Building Common Futures, a new energy transition consultancy. 35+ years of experience in the energy transition. Posting here on energy, climate & more 100% renewable energy globally by 2050 is possible! Views my own. ( searchable )
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2026-10-06T22:03:33Z Event JSON
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Last Notes npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The average CO₂ concentration in the atmosphere at Mauna Loa in October was ~426.7 ppm (estimate from daily values). That's ~1.7-1.8 ppm higher than last year; a modest increase compared with the ~2.5 ppm/year average growth over the past decade. El Niño still to kick in, though. The average CO₂ concentration in the atmosphere at Mauna Loa in October was ~426.7 ppm (estimate from daily values). That's ~1.7-1.8 ppm higher than last year; a modest increase compared with the ~2.5 ppm/year average growth over the past decade. El Niño still to kick in, though. #ClimateChange #CO2 #emissions https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/548/870/620/371/681/original/90aacf24960633d9.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun For decades, US voters got to choose between Republicans and Democrats. Tomorrow, they can choose between oligarchy and democracy, and between Russia and America. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Netherlands-based, French-owned Giga Storage closes €260 million debt financing for 350 MW/1,400 MWh [4-hr] battery system in N-Germany, to be built by China's CATL, in operation early 2029. To be directly connected to Amprion's 380 kV-extra high voltage grid. https://www.energy-storage.news/giga-storage-closes-e260-million-debt-financing-for-1400mwh-germany-bess/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Israel's ongoing big side war: 31,000 buildings in southern Lebanon destroyed so far this year, 333,000 people displaced. Not very newsworthy in Europe; I guess because it doesn't affect our fossil fuel supply. https://aje.news/y3fgub#update-5106057 https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/540/126/592/057/408/original/edae74d17f7732b3.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun At the current natural gas price of around €100 per MWh, a 4.2 MW onshore wind turbine getting 3,500 full-load hours* saves us €2.5 million per year in LNG imported from Trump's US, Putin's Russia (until the end of the year) and other places. *) like the ones of Betuwewind at Deil in the picture https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/535/349/800/056/602/original/f5f146d1caec503f.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Dutch news site nu.nl gets it right: "Peace is not on the agenda of Kushner and Witkoff, but raking in money is." https://www.nu.nl/verkiezingen-vs/6414804/vrede-staat-niet-op-de-agenda-van-kushner-en-witkoff-geld-binnenhalen-wel.html npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun A bit of light at the end of the Netanyahu tunnel: Exit poll results suggest it will be ‘nearly impossible for Netanyahu to lead next government’ https://aje.news/smbodj?update=5091861 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Brazil: Voters keep authoritarian Bolsonaro clan out, despite interference by Trump and his tech billionaires. Good news for democracy, climate, and the Amazon! https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/10/26/brazil-lula-win-presidential-election-runoff-vote.html npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun It looks like the students beat authoritarian Vucic in the Serbian elections!! https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2026/oct/25/europe-serbia-elections-aleksander-vucic-student-list-protests-bulgaria-latest-news-updates npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Former Likud PM of Israel Ehud Olmert accuses Netanyahu of war crimes in Gaza and ethnic cleansing on the West Bank. "The Israeli government was never interested in ending the war (in Gaza). They wanted to keep fighting and increasing the hysteria and fear in Israel." https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/10/23/oud-premier-ehud-olmert-van-israel-ik-hoop-dat-kiezers-netanyahu-wegvagen-a4939292 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Just now, the EU wholesale natural gas price reached a new high since the US and Israel started their war against Iran: 94 €/MWh. That's about three times the price before the war. Good to know that .. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/490/876/145/187/867/original/2999df6aa76cb354.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Trump says he asked Google CEO to rename Atlantic Ocean to American Ocean or Trump Ocean on Maps. That's what happens when you bow to a bully once. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/oct/22/trump-atlantic-ocean-rename-google?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The record warm Mediterranean - due to climate change - strikes again. 