Building Common Futures, a new energy transition consultancy. 35+ years of experience in the energy transition. Posting here on energy, climate &more 100% renewable energy globally by 2050 is possible! Views my own. ( searchable )
Public Key
npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Profile Code
nprofile1qqsdgj8wydh4u5ujjc4cup04qnf5fh9u0yevqgqzkp7pms5ck6a3nsqpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0ds543wuv
Show more details
Published at
2026-08-17T05:44:56Z Event JSON
{
"id": "2cf8d8a141268ef9add427d35026609d05b6291cd20f4e49ef9639afbcc58154" ,
"pubkey": "d448ee236f5e5392962b8e05f504d344dcbc7932c02002b07c1dc298b6bb19c0" ,
"created_at": 1786945496 ,
"kind": 0 ,
"tags": [
[
"proxy",
"https://mastodon.energy/users/Sustainable2050",
"activitypub"
],
[
"client",
"Mostr",
"31990:6be38f8c63df7dbf84db7ec4a6e6fbbd8d19dca3b980efad18585c46f04b26f9:mostr",
"wss://relay.ditto.pub"
]
],
"content": "{\"name\":\"Kees van der Leun\",\"about\":\"Building Common Futures, \\na new energy transition consultancy. \\n35+ years of experience in the energy transition. \\nPosting here on energy, climate \u0026more \\n100% renewable energy globally by 2050 is possible!\\nViews my own.\\n( searchable )\",\"picture\":\"https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/accounts/avatars/109/327/230/233/195/514/original/8763cba7e21c6d24.jpg\",\"banner\":\"https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/accounts/headers/109/327/230/233/195/514/original/f635e7c235fe8c1c.png\",\"nip05\":\"[email protected] \",\"fields\":[[\"Expert in\",\"the energy transition\"],[\"Driven by\",\"the need for climate action\"],[\"Closely follows\",\"Ukraine's liberation drive\"],[\"Lives in\",\"Utrecht, the Netherlands\"]]}" ,
"sig": "d5f99fb53cc60f58cca53b473e339c9f7165027fd30d5bdef3d738fe1b15bf1edbb21dfbeb8724f7ef656ddfb81ae73911325da20f841a9ac65fa8465bcb33a0"
}
Last Notes npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The probability that the upcoming El Niño event will be a strong one is increasing. Its effects on the weather around the world are complicated, but this map shows typical effects on precipitation. Both droughts and floods can, of course, hurt agriculture. https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/wmo-prepare-el-nino https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/707/285/063/513/634/original/cc1e1c320ffff11c.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The Dutch tax authority, after advice by McKinsey, is in the process of outsourcing the collection of VAT (€1.5 billion per week) - a core activity - to a US company called Fast Enterprises, handing the Trump regime another unique tool to apply pressure. https://www.ad.nl/politiek/eerenberg-drukt-amerikaanse-aanbesteding-btw-systeem-door-ondanks-waarschuwingen-experts~a2096dd9/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Italy Sets Jet Fuel Limits at Some Airports on Supply Shortage - Europe is the main importer of jet fuel — including kerosene — from the Persian Gulf. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-05/italy-sets-jet-fuel-limits-at-some-airports-on-supply-shortage npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The two Dutch gas storages of NAM, operated by Gasterra (Shell/Exxon/Dutch government) are now completely empty: filling level 0.00%. The reason given is the winding down of Gasterra, which used to sell the Groningen gas. But one would say that a new operator could have bought the remaining gas. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/314/506/790/677/165/original/c0eded9442a653ee.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Ha @nprofile…dq8h Waarom zijn Progressief Nederland en Jesse Klaver alleen actief op Amerikaanse sociale media en niet op Mastodon? Voor Pro zie ik hier nog niet eens een (slapend) account. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Ha @nprofile…z3qs , Waarom zijn Progressief Nederland en jijzelf alleen actief op Amerikaanse sociale media en niet op Mastodon? Ik zie hier nog niet eens een (slapend) account. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun 25% of global gas liquefaction capacity (LNG production) is now out of operation. https://www.linkedin.com/posts/greg-moln%C3%A1r-38601171_gas-lng-ttf-share-7443621995377868800-FTZ1 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Bizarre kop, @nprofile…4nnr. Aanrijding tussen auto en kinderwagen?! "Kind overleden na aanrijding tussen auto en kinderwagen in Maastricht' https://nos.nl/l/2608173 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun It took the oil market 4 days to realise that Trump's 'talks' with Iran didn't happen. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/302/713/743/097/770/original/5627e6309e9c6a19.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun So German parliament spent their time on this. You'd hope they'd be laser-focused on accelerating the transition to cycling, public transport, and electric vehicles. https://www.dw.com/en/germany-news-bundestag-approves-fuel-station-price-brake-amid-iran-war-and-rising-oil-costs/live-76539515 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Top climate scientist leaves NASA, because telling the truth there has become difficult. Sad. Looking forward to hear from you in a new position, Kate! https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/25/climate/kate-marvel-nasa-resign.html npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The Netherlands gas storages are at a historically low filling level of 6%. The largest one Norg, used for "L-gas", the type which households use, is completely empty now: 0.00%. The other L-gas one at Grijpskerk is down to 1.81% and could be empty within days, too. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/285/890/061/543/552/original/f432abcf750db493.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun And there we are. Trump is already blackmailing Europe with 'his' LNG. We urgently need to reduce our natural gas consumption by speeding up the energy transition: focus on energy efficiency, electrification, and scaling up EU production of biomethane, developing way too slow to meet its 2030 target. https://nationaltoday.com/us/dc/washington/news/2026/03/24/trump-threatens-to-cut-off-eus-american-lng-supplies/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Paris has just elected another bike-friendly mayor! After Anne Hidalgo transformed the city, her PS-colleague Emmanuel Grégoire takes over, beating former right-wing minister Rachida Dati by a large margin. https://f24.my/BojB npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Gas and LNG expert Anne-Sophie Corbeau: "People really need to turn down their thermostats. We're heading for the Mother of all energy crises. Refilling Europe's gas storages could become the drama of the year." Even more so for the Netherlands, where the filling level has now been run down to below 7%, I would add. In Tijd.be, by Tobe Steel https://www.tijd.be/ondernemen/milieu-energie/energie-experte-anne-sophie-corbeau-mensen-zouden-hun-thermostaat-lager-moeten-zetten-het-is-nodig/10653647.html https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/272/286/426/687/178/original/d53aee2a41d2a904.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun European natural gas price just jumped another 27% to 70 €/MWh, after Israel attacked a major Iran/Qatar gas field in the Gulf. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/254/640/868/381/944/original/ed68b31bf6eb3a32.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Confirmed: the February average of atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa was 429.35 ppm, that's 2.26 ppm higher than last year. #ClimateChange #co2 https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/203/436/023/611/491/original/b619667f06b0b404.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Dear @nprofile…l7qw and @nprofile…rm8q , can the EC please take tough measures against this member state for seizing money from and blackmailing a European partner country under attack by Russia? [and, all others, reposting would be great] https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/03/09/8024623/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun After hitting $115 this night, the oil price is now at $103 per barrel, up from around $65 before the US-Israeli attack on Iran. Big impact on the world economy, and hopefully on the energy transition too. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/197/717/335/254/185/original/4d99fa3168d9e56e.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun OK, so I got myself a @nprofile…850x mail account. Bit of work ahead to fully move from Gmail, but worth the trouble. Back to Europe! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/195/549/444/479/041/original/305a90a94dc2897d.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Two weeks after becoming PM of the Netherlands, Rob Jetten visits Ukraine and president Zelensky to show his support. https://nos.nl/l/2605459 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Professor in international law Marieke de Hoon: when Greenland was threatened, Europe emphasised territorial integrity. But when the US and Israel started their evidently illegal attack on Iran, many countries, incl. the Netherlands, showed 'understanding'. This hypocrisy is noted in the global South. https://nos.nl/l/2604943 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun European electricity prices are not immune to the gas price shock, since in many hours of the year, gas-fired power plants set the price, as the marginal producers. The maps show the differences for baseload power to be delivered next quarter, between last Friday (left) and today (right). In the Netherlands, a jump from €70 to €100 per MWh! Data/maps from EEX Group https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/167/195/615/068/254/original/e3b7a92a47bdb5ac.jpg https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/167/195/617/804/071/original/3348f2a37b699e79.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun NATO SG Rutte praises the end of international law as we knew it. Attack any country that does stuff you don't like, and never mind the democratic process in your own country! https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/natos-rutte-praises-us-israeli-military-action-against-iran-says-alliance-wont-2026-03-02/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun European gas price now up 48% since Friday! And Dutch gas storages at a very low level (10% filled). But: no incentive at all for commercial companies to start filling up again: prices throughout the year are higher than those for next winter. If we want the storages filled, governments need to act. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/159/902/513/878/004/original/d483aed8e610d224.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Nasty shock to European gas price in response to Trump's war: +21% compared to last Friday! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/158/376/748/029/235/original/051d6d2c9e8c1022.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun In the Netherlands, this winter was 'mild': average 4.7°C versus a 'normal' of 3.9°C. But that's comparing to the already warmed 1991-2020 average. When I was young, not that long ago, the winter average was around 2°C! https://www.knmi.nl/over-het-knmi/nieuws/winter-2025-2026 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Last Tuesday, a spokesman of Dutch state-owned Gasunie said that the historical low in gas storage filling (11% of capacity) was no problem. But, he added, 'we wouldn't want a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz'. Now, Gasunie says that the attack came at an unfortunate moment, and that our gas may become very expensive once more. https://nos.nl/l/2604488 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Pahlavi family hoping to be brought to power by the US for a second time. First time was 1953, over oil interests. https://www.foxnews.com/world/exiled-crown-prince-calls-on-iranian-people-finish-job-cheers-trump-humanitarian-intervention npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Given how little he cares about Americans, the chance that Trump gives a shit about the Iranian people is zero. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun International law, 2026 revision: If a country is led by bad guys, it's OK to attack it. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Clear message from the Trump regime to European clients* dependent on US tech companies: those will be brought under control. *) like the Dutch tax authority preparing to outsource all of its VAT collection. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/144/857/743/271/532/original/348126d755f4ad93.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The decision (already mid-2022) to opt for buying software from an external supplier instead of continuing the internal effort by the tax authority was based on advice by McKinsey: https://www.computable.nl/2026/02/24/digitale-autonomie-en-de-uitbesteding-applicatiediensten-omzetbelasting-door-de-staat/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Dutch tax authority wants to transfer full IT control on VAT collection to an American company. Smart move 🤦♂️🤦♀️🤦 #nevent1q…ch0g npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun At least 22 dead after record rainfall triggers floods and landslides in Minas Gerais, Brazil. Up to 191 mm within a day, of which 100 mm in 3 hours! https://watchers.news/2026/02/24/at-least-22-dead-after-record-rainfall-triggers-floods-and-landslides-in-minas-gerais-brazil/ #ClimateChange #extremeweather npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun 4 years into Russia's full-scale brutal invasion and bombing of Ukraine today. The way to shorten it is to double our support to Ukraine. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Dutch right-wing newspaper Telegraaf headline: Aid organisation OxfamNovib linked to Hamas. Solely based on an accusation by a Jerusalem-based, Israeli government-linked organisation, which says Palestinian fighters can hide behind trees irrigated with help of Oxfam. https://www.linkedin.com/posts/michielservaes_het-is-het-eeuwige-dilemma-negeren-of-weerspreken-ugcPost-7431060596294430720-1xbZ?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_android&rcm=ACoAAALeRZIBePL5CSgOklve8RIlp9QabpkHOX4 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun UK's Hinkley Point C new nuclear plant delayed to 2030 as costs climb to €56 billion*, i.e. €17,500 per kW. EDF said the first reactor at the site in Somerset will begin operations in 2030, a year later than in the last update – almost 13 years after construction work began – after a series of delays to the project. https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026/feb/20/hinkley-point-c-delayed-to-2030-as-costs-climb-to-35bn?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other *) £35 bn in 2015 prices = £49 bn now = €56 bn npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The part of the Epstein files we've seen makes it possible to reconstruct Trump's probable orders to his servants at DOJ. "Just release a few million. Make sure they don't contain anything new about me, but that they cause trouble for a lot of other people. Media will focus on the latter." npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Finally, airlines have to pay for the CO2 emissions of their flights within Europe. Until now, they got a 50% discount. And they still don't pay for the indirect global warming effects they cause, which probably double the total damage done. https://nos.nl/l/2602799 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun NS Dutch Railways transfers part of its ICT from a Dutch supplier to an American-owned company, which offered a low price. https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/02/10/ns-besteedt-ict-deels-uit-aan-amerikaanse-leverancier-a4919022?utm_source=clipboard&utm_medium=clipboard&utm_campaign=share&utm_term=share-modal&gift_token=4919022%7E1771355387%7EtrOzbjrSRpSn70EyY_7u2A%7EERsPl9trIhPmgAHoFMmKh5TXWgALaOlzvxC6bMxLuRo npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun After receiving 1,300 mm of rain within ten days (more than our record *annual* amount here in central NL, 2023), Grazalema faced a mandatory evacuation: https://www.thespanisheye.com/2026/02/05/in-videos-army-evacuates-whole-of-grazalema-ground-zero-of-storm-leonardo-is-at-serious-risk-of-deadly-landslides/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Last Wednesday, the village of Grazalema (southern Spain, 900 m altitude) received 577 mm of rain in one day: the second highest ever recorded in Spain, only behind the deadly downpour in the Valencia region of 29 October 2024. https://malagaldia.es/2026/02/06/grazalema-sufrio-el-segundo-dia-mas-lluvioso-jamas-registrado-en-espana-segun-la-aemet/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun It's shocking how easily Trump's billionaire tech oligarchs could buy Twitter and the Washington Post and destroy them. Who cares about a couple of billion if the regime enables you to claw back much more than that? npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun There's a reason that the Trump regime still hasn't published all the #Epstein files. And by now, it's abundantly clear that it's not to protect the victims. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun In our village (pop. 7,000) near Utrecht, the Netherlands, you can't get gasoline or diesel anymore; the last fuel station closed years ago. But for EV drivers, there's around 45 public charging posts, and a bunch of Tesla fast-chargers at the edge of the village, near the highway. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The gender balance in aggressive climate deniers seems slightly skewed. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Long awaited: efficiency standards for electric vehicles. Good news for the energy transition. Can't beat an e-bike, though ;) https://carnewschina.com/2025/12/26/china-to-enforce-worlds-first-mandatory-ev-energy-standard-in-2026-capping-two-tonne-models-at-15-1-kwh-per-100-km/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Forget all their talk about birds, radar, 'the sun doesn't shine at night' etc. etc. All because 'we'd burn less fossil fuels' doesn't sell very well. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The main problem Trump and his backers have with renewable energy: we'll need less fossil fuels. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun One winter night in the Netherlands, 2025... Temperature here in Utrecht, at 9 p.m.: +13.8°C (57F). https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/680/160/147/711/688/original/4ce834eaf48394d4.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun @nprofile…lxup I remember seeing a DC ICE train at St Pancras, with announcement that DB would start a Rotterdam-London service soon. That's ages ago. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun In the middle of its Gaza genocide (and West Bank terror), Israel is not excluded from the @eurovision.tv Song Contest, so now the Netherlands withdraws. Good. https://nos.nl/l/2593199 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun On the intimate contacts between Putin's 'peace negotiator' Dmitriev and Trump's son-in-law Kushner, since the day after Trump was elected in 2016. Known since the Mueller report. Goals: joint investments and self-enrichment. https://www.volkskrant.nl/buitenland/al-sinds-2016-bouwt-de-russische-onderhandelaar-kirill-dmitriev-aan-goede-relaties-met-trump~b00fe4da/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The right and far-right (VVD, BBB, Ja21, FvD) voted against high flight taxes for private jets. https://www.trouw.nl/politiek/kamer-grijpt-in-bij-benzineaccijns-en-box-3-en-stemt-voor-hoge-vliegtax-privejets~b245bd1a/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun From 2030*, passengers of private jets departing from the Netherlands will pay a flight tax of €420 to €2,100, depending on distance. So far, they only paid €29.40, just like ordinary airline passengers. Yay for Dutch parliament! https://www.rtl.nl/nieuws/economie/artikel/5541080/vliegbelasting-voor-privejets-14-tot-71-keer-hoger *) PS Why only then? #ClimateChange #Emissions #aviation npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun It's sad to see that the Trump regime has - for now - succeeded in bringing down the @noaa website reporting on atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa since 1958. Now via the government shutdown, but it was already under attack by selling its building and scrapping jobs too. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/17/climate/budget-cuts-climate-observatories.html https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/518/484/933/755/589/original/ef4fd15237ea9485.