thiefofsats
ThiefOfSats

I steal sats from the order books and send them to self-custody.

Public Key

npub1apuvpy5dge425rhsq2hedyhlgstkm2q70wv3657zrnkcyv09h7jq4z7jxs

NIP-57 Address

[email protected]

Profile Code

nprofile1qqsws7xqj2x5v642pmcq9tukjtl5g9md4q08hxga20ppemvzx8jmlfqrl4pe5

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Author Public Key

npub1apuvpy5dge425rhsq2hedyhlgstkm2q70wv3657zrnkcyv09h7jq4z7jxs

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Last Notes

2024-06-26 13:27:23

let's keep this simple today. BTC 4h, rejected at the 25-day moving average (yellow dot). 🐻ish sentiment continues.
https://image.nostr.build/767ab6be9666e3a290cfd26d2e8ecbc01e2d7c7432771c1c86fa8a4f9ec87e5e.png

2024-06-24 13:30:48

Bitcoin 4h, "just algos doing their thing"
BTC is starting the week with the $61k dip we've anticipated testing major support at the 0.786 FIB established over the last 4 months. Falling through this level puts the recent low of $57k on the radar and it would also put the 0.618 FIB back on the table sitting at $51k. A bounce would suggest that we continue to move sideways between the $61k and $71k FIB channel.
ANYTHING below $61k should be considered an absolute bargain. #stacksats
https://image.nostr.build/dd6c89cda0985123dc53febc1df3513aaf67ed2f16dba5ea9c4f43084128ec54.png

2024-06-20 15:27:07

#nevent1q…lyku
Opinion hasn't changed. No, not even with MS picking up another 11,931 coins.
https://image.nostr.build/f4ff8073a84920a8ea1df9875432be0099b9cf99d337f3be6baabb5323624397.png

2024-06-18 18:32:04

Here's my opinion on BTC, 4h chart.
BTC is about to hit previous support at $64k. If that falls through then $61k is pretty much guaranteed as it represents the 0.786 FIB which has shown strong support numerous times in the last couple of months. Now, if that falls through then the 0.5 FIB is back on the table sitting at $51k.
https://image.nostr.build/b0f64a18a3f33801151470b7d8226ab72d89a084c7aa9f31600fd04c810df947.png
Generally, I don't stack sats unless we're in a clear upwards trend or I see a confirmed bounce which, at this moment of time, is still outstanding. We'll know if $64k will hold up in the next 8-16h but with miners transferring coins to the exchanges (adding to the sell pressure) and with shorts stacking the order books I doubt that $64k will hold and expect more of a tiny bounce when automated trading triggers at that level before it breaks downwards.
This could be very well the pre-summer vacation time retracement you're familiar with from previous cycles. As institutions, OTC and leveraged traders don't tend to leave their positions on the markets before the vacation time. They MUST zero-out their positions. Meaning they're neither long nor short. In addition institutional has to take gains on their long positions from last year. You know, when everyone was talking about a bear market while Bitcoin casually went up over 350%.
It's a good time to stack sats on upwards trends rather than on the way down or during tiny recoveries.

2024-06-07 20:08:52

One doesn't simply dip without bouncing the 100-day MA. At least for now.
https://image.nostr.build/8844a8a5e88faab72294bb4f5e7447474705d28afec52f4b73b2dea1b81f95c9.png

2024-05-30 20:58:46

BTC 4h. Textbook relief bounce at the 100-day MA and recovery of the 50 RSI opening the path to retest the 73k ATH.
https://image.nostr.build/e7368d2ec06ac019840b47816a07f425434f6420c2ffe991ea24624c66ce9176.png
#Bitcoin

2024-05-27 18:14:17

Scenario 1 it is.