191 mm of rain in one hour on Corsica. #ClimatechangeisWaterchange https://www.euronews.com/2026/10/21/severe-weather-in-southern-france-one-dead-near-marseille-one-missing-in-corsica #ClimateChange npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun One Antarctic glacier, now expected to raise global sea level by 3 cm this century, and a lot more after that. https://phys.org/news/2026-10-thwaites-glacier-contribute-sea-previously.html #ClimateChange #glaciers #sealevel #antarctic npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Bizarre: Data centres have a total of 15 GW (15,000 MW) in queue for electricity connections in the Netherlands, grid operators just disclosed. That's roughly the current average national power use! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/446/471/324/692/040/original/1badf69ba16990d9.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun In Small Modular (nuclear) Reactors, a Final Investment Decision apparently isn't final. February 2026: FID! https://world-nuclear-news.org/articles/final-investment-decision-taken-for-romanias-smrs October: not really. Romania’s SMR project with NuScale hits deadlock as 80% of conditions are not met https://www.romania-insider.com/business/romanias-smr-project-nuscale-hits-deadlock-80-conditions npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun SpaceX suddenly throttled access to Starlink with no warning, Ukraine says. https://trib.al/rZAjLWp npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun No, the drought isn't over yet. Despite some rain here in the Netherlands in recent weeks, the water flow in the Rhine is still in record low territory: around 600 m³/s, less than half of the normal flow in autumn. This keeps drawing groundwater away too. https://waterberichtgeving.rws.nl/owb/waterveiligheid/hoogwater-rijn https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/437/543/551/022/547/original/d510985dadc85827.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Hackers force French supermarket fridges to heat up to 50C in ‘unprecedented’ cyber-attack https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/oct/12/cyber-attack-defrosts-refrigerators-france-supermarket-chains-intermarche-cooperative-u npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Google told to halt work on datacentres in Finland after it felled 330 hectares (815 acres) of forest in Muhos plus 200 hectares in Kajaani without completing an environmental impact assessment (EIA). https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/oct/06/google-datacentres-finland-temporary-halt-environmental-impact-assessment npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun As could be expected, data centres are becoming war targets. Yandex is an essential part of the Russian internet and also runs meal delivery and taxis. There's undoubtedly grounds to label it as a military target, but - like with the refineries - it will help in making Russians feel the war too. https://kyivindependent.com/third-yandex-data-center-in-russia-shut-down-following-reported-drone-attack/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Israel compares Nobel Committee to Joseph Goebbels after Peace Prize award to former ICC judge who documented its ongoing genocide in Gaza. https://www.thejournal.ie/israel-nobel-committee-goebbels-peace-prize-navi-pillay-us-sanctions-icc-7188582-Oct2026/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun In primary school (1960s), we learned that mountain areas above 3,000 m altitude in the Alps had eternal snow. I'm afraid we're seeing the end of that. Matterhorn, 4,478 m high, last week. https://www.gelderlander.nl/buitenland/zwitserland-in-rep-en-roer-top-van-iconische-berg-is-kaal-na-warmste-zomer-ooit~a9f3d44b/?referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fgo.bsky.app%2F #ClimateChange #mountains npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Trying to teach myself to use https://openstreetmap.org instead of the oligarchs' Google Maps. It's pretty good! Here's the bike route from our Common Futures office to the offices of the Province of Utrecht, for instance. The direction engine GraphHopper does know the cyclists' shortcut. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/395/762/647/315/348/original/eb1ce110db055cfa.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The continued warm weather has now brought 2026 to the #1 spot on the list of warmest years-to-date in the Netherlands (at main met station De Bilt). 2025, 2024, 2023, and 2022 are in the top-10 as well, btw. #ClimateChange #Globalwarming https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/384/223/880/710/146/original/a8297a23c018df64.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Just looked up what the current leader of the UK Conservative Party would do about climate change. Oh. "Kemi Badenoch announced that the Conservative Party would repeal the Climate Change Act of 2008 if they win a majority at the next General Election, due August 2029." https://www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminstitute/news/badenoch-makes-false-claims-in-attack-on-climate-change-act/ #ClimateChange npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Major flash flooding in Spain yesterday. In Madrigueras (Albacete), 142 mm fell in just 2.5 hours, killing one woman, while many others had to be rescued. These "DANA" events are not uncommon, but record warm Mediterranean water now provides further 'fuel' to them. https://www.eltiempo.es/noticias/madrigueras-albacete-bajo-el-agua-tras-caer-142-l-m%c2%b2-una-fallecida-despararecidos-y-graves-danos #ClimateChange #extremeweather #floods npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun ~426.0 ppm: September average of atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa, estimated from daily values. That's another ~1.7 ppm higher than last year. September is the lowest point in the seasonal cycle, and we won't see a value this low (but extremely high) for many generations to come. