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Last Notes

2026-03-31 15:48:56 GMT

Long-term, if data attribution comes (you get paid for the data that trains models), it creates a form of UBI where your own existence/thinking becomes monetizable.

2026-03-31 04:29:23 GMT

Bitcoin could partially solve the housing problem. If people had a better store of value than real estate, they'd stop distorting housing prices. Housing would return to being a consumption asset priced by what people can actually afford. This is one of Bitcoin's most socially important functions.

2026-02-17 17:17:15 GMT

- reply

This is 👍

2026-02-17 17:15:52 GMT

bitcoin
cashu
nostr
bitchat
tor
torrent
signal
life is good

2026-02-02 17:24:03 GMT

A simple way to sanity-check any asset you’re thinking of buying, whether it’s a rental property, commercial real estate, gold, whatever …
Look at the smartest person you know. A friend, colleague, relative, or even someone you follow online. Then ask yourself: if they had the same amount of money I do, would they buy this exact asset?
If the answer is no, pause. Spend at least a week thinking through why the smartest person you know has zero interest in it. That question alone will save you from a lot of bad purchases.

2026-01-27 16:20:51 GMT

Savings are deferred effort.
They represent years of work, discipline, and planning. They rely on one core assumption: that value earned today will still exist tomorrow.
As intelligence becomes abundant, that assumption starts to break. Assets feel less durable. Portfolios feel unstable. Savings begin to feel like they’re slowly melting away.
Careers face the same pressure. Many jobs exist only because intelligence is scarce and expensive. As intelligence becomes cheap, large parts of human work lose their usefulness. Effort no longer guarantees preservation of value. When identity is tied to profession, that identity becomes fragile.
Time itself starts to feel mispriced. Dignity, once linked to output, weakens. Families feel the strain. People quietly begin asking deeper questions about purpose, effort, and security.
That reaction is rational.
The singularity isn’t coming, it has already begun!
Money sits at the center of this tension. Money’s role is to coordinate value across time. It records contribution, preserves purchasing power, and allows effort today to become security tomorrow.
But as intelligence accelerates, the goods and services money measures become increasingly abundant. When abundance spreads faster than money can adapt, money loses its ability to coordinate what remains scarce across time.
A monetary system built for a slower world struggles under this speed.
And that brings the focus back to Bitcoin.

2026-01-24 01:48:44 GMT

I really believe that the people who truly understand energy and how to channel it are the ones who’ll end up leading humanity. They just get how the world fundamentally works. They understand atoms and the physical world better than anyone else.
So if you’re thinking about how to educate a child, I think the first thing they need to learn is energy. It’s a tough concept for a kid to grasp, but metaphors and examples really help. They need to learn all the different forms of energy and how humans have learned to channel them - electrical, chemical, kinetic, everything. Human progress has basically been about figuring out how to harness and channeling energy, and that’s how we’ve built the modern world.
And like Tesla said, if you really want to understand any topic, concept, or even the meaning behind something, you’ve got to think in terms of energy.

2026-01-19 08:06:26 GMT

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I have utmost respect for the west.
West are the pioneers & inventors. Indians & global south marched up economically in the last 2 decades and they’re on accelerated S curve.
I want west to win.

2026-01-18 19:01:21 GMT

Most economists with PhDs will tell you Bitcoin is the most useless asset - and from their worldview, they’re right. If you believe treasury notes are trustworthy, that people will always have faith in them, and that they form the unshakable bedrock of the monetary system, then Bitcoin looks pointless.
But if trust in treasury bills - even those issued by the most powerful country in the world is eroding, and they’re no longer a true foundation, then that worldview collapses. And in that case, those same economists are completely wrong.
Whether Bitcoin is 100% useless or 100% essential depends entirely on your worldview. Ten years from now, we’ll know which worldview won. In hindsight, it’ll all seem obvious.
I subscribe to the latter view - that trust in the old system is breaking down, and there’s no realistic way to rebuild it.

2026-01-18 00:42:47 GMT

Unpopular opinion: Human intelligence may soon have negative market value.

2026-01-15 18:48:09 GMT

Unpopular opinion: when the dust settles — whether that’s in 10 years or 20 — the real winners of the internet and the digital era won’t be the US or Big Tech. They’ll be Indians, especially English-speaking Indians.
Yes, the companies that indexed and monetized the internet were built in the US. But digital adoption didn’t end there. The internet took off in the ’90s, scaled in the 2000s, and exploded in the 2020s. By the 2040s, Indians will be the largest users of the internet purely by population. They speak English, they’re digitally native, and they’re not comfortable — which means they’re hungry, ambitious, and motivated to climb economically.
That combination matters more than who built the platforms. In the long run, the biggest beneficiaries of digital will be the people who use it at scale with urgency. By that measure, Indians win. And ironically, the biggest losers may be the West, which built the systems but grew complacent inside them.