2024-05-27 15:31:26

It's Monday so here's today's outlook.
Bitcoin has been hoovering the 50 RSI (bottom) for the entire weekend. We did get the dip to 66.5k range (see last update) but bounced and therefore we didn't revisit the 64k range. Atm we're facing a crossover of the 7- and 25-day moving average while the sideways move over the weekend has pulled the 100-day MAup to the 66.5k support range.
Scenario 1: The 7/25 MA crossover succeeds and Bitcoin will aim to retest the 1 FIB / new ATH at 73k. Breaking that level AND finding support above 73k would open the road to the 88k range.
Scenario 2: The crossover fails, we revisit 66.5k range for support and, if support gets confirmed we'll then test the recent ATH for resistance.
Whichever comes first. Stack sats while we're still within the established channels.
https://image.nostr.build/a1eaa1cb541aa2cd7e8dabb1fe3bd1bb7664c8823e6871bd1e9f0efdd76837ac.png
#Bitcoin

2024-05-23 17:04:22

- reply

Yeah, I thought we'd see 51k during the last dip since it's a solid FIB level but we came short. 50 range "one more time" would be a blessing.

2024-05-23 16:25:03

Let's keep it simple. to levels to stack some cheaper sats. enjoy #Bitcoin
https://image.nostr.build/25b5e25a04a915038038fc2a367db2206a6245a289266c8670578bcf85466dd4.png

2024-05-20 22:03:12

1,2,3... then 🚀. So much for "all models are broken". enjoy the ride
https://image.nostr.build/bc50d9e51a45d9cfa38c9891e2ebe53037bff0bc91e99795c9fded0a90c1c911.png

2024-05-17 16:10:14

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ended? just shared it

2024-05-17 16:08:12

This week's recap, BTC 4h.
After a bullish week Bitcoin has finally set a "higher high" since following the declining trend from the ATH. We're closing the week with a strong rejection in the $66,500 rang. Since it's Friday we might see a little relief from signalling overbought across the board.
Expected support levels are 64k and 62k respectively on the bearish side. For the bulls we want to see a move above 65k but hopefully with a pullback first to take pressure of the market.
Disclaimer: The longs from 57k and 61k got closed last night with a re-entry floating at $66,805 in case we do not get said relief over the weekend.
https://image.nostr.build/8a7968e3e26cc36d1e5e847a638963e03dff4c22b8c0d3e9307a705ab080859c.png

2024-05-12 19:12:30

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I don't do price predictions

2024-05-12 18:24:03

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much strong support.

2024-05-12 17:39:53

Only a few will understand the beauty in this. The most accurate FIB level float I've ever seen. https://image.nostr.build/e57a8c5ba3bb6c8dac6bcb04fd5ac3fa89b64fc6a2936c8f766108ca4169ea4f.png

2024-05-09 17:59:11

Fib bounce for BTC is sending a bullish signal. However, Bitcoin still has to retake the 50 RSI (bottom) and cross the 25/100-day moving average (top). If we can hold 61k the next days should be bright. If we don't then $51k is back on the table, again.
https://image.nostr.build/73ec10dc83913d71b98a0929b43d02e6533ed0324a3481dd3b806d4856a9c474.png

2024-05-03 14:53:16

Decision time for BTC. Retake the Fibonacci to signal a trend change or get rejected and continue to the path to 51k. Happy weekend.
https://image.nostr.build/41307e44e277de6f90b43b29b0914dc7ee5a068cd184444d8abf7cef30c73a5e.png

2024-05-01 14:18:49

... and just like that the 0.618 FIB doesn't look so far fetched any more. Enjoy the ride. #Bitcoin
https://image.nostr.build/375b962c7c8861b11fec59e5690fbd5b7535b087f7dd04468774a533dd43a536.png

2024-05-01 14:05:55

GM $51k gang. #Bitcoin

2024-04-30 14:07:18

Bitcoin in a nutshell. 4h, lower highs, lower lows, bearish af. We've been rejected trice at the 50 RSI over the last week and the declining trend line speaks for itself. However, with the FIB support around 61k we're coming to the end of the wedge. If Bitcoin bounces the 61k range again we could see a trend change evolving over the next couple of days. If Bitcoin loses the 61k support the 0.618 FIB comes back to the table sitting at 51k.
End of month incoming, stack sacks and be happy!
https://image.nostr.build/831e6bfeb33f869d0cbf6ab6177649d381fd59216429bf9e974f434966180a71.png

2024-04-30 14:03:36

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👋

2024-04-26 17:43:48

hello nostrix