Chart Analysis | Not financial advice. Only speculation | 50% of the time, I’m right, every time
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Published at
2023-12-21 08:39:16 Event JSON
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Last Notes npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute There’s only a handful of active coins created prior to 2015… #BTC, #LTC, #XRP, #DOGE to name a few. From peak to peak of their cycles, it was between 40-50 months. We’re at 36 months since the technical peak of the last cycle. If the peak of this #crypto cycle is coming up, that would mean we’ll see it between September 2024 - July 2025. Get ready. npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute #Ethereum repeats fractals. We can observe that $ETH is repeating fractals from 2016-2017… so where is #ETH now compared to back then? Ethereum was at the bottom of a range then. Ethereum, today, has either found the bottom or is still looking for it. https://image.nostr.build/d2ee0ae515c8f51096ab0e325e113118f8a93f601555656db23ae38fd6c67583.jpg https://image.nostr.build/dc7d0e633c3e64053d9bc8badc0afe1a583f340f16638b52360669eca5236003.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute Hear me out. $XRP repeats fractals, but those fractals can be wildly exaggerated or muted. Case in point, the 2018 and 2021 bull runs can be found in 2015 and 2016. Sure, 2015 and 2016 were run ups, but they were not bull runs for #XRP. https://image.nostr.build/b75a7d337c767d97d16687dc8263bc4e0fdd84617eaffd65980fd081eb62e6c7.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute If #Bitcoin is following 2017, and going to test the Bull Market Support Band, then this upcoming week isn’t going to be pretty. However, it would be healthy for $BTC to test the BMSB, fill liquidity below the current price, so #BTC can fuel up to go higher. https://image.nostr.build/7b66731bac6d110e94cc4e5e89ca100e3e4d0c1ff6455354c47162176d2e9d89.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute $XRP fractal looking more like December 2017, rather than March 2017. If true, and considering #XRP typically moves last, this bull run may end before end of the year… possibly even sooner. https://image.nostr.build/0ad823369b63ac666526459e3bedb4570ba3b76abf83996e0e631291feeae693.jpg https://image.nostr.build/b3f2098b3426a0646adf92b3408ea3423bddffef3049d64243262af571b130d9.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute #ALGO hasn’t made any exciting moves yet during this bull run. However, #Algorand has been steadily making higher highs and higher lows, likely going to retest $0.20. https://image.nostr.build/b33bbc8c00017ab0c66d1cbc381b91c3e83cfcee0bc8114a3155fd9eeaa7ea15.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute Some things are different, and some things are the same for #XRP. As shown in the previous post, fractals can be exaggerated either more or less. $XRP is still on course. https://image.nostr.build/455cab056f388c660a04beacfc983921ee91181185604d0b994b0773ef5dfd34.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute $XRP has been very good at making sure there’s little to no liquidity below to fill. However, there is an FVG around $0.50 that could get filled. #XRP price hit the 0.5 Fib level. That could be good enough, but we should stay open it filling the FVG below. https://image.nostr.build/2a06749482b6a31473f0c4f9f250a134f4f1905973696cb6b9799bd6539513c9.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute More pain to come for #altcoins, but let’s compare #TOTAL2 to where #Bitcoin was at this stage. #HODL #buythedip https://image.nostr.build/5998a090d827fd6d314a7e1f0393fa4c4e25f212acb2047d067a00bd1b139463.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute Three scenarios for $BTC correction. A. #BTC bounces off the trend line. B. #Bitcoin makes an ABC correction: 5 waves down, 3 waves up, and 5 waves further down. C. We go to zero. 😆 https://image.nostr.build/cfa7ee2f08a4929674264808fd179780cef12033be676dc0a3836e8ae80dd73c.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute #SHIB vs #DOGE in 2021, at this same juncture. It will feel as if the sky is falling, but at the other end, it will be beautiful. https://image.nostr.build/21756321847358e8b54d18a79414650208871162bfc4c5c8172aa8eea01fc516.