-08 05:51:00

沙特阿拉伯原计划在2024年1月加入金砖国家组织,这表示它将与中国、印度、俄罗斯、巴西等国建立更紧密的贸易和货币关系。但与此同时,沙特阿拉伯也在与美国达成协议,正常化与以色列的关系,希望换取美国的武器交易和支持。沙特还承诺如果油价上涨太快,它会增加石油产量来帮助美国。这次袭击使沙特处在一个进退两难的位置。一方面,与伊朗敌对会影响它加入金砖国家组织的计划;另一方面,如果与伊朗关系靠近,会损害它与美国和以色列正常化关系的努力。这将对未来几周沙特与以色列和美国的关系产生重大影响。
金砖国家组织内部存在很多分歧。在复杂的大背景下,在多个不同文化圈之间达成贸易、货币和军事协定比歐美和以色列固有堅實的結盟相比是非常具有挑战性的。

2023-10-08 05:50:49

American is taking down the BRICS one by one. The US took care of South Africa first, and South Africa shrank back without making a peep. Now it has sent Canada and the UK to deal with India, to see whether Modi will obey or not. Most recently, Israel is ready to enter Gaza. The ultimate target is Iran or Saudi Arabia? Or both?

2023-10-08 05:48:05

似乎美帝國主義在一個個修理金磚國家BRICKS. 美國先治理南非，南非連個聲沒發就萎縮了。現在又派加拿大和英國出面修理印度，看摩迪服不服。最新是受命以色列武裝入侵加沙，最後目標不是伊朗，就是沙特

2023-10-08 05:45:57

2023-10-02 08:06:12

1990年代後期,亞洲金融風暴的爆發,起因於美國聯儲局的加息週期,導致大量炒作熱錢快速撤離亞洲。當時許多國家都維持匯率固定的匯率政策,在熱錢退場後大量貨幣貶值,造成了嚴重經濟危機。這些國家同時都累積了過多的美元外債,貨幣貶值後這些債務的實際負擔大幅增加。
今天,美國聯儲局再次展開加息週期,引發開發中國家資金外流。許多這些國家仍然依賴美元債務,外匯儲備不足。如果貨幣持續貶值,債務風險將快速增加。與1990年代相比,今天互聯網的發達使信息傳播更快,一旦發生連鎖反應,危機將迅速蔓延並殃及全球。
以下是兩個時期的主要對比:
https://m.primal.net/HMYM.png