2026-01-08 20:45:04 GMT

Trading is Kinetic Energy. It creates friction, heat, and fees.
HODLing is Potential Energy. It stores value and stabilizes the system.
In a world where everyone is dissipating their energy... the only rational strategy is to conserve yours.

2026-01-08 19:20:10 GMT

In physics, the most stable structures are simple (like a Pyramid or a Crystal). Bitcoin is a crystal. It is a rigid, mathematical structure with no moving parts (no management team) to break.

2026-01-08 17:01:02 GMT

When Bitcoin moves, it moves violently.
Don’t try to be cute and time it - just stay in.

2026-01-05 21:35:18 GMT

Scientists and engineers have never held economists in especially high regard, and there’s a reason for that. Economics traditionally hasn’t required an understanding of closed or isolated systems - things like feedback loops, control systems, or conservation laws. But in the real world, mass, energy, and constraints matter.
Physics teaches you that moving mass is expensive. The heavier something is, the more energy it takes to move it. If you want speed, you reduce mass toward zero - that’s how you scale fast. Energy, efficiency, and conservation aren’t optional details; they’re fundamental laws.
For a long time, economics could ignore this. It didn’t really matter. But Bitcoin changed that. Bitcoin is the first time technology, energy, mathematics, and economics collided head-on. Suddenly, you can’t talk about money without talking about energy. You can’t talk about value without understanding conservation, efficiency, and closed systems.
In a post-Bitcoin world, you can’t be a serious economist without appreciating these principles. Economics no longer lives in abstraction - it’s grounded in physics now.

2026-01-05 21:08:10 GMT

Unpopular opinion: American citizenship is no longer an asset, it’s becoming a liability.
In the 20th century, US citizenship was the ultimate advantage. It gave you freedom, rule of law, opportunity, and free flow of capital. That’s why everyone wanted it.
But the 21st century is running in reverse. As capital flight accelerates, governments will move to protect their capital base. And the first line of defense will be restricting citizens from moving money out. When capital controls kick in, citizenship stops being a shield and starts being a cage.
Things like “gold card” and similar programs are mostly a mirage. The groundwork for capital protectionism is already being laid. The real risk is ‘the great taking’ & probably a decade away, but the direction is clear.

2026-01-05 19:45:29 GMT

Buying residential or commercial real estate as a way to invest your savings is like being a young person today and deciding to build your entire future around learning legacy software just to ship a basic SaaS product. It worked in the past, it’s questionable today, and it’ll look outright foolish tomorrow.

2026-01-03 05:45:14 GMT

Bitcoin is a Dissipative Structure.
It is a digital organism. It "eats" low-entropy energy (electricity), uses it to repair its cellular structure (the ledger), and excretes high-entropy waste (heat).
If you cut the power (food), the structure eventually loses its consensus (integrity) and dies. It is a living, breathing thermodynamic entity that lives on the internet.

2026-01-02 16:34:39 GMT

Bitcoin Thermodynamics
1. Input: High-Quality Energy (Electricity).
2. Process: Mining (The "Heater" that secures the network).
3. Output 1 (Waste): Massive Entropy (Heat & Noise).
4. Output 2 (Value): Zero Entropy (A perfect, unchangeable record of truth i.e., blockchain).

2025-12-30 15:48:32 GMT

“21 M” Bitcoin
https://blossom.primal.net/0aa68b19ff9520a3b26838d728ddbc27b388ea702150c18efd9a33d9d4e7a792.jpg

2025-12-22 23:04:39 GMT

Current system manipulates money to control people, causing inflation and division. Bitcoin offers a path to true freedom through deflation and decentralization. Embracing it requires agency to build a better world.

2025-12-19 23:06:08 GMT

AI automates logic and analysis, the investment world is shifting from "realism" (spreadsheets and models) to "abstraction" (interpretation and perspective). In this environment, traditional financial frameworks are becoming obsolete, making "abstract" assets like Bitcoin more essential.
To thrive, individuals must seek internal balance and learn to navigate a world that is no longer easily measured or categorized.

2025-12-19 23:05:03 GMT

Now that everyone has a smartphone camera that takes perfect pictures, being a "realistic" painter isn't a special skill anymore. Because AI can do all the math and data work, the real "superpower" is having a unique vision and staying calm when things get confusing. Holding bitcoin and taking care of your health are tools to help you stay steady while the old ways of doing things disappear.
Conserve your energy.