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/367/420/013/152/815/original/0c92a9d296595f59.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Lowest on record (1866-2026)! The water level in the Rhine keeps reaching new lows. 6.12 m above sea level already was a new all-time low in August, but now we're at 6.06 m, and still going down. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/364/074/212/553/473/original/90b9826a36a375ad.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Data centres in the Netherlands used 4.6% of all electricity in 2024, and transmission system operator TenneT expects this to double or triple to 10-15% by 2030! That means that the next 6-11 TWh/year of renewables that will be completed, will go straight to the growth of data centres. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/358/364/235/261/608/original/477ecd18a28262f0.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun It's 2026, and Morocco gets its first female Prime Minister, while the Netherlands still hasn't ever had one. https://nos.nl/l/2633048 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun On average, the Dutch think that 20% of the people here is Muslim (it's 5%). They overestimate our income tax rate by 28%. They think the number of homicides is on the rise (it's falling). And that agriculture takes 19% of our land area (it's 60%). And they have strong opinions on all of the above. https://fd.nl/opinie/1613390/landbouwland https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/349/908/986/274/159/original/24200aa6931d0cd1.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The Rhine is in uncharted territory. Normal flow where it enters the Netherlands is around 1,500 m³/s in September. Now it's well below 600 m³/s... and still going down. #ClimateChange #drought https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/338/514/483/774/043/original/29eeb52d94caa37c.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The video that Zuckerberg doesn't want you to see (Meta censored it). Dutch parliament now wants government to investigate how using pervert glasses can be prohibited in public spaces. https://youtu.be/dHKhYL3is5o?is=a2RjzJkQGDj_PjoN npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Dude just informed me that the sun doesn't shine at night... Why did nobody tell me when I started working on solar energy 40 years ago?! npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Two years after its completion (after 17 years of construction, 2007-2024), France's new nuclear power plant Flamanville 3 will shut down for a year starting this coming Saturday. This to replace its faulty reactor lid and for a major first inspection. https://www.france24.com/fr/info-en-continu/20260923-nucl%C3%A9aire-l-epr-de-flamanville-%C3%A0-l-arr%C3%AAt-samedi-pour-sa-premi%C3%A8re-inspection-approfondie npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Strong advice from a US Senator for Dutch MP Rob Jetten and his government. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/313/057/882/585/716/original/0aeef497eb69d1ff.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Lowering fuel taxes when supply is tight is stupid policy: it keeps demand and prices artificially high, most of it ends up with those who don't need support, and in the end, it's a money transfer from people who use little or no fuel to people who use a lot, e.g. SUV owners. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun "After a summer that hit hard, Dutch government's silence on climate is deafening". Opinion article by climate scientist and weatherman Peter Kuipers Munneke. https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/09/17/na-een-zomer-die-erin-hakte-is-de-stilte-over-het-klimaat-oorverdovend-a4936647 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun In the Netherlands, the 2026 summer drought just isn't over yet. Precipitation deficit (evaporation minus rainfall) is going up again in a warm and dry September week, ending the season in the top 5% of driest years on record. At the end of the month, the deficit will be ~3 times higher than in a median year. #ClimateChange #drought https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/301/793/751/288/630/original/f21170f8e5f2483b.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Saudi Arabia shuts down East-West crude oil pipeline - its bypass for the Strait of Hormuz - after multiple attacks https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/saudi-arabia-shut-down-east-west-crude-oil-pipeline.html npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Today, the Trump-Netanyahu mess in the Middle East has driven up EU natural gas price even higher: 77 €/MWh now. When gas-fired power plants set the electricity price in Europe, that's €130 per electric MWh in fuel cost alone. Insulate buildings, electrify processes, grow renewable electricity. #fossilfuels #gas #energytransition https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/236/580/434/073/516/original/dfd65c83fd14b383.