2023-09-21 05:29:12

Don't Count on a Fed Rate Cut Before 2025
The Ship Has Sailed three years ago
FLEXTIGER
SEP 20, 2023
The Federal Reserve has been aggressively raising interest rates in 2022 to fight high inflation. But with signs of economic slowdown emerging, many investors expect the Fed to reverse course and start cutting rates sometime in 2023. However, a closer look at recent economic data and the Fed's own communications suggests rate cuts may not actually materialize until 2025 or later. Here's why:
- The Fed Already Front-Loaded Rate Cuts in 2019-2020
https://m.primal.net/HLjl.png
Most analysis of the Fed's rate changes focuses narrowly on 2020, when the central bank slashed rates to near zero to fight the COVID-induced recession. But the timeline actually started earlier. The first rate cut came in July 2019, as global growth slowed amid trade tensions. The Fed then proceeded to cut rates 3 more times in 2019, putting them back near post-crisis lows even before the pandemic hit US shores.
This means that the Fed front-loaded stimulus ahead of the recession, getting out in front of the downturn far faster than in the past. Rate cuts usually happen slowly over the course of a recession. But in this case, the Fed compacted the equivalent of several years' worth of cuts into just 7 months.
They then reinforced those cuts with trillions of dollars in quantitative easing once the pandemic took hold. This ultra-accommodative monetary response was only possible because the Fed had gotten a head start.
- We May Already Be Near the End of a Short Recession
https://m.primal.net/HLjm.png
Most economists peg the pandemic recession as lasting just 2 months - the shortest in US history, thanks to unprecedented stimulus. After a quick V-shaped recovery, growth plateaued in 2022 before slowing again amidst inflation and geopolitical turmoil.
However, we could view the last 2 years as containing two distinct, brief recessions triggered by external shocks - the pandemic and the Ukraine war. Some indicators like jobless claims and consumer confidence suggest the US may now be emerging from the second mini-recession.
Recent comments from business leaders also hint at turning sentiment. Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff announced plans on September 15, 2023 to start rehiring employees laid off just months ago, suggesting he sees a recovery on the horizon.
Recent GDP and unemployment forecasts support this idea. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracker shows the economy growing at a 2.9% pace in Q3 after two quarters of contraction. And the Congressional Budget Office has revised down its unemployment projections, with the jobless rate now expected to hold near 50-year lows through 2025.
This paints a picture of an economy approaching a "Goldilocks" state - not too hot, not too cold. With inflation still well above target, the Fed does not need to goose growth further with rate cuts.
- Core Inflation is Projected to Remain Above 2%
https://m.primal.net/HLjn.png
The Fed has made clear that fighting inflation is its top priority now. But private forecasts see core PCE inflation - the Fed's preferred gauge - remaining above the 2% target through at least 2025.
In their latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), Fed officials forecast core inflation to still be 2.3% in 2023 and 2.1% in 2024 before settling at 2% in 2025. Expectations remain unanchored.
With inflation so sticky and resilient, the Fed is highly unlikely to cut rates anytime soon and run the risk of igniting inflation further. Rate hikes are still firmly on the table.
- Major Crises Follow Rate Cuts, Not Precede Them
Historically, recessions and financial crises have tended to occur years after Fed rate cuts, not before. This pattern played out in both 2001 and 2008.
One hypothesis is that post-rate cut periods, characterized by easy money and booming markets, lead to excessive risk appetite that eventually results in a crash. Cutting rates from already low levels now could lay the seeds for the next crisis later this decade.
If this historical pattern holds, the next recession may not emerge until the late 2020s. This would likely postpone it until after the 2024 election, avoiding economic turmoil during President Biden's potential second term.
While the case for no rate cuts until 2025 looks reasonably strong, there are some counterpoints to address:
+Recession models from Wall Street banks show elevated risks of a downturn in 2023 as rate hikes compound.
+Rising geopolitical turmoil and energy shock risks from the Ukraine war could trigger a recession.
+Stubbornly high inflation may force the Fed to overtighten until something breaks, even though a mild US recession alone may not bring inflation down.
The Fed has historically eased policy preemptively when risks build to provide insurance and ensure a soft landing.
Ultimately the Fed remains data dependent. A material reassessment of the economic outlook could always change their calculus. But as things stand today, the path of least resistance appears to be toward restraint rather than accommodation over the next 2-3 years. The era of easy money is likely behind us for now.

2023-09-19 01:03:22

#note19p8…zf7p I wish these analysis is valuable and someone just Zap me some sats. I Zapped @npub1sg6…f63m and @npub1h8n…rpev just moments ago to help motivate the Nostr economy. The onus is on us!

2023-09-19 00:22:00

Marc must know something about either policy or economy that plebs don't.
https://m.primal.net/HLam.png

2023-09-19 00:14:58

Just two months after the outbreak of the pandemic in 2020, before vaccines were available, Benioff had already started calling for the Fed to cut interest rates. The Fed took action immediately. I don't think it was solely because of Benioff's words that they were so responsive, but rather that he had received early notice that the Fed was going to cut rates to 0. By coming out as an industry leader to "call for" rate cuts, it provided justification for the Fed to implement them.
https://m.primal.net/HLal.png
On September 15, 2023, the last day of Salesforce 2023 Dreamforce event, Marc Benioff start rehiring employees that were just laid off? "It's okay. Come back!" So he must already know something about the economy and is scooping up talent before other companies realize things have changed.
https://m.primal.net/HLak.png

2023-09-18 23:54:26

Since October 2022, the Fed and Treasury seem to be cooperating behind the scenes - easing quantitatively while raising rates to keep inflation under 3% without impacting people. The Fed cutting its MBS holdings, Treasury issuing short-term debt frequently. Congress smoothly raised the debt ceiling, government increased spending. The close coordination between Fed and Treasury helped the US avoid high unemployment and wage declines for now, but long-term effects of inflation remain to be seen.
Copy