2025-12-19 18:20:44 GMT

Cash is for immediate needs, so keep about 1 to 3 months in the bank.
Stablecoins earning 8-10% act like medium-term savings for the 1 to 2 year range.
Tech stocks & digital equity treasuries, so you should view them on a 3 to 8 year horizon.
Bitcoin is your deep savings account for anything long-term beyond 8 years.

2025-12-16 21:43:55 GMT

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Of course, humans wrote bitcoin protocol.
If AI can capture the 51% of energy input then it might exploit it. Energy has physical cost to it.

2025-12-16 20:42:52 GMT

Bitcoin is not merely a speculative asset but a physical phenomenon governed by the same "Power Laws" that rule the universe, such as gravity and biology.
Bitcoin is rooted in energy and math rather than debt and trust, it is mathematically destined to reach millions of dollars in valuation.

2025-12-16 20:33:01 GMT

Bitcoin is the first asset to scale like a biological system or a city (super-linear scaling), meaning it becomes more efficient as it gets bigger, unlike corporations.

2025-12-16 20:30:35 GMT

Bitcoin to reach approx. $1 million per coin by roughly 2033 (around year 27 of the network).

2025-12-16 20:11:41 GMT

Most people try to improve their lives by increasing effort (working harder), but the rich improve their lives by changing their position.

2025-12-16 16:05:52 GMT

Looking back, the counterweight to AI risk will look obvious. It’s Bitcoin. That’s the part most people still miss.
AI agent hackers are the natural result of computing getting cheaper and cheaper. Eventually, you get systems that can outthink and break any defense built only on rules, permissions, or conditional logic. If humans wrote it, AI will learn how to exploit it.
Bitcoin solves a different problem.
It’s the world’s chosen proof of work system. And that matters because you can’t stop advanced AI using logic alone. You need something AI can’t shortcut. Physical cost.
AI’s real weakness is computation cost. And Bitcoin turns real world energy and hardware cost into a scarce, tradable digital resource. That cost can be used as collateral, friction, and defense. Not permission. Not rules. Cost.
Bitcoin makes brute force expensive again.
Once you see this, you see why Bitcoin isn’t just money or “digital gold.” It’s a base layer that future computing systems can rely on to protect themselves from AI driven attacks.
Digital gold doesn’t even come close to explaining why Bitcoin matters in 2030 and beyond.

2025-12-15 20:37:51 GMT

The future economy will likely see electricity costs priced directly in Bitcoin rather than dollars.

2025-12-15 20:00:38 GMT

Bitcoin is this fascinating way of harnessing entropy and be powered by chaos.
There’s a strange peace of mind that comes from plugging one’s economic energy i.e., wealth into a network that feeds on both chaos and order at the same time. Because a genius in Hong Kong figures out how to build something incredible and makes billions with bitcoin, pushing Bitcoin higher. At the same time, a reckless dictator somewhere in Africa destroys their economy and also pushes Bitcoin higher.
Both forces flow into the same system. And all you have to do is hold and let the world unfold as it will.

2025-12-15 18:57:07 GMT

If you want to build something truly meaningful in cyberspace, you have to introduce matter and energy. You have to bring in truth, consequences, and the concept of time.
We’ve never really had a way to do that before. Bitcoin is the first technology that makes something real possible in the digital world.

2025-12-11 18:40:21 GMT

Bitcoin is on a Power Law trajectory and the next big bubble peak on the log-periodic cycle is looking like Q2 or Q3 of 2027.

2025-12-11 01:59:51 GMT

Main assets and markets that also follow a power-law relationship with time
Bitcoin █████████████ 5.8
Ethereum ███████████ 5.0
Total Crypto ███████████ 5.2
Gold ███████ 3.9
Housing ███████ 3.6
Art ███████ 4.0
Stocks (real) ███ 2.0 ← not really a power law

2025-12-10 22:18:24 GMT

Honestly, just being kind and decent is such an underrated superpower.

2025-12-10 21:17:04 GMT

I’m thinking Bitcoin could catch up to gold’s total market value in about 9 or 10 years.
Right now, gold as a whole is worth more than 10 times what Bitcoin is. The report I’m looking at has Bitcoin at around $93,000 as of Dec 2025. So if Bitcoin does end up matching gold’s total market value in about a decade, that would mean the price would need to rise roughly 9x to 10x from where it is today.

