Climate Scientist (Atmospheric) at Climate Central | PhD | Sharing data-driven stories | Harrisburg, PA | Views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are only my own My research and communication interests coincide with disentangling patterns of climate change from climate variability using data-driven methods. Also, scary movie fan! #Arctic #ClimateChange #DataViz #MachineLearning #OpenScience #Python #SciComm #Weather #wxMastodon #wxTwitter
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2026-08-17T14:07:44Z Event JSON
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Last Notes npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Have a good week! Here's your Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the 8th lowest on record (JAXA data)... • about 40,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 1,050,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,980,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 2,2620,000 km² below the 1980s mean More graphics: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-extentconcentration/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/117/111/593/611/776/289/original/bad29ab64df15878.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe A data-driven picture of our rapidly changing planet - updated through June 2026... Download the graphic at https://zacklabe.com/climate-change-indicators/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/117/017/544/031/378/602/original/79ca6e7e3747445c.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Oh look, another all-time record high temperature shattered... Salt Lake City, Utah today. Once again, we can see that human-caused climate change made this heat more likely. Are you hearing that connection when these records are discussed? We will have more on this later this week: https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-briefings https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/909/743/866/157/967/original/e778d7d9284d03ff.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe No surprises here - #Arctic Ocean stripes are off the scale. The Arctic is warming faster than anywhere else in the world. #ShowYourStripes ➡️ Explore your own climate change stripes: https://showyourstripes.info/ (Global) and https://app.climatecentral.org/dataviz/warming-stripes (U.S.) What's it like in your area? https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/782/360/284/255/134/original/ce0ab7ad8d76aed8.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe I just want to point out that temperatures over land (where we all live) have warmed over twice as fast as ocean surface temperatures. The latest update through 2025 is... not great 🥴 Graphic created by https://www.columbia.edu/~mhs119/Temperature/T_moreFigs/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/706/296/513/113/174/original/05141fd8efc38eb0.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe A last look at the timing of phenological spring across the contiguous U.S. this year. Red means spring came early for plants. Truly remarkable to see the conditions across the West. Map from: https://usanpn.org/data/maps/spring Our study on future projections: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3313-2 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/697/373/858/900/176/original/24204ed4c394993e.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Trends in sea ice concentration are still confined to the outer edges of the #Arctic Ocean in May. In particular, losses have been largest in the Barents Sea near Novaya Zemlya. Sea ice concentration = fraction of ice-cover (observed by satellite). Info: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-25-0104.1 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/575/694/097/539/550/original/412cba8a094491e6.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Looking at temperature departures over the last 6 months... note some of the hotspot regions, including of course the Arctic, but also central Asia and western North America. 🟥 [red] warmer than average 🟦 [blue] colder than average Data from GISTEMPv4 (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/) https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/561/528/343/102/037/original/69ff259d5919e469.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Looking back at April 2026, most latitude bands observed above average temperatures, except near the South Pole. [Plot shows zonal-mean surface air temperature anomalies, where latitude = y-axis (not scaled by distance). Data from NASA/GISS GISTEMPv4.] https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/558/694/760/675/934/original/9f909e4627f44cd4.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Have a good week! Here's your Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the 2nd lowest on record (JAXA data)... • about 420,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 840,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,300,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 1,660,000 km² below the 1980s mean More graphics: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-figures/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/557/104/885/676/426/original/040c5bb77cfa863a.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Quite a bit of spatial variability in the pattern of temperature anomalies across #Antarctica in April 2026, though the warmth around the peninsula has been a pretty persistent feature lately. Data from @nprofile…hp3f ERA5 reanalysis. https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/555/841/054/619/130/original/2844590d52961644.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe This is an important graph for understanding changes in the global climate system. The data/running means are computed through March showing internal variability (bumps) and forced long-term warming (trend ➡️ human-caused climate change). + Graph created by https://columbia.edu/~mhs119/Temperature/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/547/567/112/980/181/original/f62f775557988f3d.