2023-09-13 08:04:23

- reply

Analysis by TechInsights of the new Huawei Mate 60 Pro smartphone reveals it contains a HiSilicon Kirin 9000s application processor manufactured using SMIC's enhanced 7nm (N+2) process technology. This demonstrates Huawei and China's continued resilience and technological progress in semiconductor design and manufacturing despite US trade restrictions. The Kirin 9000s chip is about 2% larger than the previous version but shows advancements like logic gate pitch shrinkage that bring SMIC's process closer to competitors' 7nm nodes, all without using EUV lithography. This semiconductor achievement could help revive Huawei's smartphone sales but may also prompt further technology restrictions from other concerned countries.

2023-09-11 09:47:31

Word is China's been banning iPhones everywhere - nuclear power plants, hospitals in Inner Mongolia, you name it. Employees are saying it's to stop U.S. spying through iOS security holes. These informal bans go back years for some agencies. It's Beijing's way of telling $AAPL and other American companies that tech restrictions are getting real intense real fast amid the sour relations with Washington. For Apple, it's gotta be pretty concerning given China's like 15% of their revenue. With how things are going between the superpowers, $AAPL's gonna have a heck of a time thriving in that vital market. As tensions rise, the iPhone maker faces new hurdles to keep growing in China. What's next?

2023-09-11 09:46:27

Here's a 560 character tweet incorporating $AAPL and more conversational language:
Word is China's been banning iPhones everywhere - nuclear power plants, hospitals in Inner Mongolia, you name it. Employees are saying it's to stop U.S. spying through iOS security holes. These informal bans go back years for some agencies. It's Beijing's way of telling $AAPL and other American companies that tech restrictions are getting real intense real fast amid the sour relations with Washington. For Apple, it's gotta be pretty concerning given China's like 15% of their revenue. With how things are going between the superpowers, $AAPL's gonna have a heck of a time thriving in that vital market. As tensions rise, the iPhone maker faces new hurdles to keep growing in China. What's next?

2023-09-11 01:32:35

Rate cuts alone won't grow more crops faster. It can't fix the supply problems. Don't expect miracles from the Fed lowering rates. Subsequent inflation will surely chip away real purchasing power despite higher nominal incomes. #wage #monetarypolicy #foodprice #foodcrisis

2023-09-11 01:28:37

Rate cuts alone can't fix the supply problems. Don't expect miracles from the Fed lowering rates. It won't grow more crops and faster. However, inflation will surely chip away real purchasing power despite higher nominal incomes. #wage #monetarypolicy #foodprice #foodcrisis