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The crazy amounts already needed for climate adaptation make serious climate action look like a walk in the park (financially). The man responsible for protecting the Netherlands against rising waters: "We'll need to double our water management expenses from 1% to 2% of GDP" https://nos.nl/artikel/2630054-miljarden-extra-nodig-voor-wateraanpak-maar-zelfs-dan-niet-alle-schade-te-voorkomen #ClimateChange #adaptation npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun "Future generations would rather have a high national debt than an unlivable planet." Sandra Phlippen, ABN Amro bank's chief economist who moved on to become their head of sustainability, in @nprofile…gxe4 #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/216/960/365/698/001/original/f0f3d88e850c305f.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun August average atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa: ~427.3 ppm That's 1.8 ppm higher than last year. (Estimate based on daily values) https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/214/768/541/484/833/original/d37debd9cace57b2.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun 11 years after the Paris Agreement, @nprofile…72ze concludes that keeping global warming below 1.5°C is now impossible, because global fossil fuel use and emissions kept growing (slowly) instead of going down. It's now important to stay below 2°C. Once we've reached net zero emissions, we will... npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The large remaining gap to an 80% filling level of EU gas storages by the start of the heating season is starting to get noticed in the media. They note that the situation 'differs by country'. True, of course, but the situation is actually quite clear: Germany and the Netherlands are the big laggards. Together, they have 1/3 of EU gas storage capacity, but 2/3 of the remaining gap to close. Situation 28/29 August, data from https://agsi.gie.eu https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/184/459/314/863/171/original/b5cce872ae1d6714.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Peter Thiel in a 2014 email to a fellow anti-democracy activist: "One reassuring thought: one of our hidden advantages is that these people ... wouldn't believe in a conspiracy if it hit them over the head (perhaps the best measure of the decline of the Left)" In Gil Duran's The Nerd Reich npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Making use of the Trump regime's anti-science actions, Canada just attracted 48 US professors and their teams 'in competition with Europe'. https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/eddie-goldenberg-research-chairs-of-canada-funding-9.7323332 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun London Science Museum cuts links with BP after decades of partnership https://www.theguardian.com/culture/2026/aug/28/london-science-museum-cuts-links-with-bp-after-decades-of-partnership #ClimateChange #fossilfuels #co2 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun US military academy students are not allowed to learn basic facts about climate change anymore. https://www.stripes.com/branches/army/2026-08-26/west-point-professor-fired-lawsuit-climate-change-22666987.html #ClimateChange npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Dutch state-owned gas transmission company Gasunie confirms that the Netherlands will not be able to meet its gas storage filling targets of 74% (EU commitment) or 80% (government goal) by October. "But for a normal winter, it's sufficient". Germany is also way behind, btw. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/160/109/840/749/631/original/69e9199ef4b72e8d.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun German state leader urges joint action to avert Volkswagen plant closures. Such a pity that the company spent so much time and effort in hiding the emissions of its diesel engines instead of racing to become an EV company. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/german-state-leader-urges-joint-action-avert-volkswagen-plant-closures-2026-08-24 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Just arrived: The Nerd Reich, by @nprofile…3uy8. Not a fun weekend read, but important, I'm afraid. On Silicon Valley fascism and the war on democracy, which doesn't stop at the borders of the US. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/140/998/482/465/904/original/4bf812d2b377b578.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun You won't find this in the headlines, because the media rate it as not serious. But that contributes to the continuous sanewashing of Trump: Trying to make sense of his weird speeches and 'policies', snd leaving out the absurd parts. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Trump threatens to use military force against high interest rates in the US. 🤡 https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-suggests-military-bond-markets-222513278.html npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Dutch farmer, protesting against environmental measures to reduce nitrogen pollution, amid crashing biodiversity: "The big problem in the Netherlands is that there's too much nature. They spend billions on that bloody nature, and it serves no purpose." https://www.trouw.nl/binnenland/boer-bert-hoorn-33-denkt-dat-mensen-de-boerentrekkers-en-omgekeerde-vlaggen-nog-lang-niet-zat-zijn~b4a5f035/ #agriculture #nitrogen #biodiversity #nature npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun At 100 million barrels per day, the current $30/barrel Trump-Netanyahu surcharge costs the world around $3 billion per day. Companies and countries sitting on oil supply rake in most of this. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Don't look up, summer 2026 edition. By Maarten Wolterink. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/128/296/052/800/696/original/d1639049e4382649.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun One of their problems is that most economists calculate the impact in terms of GDP. They don't care whether an increasing share of that gets spent on adaptation and repairing damage, leaving less for other things. GDP doesn't count loss of life or nature either. #ClimateChange #economy #gdp npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun "Economic damage from climate change arrives sooner than expected", headline in @nprofile…gxe4 today. While climate scientists were pretty much on the mark on warming (and a bit cautious on its effects), economists may well have been too rosy about the impact. One of them, William Nordhaus, even got the pseudo-Nobel prize for economics for calculating that it was a smart idea to postpone climate action, as recently as 2018. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/126/114/874/182/555/original/ebb8c5c45e41eae7.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun North Sea (30 km from the Dutch coast) reaches all-time high temperature of 21.5°C, beating the previous record set in 2018. This of course leads to heavier rainfall events, and damage to nature and fisheries. This is due to climate change, caused by burning fossil fuels. https://www.nu.nl/klimaat/6406844/hittegolf-in-de-noordzee-duurt-al-tachtig-dagen-en-leidt-tot-temperatuurrecord.html #northsea #marine #marinelife #heatwave #fossilfuels #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/123/326/055/816/600/original/b92a87ee09a55850.jpeg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun After a 3-week summer holiday to Norway with our electric car (a VW ID.4), my conclusion is that the charging infrastructure is still in its infancy. Sometimes it works great, but as many times it doesn't. It's not mature yet. Work to do! 🧵 #EV #EVs #electricvehicles #charging #electrification #energytransition #nevent1q…zneq npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Like practically all far-right parties, Reform UK want to stop climate action. Perfectly aligned with fossil fuel interests, and could well be related to their murky financing. Reform’s Tice accused of misinformation after urging people to enjoy heatwaves https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/aug/17/reform-uk-richard-tice-stop-tackling-climate-crisis-enjoy-heat #heatwave #heat #ClimateChange #ClimateDenial npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun In the media competition 'How to trivialise climate change', Dutch @nrc.nl has this strong entry on its frontpage today: "Waving against the heat. Higher temperatures good for sales of Spanish fans." #heat #heatwave #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/109/202/770/295/108/original/1262d4ea9d8c9a41.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun German farmers warn drought will spell heavy crop losses. The head of the German Farmers Association: "We farmers have have been feeling the effects of climate change for a long time now." He also has a recommendation for government: make diesel cheaper. https://www.euractiv.com/news/german-farmers-warn-drought-will-spell-heavy-crop-losses/ #drought #ClimateChange #diesel #fossilfuels #agriculture npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun 12,500 people in Germany alone died due to the heat so far this summer. #heatwave #heat #climatechange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/100/349/782/033/005/original/d7e7ac65159ff7b0.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The water flow in the Rhine keeps plummeting. It had never been below 780 m³/s in summer. When we were at 650, an expert told us it couldn't go much lower. Now we're at 572 m³/s, the lowest on record, even below the ice blocked flow in the winter of 1929. #drought #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/100/129/209/725/407/original/d3a28c23d532a466.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun 'Drought will cost Money' Dutch right-wing paper Telegraaf - not known for its support for serious climate action - has Einstein moment. #drought #extremeheat #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/097/707/100/778/597/original/4d333d574854b1d4.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Farmers' protest against environmental measures in the Netherlands: 2 people dead in car crash because the farmers were once more allowed to take their tractors on the highway. https://nos.nl/l/2626800 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Never forget that the clowns who are currently saying "We can't stop climate change, just accept it" are the same people who spent the last decade doing everything possible to prevent us from stopping climate change. Jason Hickel on LinkedIn npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Climate bills are coming in now, big time: Rhine shipping cut in two as ships coming from Rotterdam can't get any further than Duisburg or Cologne anymore, instead of being able to reach Switzerland or even further via the Danube. Billions of damage for German industry. https://nos.nl/l/2626584 #drought #climatechange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/084/354/405/818/230/original/c77cb973f8a601d4.