Prof Christina Pagel

https://bsky.brid.gy/r/https://bsky.app/profile/chrischirp.bsky.social

Prof Operational Research , @UCL_CORU, passionate about health care, women in STEMs, defending liberal democracy (!). Member of @independentsage, posts personal. [trumpactiontracker.info](https://www.trumpactiontracker.info/ )

🌉 [bridged](https://fed.brid.gy/bsky/chrischirp.bsky.social ) from 🦋 [chrischirp.bsky.social](https://bsky.app/profile/chrischirp.bsky.social ), follow Bridgy Fed for Bluesky (npub1pqr…2sck) to interact

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Last Notes

2026-05-01 18:43:43 GMT

NHS data should be driving innovation & improvement – it’s an amazing resource
We just published the sequel to our 2021 "Road to Hell" paper on using NHS data for research... things are worse!
Buckle up for a long 🧵about *how COMPLETELY mad* system is for accessing NHS data for research
1/20
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2026-04-13 06:56:06 GMT

timeline cleanse: a view of Artemis II re-entry from the international space station
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2026-03-27 16:27:22 GMT

🧵The Covid Inquiry’s latest reports have made one thing brutally clear: the first year of the pandemic - and especially the second Covid wave in winter 2020/21 - was devastating.
Much of that devastation was avoidable.
This 🧵: impact on NHS, impact on bereaved, and avoidable harm. 1/19
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2026-03-27 08:03:22 GMT

I wrote about the findings from the inquiry about the impact of the pandemic on the NHS, and the mistakes of the first year.
I hope it makes you angry - it should make us all angry.
[open.substack.com/pub/christin...](https://open.substack.com/pub/christinapagel/p/the-uk-covid-inquiry-has-laid-bare?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=8zv6v )
[The UK Covid Inquiry has laid ...](https://open.substack.com/pub/christinapagel/p/the-uk-covid-inquiry-has-laid-bare?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=8zv6v )

2025-12-15 12:05:05 GMT

Was on Sky News this morning discussing Flu and whether this was a record bad year or not.
Also discussed what we could do and the importance of vaccines, ventilation and wearing a mask if you're ill.
[youtu.be/_PZiU3R7jac](https://youtu.be/_PZiU3R7jac )
[Interview with Sky News about ...](https://youtu.be/_PZiU3R7jac )

2025-12-11 18:29:56 GMT

🧵 Is it a super flu year? Who knows, but I think the current reporting is stupid.
A pissed off thread using data.
Firstly - here are today's headlines and some from the last 3 years... spot the difference. 1/10
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2025-12-04 18:00:28 GMT

🧵How much should the NHS worry about this winter's flu wave?
You may have seen this alarming headline on the BBC website today...
I think it's too early to make this claim and the data does not support it.
I think it will be a bad flu season but no evidence to think worse than previous yrs
1/8
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2025-11-11 10:18:29 GMT

In response to some of the comments:
If you agree with *all* the reporting of a news organisation that is both independent *and* non-partisan, then it's very unlikely to be independent and non-partisan.
This is true regardless of your politics.
Agreeing with all its reporting is the wrong test
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:rw2kfkoa7dvxmip5rm4nay7x/post/3m5dn6kxy7c2e
#note16ac…kv2c

2025-11-11 07:42:10 GMT

Information underpins democracy and the BBC is a key part of that.
We need to protect our institutions
[open.substack.com/pub/christin...](https://open.substack.com/pub/christinapagel/p/information-underpins-democracy-why?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=8zv6v )
[Information underpins Democrac...](https://open.substack.com/pub/christinapagel/p/information-underpins-democracy-why?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=8zv6v )

2025-10-30 23:30:54 GMT

Covid in England is definitely on the way down, but Flu is on the way up - and over a month early.
My latest substack
[open.substack.com/pub/christin...](https://open.substack.com/pub/christinapagel/p/englands-covid-wave-recedes-but-is?r=8zv6v&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true )
[England's Covid wave recedes b...](https://open.substack.com/pub/christinapagel/p/englands-covid-wave-recedes-but-is?r=8zv6v&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true )

2025-10-30 15:15:33 GMT

Me discussing how Trump is weaponising his Justice Dept to attack his enemies
"Justice is meant to be about "here's a crime, let's find out who did it and prosecute them", but instead Trump is saying "here's the person I want to prosecute, find me the crime".
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:vhe6fntbgtrucosxrqp7hzcj/post/3m4faslalpc2b
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2025-10-23 11:05:01 GMT

it's just so so mad and evil, as I pointed out yesterday!
Clearly, I wasn't interpreting it wrong.
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:xbnsfdtxoothg654ujxe3p25/post/3m3u4t54txz2q
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#note1wzg…eg8m

2025-09-13 17:45:25 GMT

Some more direct incitement from Musk
This man burned his sheep's clothing a long time ago and is now fully leaning into his right wing white supremacist nationalism
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:rw2kfkoa7dvxmip5rm4nay7x/post/3lyq7x6uhnk2z
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#note1au8…f75y

2025-09-13 16:44:02 GMT

Esp given assassination of Kirk in US i find Musk's intervention here, calling for dissolution of parliament and a new govt, really scary .
Also UK govt bodies should get the fuck off X.
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2025-05-29 14:35:55 GMT

this is a really important and really positive move from Labour. Bravo.
[www.theguardian.com/environment/...](https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/may/29/first-new-reservoirs-in-england-for-more-that-30-years-given-go-ahead )
[First new reservoirs in Englan...](https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/may/29/first-new-reservoirs-in-england-for-more-that-30-years-given-go-ahead )