2023-09-10 03:57:05

Crisis to Innovation: My First AI Trading Strategy Addresses Food Costs
Flextiger / 摺叠虎
In the vast universe of investing, the initial step often poses a significant challenge. As one might hesitate before writing the first sentence of an email, designing an investment strategy can be daunting. While many may relate, especially when using tools like Composer, there’s good news. I leveraged my economic and investment knowledge to design an algorithmic strategy with AI help.
https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:4800/format:webp/1*ULPKZh4ybZAGT_OkJwl_yg.png
The Collaboration:
Our journey began by coaching the AI through examples and feedback to grasp nuances of Composer’s coding language. My core thesis was to benefit from rising food prices in late 2023–2024. The strategy pivoted investments to food stocks when they outperformed QQQ, an ETF tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100. If QQQ performed better, it reverted investments there.
The initial generated code had errors. Rigorous backtesting revealed flaws, so the AI and I refined the strategy. Subsequent backtests were promising.
https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:4800/format:webp/1*kxKdEHglnPzx6UDgxCl9Lw.png
The Final Strategy: A Dynamic Food vs. Tech Approach
With global food costs rising, this strategy capitalizes on anticipated price surges. It compares food-related assets to the Nasdaq-100 index (QQQ ETF) and allocates funds accordingly. When food stocks show strength, it seizes the opportunity. Underperformance triggers a pivot back to QQQ for broader resilience.
Key Backtest Results:
Annualized Return: 56.4%
Max Drawdown: 7.2%
Sharpe Ratio: 2.73
https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:4800/format:webp/1*cT-rn066waJCH2ukQjhjdw.png
(Generated via simulation. Not indicative of actual performance.)
Reflections on Human vs. AI Collaboration:
In algorithmic strategy design, AI like Composer offers undeniable efficiency. However, human expertise remains irreplaceable. A strategy stems from understanding economics, portfolio theory, and risk preferences — insights an AI alone cannot replicate.
The AI acts as an able driver to efficiently translate our vision into rigorously tested code. But human knowledge provides the strategic roadmap and navigation. Together, we accomplish more than either could alone. This proves investing still requires human intuition.
As AI capabilities grow, remembering the value of human intellect will be critical. For now, and likely the future, investment strategies will thrive on human guidance and knowledge.
If you are interested in trying my Food Price vs. QQQ Strategy, here is the link to it (https://app.composer.trade/symphony/FoGFGuWwaOy1vD2wehjc/details). Here is the logic behind the strategy.
https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:4800/format:webp/1*0sbnl_4UH0hHWceUgwMBqQ.png
If this glimpse into creating an AI-assisted trading strategy was intriguing, I encourage you to try Composer using my referral code zpxGrUX-TRADE to register and trade. By signing up and trading through this link, you can help support my work in writing more fascinating articles like this one. Composer makes it easy for anyone to develop algorithms — whether you’re an experienced quant or just starting out. The intuitive interface translates ideas into profitable automated strategies. An AI can even learn the ropes with some guidance!
My LN Address: [email protected]
My Nostr:
npub1gu5m9syh529vkw4ncq688cevd8ye3ux5ke70lv30w0dywcr5kj5smavf6c
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/flex-tiger-23b930229/
Medium: Flextiger
Twitter: FlextigerA
Composer
Algorithmic Trading
Ai Trading
Stock Trading
Chatgpt Trading

2023-09-09 04:30:22

$AAPL and Orange #Deflationary #inflation
https://m.primal.net/HKtr.png

2023-09-09 03:43:14

#note1gs8…kmsn
It seems that $AAPL ban in China is not just about the iPhone, but all Apple products. The latest notification has also included Apple Watch and AirPod wireless earbuds in the list of banned items, which cannot be brought into the government workplace all country.

2023-09-06 10:27:50

Israel Ministry of Health orders all hospitals to conduct PCR Covid tests for all admitted patients.
$TDOC $ZM Let's see.

2023-09-06 10:21:45

#note15e6…5c9t And then this happened right after my post. https://m.primal.net/HKie.png

2023-09-06 04:31:37

Huawei's New 7nm Chip Raises Eyebrows
Industry insiders are scratching their heads over Huawei's new Mate 60 smartphone featuring advanced 7nm chips seemingly built by Chinese firm SMIC. Here's the twist: US sanctions strictly prohibit SMIC from providing these leading-edge semiconductors to Huawei.
So how did Huawei obtain these chips? Some theorize SMIC may be covertly violating US export controls. Others float wild conspiracies wondering if China secretly acquired advanced Dutch lithography equipment.
In reality, Huawei likely customized the Mate 60's chip design to avoid issues holding back SMIC's 7nm production. While flashy, the phone's limited launch suggests more hype than genuine progress, as China still lacks key semiconductor ingredients.
But with national pride at stake, might Beijing turn a blind eye to sanctions skirting? For now, the Mate 60's murky origins remain a perplexing mystery.
This latest twist will further escalate tensions in the US-China chip war. Semiconductors are the “oil of the 21st century,” and the stakes couldn't be higher.
If China can somehow access advanced chips despite US sanctions, Silicon Valley giants like Nvidia, Qualcomm and Intel would seem vulnerable. Apple’s iPhone sales in China may also take a hit if Huawei regains its edge in 5G and mobile processor technology.
$NDVA $TSM $APPL $QCOM
https://m.primal.net/HKho.webp

2023-08-27 21:43:06

Dig into countries' Gold Reserves and notice the major changes started after the GFC, the start of the Fourth Turning. https://m.primal.net/HJzy.png

2023-08-25 10:02:12

https://m.primal.net/HJms.png
No bubble. Nothing to see here.