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Tough times ahead for gas stations and fossil fuel suppliers in Denmark. https://thedriven.io/2026/08/11/denmark-joins-norway-at-ev-pinnacle-as-97-per-cent-of-private-buyers-opt-for-electric-cars-in-latest-month/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun All-time low water flow in the river Rhine! Where it enters the Netherlands, only 614 m³/s yesterday, breaking the November 1947 record of 620 m³/s. In summer, this is unheard of: normally it's around 1700 m³/s. Little or no rain upstream. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/069/721/860/570/556/original/3dcb127565ffbd3a.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun "Greenland's elected leaders now face a delicate decision. They could grant permission for oil drilling, even though the planned wells appear to fall within a wetlands conservation area. Or they could refuse and, some worry, give Trump a pretext to advance his imperialist agenda." npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun An American oil company connected to Trump is preparing to sink wells in remote Greenland despite not having received permission from the local authorities. Materials to prepare for drilling were brought ashore in recent days on Greenland’s eastern coast. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/08/greenland-iwarning-trump-linked-oil-firm-prepares-drill?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun This burning summer is the proof: the voices of climate denial aren’t just delusional, they’re deadly. From the Mayor of London. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/aug/08/burning-summer-climate-denial-green-policies-sadiq-khan npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Dutch farmers like to say they 'feed the world', but all their livestock needs massive imports of fodder; the world feeds our pigs. New study by Wageningen University WUR finds that there is no net contribution to global food supply. Interview with prof. Imke de Boer: https://www.trouw.nl/duurzaamheid-economie/hoogleraar-nee-nederland-voedt-de-wereld-niet-dus-we-hoeven-ook-niet-zoveel-veevoer-te-importeren~bfd06a40/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The EU is not on track to achieve the necessary filling level of its natural gas storages, making it vulnerable to timely delivery of LNG from Trump's US and the Persian Gulf this coming winter. Germany and the Netherlands are to blame. Together, they have over 1/3 of the storage capacity. 1/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Seeing the beautiful and still impressive Norwegian glaciers, it's sad to know they're rapidly retreating. One sign said "If we manage to keep global warming below 1.5°C, around 25-30% of the glaciers can be preserved." Video taken at Suphellebreen, part of Jostedalsbreen. #globalwarming #ClimateChange #glaciers https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/049/297/125/874/005/original/6db8cdb22e8576a2.mp4 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Code Black for water shortage in the Delft region of the Netherlands! No use of surface water (canals, lakes) allowed anymore. Water managers fear intrusion of salty seawater, as damage to dikes due to low water levels needs to be prevented. https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/08/04/vanwege-de-droogte-voor-het-eerst-de-sluizen-dicht-in-het-waterrijke-westen-het-is-code-zwart-vanaf-middernacht-is-water-onttrekken-verboden-a4933840?utm_source=clipboard&utm_medium=clipboard&utm_campaign=share&utm_term=share-modal&gift_token=4933840%7E1786478392%7EtrOzbjrSRpSn70EyY_7u2A%7EnhG6LFx7Bj3RFKgfe6OxLm1j56bE028Z98Dhtz9EqBo npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Five days ago, the Rhine - at the point where it enters the Netherlands - reached its lowest level ever recorded: 6.47 meter above sea level. Now it's at 6.35 m. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/035/981/051/511/249/original/fb6ac401fcd76ec6.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Dutch @nprofile…kfps meteorological institute: July was extremely dry: average rainfall in the Netherlands 13 mm, that's 83% below normal. It was the 8th warmest July on record. https://www.knmi.nl/over-het-knmi/nieuws/juli-2026 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Angry farmers block Dutch highway but don't get fined. Because... they had covered their licence plates 🤦♂️🤦♀️🤦 The police: that's illegal, but there was little we could do about it "given the situation" 🤡 The difference with the treatment of XR climate activists doing the same on foot is striking. https://www.rtl.nl/nieuws/binnenland/artikel/5634951/boeren-blokkeren-snelweg-met-tachtig-tractoren-maar-krijgen-geen npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The nasty little thing with climate change is that the situation progressively gets worse as long as we emit