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Last Notes

2026-10-25 17:52:45 GMT

🔥 Aerodrome Fell, Trading Didn't - AERO Crypto Analysis
The AERO token dropped about 28 percent from its pre-launch peak even though the actual exchange held roughly 512 million dollars in daily volume and about 9 in 10 locked tokens already upgraded to the new system. I walk through the on-chain numbers to separate the business from the price action, including a relative valuation chart that tells a much harder story about where AERO stands against the rest of the altcoin market. The real test lands on October 29, and what that one week of data shows will either change the picture or confirm it.
▶ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MMQEkVYoKAM
https://the-bitcoin-strategy.com/r/RBUc2Ejk

2026-10-25 15:42:58 GMT

⚠️ A Pendle Whale Woke Up - PENDLE Crypto Analysis
Three wallets controlling about 4 million PENDLE tokens began unstaking just days before the September top, and I trace exactly where those tokens moved after payout. I also break down why total value locked collapsed from 13.4 billion dollars to roughly 1 billion, and what that means for fees that are now running at only about 4.1 million dollars per year against a 349 million dollar market cap. The real question is whether the Janus Henderson partnership and the 300 million in maturing deposits due in roughly 7 weeks can actually reverse that trend.
▶ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3EVEQ_HW6eU
https://the-bitcoin-strategy.com/r/Z83xvqNk

2026-08-30 18:18:04 GMT

42.27. The Shiller PE Ratio is sitting near its second highest level in 150 years of data, only topped briefly at the dot-com peak around 2000. This single number should make every investor pause right now.
#SP500 #SPX #Valuation #Macro #Valuations #StockMarket #Investing
Watch the full video here:
https://the-bitcoin-strategy.com/nostr-relay/CuP1oLQY5TGvAg/chart_02_nostr.jpg
https://youtu.be/uS23BXe1qZ8

2026-07-29 06:10:28 GMT

Stocks always win long term? Not so fast. The SPX priced in gold shows massive cycles going back to 1884, with swings so violent they'd destroy most investors. The Dave Ramseys of the world ignore moves like these.
#SP500 #SPX #Macro #Investing #Inflation #StockMarket
Watch the full video here:
https://the-bitcoin-strategy.com/nostr-relay/5FOXfu5jYtI4-Q/chart_04_crop_nostr.jpg
https://youtu.be/_n-fvGsVyY4

2026-07-25 00:31:37 GMT

Bitcoin NUPL has not gone negative yet, and every prior bear market bottom required the average holder to be underwater. With the realized price sitting at $53K, we may not be done.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Macro #OnChainAnalysis #Cryptocurrency #Investing
Watch the full video here:
https://the-bitcoin-strategy.com/nostr-relay/q8hCNPL-7HbhQQ/chart_00_nostr.jpg
https://youtu.be/QQCj8i4vfoI

2026-07-24 14:48:34 GMT

☢ Don't Be Stupid, Please!
The entire investment industry, from stock brokers to precious metals dealers, shows you charts designed to mislead, because every asset priced in US dollars looks like a winner when the monetary base is quietly expanding at roughly 6.8% per year. I break down what those same charts look like once you strip out that debasement, and the results for gold, the S&P 500, and the NASDAQ are very different from what most people expect. The real question is which asset class is actually cheap right now relative to everything else, and that answer might surprise you.
▶ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rewbwdE3WkM
https://the-bitcoin-strategy.com/r/tL6FbE08

2026-07-24 11:54:26 GMT

💀 DEXE 90% Crash: Recovery Ahead?
DEXE collapsed 88% to 91% multiple times before this latest crash, and I walk through the onchain data most people are skipping: only 4,400 holders on Ethereum, a GitHub repository untouched for two years despite AI making coding easier, and a derivatives market running 700 million in perpetual futures volume against just 31 million in spot trading. The funding rate and open interest tell a very specific story about where this token sits right now, and whether a 200% recovery to equilibrium is realistic or a trap.
▶ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_-Jow8hr5o
https://the-bitcoin-strategy.com/r/oCGpGrPk

2026-06-02 11:43:31 GMT

A Binance data feed glitch triggered cascading liquidations across the entire crypto market. This OTHERS 4h chart shows that violent wick down to the $200B support zone, wiping out leveraged longs instantly, before price quickly recovered. The shock looks absorbed now.
#OTHERS #Crypto #Cryptocurrency #Investing
Watch the full video here:
https://the-bitcoin-strategy.com/nostr-relay/p3Ripb2lnVjB9Q/chart_05_nostr.jpg
https://youtu.be/8JOICUmdK_Y