2023-08-25 09:55:30

https://m.primal.net/HJmq.png
What do you see?
CoreWeave:
Is backed by $NVDA.
Buys $2.3 billion worth of NVIDIA chips.
This purchase is financed by a $2.3 billion line of credit (LOC) from Blackrock.
The NVIDIA chips are used as collateral for this loan.
Blackrock:
Owns 182 million shares of NVIDIA.
Is a significant investor in the $2.3 billion line of credit provided to CoreWeave.
NVIDIA:
Has a "data center beat" worth $2.3 billion.
Its stock price increased by 11% in after-hours trading (AH) but then dropped during regular trading hours (RTH).

2023-08-24 03:33:38

I use AI to co-pilot my blog writing. My thought is that the core ideas and human creativity are most important. Machines can then translate those ideas into digestible formats using words. Words are just vehicles to convey the meaning envisioned by the human mind, whether they are in English, Tagalog, Python, or any language
The key is ensuring humans drive innovation while leveraging machines for communication. Prioritizing ideation while using all tools available to share the ideas.

2023-08-23 05:24:26

Tomorrow $NVDA
Thursday: Fukushima, Moscow
Friday: Jackson Hole
All the news (excuses) are ready for the market trend shifting.

2023-08-23 05:22:22

Recent on-chain and technical analyses indicate Bitcoin's latest price plunge could be the preamble to a new descending trend. Key observations include:
The crash shattered vital technical support levels, pushing bullish momentum to the sidelines.
On-chain data reveals a significant percentage of recent Bitcoin investors are incurring losses. Their susceptibility to sell in a further decline is palpable.
The root of the downturn? A massive de-leveraging in Bitcoin futures markets. Interestingly, options markets remained relatively calm.
History reminds us: sharp leverage liquidations can flag a directional shift. Previously, bull runs have been initiated by shorts getting squeezed.
Current on-chain data depicts a "top-heavy" market. A bulk of Bitcoin's supply is held by investors whose purchase price surpasses the present rate. Their jittery nature hints at potential sales if the price dips again.
Several on-chain momentum indicators suggest a possible transition from a bullish to bearish mood.
In essence, though not conclusive, prevailing evidence leans towards a delicate state for Bitcoin. The imminent weeks will decide if the bearish atmosphere persists due to uneasy holders, or if the bulls rally and thwart the declining trajectory. Presently, the scale tips slightly towards a short-term bearish outlook.

2023-08-20 05:16:43

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The $BTC weekly close breaks the 21MA. Good time to collect!
https://cdn.nostr.build/i/a8bc01ac94209249117cb6db32abc83b004da0689dc81dbded04e9b97e50bbce.jpg

2023-08-20 05:10:23

This weekend, I am taking a deep dive into the captivating world of artificial intelligence, exploring its potential to redefine the way businesses operate.
Harnessing the power of prompts, I've been able to instruct AI to interpret trading charts and discern price movement patterns. What once took hours of analysis can now be achieved in mere seconds. Case in point: I created and tested an AI prompt on Ford's recent 1.1% price jump to $11.96, and the results suggested a promising recovery for Ford in the near future.
However, this is just the tip of the iceberg. AI's potential for expediting decision-making processes and revolutionizing analysis can give early adopters an unparalleled edge. Imagine a future where companies leverage AI to optimize R&D, craft effective marketing strategies, and shape visionary long-term plans.
I am deeply invested in mastering the art of AI and analytics. As we look ahead, it's clear that these skills will be invaluable, driving transformative innovations in any enterprise.
If you're as passionate as I am about the boundless prospects of AI and its role in the future of industry, let's connect. Together, we can brainstorm strategies to ensure our teams and organizations are at the forefront of this exciting paradigm shift. 🌐 #AI #FutureOfWork #Innovation #LetsConnect
https://cdn.nostr.build/i/3fc800c1c6013b1b1936a22b9b73a9475038c955d2c4389f88c499673daa6aea.jpg