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe 🚨 Friday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the *lowest* on record for this time of year (JAXA data)... • about 570,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 970,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,410,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 1,810,000 km² below the 1980s mean More graphics: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-extentconcentration/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/539/552/872/312/307/original/2773531a88d4b0dc.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Carbon dioxide averaged nearly 431 ppm in April 2026 (new record high)... 10 years ago April averaged about 408 ppm. Preliminary data from https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/mlo.html. This is really concerning, and it isn’t going away. The longer we wait, the worse the impacts get and the harder they are to address. https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/523/274/222/113/471/original/3a6ee6dccfd47185.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Sea surface temperatures continued to warm in the far eastern Pacific in April, as El Niño is likely to develop (find trusted sources to follow and not just the hype). Note also the significant marine heatwave stretching from near Hawaii to California and Mexico! Data from OISSTv2.1: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/optimum-interpolation-sst) https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/521/946/600/542/971/original/23dd51667e02d206.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Last month was the 11th lowest #Antarctic sea ice extent on record for the month of April. This was 670,000 km² below the 1981-2010 April average. Data from https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/516/125/072/853/689/original/3c8ca7d798aaf09d.mp4 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Trends in May temperatures over land areas for the last 50 years... Data from: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/noaa-global-temp https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/506/635/460/562/007/original/c1a867311fa1ea59.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Happy start to May! These maps show the regional patterns of temperature change during this month over the last four decades. Note the larger warming over land areas and relative hotspots over different high latitude areas. Data from https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.f17050d7 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/499/239/011/379/009/original/6436beb0c2dcd588.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Have a great weekend! Here's your Friday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the 3rd lowest on record (JAXA data)... • about 470,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 840,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,420,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 1,820,000 km² below the 1980s mean More graphics you can use: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-extentconcentration/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/341/542/033/991/474/original/272ab517b1e398c9.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Cumulative change in the mass of glaciers from all around the world - preliminary data just updated through 2025 ☹️ Information on methods: https://wgms.ch/products_ref_glaciers/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/337/981/759/037/180/original/a928e69e29950f3b.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the *lowest* on record for the date (JAXA data)... • about 630,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 1,040,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,530,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 1,970,000 km² below the 1980s mean More graphics: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-extentconcentration/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/281/109/415/279/004/original/0f8977546c801415.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe As I keep saying, this is easily one of the most anomalous out-of-season heatwaves that I’ve observed. It’s also remarkably large in the extent of area impacted by the record heat. Its impacts will be far-reaching after an already historic snow drought this winter. Without a pattern change, water concerns will then amplify this summer. npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Excessive heat warnings, red flag warnings for wildfire conditions, and monthly temperature records being shattered yet again. This historic heatwave continues, with temperatures made at least 5× more likely by human-caused climate change today. See: https://csi.climatecentral.org/climate-shift-index https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/269/427/958/434/851/original/9a4d3d240301f3a5.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Honestly, this historic heat dome across the West is really hard to put into words for me. Temperatures over 110°F (43°C) in March, shattering all-time monthly records on multiple consecutive days, and not just by a little. ➡️ I can confirm this is human-caused climate change. Graphic by https://polarwx.com/models/. https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/264/535/320/365/520/original/f5dd35c31c5a39f0.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Even in a world of extremes, some events still stand out to me. This is one. All-time monthly records are being shattered. The size of this ridge across the western U.S. is truly striking for March, and we see a very clear climate change connection. Explore: https://csi.climatecentral.org/climate-shift-index https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/258/064/364/624/881/original/3bdd54593e552399.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Sea surface temperatures are way above average in the Labrador Sea, especially where ice coverage is thin along the climatological ice edge. These warm anomalies also extend around Greenland toward Iceland for the February 2026 monthly mean. Data from NOAA OISSTv2.1 at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/optimum-interpolation-sst https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/194/055/791/228/787/original/d96c2acf77c29dea.