greenhouse gases, and that is irreversible. So there's no happy message "Let's bring emissions to zero and then everything will be alright" Nope, everything will be worse than it is now. 1/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Record low water level in the Danube river forced Hungary to shut down its nuclear power plant today, probably for weeks. It normally provides almost half the country's electricity. Companies asked to reduce demand, freight trains limited, civil servants to work from home. https://www.nieuwsblad.be/buitenland/hongarije-legt-enige-kerncentrale-stil-door-historisch-lage-waterstand-van-donau-en-verliest-daarmee-bijna-de-helft-van-zijn-elektriciteitsproductie/159501377.html npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun This El Niño is set to be the largest on record by a ‘mind-blowing margin’ Forecasters predict that the monster climate pattern will combine with global warming to push global temperatures in 2027 to new heights. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-026-02293-y npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun France's wildfires already are the most widespread in modern records. (In other 'news', climate deniers in the UK and from the Trump regime deny the severity of the situation). https://www.carbonbrief.org/factcheck-no-europe-is-not-having-its-quietest-year-for-wildfires https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/018/670/762/122/197/original/8bd5e97f578e45d8.webp npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Dutch gas storages, among the largest in the EU, are only 36.6% full today, 31 July, just two months ahead of the typical end of the filling season (30 September). https://agsi.gie.eu/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Lowest ever Rhine water flow measured at the German-Dutch border in July was 782 m³/s, in 1976. Now, we're at 680 m³/s! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/010/792/692/449/723/original/72652dbf0f71b08f.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Europe needs approximately 10 standard LNG tankers to import 1 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gaseous natural gas. In total, the EU imports ~300 bcm/year, almost half of that as LNG. So, roughly 1,500 tankers per year. That's 4 per day, and more in winter, especially if our storages aren't filled. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Normal road sign in Denmark: prices of petrol/gasoline, diesel, and electricity at the local 'fuel' station. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/990/460/424/342/536/original/7707958ac4a2bd3c.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Spain's PM Sánchez, speaking at a firefighters’ command post near Madrid, connects the dots: "Spain and Portugal are experiencing the consequences of the climate emergency, from fires and storms to heavy snowfalls." https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/26/firefighters-in-france-battle-to-prevent-huge-blaze-from-approaching-bordeaux npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Taking the electric car to Norway, and noting the enormous difference between German Raststätte (dirty, junk food, too few chargers, some out of order, out in the rain) and their Danish equivalents (clean, OK food, ample chargers, all functioning, under a solar roof). https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/987/740/277/909/281/original/f7715acbc0b39b42.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun You'd hope this was AI, but it's an actual holiday picture from Dutch tourists in France. https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/07/25/nederlandse-vakantiegangers-delen-foto-van-brand-in-zuidwest-frankrijk-a4933250 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun "We will rebuild", says Macron. Yeah, perhaps, though not everyone will be able to afford it. But the heatwaves and droughts will keep getting worse, and there will be more and more to rebuild. Dead end street unless we reduce global emissions to (net) zero. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Climate bills are coming in: 153 houses destroyed by climate-fueled wildfires in the village of Le Porge, not far from Bordeaux. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/982/428/227/412/203/original/3a0c0d7bf5ef6aa2.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Macron mobilises French military as ‘unprecedented’ wildfire approaches Bordeaux. 44,000 people evacuated here; over 100,000 in total in SW-Framce. https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20260724-thousands-forced-to-flee-as-deadly-wildfires-rage-in-parts-of-france-italy-and-spain npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Wildfires are raging in Europe as over 80,000 forced to evacuate. Spain has declared a national emergency and, in France, two fires threaten a major tourist hotspot. Two fires merge outside Madrid, with a third on the verge of combining. https://news.sky.com/story/europe-wildfires-latest-french-tourist-hotspot-evacuated-as-national-emergency-declared-in-spain-13566532 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun A bit of advice to Mark Rutte and others, from the former commander of the US Armed Forces in Europe. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/965/633/579/122/534/original/bfa97da3d5bd3672.png