Ideas about possible scenarios evolving in Global Markets and Economy.
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2026-04-17T18:52:36Z Event JSON
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Last Notes npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I agree, and believe gold will be even more on sale before bottom is in. I see 3500/3800$ as zone and timewise at least 3/6 months to create the floor before next move up. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 🤣😅 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Imagine if you would said to him.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: charts only.. worth more than 1000 words. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions They'll get rekt. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions #QQQ about to print another ATH this week. My downtrend scenario for it was completely wrong. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE on Gold, Oil their correlation and a zoom out on the US 10yrs.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions https://youtu.be/wvlxGPLm2i4?is=PlBIGAMnlCEVyOQq npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Si, #YESTR npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions A wide view and a lot of data where you can see how big the discrepancy is between the stock market and real economy.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions #nevent1q…khyn npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: 🚨🚨🚨 TREASURY EMERGENCY 🚨🚨🚨 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions In the movie Too Big To Fail, when the '08 financial crisis was ongoing Secretary of Treasury visited China and there is a scene you should watch again and remember.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Something already broke IMO, but just a few niticed and markets still didn't reacted, at least the #Stock one.. because the US bonds market did: the 2 and 10 yrs treasury went ballistic. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions @nprofile…7p82 I am sure you will like this npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions The last three decades of The Gold Standard. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Is it? I thought it was a way ti say in English (not my first language) to say things are about to get really messy and bad.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 🚨🚨🚨 US TREASURY BONDS 🚨🚨🚨 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I still believe this is the ATH week for stock market. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions For reference.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 🔮🔮 BOLD CALL 🔮🔮 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions GN npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 💯 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: They needed to act, and they did precisely where they I thought they would. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions After it breaks 85k.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Soon you'll see more and more lasers on eyes that were crying not long before.. 😜 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions *more than one npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Uhm.. VIX is very low and making a bullish convergence in RSI, while QQQ doing the opposite as made note than one ATH with RSI going down (bearish convergence). npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I would agree with you.. and yeah very likely will take btc down with it, but I still believe not going under 60k, or if it really will be just a blip to liquidate longs stop losses and with a tiny and sharp hourly wick. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions And then FOMO for all the 60/70k sellers that were wishing for sub 50k or even sub 40k! npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Pelosi in despair.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions When zoomed out both you can see on both charts the levels are crucial.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions The 10yrs bond broke the level, let's see what the market and Govt/FED response will be. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions #QQQ going down -10% or more in a week or less? npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions (lol sorry wrong npub 😅) npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Hopefully one day I will be able to retire and avoid wearing shoes at all, great life goal ahah npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions What if I say, npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions For reference.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 🚨🚨 USD Treasury Yealds 🚨🚨 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 80k ✅ npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Indeed! Nice race all considered npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 🫂 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions https://youtu.be/AbLig2FUAxI npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UAE left #Opec because was the condition US put in order to open Swap lines for US dollars.. this is how I see it. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions The empty closet full of good pleb 😁🤙🏼🍀 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I posted 2 times the same chart.. here you can much easily spot how crucial that levels is in the 10yrs treasury: npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions In the end they have the same incentive: to not be seen and go down in history as the one who broke the economy and led US and the world in the worst recession and depression since 1929. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Commodities have being much more volatile than they used too, from metals to oil, we saw fast and sharp spikes in both directions as news hit mainstream media.. but the trends looks still the same: probably they peaked. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Will leave this here.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions *bull 😅😂🤣 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions The disbelief rally is what starts the buill run.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Much humble and correct that many are in their old age.. me included. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Shit was about to hit the fan and Central Banks needed to act, and they did. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions So much chart to post.. so less time to do it. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Volatility ✅ npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I have a feeling.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 21MD npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions First was time for shorts (🟥), then for longs(🟩).. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Maybe is time for some late longs to be liquidated.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions https://i.nostr.build/GckzztVyDGQAWMV7.png https://i.nostr.build/OeIiVnht8fTtM74J.png npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions You remember In October and November billions in long liquidations? npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions @npub1r3k…uytc npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Indeed, everyone talking just about #oil without considering all the other products and materials related that creates a cascade in different markets and sectors. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Yeald Curve Control.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions https://i.nostr.build/qlum4A0phpI8lbAG.jpg npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Looking #economy charts often is the best way to read news.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 🛢️.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Or wait the closure of Malacca Strait in a couple of months.. 😜😅 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I understand you, we weren't trying to time the market and wishing for lower price, you just weren't able to deploy 😅 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: Ormuz "reopened" (lol) and everything looks like the storm in the Middle East has passed. #Oil price movement in the last week was driven by uncertainty more than demand and this is the reason for such sharp and fast moves. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Shorting the bottom is The Bottom signal 😅😁 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: Bears, shorters, #58k gang.. all in disbelief. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Liquidation time I guess.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions #nevent1q…jxwr npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions There's no oil there but Americans love bacon and cigars 😅😁 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions - Saylor's coins becoming the US Btc Treasury npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I would say 2008.. but yes, 2022 sanctions were the nail in the coffin and signal to get off US treasuries once and for all. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Mainstream #macro podcast inviting guests that have non-mainstream views talking about niche assets.. should tell you something. Gradually, then suddenly. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions "Funny" that if happens, it could result with a "genocide" to punish another genocide for how many people are involved/complicit/partecipant 😅 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Apparently vibes were correct.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Many don't understand how much the Iranian thing is diverting (or maybe always was? 27Dchess?!) to an #economic war against China.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: 75.720 was indeed an overbought, but the retrace wasn't until now as fast and deep as I imagined and 74k looks much stronger support/resistance level than I thought. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions @npub1qh5…eh9r delivering #btc signal charts.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions This is a stretched definition npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 👀 https://media1.tenor.com/m/eagNPNexjc4AAAAC/ic-offender-yellow.gif npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Forgot to post the #chart with the line.. https://i.nostr.build/4V55yQypX3lYvZe7.png npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions #BTC at 75.720$ maybe be a bit overbought.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Soon on your feeds: npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions How is it going..? npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions That's a very positive way to look at it 🤣😂🫂 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I am starting to be more and more convinced this will be early than most (and cycle) expect. Possible we chop June/August in the 100k range and end of year you see already FOMO for new ATH.. we have been in a bear since October, the harsh part ended IMO. Grinding up already started, 58k gang in disbelief 😅 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions You bullish on Gold or Btc? npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: after almost ten days I must recognise this call was wrong, at least in time. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions "Fourth Turning vibes like a motherfucker.." npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I just spotted the same #ass pattern I saw years ago.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions GM npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Nope.. i don't do trades or have a real account where I could. 😅 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: https://i.nostr.build/jMhzvhRSwrcuXqKe.png npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I believe #oil is overbought at moment, I do see it retracing down +10% at least from here..