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute In previous cycles, whenever #BTC reached back around to its previous ATH, $BTC retraced 15-30% to backtest previous support. In our current cycle, I expect #BTC to backtest support between $50-60k. This is equivalent to a 20-30% retracement. https://image.nostr.build/60b4d29314c947d6779826033a80a9219de4ac3e7f509c41350b29bafcdcffbd.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute What phase of #Wycoff are we in? #AMC compared to #BTC. https://image.nostr.build/d30a603f202cd19fe035c8137b8bfaa26e5ac79b57dc78cf04eead821f3f5277.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute $DOGE from 2014-2017, #DOGE from 2018-2021, and DOGE from 2022-2025? Can #Dogecoin repeat a 4th time? Or is a three-peat the max? https://image.nostr.build/6b947c7c9a8f6b78bae6969e922482fdf5a463884465a7e9a5d921975814076c.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute Typically in triangles, price action goes the opposite direction of Wave E. That would mean that #BTC may head downwards soon. However, it’s not a hard rule for triangle patterns. Take for example, #SMCI. Its triangle pattern would suggest downward price action, but instead, it broke to the upside, after hours. #Bitcoin #SuperMicro https://image.nostr.build/672590701087b3bbd7036d26b3ebac32e843cdd864164c35263febb9cafca75a.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute $BONK 2024 vs $DOGE 2021. Some things are different, and some things are the same. Just like #DOGE did in 2021, I speculate that #BONK will break its ATH, and go higher… much higher. https://image.nostr.build/eaac2be3938e300b5fb3da1b3b319e12aab5664303f34f6b1e0c17cdd1b2e957.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute Nearly a week since $STRK started trading, #STRK has been rangebound. Liquidity has been building below this range, and at some point (doesn’t have to be now), I speculate there’ll be a sweep of liquidity, before aiming to break out of resistance. #Starknet https://image.nostr.build/9b186db4370ad7bb54188f23e544af1f58b60f7302844cc6bfd4f66f70fbbb0e.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute AOE notice that whenever $BTC moves 5%, $STX moves 20%? #STX mitigated the last order block. I’m expecting a retest, and off to Valhalla. #Stacks #Blockstacks #Bitcoin #BTC https://image.nostr.build/bf88bb10a4de6eb93e02e9a2411545c823eaf1226784fda8377c0f5c625ab474.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute $DGB up 25%+ today with a sign of strength. However, it is hitting a resistance level. I would expect #DGB to retest previous highs, before resuming a bullish uptrend. #DigiByte https://image.nostr.build/5a154273beac3baad0d5a7f85a120b013d5be2775d6809d21960efe23d4d2644.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute Even though it’s only been 10 days since $CKB made its local top, it feels as if it’s been weeks. #CKB mitigated the FVG, finding its bottom there, and now has made a sign of strength. Good things are coming for the #NervosNetwork https://image.nostr.build/3674277c8140869a463ae1dc9142a9144ef97834504f0f7514672c33c2fc3f51.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute As much as I am a fan of #Stacks, I am exercising caution at these price levels. $STX is still within a major order block, and there is an RSI divergence, typically meaning that the strength of the upward momentum is exhausting. If #STX can pull above the order block with strength, then buckle up, because this rocket is going to the moon. https://image.nostr.build/2a8dd93394a6a3696fe3da528302056c5acf575d4d554da96446471e1dd0601e.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute $CKB down 20% today, but still up 125% for the week. This price action is considered a healthy pull back, before continuing to the upside. Two scenarios: (1) #CKB retraces to the FVG or (2) it retraces to the order block, then marches upwards. In both scenarios, #NervosNetwork will still be considered making higher highs and higher lows. Going below these levels would make me less bullish. https://image.nostr.build/74967b1b130f537c4e3691ab92d1e0db02bd236ffeecc0b39cefdcca3b0a39ab.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute I can see $IMX reaching at least $4.15 this cycle. #IMX is busting through a breaker block, will likely retest, and move higher. #ImmutableX https://image.nostr.build/4117f00376989f279e39be68fbd7aa0f806765b41e7ec01bdc1a6bc783642849.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute I can see $LINK reaching to at least $32 during this bull run. Of course, that doesn’t mean that #LINK won’t retest some demand zones along the way. https://image.nostr.build/c578b64189ca2e4075be1776c902bec5bf1d6b301570666ce10807b851db1053.