2023-08-13 20:45:04

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Your words resonate with my own journey as an Asian American. When I first arrived in the States as a foreign student and later began my career in the South, the social bias I confronted was evident. However, I was blessed to find refuge and empowerment in a social group that championed minorities. Their unwavering support made all the difference during those trying times.
In the early 2010s, I transitioned to CA and experienced a liberating transformation in my surroundings. The culture and societal milieu were far more inclusive, granting me, an Asian American, the freedom and acceptance that was somewhat elusive before.
However, like many, I've grown increasingly disconcerted by certain government policies, particularly the lenient stance on crimes. Moreover, it troubles me to witness physical appearance becoming an inherent disqualifier in scenarios such as college entrance, where qualifications and merits should be the sole determinants. For Asians, who often can't be distinctly identified merely based on our skin color or the shape of our eyes, this becomes problematic. If merit is sidelined, Asians, even Asian Americans like myself, find ourselves in a challenging "no-win" position.
On a brighter note, I'm optimistic about the potential of decentralized technologies like Bitcoin and protocols such as Nostr. These innovative systems present hopeful pathways to nurture communities founded on prosperity and equality. More importantly, they possess the potential to shield us from undue interference, whether it be from overreaching governments or dominant nation-states. The decentralized nature ensures that power remains distributed, fostering an environment where merit and contributions take precedence over superficial distinctions.
It's essential that we foreground the significance of acknowledging individuals for their talents and contributions, not just their physical attributes.

2023-08-09 03:16:22

The magic interactions between $BTC 21MA trend and 7x bars.
https://cdn.nostr.build/i/29e9449c0b69a677cad35dcd20a247a3554c24dbc2aeffcb136eaaa0df598628.jpg

2023-08-02 07:30:44

Remember he said that the inflation was transitory?https://m.primal.net/HHYr.jpg

2023-08-02 03:48:27

https://m.primal.net/HHXu.png
[email protected]

2023-08-02 03:46:08

Uranium Investment in 2023
Published on Aug 1, 2023
Posted from yakihonne.com
Despite geopolitical volatility in major uranium-producing regions and inherent price fluctuations, the uranium market is projected to offer significant potential in 2023 due to rising demand for nuclear energy and anticipated price increases. The article highlights several promising uranium stocks, including Cameco Corporation, NexGen Energy Ltd., and others, but emphasizes the need for thorough research and prudent decision-making. Despite the risks, the uranium market stands out as a potential investment avenue in the global quest to reduce carbon emissions and lower energy costs.
https://yakihonne.com/article/naddr1qq2nxcj929jkgn2nvfehgamxvd0hze2pva65kq3qgu5m9syh529vkw4ncq688cevd8ye3ux5ke70lv30w0dywcr5kj5sxpqqqp65wrw3gxr

2023-08-02 03:44:09

Check out my latest article: Uranium Investment in 2023 viahttps://yakihonne.com/article/naddr1qq2nxcj929jkgn2nvfehgamxvd0hze2pva65kq3qgu5m9syh529vkw4ncq688cevd8ye3ux5ke70lv30w0dywcr5kj5sxpqqqp65wrw3gxr

2023-07-28 20:59:00

https://m.primal.net/HGzl.jpg
Who remember Google Plus? It was only 12 years ago.