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Bill Gates Gave $3.5M to Think Tank Run by Climate Crisis Denier Bjorn Lomborg https://www.desmog.com/2025/11/05/bill-gates-donated-climate-denier-bjorn-lomborg-copenhagen-consensus-center/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Everyone in the Netherlands knows the Wadden Sea, and we love it. Its tidal flats attract millions of birds, and tourists too. But I can't remember any national politician drawing attention to the fact that we stand to lose those tidal flats to sea level rise, starting mid-century, due to climate change. Don't they know or don't they care? https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/479/116/385/555/021/original/97b552a8023a4bb5.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Another big jump in atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa: based on daily values, the October average was ~425.0 ppm, that's 2.6 ppm higher than last year. "US government is closed; site not updated", so we'll have to rely on the automated data collection for now. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/476/441/657/469/900/original/24f7182e7f53444c.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun China added as much solar PV capacity (256 GW) in just the first half of this year as the US installed in all of its solar history. China's speed of adding new capacity was already 14 times higher than that in the US, and China is speeding up while the US is slowing down. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Dutch elections: first exit poll shows heavy losses for Wilders' right-far-right coalition. From 88 out of 150 seats two years ago to just 52 now. End of an experiment, fortunately. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/459/264/041/644/846/original/1e24fcfcfb6190f8.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The worst possible scenario for Jamaica came true: climate-fueled hurricane #Melissa just made landfall at its strongest. Maximum sustained winds of 295 km/h (185 mph) and an estimated minimum central pressure of 892 mb (26.34 inches). Devastating. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/452/916/410/598/596/original/7c647b82efc2f41f.mp4 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Israel continues its genocide in Gaza, and the world lets it happen. https://truthout.org/articles/gaza-officials-israel-has-only-let-in-14-percent-of-aid-required-by-ceasefire/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun From the WaPo, I think: https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/442/151/898/855/100/original/93df252aa8ade381.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The destruction of the White House East Wing, sponsored by Amazon, Apple, Google, HP, Meta, Microsoft, T-Mobile, and other companies near you. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/441/572/147/534/329/original/e81a2ca8a927e35a.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun At the Climate March in The Hague. As the climate crisis deepens, it's not much of a theme in the Dutch election campaign. I heard it's because climate is 'only' the #4 concern of voters. But why not ask questions on #4 in the debates? While immigration is talked up, climate is silenced down. #klimaat #klimaatmars #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/440/752/051/676/807/original/4d15fb6b60c34a94.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun TIL that 'vegetarian meat' brands Vegetarische Slager ( butcher) and Vivera belong to Brazilian mega meat company JBS, accused of massive deforestation, built on bribing politicians, and brought to the stock market via a Dutch holding company. https://www.volkskrant.nl/economie/omstreden-vleesgigant-jbs-gaat-naar-beurs-via-nederlandse-brievenbusmaatschappij~bcd434a9/ https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/434/390/722/712/541/original/4a6e8bfb346396ec.jpg https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/434/392/222/837/396/original/2770471adffdfd6b.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun This graph says it all: instead of starting to go down, the *annual increase* of atmospheric CO2 is setting new records. We're making climate change worse at a record rate. Turning this around should be our top priority, and it's not. From: https://www.carbonbrief.org/met-office-atmospheric-co2-rise-now-exceeding-ipcc-1-5c-pathways/ https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/396/838/986/592/790/original/9564fd4dc1b33d56.webp npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun As climate change causes stronger storms and melts the permafrost, the Trump regime took away the funding to protect this low-income Alaska Native community against the effects. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/climate/kupnik-alaska-typhoon-trump-epa-flood.html?unlocked_article_code=1.tU8.gcbh.8Y6T_1yPy2F6&smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Europe has to ramp up its military aid again. Ukraine is starting to regain territory and that progress needs to be accelerated. https://kyivindependent.com/military-aid-to-ukraine-declines-sharply-in-recent-months-report-finds/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun In 1987, a management consultancy concluded that the Netherlands should aim for a coal economy by 2050 ('cheap and abundant'). At Ecofys, we were surprised: can't be, we'd ruin our climate. CO₂ concentration was at 350 ppm, global temperature increase at +0.6°C. Now, 38 years later, I read: first tipping point reached. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/366/974/136/938/201/original/c6286e3616e48259.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun In the run-up to Dutch elections (29 October), it turns out that two Dutch MP's of Wilders' far-right PVV are using Sora AI to generate fake pictures of attractive blond women threatened by migrants. The prompts they used were published in this article. https://www.groene.nl/artikel/maak-haar-blond-onschuldig-en-knap?utm_campaign=website&utm_medium=owned_social&utm_source=bluesky https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/357/545/279/287/092/original/cd559a4a75060fcb.jpeg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun From Covid-19, we learned that a somewhat coordinated global response is (would be) required, because people travel. Forget about that under the Trump regime and his antivaxx buddy RFK jr. This will first hurt Americans, but in Europe, we're bound to feel the impact too. https://tomkahe.com/@GiftArticles/115353919869847812 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Reminder: It was Netanyahu who ended the previous ceasefire, 6 months ago, presumably with Trump's permission. https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-ceasefire-hostages-netanyahu-ff48f081b069e484955a72bc68261364?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=share %3Cbr%3EWhy npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Big news for the energy transition! And a nice little 'told you so' moment for yours truly :) In the first half of this year, renewables produced more electricity globally than coal, for the first time. And 2025 is the date I predicted for this to happen, back in 2016, in a blog post for Ecofys! The score was 23%-40% at the time, with most of the renewables share still coming from hydro, and the prediction was less than obvious. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/340/222/930/752/167/original/b2f324ec0df3781f.jpg https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/340/230/783/958/610/original/e869104844187801.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Another Red Line demo in Amsterdam today - in line with the Genocide Convention, protesters will demand more action by Dutch government against Israel. I'll be there. https://nos.nl/l/2585235 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Average wholesale electricity prices per bidding zone in Europe, 2024: - lowest in Scandinavia - low in France, Spain, Portugal - high in the east, in Italy, and in Ireland - average in the middle, including the Netherlands Source: @energy-charts.bsky.social https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/317/258/008/302/139/original/5ffd1c1c20fcecec.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The US Minister of War. (a Fox News presenter, until recently) https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/295/366/324/317/555/original/3a27195b50c6456f.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun 14 Russian drones entered Poland's airspace in the southeast of the country, ~250 km from Warsaw. Visible on the map are the Ukrainian cities Lviv and Lutsk. https://bsky.app/profile/euanmacdonald.bsky.social/post/3lyhfpbbryk2w https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/178/370/799/610/230/original/1b64e490553ad937.jpeg https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/178/371/932/062/395/original/2e3906b9ef18ff4b.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Number of medical evacuations to some EU member states. Our Dutch government really stands out. Caretaker Minister of Foreign Affairs @rubenbrekelmans.bsky.social adamantly refuses to take up even a single child in need of intensive medical care. Via PG Kroeger on Bluesky https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/107/877/529/914/030/original/036fa5b938d24409.jpeg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Trump's US, 2025. Unusual, as the Seattle Times puts it. "It is unusual for federal border agents to make arrests during the fighting of an active fire, especially in a remote area." https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/climate-lab/federal-agents-arrest-firefighters-working-on-wa-wildfire/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Meta builds giant datacenter in rural Louisiana. Utility to add 2.3 GW of gas turbines to power it, if they can source the turbines in a sold-out global market. And just to be sure, the Louisiana Legislature passed a new law that adds natural gas to the definition of green energy... Climate anyone? https://finance.yahoo.com/news/meta-sinking-10-billion-rural-100000651.html H/t Gregor Macdonald on Bluesky. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Last-minute attempt by the Trump regime to stop 700 MW of offshore wind power from flowing into the US grid. Denmark's Ørsted in the crosshairs. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/22/climate/trump-administration-halts-revolution-wind.