Ollie / Ollie Perry is on Nostr

"3300124ed5c8af2bfef84d3fd245a69d808905d7801228e771cff923c4525ec3d8b2566702eefd80f6bc1ccbcbf17f884d0f31671727b63b7dba2e4961a6a799"

Last Notes

2025-04-03 09:19:52 GMT

MSTR leverage ratio (excl. converts in the money) is now ~10%. This is very low vs. target benchmark range of 20-30% stated by Saylor. In the next month or so I think we’re going to see a lot of BTC purchased via debt - if not I’m guessing the giant debt markets have run out appetite, which would be a concern.

2025-03-31 13:42:25 GMT

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Hodl calling this, feels like a buy signal to me. I will go and stack sir. 🫡

2025-03-18 15:41:13 GMT

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Im sensing some very slow subtle shifts. eg Hargreaves Lansdowm seem to tweet something about btc most days now… they’ll be itching to launch the etf, given what they see happening with their investor base in mstr. I guess they will lobby the FCA?

2025-03-18 15:19:54 GMT

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Hard to keep up with all the different flavours of securities 😂

2025-03-15 13:30:31 GMT

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Curios to know how you think about MSTR / BTC ETFs. I imagine the FCA will eventually get its act together and approve the ETFs in the UK, do you think there will be a big rotation? Do you think any material impact for MSTR?

2025-03-15 11:11:07 GMT

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In case you haven’t seen these mNAV trend charts.
https://m.primal.net/Pgec.jpg

2025-03-15 11:00:55 GMT

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We’re going to learn what the vibe is still like in Bedford soon.

2025-03-15 10:59:52 GMT

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Compression of NAV to 1 is a big deal. It means ATM can’t be completed accretively. However, it doesn’t mean CBs can’t be issued (volatility will remain). Have you ever come across any good research which tries to estimate what a sensible NAV premium should be? Anything we can learn from long term P/E multiple in tradfi markets?

2025-03-15 10:55:19 GMT

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Tax and regulation is a big one. In the UK we can (currently) hold MSTR in a tax free account - accessible to cash in anytime (£20k additions per year). Explains the reason for such appetite for MSTR in the UK, as can’t do this with BTC.

2025-03-12 17:13:41 GMT

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Ha. Then move to the UK…

2025-03-12 16:33:46 GMT

Updating my thesis on MSTR today. Anyone got opinions on the points below / any I have missed?
#mstr @nprofile…5250 @nprofile…2k5m
https://m.primal.net/PdRZ.jpg

2024-12-09 13:47:34 GMT

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What price do you think btc would be at without Saylor sat on the bid? If he stops do you think btc could drop below his average cost base?

2024-09-13 20:50:59 GMT

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Great recommendation