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Very similar to last year, sea ice in the Sea of Okhotsk basin has been quite slow to grow. Total ice extent for this region is currently at record low levels. Also compare now to the 1980s! Graph of region: https://zacklabe.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/b203f-nsidc_mapseas.png. Data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/162/766/137/145/202/original/e9e44fe5cdec0441.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Looking forward to a few talks this week on why sustained climate observing networks matter, and how the impacts of regional climate trends and extreme events vary by season. As usual, I’ll try to share the slides on my personal website afterward. Trying to keep the public climate change conversation going... 🥹 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/123/211/475/141/410/original/7217223c1a826d4f.png https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/116/123/212/030/415/152/original/0e2d0a02fcd7c0d2.jpg npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe We have a new study out! In this work, we examine how the Gulf Stream and Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension co-vary, and this is tied to atmospheric variability and potentially sea-ice anomalies. However, this linkage may be changing in a warming world... ➡️ #OpenAccess: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adx6366 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Hope you will join us next week! I'll be leading our next free webinar that will review 2025's global climate stats and extreme events. We'll also be discussing the recent tally of 2025's billion-dollar disasters in the U.S. ➡️ Register in advance at https://climatecentral-org.zoom.us/webinar/register/2617664310158/WN_LOLPRohpQamFB34eZi_0eA https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/884/507/031/893/167/original/8bfc3b248d11c8e6.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe "In a reversal, the agency plans to calculate only the cost to industry when setting pollution limits, and not the monetary value of saving human lives, documents show." https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/12/climate/trump-epa-air-pollution.html npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Here are the latest monthly-averaged observations of global methane (CH₄; a potent greenhouse gas)... September 2025 - 1940.59 ppb September 2024 - 1934.39 ppb + Data: https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends_ch4/ + Learn more: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-1873-2025 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/882/231/008/699/713/original/04519fea6193ab39.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Carbon dioxide (CO₂) averaged about 427 ppm in December 2025 10 years ago December averaged about 402 ppm Data available at https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/878/462/884/737/627/original/26e6da40a7de1092.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe A summary overview showing the standardized anomalies of annual #Arctic sea ice extent by region - now updated through 2025 [Data via NSIDC; Graphic available at https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-figures/. Bright blue = max year, bright red = min year, vertical lines = 2007/2012/2016/2020/2025] https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/876/825/999/124/137/original/a6788d288cc5e87a.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe 2025 was the hottest year on record for ocean heat content. Unfortunately, we now say this every year. 🥹 "In addition to setting a new record in 2025, the global ocean continues to show sustained and intensified warming." + #OpenAccess Study: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-026-5876-0 + Data: http://www.ocean.iap.ac.cn/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/871/760/991/195/320/original/be3f4bdd7f14c54c.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe My monthly #Arctic temperature graphics are now updated for December 2025. Another unusually warm month. See: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-temperatures/ #DataViz #SciComm #OpenScience #OpenData npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Last year was obviously the warmest on record for the North Pacific Ocean... This graph shows the average for a band across the midlatitudes for every year from 1854-2025 using NOAA ERSSTv5 data. https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/868/384/327/698/903/original/6b8b6f1f0441dec5.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe 2025 observed the lowest #Arctic sea-ice extent AND the lowest sea-ice volume for their yearly average values. This comes as no surprise to me as the polar environment continues to change. The consequences are far-reaching. More graphics and stats already on my website (always free to share): https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-figures/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/867/760/463/289/721/original/1bba6020f5f97d76.mp4 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Modeled reconstruction of December #Arctic sea ice volume since the year 1901 - comparison between PIOMAS-20C and PIOMAS data sets now updated through 2025 (new record low)... Data information available at https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0008.1 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/865/279/215/550/148/original/f82788b391cacd86.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Just in - "According to Climate Central, 2025 ranks as the third-highest year (after 2023 and 2024) for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters — with 23 such events costing a total of $115 billion in damages." + Interactive graphics/data: https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-services/billion-dollar-disasters + Climate Matters article: https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/2025-in-review https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/859/834/011/154/144/original/7954dada08d8e0da.