2025-12-10 20:06:24 GMT

Quantum attacks on Bitcoin hashing aren’t a real threat for several decades.
Right now, logical qubits run effectively at around 1 kHz. Physical qubits can tick at about 1 MHz, but you lose a lot of that speed because you need many rounds of error correction, and each logical qubit is built from many physical qubits. That makes practical large-scale attacks on Bitcoin’s proof-of-work unrealistic for a long time.
Shor’s algorithm is a different story. It matters more in the next 5–10 years for wallet security, especially for very early coins on the blockchain where public keys have already been exposed. Those coins are more vulnerable once strong quantum computers exist.
People are already working on quantum-safe wallet designs, and there’s at least one Bitcoin improvement proposal that suggests using NIST-approved quantum-resistant cryptography.

2025-12-10 15:42:25 GMT

https://blossom.primal.net/77f24238693a848dcf424697e511eede6b74a20a570f764b8a5251c6b875f4d9.jpg

2025-12-06 18:06:36 GMT

Bitcoin is currently like a "young adult." It will still grow, but it won't do a 100x jump in a single year anymore. As it gets older, the speed of the gains slows down.
Bitcoin is trading "excitement" for "stability".

2025-12-06 17:52:24 GMT

Every signal, every data point, every macro shift keeps pointing in the same direction for Bitcoin. In a system where your currency quietly dissolves through inflation, Bitcoin is the one thing untouched by that decay.
Once you truly understand what it represents, being aligned with Bitcoin stops feeling like a trade.
Your conviction has to outlast the noise.
Your vision has to outlast the volatility.
Patience is the edge.

2025-11-29 20:30:56 GMT

The combination of U.S. debt dynamics, political incentives, and existing global imbalances makes a significant U.S. dollar devaluation quite likely, and that this would push the world into a messy competitive devaluation environment. For countries like India, that means tough, complex policy choices on exchange rates, trade, and industrial strategy - not a calm world of stable currencies and gentle trade flows.
This is my broad thesis for the entire decade - Political Instability & Fiscal Dominance

2025-11-29 20:15:32 GMT

US currency war + Chinese excess capacity = a very tough external environment for India.

2025-11-29 04:58:51 GMT

When things look rough, keeping a long view feels a little crazy, but it’s what keeps you going. Bitcoin is the same. Slow, steady belief in something built on patience, honesty, and freedom ends up paying off long after most people quit.

2025-11-29 04:25:59 GMT

HOPE IS A GOOD THING,
MAYBE, THE BEST OF THINGS.
AND NO GOOD THING EVER DIES!
BITCOIN IS A GOOD THING.

2025-11-29 00:53:33 GMT

We’ve basically gone numb to the fact that people die on the roads every day. The only reason we tolerate it is because, so far, there hasn’t been a real alternative. Once software fully takes over driving, we’ll look back and realize how crazy it was to let humans control cars even though technology exists today.
When software is driving, the difference will be so obvious that we’ll wonder why we didn’t push for it sooner. Right now there’s still some resistance, but in ten years it’ll be crystal clear that this was the only sensible direction.

2025-11-28 22:31:03 GMT

In about 15 years, no one will be able to say, “I’m late because of traffic” or “There was an accident, so I couldn’t get to the meeting on time.” Once software is fully driving the machines, it’ll handle all the routing. When we hand control over to the system, it’ll take us from point A to point B with almost no delays because human error is basically removed.
With software making the decisions, the error rate on the roads drops to near zero, and people get to their destinations way faster. In that world, it would almost feel criminal not to let software do the driving.

2025-11-27 18:54:52 GMT

- reply

https://blossom.primal.net/2a2c73965287fa6d11912ca04a0b6ffd6a0c13fe7534b02fbf62c9c87450260d.png

2025-11-27 18:51:54 GMT

There’s a new wave of debate about capitalism and socialism. Younger people and some politicians are calling themselves socialists, and a lot of folks are worried about it. But I still think capitalism is the best system for progress, freedom, and creating real wealth.
The problem is we’re not living in capitalism right now. People think we are, so they blame capitalism for everything that feels broken. But this isn’t capitalism. You can call it crony capitalism if you want. The core issue is that capitalism only works when capital is clear and not manipulated.
Right now almost everything gets treated like capital. Short term treasuries, long term treasuries, currencies, whatever. There’s no clear definition. And when the thing that’s supposed to be capital(T Bills) keeps getting manipulated by politicians and central banks, the whole system gets distorted.
For capitalism to work, we need a form of capital everyone recognizes and no one can mess with. Something you can store your economic energy in without worrying about political interference. Gold used to play that role, but gold became fractured and opaque. Countries don’t trust each other’s gold numbers anymore. There’s no real transparency.
That’s why I think Bitcoin becomes the new base layer of capital. It’s transparent. No one can manipulate it. Anyone can verify it instantly. If Bitcoin becomes the foundation, banks can build credit on top of it, and we finally get something close to real capitalism again, because the base isn’t being tampered with.
And if someone tries to manipulate money or interest rates, you’d see the signal right away in Bitcoin’s price. It becomes the bedrock. And capitalism only works when the bedrock is solid.