2025-05-27 22:24:57 GMT

this is incredibly bad.
[www.politico.com/news/2025/05...](https://www.politico.com/news/2025/05/27/rfk-jr-nih-scientists-medical-journals-jama-lancet-nejm-00371349 )
[RFK Jr. threatens to bar gover...](https://www.politico.com/news/2025/05/27/rfk-jr-nih-scientists-medical-journals-jama-lancet-nejm-00371349 )

2025-04-14 08:40:59 GMT

🧵DISMANTLING DEMOCRACY
I've been keeping track of Trump actions - now up to 192. Here, I dig into 69 actions specifically targeted at undermining democracy, rule of law & suppressing dissent.
It's been 12 weeks of assaults on democracy.
based on
[christinapagel.substack.com/p/a-republic...](https://christinapagel.substack.com/p/a-republic-if-you-can-keep-it-but )
1/18
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2025-04-10 09:21:33 GMT

why is *every* newspaper/programme running with the headline "tariffs are paused" when they haven't been.
What's happened is that every country (except China) gets a flat rate of 10% for 90 days.

2025-03-17 23:11:40 GMT

Great to see another article standing up for DEI in science too
[www.nature.com/articles/d41...](https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-00791-z )
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:rw2kfkoa7dvxmip5rm4nay7x/post/3lkl3rqf3ok2p
[Don’t wait out four hard years...](https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-00791-z )
#note1e6c…gnll

2025-03-17 11:53:22 GMT

KLAXON 🚨: Indie SAGE has come out of retirement to release a new short report standing up for diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) in the sciences!
DEI is not just the right thing to do, it *improves* the quality of the science. Please read and share.
[independentsage.org/wp-content/u...](https://independentsage.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/The-Importance-of-Diversity-Indie-SAGE.pdf )
1/2
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2025-02-21 09:26:36 GMT

It matters that scientists speak out against what is being done to US science.
Staying silent is neither "objective" nor "staying out of politics".
Silence now *is* political - it supports the status quo, says "nothing to worry about".
We need to sound the alarm.
[www.nature.com/articles/d41...](https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-00525-1 )
[Trump’s siege of science: how ...](https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-00525-1 )

2025-02-18 20:18:10 GMT

measles is one of the most infectious diseases out there and it is a dangerous illness, particularly for young children - vaccination has kept it at bay for decades.
Not vaccinating - and not suppporting vaccination - has consequences
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:u3u5tucm2c2pg6j6pxh5mszn/post/3liherv2ngk2p

2025-02-17 18:42:19 GMT

🧵Who is opposing the Trump administration?
I analysed 76 actions of the administration since inauguration and then searched for *meaningful* opposition to each.
I grouped the types of opposition and considered what we can learn from both them & actions where opposition has been lacking 1/24
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2025-02-13 11:37:50 GMT

🧵"So this is how liberty dies..."
Trump’s first 3 weeks have been a relentless flood of actions. It's incredibly hard to keep up.
I’ve gone through 69 actions & mapped out the pattern - showing how they fall within 5 broad domains consistent with authoritarian states 1/9
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2025-02-12 13:48:47 GMT

one of my best moments last year was attending the citizenship ceremony of a young man we hosted back in 2017, who'd arrived here as a teenager via Calais.
It was so moving and his new passport meant so much to him.
If you meet the stringent refugee criteria, how you got here should not matter.
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:r4pny6chpyki3eqbij5cnwqw/post/3lhyc2udq522h

2025-01-09 22:58:46 GMT

Latest update on the NHS this winter - flu has just about peaked, but December was another terrible month for the NHS emergency services.
This has consequences, with thousands of people dying each year due to delays in access to emergency care.
[christinapagel.substack.com/p/december-w...](https://christinapagel.substack.com/p/december-was-bad-for-nhs-but-the )
[December was bad for NHS, but ...](https://christinapagel.substack.com/p/december-was-bad-for-nhs-but-the )

2024-12-19 18:21:53 GMT

Latest data out today. Essentially a tripledemic or quad-demic still not on the cards because covid low and RSV declining (slowly), but Flu is on a bad trajectory - exceeding last year's peak and no sign of slowing yet.
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:rw2kfkoa7dvxmip5rm4nay7x/post/3ldguvrrpec27
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#note1t9q…kaux

2024-12-16 17:43:22 GMT

Headlines are warning of a 'quad-demic' about the hit the NHS, but data show that a 'quad-demic' is v unlikely.
The worry is not that the NHS is about to be hit by unprecedented demand, but that it is unable to cope with normal demand.
I've written about it here
[open.substack.com/pub/christin...](https://open.substack.com/pub/christinapagel/p/is-the-nhs-facing-a-quad-demic-this?r=8zv6v&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true )
[Is the NHS facing a 'quad-demi...](https://open.substack.com/pub/christinapagel/p/is-the-nhs-facing-a-quad-demic-this?r=8zv6v&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true )

2024-12-12 00:06:19 GMT

You've probaly seen various headlines this year about bird flu and the potential for a new pandemic.
So I've written a new substack as a simple explainer on what a flu pandemic actually is, why bird flu and what's been going on over the last 3 years.
[open.substack.com/pub/christin...](https://open.substack.com/pub/christinapagel/p/how-close-is-a-new-bird-flu-h5n1?r=8zv6v&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true )
[How close is a new bird flu (H...](https://open.substack.com/pub/christinapagel/p/how-close-is-a-new-bird-flu-h5n1?r=8zv6v&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true )

2024-11-15 09:02:08 GMT

Waiting for Trump to announce he's appointing a horse to his cabinet