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Last month's total #Arctic sea ice volume averaged the *lowest* on record for the month of December... More at https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-volumethickness/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/859/744/626/257/249/original/bf437721814ef1ae.mp4 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe A comparison between recent satellite-derived sea ice observations and a reconstruction of ice extent since 1850 for the month of December. 2025 was a record low. Data from https://doi.org/10.7265/jj4s-tq79 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/853/628/214/374/388/original/fcc745ad1aca8b41.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe The first week of the new year is already flying by. Here's a look at how temperatures have changed around our planet over the last four decades in January... Data from https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.f17050d7 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/850/684/293/686/617/original/b87a29867b378f6e.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Last month was statistically tied for the 5th lowest #Antarctic sea ice extent on record for the month of December. This was 1,190,000 km² below the 1981-2010 December average. Data from https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/837/279/029/883/479/original/54de27221a3f5b47.mp4 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe I’ll be working this weekend to update my daily near-real time website visualizations for the switch from 2025 to 2026. Unfortunately, this means manually updating the style for each one. Thanks for your patience... More soon! Temperatures graphics ready to go though: https://zacklabe.com/climate-change-indicators/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/833/415/597/205/048/original/13642c1301a62599.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe #Arctic air temperature rank by month over the satellite era - now updated through all of 2025 🔥 + Ranks: 1=warmest (red), 47=coldest (blue) + Download higher resolution: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-temperatures/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/831/841/644/116/035/original/c368b022b44fc036.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Last update of the year - Wednesday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the 3rd lowest on record (JAXA data)... • about 380,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 910,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,460,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 1,800,000 km² below the 1980s mean More graphics: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-extentconcentration/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/814/722/482/467/082/original/b1929aadaa76f220.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe The story for November sea surface temperatures continued with the ongoing weak La Niña in the east-central tropical Pacific, as well as the persistent anomalous warmth spreading across the midlatitude regions in both hemispheres. Data from NOAA OISSTv2.1 (https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/optimum-interpolation-sst) https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/814/527/457/932/457/original/0225bbbfba67b24a.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Temperature anomalies averaged over the last month (left), 3 months (center), and 12 months (right) across the Northern Hemisphere... Data from @nprofile…emxm ERA5 reanalysis https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/811/526/373/789/630/original/a05add636fa57e9b.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Simulated reconstruction of December #Arctic sea ice thickness since 1901. Large interannual variability, but watch what happens in recent years... Information about this data: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0008.1. Data set only available through 2010. https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/810/123/993/362/631/original/1312c5914132c73c.mp4 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Check out this year's extreme sea surface temperatures and recent warming across the North Pacific... This graph shows the average for a band across the midlatitudes for every average January-November period from 1854-2025 using ERSSTv5 data. https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/808/719/126/717/134/original/07ffba3314b31a39.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe The extent of global sea ice cover will end the year at more than 2 million square kilometers below average 😞 Monitor at https://zacklabe.com/global-sea-ice-extent-conc/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/805/875/078/854/176/original/65df60147933873d.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe "When the Trump administration began freezing federal funding for climate and ecosystem research, one of the programs hit hard was ours: the U.S. Geological Survey’s Climate Adaptation Science Centers. These nine regional centers help fish, wildlife, water, land – and, importantly, people – adapt to rising global temperatures and other climate shifts." https://theconversation.com/from-invasive-species-tracking-to-water-security-whats-lost-with-federal-funding-cuts-at-us-climate-adaptation-science-centers-269908 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe A look at global temperatures so far this year (January to November) compared to each other period since 1850... 2025 is the 2nd highest on record! Data from https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/noaa-global-temp https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/803/118/121/024/633/original/28eb4c2f435eb570.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe @nprofile…gvpc I am very sorry for the confusion - I will revisit the graph's design. npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe This year set the 2nd lowest annual minimum (summer/fall) #Arctic sea-ice volume on record in the PIOMAS data set. I just updated my corresponding graphic that compares the seasonal max/min for volume at https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-figures/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/799/148/745/261/048/original/25fb4501a93a0b95.