2025-11-25 22:42:51 GMT

The most underrated thing right now is how fast the quality of life in the United States is going to decline. If you have the option to physically live somewhere else, the smartest move is to leave.
And honestly, physical assets are at risk. A major “great taking” is coming in the next few years. You need to shift from physical to digital assets - there’s no real alternative.
The sophisticated people and the smart money have already left.

2025-11-24 15:43:49 GMT

Bitcoin isn’t an IQ test. It’s an ego test.

2025-11-24 14:20:58 GMT

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He just need to get this.
https://blossom.primal.net/c7b6d2c2f26261e9fab015cdd8142c54cc6ba5369e049f47330fdb3fa4f257f7.jpg

2025-11-20 18:52:43 GMT

Unpopular opinion: Getting married in your early 20s is going to become fashionable again. It’ll be great for society, and it’ll feel normal to marry young and have a bunch of kids.

2025-11-18 18:47:57 GMT

When I finally understood Bitcoin, I realized I was actually learning what time really is.

2025-11-17 21:00:02 GMT

i believe in elites.

2025-11-14 21:30:34 GMT

My big thesis on capital rotation is this: for most of history, the capital sat in the East - China, India, Southeast Asia. Those regions had the natural resources, the climate, the rivers, the knowledge, everything. That’s why explorers and traders kept sailing east, because that’s where the wealth was.
Over a couple of centuries, that capital shifted to the West, first to Europe and then by the 1900s mostly to the United States and its allies. The West got two things right: fairness and rule of law. Add innovation, technology, life sciences, strong institutions, and trust, and it became the obvious place for capital to settle.
Now that trust is breaking down. Institutions don’t feel as reliable, rule of law feels shaky, and the basic sense of fairness people assumed is fading. But that doesn’t mean capital naturally flows back to the East. People in the east don’t believe their systems are fair either, and they’re not. Power is concentrated, rule of law is weak, and equality & fairness is mostly missing.
So capital has nowhere physical to go. The West isn’t working, the East isn’t working. That’s why I think the rotation now is into the internet itself. Cyberspace is egalitarian. Code is law. It doesn’t discriminate, it doesn’t care about race or power structures, and it’s secured by energy.
That’s why I think the great rotation of capital is moving into digital space, into Bitcoin.

2025-11-14 18:31:13 GMT

Bitcoin's fundamentals have never been better.
- SAB-121 rescinded
- E.O. creating strategic BTC reserve
- E.O. protecting the right to self-custody
- Fed withdrawing supervisory guidance
- OCC rescinding restrictive guidance
- FDIC explicitly allowing banks to engage in BTC activities
- Texas becomes first state to fund strategic BTC reserve
- JPMorgan accepting BTC as collateral for loans
- Hash rate crossed 1 Zh/s for the first time
- Harvard and other endowments disclosed BTC exposure
- Sovereign wealth funds disclosed BTC exposure
- State pension funds disclosed BTC exposure
- 11 nations now mine BTC with government resources
- Public companies now hold more than 1 million BTC
- Block enabled BTC payments to 4 million merchants
Price dropped from $125k to $92k today. I am bullish is an understatement.

2025-11-13 02:03:43 GMT

Money is moving:
• from illiquid to liquid
• from non-transparent to transparent
• from physical to digital
• from mass to speed of light
• from high risk to low risk
• from speculation to non-speculation
• from real estate to Bitcoin

2025-11-12 16:08:59 GMT

The character of an asset always reflects the character of its investors.

2025-11-10 18:05:05 GMT

The way we measure value today, like with dollars, is flawed because of inflation and other factors. It’s hard to see the real change in goods over time. Bitcoin, with its fixed supply and transparency, could be a better measure in the future. Over the long term, as adoption grows, the volatility could drop, giving a clearer way to see the true value of things like bananas over decades.