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute $BCH up 13%+ today already. Zoom out, and you’ll find that we’re still in a range, soon to hit resistance at $304. In order to be bullish, I want to see #BCH break through the range with strength, retest, and then climb higher. #BitcoinCash https://image.nostr.build/450583085fb3433b6f6185c94208c929d8378f2ba1aff631e47c96d9e9cbe49a.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute $LUNC up 14%+ today, after bouncing off support. Expect resistance soon. If #LUNC can plow through resistance, then it’s possible will attempt to reach back to December highs. https://image.nostr.build/89db29b7aae5e2af34ea8030ebbd1cbe342add6ab9bc7291a115e3877d31cd3c.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute If you were planning on going long on $BTC, then we’re technically still in a discount zone. Although, #BTC hitting the 0.5 Fib retracement could also reverse from here…. Hopefully, just for a retest of previous levels. https://image.nostr.build/3ca903827d339bf29a1824f8d94af8a499b91397bd9f2179cc029b0b41a44618.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute Maybe there is a chance for AMC. https://image.nostr.build/dd3f526eacc63bc0701045740c379db78579dfeb0da36ab2eaf4357bc4fd241e.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute Hopefully, #Bitcoin can break through this down channel. Otherwise, $BTC will likely head towards $37k. https://image.nostr.build/0c8e9c571547db7ecc7bd25669b865afda0a0818f24e02498def56be8ec33787.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute TOTAL has ranged from one extreme to the other extreme of this high volume node. Where we’re at in the #cryptocurrency market could be nearing or at a local bottom. https://image.nostr.build/47f54c76028bc5ae26aa97ca2bdff114d4cdb2d9647bb74577d1d9f31738ae65.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute $STX price closed below support, suggesting price action will eventually pull back to a lower support. I wouldn’t be surprised if #STX rallied, only to come up short of its recent high, then back down even further. #BlockStacks #Stacks #Bitcoin https://image.nostr.build/e762a6cbd8cd4d175aae485dd61242f1c182e660c4fbbf68356607ceed9d41f2.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute Another way to look at #Bitcoin ’s price action is to use EMA Clouds. The hope is for $BTC to retest the EMA cloud, then continue its ascent up, just like what #BTC did in 2016. https://image.nostr.build/dfa321e25c69d94a35a8b576651cdf902840bb98b701ed7085a706d3c9c6d67c.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute $SHIB keeps burning, but its price remains steady. Making an asset more scarce doesn’t bolster its price, when there is a lack of demand. #Bitcoin is no exception. https://bitcoinist.com/shiba-inu-burn-rate-11600/ npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute $BTC price action is a hard call at the moment. For one, #Bitcoin can still remain bullish if it stays above $41k. There’s no doubt that #BTC will retest at or near recent highs from here, but the question is whether it can reach beyond that. https://image.nostr.build/3571222ae1144195e117cc5e31c42031fb9c10b987c1c74e3550ef397785bdfe.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute If $BONK price action has been mimicking $DOGE price action in 2021, then I suspect we’re in this phase (yellow circle). Speculating that #BONK is this cycle’s new #DOGE. https://image.nostr.build/85cadc1bad86cab31c7957a8a6ad23a396f3661a7ff784a41679fa3d6e81eb17.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute #Bitcoin closed above this daily order block. $BTC still remains bullish. Nothing has broken yet. Keep an eye on this level! https://image.nostr.build/713c3529004ae76983599b1c65bea47f990d580148f06c07f306c2eb226fa114.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute Either this is a buy-the-dip moment for $BTC, or #BTC is going to $38k. Moment of truth for #Bitcoin . https://image.nostr.build/7683a2815a07e62a07c2a043d66c9783a3d97f78ec675c6c4e92916a5bf6a8e1.jpg npub1f60pk0vggq4vzhsz0ylf57vp2vnl7rd2lt43xr0vfthnv5mlvycs8wfy5k Nine_Minute Please tell me this is not #Wycoff distribution for $BTC. I certainly hope that a potential #Bitcoin ETF is bullish, but it can also be a sell-the-news event on #BTC https://image.nostr.build/09d588b68c47a451565d8a0e06d1876c07cdc430544e0f00cdb20e86da735dc5.jpg