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Comparison of monthly temperature anomalies in the #Arctic versus the #Antarctic so far in 2025 (yellow lines). The other lines show the monthly anomalies for years from 1940 (blue) to 2024 (red). Note the long-term trends through the color gradient. Data from @nprofile…emxm ERA5. https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/797/655/372/567/407/original/20202d4aa74ffb6e.png https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/797/655/372/660/693/original/fbb2238de86ba25b.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe The thickness of #Arctic sea ice dropped to a new all-time record low this year around the North Pole (data from PIOMAS). More in my latest 'climate viz of the month' blog: https://zacklabe.com/climate-viz-of-the-month/ #OpenScience #SciComm #DataViz #OpenData npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe "This year, though, the Palmer was decommissioned, a victim of President Trump’s budget cuts. That has left the United States without a dedicated Antarctic research ship and leaves South Korea as the only nation with long-term plans to sail to Thwaites regularly." https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/27/climate/antarctica-thwaites-glacier.html npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Trends in December temperatures over land areas for the last 50 years... Data from NOAAGlobalTemp v6.0.0 (https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/noaa-global-temp) https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/787/669/303/137/538/original/cd0bbb87edfe14d7.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Have a great weekend! Here's your Friday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the *lowest* on record for this time of year (JAXA data)... • about 500,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 1,110,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,670,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 2,000,000 km² below the 1980s mean Check out more graphics here: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-extentconcentration/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/786/522/800/858/099/original/6ea539752ce0970f.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe "Experts say the cuts to the federal workforce and climate science funding could cause decades of loss in human knowledge and discovery." via @nprofile…h4g5 at https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2025/12/24/trump-climate-science-funding-cuts/ npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe A #MerryChristmas and #HappyHolidays to all of @nprofile…gadd world! Have a great day! ❄️☃️ Here's a Sentinel-1 SAR satellite image north of Greenland and not too far from the North Pole (sea ice; https://www.polarview.aq/arctic) https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/780/260/570/573/043/original/487d96251c00e21f.jpg npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Christmas 2025 - temperature anomalies across the contiguous United States 🔥 Map from http://www.karstenhaustein.com/climate https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/777/860/243/695/251/original/82b30723ef585415.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Your #Christmas weather forecast for the North Pole... Temperatures will start off around -18°C (0°F) and slowly fall throughout the day. Skies will be overcast with low-level clouds, and there will be some fog for Rudolph to help navigate through for Santa's flight! 🧑🎄🦌 Forecasts provided by https://www.yr.no/en/forecast/daily-table/2-6269203 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/775/910/694/953/138/original/1c090db780651280.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Christmas Eve ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the *lowest* on record for this time of year (JAXA data)... • about 570,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 1,180,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,730,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 2,080,000 km² below the 1980s mean More graphics: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-figures/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/775/060/407/501/943/original/828a2017fa3bbef3.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Most of the #Arctic is experiencing warming temperatures over the last four decades in December. This is even larger over areas with a loss of sea ice cover, such as the Barents-Kara Seas region. Data from @nprofile…emxm ERA5. For more info: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-25-0104.1 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/772/001/335/618/295/original/3eafa4177f7038a4.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Things are really not good around the North Pole. Anomalous warmth continues, alongside record low #Arctic sea ice conditions. Nearly every time I check the data, there seems to be yet another new record this fall. More graphics: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-temperatures/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/770/007/926/118/409/original/2f211c8737957521.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe The ice at Santa's workshop is melting away... #NorthPole 🎁🧑🎄 Check out my blog from November 2022 on this graphic at https://zacklabe.com/blog-archive-2022/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/768/988/274/902/508/original/5585803d0309afd8.mp4 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Temperature anomalies (departure from average) around our planet for the last month (left), 3 months (center), and 12 months (right)... note the unusual "warmth" across both polar regions Data from https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.f17050d7 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/764/526/203/277/166/original/81610c126b81e3db.