2025-11-10 16:28:51 GMT

https://blossom.primal.net/5a7da9d25b357e179aa096531aac862f48a6e38c3ece5daf447cbc420fe63612.jpg

2025-11-10 01:16:56 GMT

When you buy, accumulate, or HODL Bitcoin, what you’re really doing is building creditworthiness.

2025-11-05 14:40:47 GMT

Endless money printing is the real cause of most economic problems.
It’s not the billionaires, not capitalism, and not any group of people. Your pounds, dollars, euros, naira, and yen lose value every single day. And as long as we keep blaming the wrong things, the problem will never stop.

2025-11-04 19:00:55 GMT

Even though Bitcoin has been the best-performing asset of the past decade, HODLing it is a test of endurance.
95% of the time, it’s just boredom or deep frustration. Only the people who’ve learned to master those emotions have actually been able to capture Bitcoin’s massive gains.

2025-11-03 19:18:49 GMT

https://blossom.primal.net/6526b61687a626cba1639fde97f23503e0f658297ce8a0a3619408b18685e274.png
nothing makes more sense than this.

2025-11-03 15:53:34 GMT

We’ll probably look back one day and realize how foolish we were for constantly chasing money, worrying about Bitcoin, or stressing over not being able to afford a house.
Within 10 to 15 years, everything will be transformed by exponential digital intelligence, and money itself will lose its meaning. We’ll reach a point where we don’t even think about it anymore, because it simply won’t matter.

2025-11-03 15:26:41 GMT

Elon’s macrohard is going to change everything.
I think it’s seriously underrated right now, but it’s going to have massive social implications. Millions of people work on software applications, and once macrohard starts replacing the existing stack, it’s going to be huge.
For the first time, Elon isn’t pioneering a new product or service - he’s replacing the lazy sleeping giant with 'macrohard'.

2025-11-02 21:42:13 GMT

Bitcoin will underpin the entire global financial system, replacing fiat-based debt structures with Bitcoin-collateralized capital markets.

2025-11-02 21:38:20 GMT

Bitcoin will outperform every asset once the world realizes it’s a superior savings technology.

2025-11-02 20:44:59 GMT

Bitcoin will win eventually because I believe in this.
“There is nothing as disturbing to one’s well-being and judgment as to see a friend get rich. Unless it is to see a non-friend get rich.”

2025-10-29 23:08:40 GMT

In the next Indian general elections & state elections, everyone’s going to be watching the prediction markets — especially Polymarket. The bets will be massive, and every news channel will be talking about the odds there. All the traditional election polls, surveys, and exit polls will start to feel irrelevant once the results are out, because Polymarket will become the main source of truth — especially for something as high-stakes and closely watched as the Indian elections.

2025-10-29 21:23:15 GMT

In the next 5 to 8 years, I can see Bitcoin reaching $1 million.

2025-10-29 16:48:05 GMT

@nprofile…pmdd
Jeff - I heard you indirectly spoke about this chart before. Do you think this is the most important macroeconomic signal ??
https://blossom.primal.net/eb68e5e360f52a32901d88f6c61c016d4aed0f026c62e78310fc3c5a92a08ea4.jpg

2025-10-29 00:54:23 GMT

authentic expression is loneliness in motion

2025-10-29 00:12:50 GMT

Governments are down to two choices now: print more money or trigger a revolution. And we all know which one they’ll pick.
Just be ready for it.

2025-10-26 17:17:22 GMT

- reply

h/t Anil Patel

2025-10-26 17:16:54 GMT

Amara's Law explains how our expectations for new technology grow linearly while its development occurs in waves. This leads us to overestimate its impact and applications in the short term. However, as it matures, adoption grows and new applications are unlocked, leading us to underestimate its long-term impact.
https://blossom.primal.net/4e3f7be3c6e6d6fdfc048961aa5d43ee35485587466d9d56e00af168adf2e4c2.jpg

2025-10-21 20:26:09 GMT

Bitcoin is a means to an end, not the end itself.

2025-10-21 19:46:11 GMT

Bitcoin is Godzilla.
When Godzilla steps onto the field, the rules change. You can’t keep playing the old game. Every bromide you believe, every assumption in finance - all of it has to be rethought, studied, and rebuilt. Godzilla’s in the stadium now.
https://blossom.primal.net/43fdb66c1f2d7341a88df52f8eb33cbeb2f8f421ec7d3e545b4c09a8c2638755.jpg

2025-10-20 13:15:20 GMT

Why People Think Elon Musk, Bitcoin, and the AI Boom Are Scams
1. Disruption Feels Like Deception
Musk, Bitcoin, and AI all challenge powerful existing systems - automakers, governments, Wall Street, and labor markets. When something rewrites the rules instead of just improving them, people’s instinct is to label it a scam.
2. Hype Outruns Understanding
Each combines bold promises with complex technology that most people don’t fully grasp. The mix of charisma, ambition, and technical opacity creates a natural defense mechanism: “If I can’t understand it, it must be fake.”
3. Skepticism Feels Safer Than Belief
It’s easier to dismiss revolutionary ideas than to believe early and risk being wrong. Calling them scams protects one’s ego and reputation - until, eventually, the “scam” becomes the new reality.