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun After hardly a measure against Israel during its ongoing genocide in Gaza, Dutch Minister of Foreign Affairs now wanted to take some baby steps, but was blocked by coalition partners VVD and BBB, fully behind Netanyahu. Now he and colleagues of NSC (polling at 0 seats) left the caretaker government. https://nos.nl/l/2579547 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Daring project by my former colleague @nprofile…lp20, in his spare time: compiling a European grid capacity (scarcity) map! https://www.gridcapacitymaps.eu/ Still a challenge to access the detailed information, due to language and other barriers, but a very useful project indeed. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/065/564/974/662/666/original/739baefcf42d8e6f.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Tesla Cybertruck Sales Fall Dramatically To Their Lowest Level In A Year. Only 4,306 sold in Q2, that's 50% less than the year before. At this rate, it'll take until the year 2085 for Musk's "1 million reservations" to turn into sales. https://insideevs.com/news/766162/tesla-cybertruck-sales-q2-h1-2025/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun New study: 60% of the world’s land area is in a precarious state, putting at risk the ability of the plant world to acquire enough energy through photosynthesis to maintain the material flows of carbon, water and nitrogen that support the ecosystems. https://www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/latest-news/60-percent-of-the-worlds-land-area-is-in-a-precarious-state npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun My Account Great Again. For media still pretending he puts America first: New Analysis Finds Trump Family Has Raked in $3.4 Billion Off the Presidency https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/trump-family-billions-presidency-1235405843/ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Too many inconvenient truths coming from that. https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/08/nasas-acting-chief-calls-for-the-end-of-earth-science-at-the-space-agency/?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR5lRtUH1u5my7IPYSS_9fdRv-6GTaUh6SLw9kWohNR6qzcm2373iTEUy18sdg_aem_yFqGf0u3H_vwVe3oXmzFnQ npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Progress in the US becoming the 23rd Republic of Russia seems significantly higher than that of Canada becoming the 51st state of the US. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Now send more military aid to Ukraine. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun How the number of days per year that temperature exceeds 85F (29.4°C) exploded within one generation. Look at Spain, but also Italy, Greece, Bulgaria! And underneath those lighter shades, the number is growing too. By NY Times via María Ramirez on Bluesky. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/032/385/183/917/674/original/702c91dac2d3e43c.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun We already managed to screw up the climate of Spain, in many ways. And as long as we're emitting more greenhouse gases than ever before, it will get worse faster than ever before. We have to get to net zero emissions asap. It's not 'realistic' but absurd to slow down climate action now. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/aug/14/spanish-people-deadly-heatwaves-annual-event-politicians-denial?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun The researchers found 51 types of pesticides in 10 different protected nature areas. It could well be that the agricultural industry didn't like the results. npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Employee of Dutch Butterfly Foundation @nprofile…cju0 gets death threat for sharing research findings on pesticides in protected nature areas. Foundation removes report from its website. https://nos.nl/l/2578369 npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Just some suggestions for illustrations to go with stories on this month's deadly heatwaves around the world. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/019/867/723/837/753/original/de2057b21a6ad5e6.jpg npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Very hot weather in Spain today: temperatures above 44°C in five different provinces, with Badajoz at 45.5°C (114F) Source: aemet.es #globalwarming #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/115/017/665/131/083/743/original/cf08aa994cb429d2.png npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun Jellyfish managed to temporarily shut down 3.6 GW of French nuclear power generation. That's a big event in the European power system, but it probably didn't happen all of a sudden, giving some time to prepare for it. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx299eyg7qko npub163ywugm0tefe993t3czl2pxngnwtc7fjcqsq9vrurhpf3d4mr8qq0mcmff Kees van der Leun This weekend, it was Milwaukee, Wisconsin: Flooding after up to 350 mm (14 inches) of rain within 24 hours. Way more than a used-to-be-1-in-1000-years event. #ClimatechangeisWaterchange https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/10/us/wisconsin-flood-storms-rain.html?smtyp=cur&smid=bsky-nytimes