2023-07-18 03:31:09

# Embracing Change: The Millionaire Mindset in the US's Strategic Inflation Export
When we think of wealth generation, we often confine ourselves to traditional economic principles. In doing so, we may be missing out on opportunities lying beyond the conventional domain, like the proverbial forest for the trees. The recent decision by the United States to bolster its support to Ukraine, in the wake of raising its debt ceiling in June 2023, offers an insightful case in point on how creative economic strategies can lead to surprising opportunities.
## The Millionaire Mindset: From the Conventional to the Inventive
Often, traditional economists view the economy through a rigid lens, focusing on the 'three-legged stool' of economics - interest rates, fiscal policy, and employment. Confined within these parameters, they tend to overlook the potential of innovative, seemingly unorthodox solutions.
When faced with the economic conundrum of the U.S., they might proclaim that the country has exhausted its economic toolbox. The 'three-legged stool', they suggest, is on the brink of collapse, with each adjustment threatening to upset the delicate balance. This perspective, however, is rooted in a domestic view that disregards the enormous potential in international politics and global economics.
## Beyond the Three Legs: Adding Dimensions to Economic Strategies
While the traditionalists were wringing their hands over the 'broken leg' of fiscal policy, the U.S., in a strategic move, opted to add another 'leg' to its economic stool. By raising the debt ceiling in June 2023, it was able to channel more military and financial aid to Ukraine.
This move, although seemingly a geopolitical one, was, in fact, a strategic maneuver to export inflation. By injecting 'new money' overseas instead of domestically, it effectively slowed down the circulation of money within the U.S., thus curbing domestic inflation rates while setting the stage for a potential soft landing.
## The Individual Perspective: Harnessing the Power of Open-mindedness
For individual investors, there is a wealth of insight to glean from this move. In a world where multiple jobs are often required to maintain a constant lifestyle, adopting an open mindset that seeks out new strategies is paramount.
Rather than toiling away for money, we need to adopt a mindset that looks for ways to make money work for us. Just like the U.S.'s unconventional fourth 'leg', we must seek out our own additional 'legs' to support our financial strategies and to safeguard against economic downturns.
## From Surviving to Thriving: Mastering the Art of Opportunity
The crux of the millionaire mindset lies in this willingness to think beyond the conventional. Like adding new legs to a stool, we must seek out alternative methods of generating wealth to ensure our financial stability and growth. It is about finding the hidden opportunities in the global events and market fluctuations that others might overlook.
By shifting our perspective from merely surviving to thriving, from just being workers to becoming investors, we are setting ourselves on the path to financial freedom. The lesson here is not to endorse specific political or economic strategies, but to champion a mindset that is open to possibilities and can see opportunities in the face of challenges.
In summary, every global event is not merely a news story; it is a potential gateway to new opportunities. So, let us rise above the confined view of the three-legged economic model and explore the possibilities that a more open, innovative mindset can bring. After all, financial freedom is not just about working harder, but about working smarter.

2023-07-12 22:09:05

‘Man Thinks, God Laughs’
Milan Kundera
https://nostr.build/i/24279998dcc85a469134b7e72137657ddf4a79305d5a4e17a94b9a2f584b5dc1.jpg

2023-07-06 05:03:09

Typical chart of sell-off, buy-back, and more sell-off and more buy-back. .... until suddenly there is no more buy-back. Who's going to end up the last buy-back?
https://nostr.build/i/04545cd4358e1d173ff7a90f22a7b113db726322a9f999117294480e6408c9f6.jpg

2023-07-04 22:23:22

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Look forward to your show "Money Matters"!

2023-07-04 22:02:09

I published my second long from article exploringhttps://m.primal.net/HFsm.jpg the necessity of balancing speed with substance in technological development, emphasizing the importance of creating tangible goods and services that enhance people's lives.
https://yakihonne.com/article/naddr1qq2k25mf2gm825njxerk2s6f25ukv4z5g4dxyq3qgu5m9syh529vkw4ncq688cevd8ye3ux5ke70lv30w0dywcr5kj5sxpqqqp65wkg2puq

2023-07-03 08:22:35

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More, please :-)

2023-07-03 05:05:10

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lnbc21u1pj2ywkepp56fj9yqauks8szucu5xegqcuwsawz5j38nlq8lsea2jydzyamtzgqdq4235xzmntwvsygetjv44jzcqzzsxqyz5vqsp52pxxxv6hf73tka90066t2msv2fdfyhhcfv3zksw73g02758fxheq9qyyssqs6572kme0n0akgwyq90jrplmqaq5wpa6u00dr0lda5jzz20utm7jmz75e8a4a4zzpv2trwqm2l3nxj7rn3n2ul06mdm95ddy69pfyzgqnf7ga9

2023-02-28 18:32:06

Escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and China's aggressive stance towards Taiwan could impact the markets in 2023. #geopolitics #marketimpact