2025-10-20 01:31:51 GMT

Everyone wants the gains that come with holding a volatile asset like Bitcoin.
No-one wants the pain that come with holding a volatile asset like Bitcoin.

2025-10-19 18:57:34 GMT

You don’t really need to worry about your local currency, whether it’s the dollar or anything else, until producers start demanding a second currency alongside it at a discount.
For example, in Argentina, if a butcher prices meat in pesos but also accepts US dollars at a 5% discount, that’s a clear sign the peso is in trouble. The same goes for any country, when merchants start preferring a stronger, parallel currency, it means confidence in the local one is fading.
So you only need to worry about the dollar when retailers or producers in the US start saying, “It’s $100 if you pay in dollars, but $95 if you pay in Bitcoin.” The moment that starts happening at scale, that’s when the dollar has a real problem. Until then, the currency’s still holding up.

2025-10-19 16:03:00 GMT

There’s nothing more inflationary than an insolvent government printing money just to keep the nominal value of its sovereign debt intact - to make it look “money good” on paper.
That’s the real reason inflation stays high, no matter how much deflationary technology we invent. They have to keep printing to preserve the illusion of solvency, because if the debt collapses, the whole system implodes. And when the debt implodes, that’s when you actually get hyperinflation - because the debt is what backs the currency.
Once the backing of the currency is impaired or goes to zero, people rush to dump that currency and grab anything not tied to government bonds.
That’s exactly what Bitcoin fixes.

2025-10-18 15:24:42 GMT

The best news source left in the world with the highest signal is Polymarket.

2025-10-16 19:32:14 GMT

- reply

I am keeping my eyes on this 👀
https://blossom.primal.net/2ec862c9f162a0f2969da0ce142bf4bf8d3443e85d0e54bf5bfac9645368fb6f.jpg

2025-10-16 16:26:42 GMT

Bitcoin’s heading to $250K in the near to medium term - most likely sooner than later.

2025-10-16 04:29:57 GMT

Bitcoin is Anti-fragile. It means it actually benefits from disorder.

2025-10-13 16:42:40 GMT

TSLA vs. BTC
Most people once thought Tesla was unstoppable - a monopoly that would dominate forever. But once everyone knows that, the 10x or 100x upside disappears because all the capital has already flowed in.
There are a few problems with investing in Tesla today. First, everyone already knows it’s a great, essential company, so the market has priced that in - it’s not undervalued anymore. Second, when you become that big, you become a political and regulatory target. Whether it’s pressure to unionize, new taxes, regulations, tariffs, or even censorship, big companies eventually attract attacks from all sides. Third, Tesla is still a company - and companies have limits.
A company’s value is tied to its capital structure and cash flows. If the stock doubles, the cash flow expectations have to double. To grow 10x, cash generation must grow 10x too - and in an inflationary world, where fiat currency loses value every year, that becomes even harder. Inflation erodes the real value of those future cash flows, making companies fragile as stores of value. Add to that the political pressure to return capital through buybacks and dividends, and you’ve got a model that’s stretched thin.
If you’re investing in dollar-denominated assets, you’re effectively betting on cash flows discounted in a currency that’s inflating 10% a year. To just stay even, the business has to grow faster than that. And on top of that, companies are vulnerable to political risks, tariffs, and regulation - it’s a fragile setup.
Why BITCOIN ?
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is different. It is misunderstood, inevitable, unstoppable. But it’s even better because it isn’t just a company - it’s an asset class. Bitcoin’s core use case is being a store of value for civilization itself. There’s no reason it can’t replace gold ($27 trillion), or even start to absorb real estate and other store-of-value assets worth hundreds of trillions globally.
The more valuable Bitcoin becomes, the more useful it becomes. If Tesla stock rises 100x, its cash flows need to rise 100x. But if Bitcoin rises 100x, it simply means more people are recognizing its value as a store of energy - it doesn’t have to “perform” quarter by quarter. Critics say Bitcoin has no cash flows - but that’s not a flaw, that’s the feature. It means it will never miss a quarterly earnings report. It’s not producing cash flows, it’s absorbing them.
Bitcoin represents the digital transformation of capital itself - not just digital information, but digital energy. And I think we’re in the initial phase of the 30-year cycle where Bitcoin will drive this transformation, redefining what money, property, and energy mean in the digital age.