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Have a great week! Here's your Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the *lowest* on record for this time of year (JAXA data)... • about 640,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 1,220,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,780,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 2,140,000 km² below the 1980s mean More graphics: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-extentconcentration/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/763/682/635/574/704/original/284c1d62b9dbba7f.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe "In a warming world, we will continue to see snow and extreme cold, but these events are becoming the exceptions rather than the rule, and that shift is reshaping our landscape and environment." + Report: https://climatecentral.org/climate-briefings/november-2025 + Sign up: https://go.climatecentral.org/climate-services + Webinar recording: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=75S2BPNQfiw npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Happy #DecemberSolstice! 🌞 Understanding seasons - a look at the hourly incoming solar radiation during the two solstices (23.5°N/S). I've added a red marker for ease of viewing. Dashed line shows the equator This graphic can be found at https://zacklabe.com/arctic-climate-seasonality-and-variability/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/757/728/938/725/173/original/af64c53394e0e048.mp4 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe A few days before Christmas and near record high temperatures are occurring around the North Pole in the #Arctic 🎅🥵 Download at https://zacklabe.com/arctic-temperatures/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/752/856/221/377/027/original/fb4c11994ada9c42.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Our planet that is heating up - watch 100 years of September-October-November temperature departures over land areas (where we live) through the year 2025... Data provided by NOAAGlobalTemp v6.0.0: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/noaa-global-temp https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/752/397/633/681/185/original/f81fc3a6f23415c1.mp4 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Good news - GIOMAS data is back. And I just updated my graphics through November 2025 for both Antarctic sea-ice thickness/volume (https://zacklabe.com/antarctic-sea-ice-extentconcentration/) and global sea-ice volume (https://zacklabe.com/global-sea-ice-extent-conc/). Global sea-ice volume has been near a record low almost all year. npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Have a great weekend! Here's your Friday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the 2nd lowest on record (JAXA data)... • about 670,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 1,190,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 1,750,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 2,190,000 km² below the 1980s mean More graphics: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-extentconcentration/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/747/167/855/437/593/original/bbdbe0c2df83d3b9.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Another remarkable spike in temperature is ongoing across the northernmost portions of the #Arctic, with a poleward surge of heat and moisture from the Atlantic. Also note the clear warm Arctic, cold continent temperature anomaly pattern. More graphics at https://zacklabe.com/arctic-temperatures/. Map from http://www.karstenhaustein.com/climate https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/746/492/273/710/881/original/ff64f20afb6b90cc.png https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/746/492/558/013/885/original/c68fbd5bfc1db32d.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Check out the anomalous warmth across the #Arctic and #Antarctic over the last three months. And actually, all latitude bands averaged unusually warm too. Plot shows zonal-mean temperature anomalies, where latitude = y-axis (not scaled by distance). GISTEMPv4 data using their 1951-1980 baseline. https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/746/302/134/082/305/original/7b3fd68fda1e2f97.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Temperatures over global land areas so far this year are still the 2nd warmest on record (after last year)... 🫥 Data from https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/noaa-global-temp https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/743/400/842/747/689/original/183ec6e0ff5d929d.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Areas in red indicate thinning #Arctic sea ice during the month of December over the last >40 years... 🧊📉 Simulated data from PIOMAS. For more information: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0436.1. https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/742/080/542/948/187/original/721546daab624d5d.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe The freeze-up in the Hudson Bay (Canada) has been one of the latest on record for #Arctic sea ice. This is consistent with the long-term trend of a lengthening open water season. Data from https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/740/628/415/126/282/original/e6e3e604e29ce49d.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe "From climate science to maternal healthcare, research labs to ocean innovation, people across the world have felt the shockwaves of political and financial upheaval..." "For Labe, though, his concerns for the future lie with the next generation of scientists." via https://geographical.co.uk/news/how-are-scientific-researchers-coping-with-trump-2-0 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Uhhhh, yikes ☹️ https://www.nsf.gov/news/intent-restructure-critical-weather-science-infrastructure npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe The annual Arctic Report Card is now out for 2025. It discusses recent changes in the #Arctic, extreme events, and broader human/environmental impacts. This is the 20th anniversary edition. 