2025-10-13 14:58:11 GMT

In a world full of heterogeneous assets, the homogeneous ones eventually win.
The first chapter of that story was the internet - a unified, homogeneous network that looks, feels, and functions the same everywhere.
The second chapter will be Bitcoin - a homogeneous asset that holds the same value, looks the same, and works the same across every jurisdiction and geography in the world.

2025-10-12 23:09:45 GMT

If you don’t understand Bitcoin yet, ask. If you’re too shy to ask, read.
Dive in and learn it for yourself.
The only wrong move is being too lazy or stubborn to do anything. I honestly think you’ll regret that.

2025-09-29 20:14:31 GMT

Once Bitcoin wins - once it hits a million dollars, a lot of people are going to be very angry about it.
But here’s the thing - without Bitcoin, everyone would just get diluted into nothing. With Bitcoin, at least some fraction of people have a lifeboat, a parachute. Bitcoin didn’t crash the plane, the money printing did that. Bitcoin gave some people a way to escape.
And when this shift happens, people are going to be mad at tech. They’ll blame AI for taking all the jobs, and crypto for taking all the money. The anger will be directed at the tech guys, even though the roots of the problem go back to the system itself.

2025-09-27 05:03:16 GMT

If you want to preserve your wealth, convert currency into an asset that’s scarce, desirable, portable, durable, and maintainable.

2025-09-27 05:02:21 GMT

With exponential processes, it’s nothing-nothing-nothing, then suddenly everything.

2025-09-27 05:00:42 GMT

Digital capital is smarter, faster, stronger than 20th-century financial capital.

2025-09-25 14:48:12 GMT

What is property?
What is money?
Money is energy - the apex energy of the human race. It’s monetary energy.
Property, on the other hand, is energy crystallized into solid form. If there’s only energy and mass, and one can be converted into the other, then property is simply the solid-state version of energy.
Without strong money, there’s no economy. And without property rights, there’s no economy either.
That’s why Bitcoin is so revolutionary - it’s digital property. For the first time in human history, we have a technology that makes it possible to grant true property rights to all 8 billion people on the planet.

2025-09-25 14:07:08 GMT

Once you give people power, it’s almost impossible to take it back. It’s kinda like a one-way street. Think about books - you can’t just hand out millions of physical copies to everyone. But once they’re digital, in an app, suddenly anyone with a phone can get them for free. And when people realize that, they don’t need shelves of books anymore. Everything just collapses into a file they can carry around and share. And of course, once they have that kind of access, they’ll fight to keep it.
Same thing’s starting to happen with property. You don’t really need ten plots of land in different places to feel secure. If you can hold property digitally on your phone, transfer it instantly, actually own it yourself… that becomes priceless. And once millions of people “get it,” they’re not gonna let go. It’s basically irreversible.
Bitcoin is like the clearest version of this - property that’s been boiled down into pure digital form. Portable, simple, low-energy. Think of water frozen into ice, all that energy is locked in but easy to carry around.
Once this genie’s out, no one’s putting it back in the bottle.

2025-09-25 03:12:01 GMT

https://blossom.primal.net/7a1d9b7be93d70749607881706a784a83f488973172fc85dd126c961ac792eb8.jpg

2025-09-23 00:10:34 GMT

Llocking your capital into physical assets like houses, or tightly controlled equities in any jurisdiction, doesn’t make much sense.
It’s smarter to hold mobile, flexible capital that isn’t tied down to physical or controlled assets. That’s exactly what Bitcoin offers - and over time, it just makes more and more sense.

2025-09-21 17:25:00 GMT

The five forces below show that the rise of national interest isn’t just a passing political mood or a temporary cycle - it’s a deep structural shift in the global economy that will last for decades. In short, efficiency is being replaced by resilience and national security.
1. Geopolitical rivalry between China and the US
2. Fragility of global supply chains
3. Energy transition and the race for critical rare earth resources
4. Pressure from domestic politics
5. Weaponization of finance

2025-09-19 20:38:39 GMT

It’s tough for an asset to go from zero to $100,000, but once it’s there, the jump to a million is way easier. Bitcoin took 15–16 years to climb from nothing to $100K, and I think in the next 3–4 years it’ll hit a million. Simple as that - nothing else out there comes close right now.