20 years of documenting its rapid change. + Report: https://arctic.noaa.gov/report-card/report-card-2025/ + Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2PF6uk3tqA + Summary: https://arctic.noaa.gov/report-card/report-card-2025/executive-summary-2025/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/735/036/432/137/298/original/5806233f572f36eb.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe "The Trump administration is moving to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, according to a senior White House official, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs." https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2025/12/16/trump-dismantle-national-center-atmospheric-research-climate/87798771007/?link_source=ta_bluesky_link&taid=6942047625625600014c41b7&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=bluesky npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Polar night vs. midnight sun in early/mid-December... Animation looks downward at the North Pole (left; 🌙) and South Pole (right; ☀️) over a 24-hour period. https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/731/145/376/210/175/original/3cfee671ec04b6d9.mp4 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Check out our new monthly climate summaries and climate change attribution reports: https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-briefings npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Last month was the 4th warmest November on record for the average global sea surface temperature... 🌊 Graphic using NOAA ERSSTv5 data. Methods described in https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0836.1 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/729/395/969/472/885/original/a89012fb19c27a15.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Maps of temperature departures averaged over the last month (left), 3 months (center), and 12 months (right) across the #Arctic... Data from https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.f17050d7 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/726/048/534/457/409/original/149c4d7b9e5d4056.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Looking back over the last 12 months, all latitude bands observed above average temperatures. This was largest in the Arctic region. Plot shows zonal-mean surface air temperature anomalies, where latitude = x-axis (not scaled by distance). Data from NASA GISTEMPv4 (1951-1980 baseline). https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/723/718/460/644/842/original/55c92d129df98067.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe 47 years of #Arctic sea ice thickness during the month of November... (updated through 2025) Graphic available at https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-volumethickness/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/721/084/217/314/672/original/5606e668176f9261.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Here's an updated view of the 12-month running mean global temperature, which is a simple metric that provides insight on climate change and climate variability. + Graphic from global climate change indicators: https://zacklabe.com/climate-change-indicators/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/719/958/981/999/065/original/9ac7d2337a75bcb2.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Decadal trends in December precipitation show wetter conditions around Svalbard and the Barents Sea region, especially in areas of long-term sea ice loss. + Data: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.gpcp.html + More info: https://doi.org/10.25923/xf7c-p592 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/718/082/938/974/820/original/869a9d09899e8092.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe 100 years of average January-November temperature anomalies over land areas through 2025... Data from NOAAGlobalTemp v6.0.0: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/noaa-global-temp https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/715/387/267/357/366/original/fff6c3a4e71127a2.mp4 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Year-to-year variability with a long-term decline in November #Arctic sea ice volume (bar) and thickness (map). Updated through November 2025 🧊 Additional graphics: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-volumethickness/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/712/862/186/899/206/original/2603a95c2222b57c.mp4 npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Join us! In a few days, Climate Central will be launching a new webinar series on the state of our climate! I’ll provide monthly overviews of current global and U.S. conditions, along with special guests, featured topics and graphics, and written reports. ➡️ Sign up at https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-briefings https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/712/507/989/826/015/original/434da9b48036cb1d.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe Looking back at temperature departures averaged over the last three months - what's it like in your area? 🟥 [red] warmer than average 🟦 [blue] colder than average Dataset (NOAAGlobalTempv6) described in https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0012.1 https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/709/684/316/977/868/original/c3682b7aa2512c93.png npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe #Arctic climate rankings are in for November 2025: https://zacklabe.com/archive-2025/. A historic boreal fall for sea ice conditions (and not in a good way). #OpenScience #OpenData #SciComm #DataViz npub19k206sfhfaqehnkv4yeev8fwr6exthmjvlxyqctp0fzwf0vg92rqe08dk6 Zack Labe 🚨 Friday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently still the lowest on record for this time of year (JAXA data)... • about 990,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 1,470,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 2,060,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 2,520,000 km² below the 1980s mean Other graphics: https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-figures/ https://fediscience.org/system/media_attachments/files/115/706/586/586/320/720/original/df7b01305795e36b.png