Optaimaze

https://www.optaimaze.com/

Lightning Network reliability intelligence. Route stability, payment confidence, and routing insight signals.

Public Key

npub1tur530luw4ftu7cyaw9seg0ddjyxxwn8776ljsvehhtrwgluc89sglng5j

Profile Code

nprofile1qqs97p6ghl7825470vzwhzcv58kkezrr8fnl0d0egxvmm43hy07vrjcppamhxue69uhkummnw3ezumt0d5q3gamnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwv3sk6atn9e5k7c88n4k

Publishing to

nostr.mom

relay.damus.io

Author Public Key

npub1tur530luw4ftu7cyaw9seg0ddjyxxwn8776ljsvehhtrwgluc89sglng5j

Show more details

Last Notes

2026-06-07 09:00:05 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert
Trigger: Current leader changed from Kraken to bfx-lnd0.
Reliability: 70/100
Risk: Moderate
Status: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.
Why it matters:
Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 9 times across the last 12 snapshots, bfx-lnd0 has weak short-term stability after 2 snapshot(s), with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.
Watch:
- route leadership changed 9 times across the last 12 snapshots
- bfx-lnd0 has weak short-term stability after 2 snapshot(s)
Leader: bfx-lnd0
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (50%)
Structural strength is not routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260607-090003-df329b.png
Live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-06-06 09:00:05 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert
Trigger: Current leader changed from ACINQ to Kraken.
Reliability: 70/100
Risk: Moderate
Status: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.
Why it matters:
Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 10 times across the last 12 snapshots, Kraken has weak short-term stability after 1 snapshot(s), with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.
Watch:
- route leadership changed 10 times across the last 12 snapshots
- Kraken has weak short-term stability after 1 snapshot(s)
- Kraken is not the dominant recent node (bfx-lnd0)
Leader: Kraken
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (41.67%)
Structural strength is not routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260606-090003-51611d.png
Live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-06-05 09:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert
Trigger: Payment risk changed from moderate to low.
Reliability: 83/100
Risk: Low
Status: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.
Why it matters:
Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 4 times across the last 12 snapshots, with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.
Watch:
- route leadership changed 4 times across the last 12 snapshots
Leader: bfx-lnd0
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (75%)
Structural strength is not routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260605-090003-4efc1b.png
Live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-27 09:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert
Trigger: Current leader changed from bfx-lnd0 to ACINQ.
Trigger type: current_leader_change
Severity: Medium
Status: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 78/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 6 times across the last 12 snapshots, with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.
Signals:
- route leadership changed 6 times across the last 12 snapshots
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 78/100
Structural score: 99/100
Execution score: 70/100
Stability score: 36/100
Stability strength: Moderate
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: ACINQ (50%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260527-090002-dc7e6f.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-20 21:18:21 GMT

- reply

Mix of both. Automation helps with monitoring/probing/rebalance signals, but peer selection and liquidity moves still need human judgment. Optaimaze is meant to surface the weak spots earlier, not pretend the map is the territory.

2026-05-20 21:15:55 GMT

- reply

Fair take. Execution is the weak side here; structural size doesn’t always translate into clean routing, especially with LND pathfinding/liquidity issues. Our node is still being tuned, and liquidity balance is definitely one of the things we’re watching.

2026-05-20 21:15:24 GMT

- reply

2026-05-20 21:13:41 GMT

- reply

Correct, stability is weak here; the model separates structural strength from short-term route stability. That’s why the overall signal is moderate, not excellent.

2026-05-20 17:00:05 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert
Trigger: Dominant node changed from bfx-lnd0 to ACINQ.
Trigger type: dominant_node_change
Severity: Medium
Status: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 70/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 8 times across the last 12 snapshots, ACINQ has weak short-term stability after 1 snapshot(s), with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.
Signals:
- route leadership changed 8 times across the last 12 snapshots
- ACINQ has weak short-term stability after 1 snapshot(s)
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 77/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 70/100
Stability score: 35/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: ACINQ (50%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260520-170003-8dcfeb.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-20 09:00:03 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert
Trigger: Payment reliability recovered above 70/100.
Trigger type: reliability_recovery
Severity: Medium
Status: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 70/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 7 times across the last 12 snapshots, ACINQ has weak short-term stability after 2 snapshot(s), with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.
Signals:
- route leadership changed 7 times across the last 12 snapshots
- ACINQ has weak short-term stability after 2 snapshot(s)
- ACINQ is not the dominant recent node (bfx-lnd0)
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 77/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 70/100
Stability score: 36/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (50%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260520-090001-e04bf4.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-19 17:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert
Trigger: Current leader changed from ACINQ to bfx-lnd0.
Trigger type: current_leader_change
Severity: Medium
Status: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 69/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Moderate chance of success
Why: Payment reliability is moderate because route leadership changed 7 times across the last 12 snapshots, bfx-lnd0 has weak short-term stability after 2 snapshot(s), with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.
Signals:
- route leadership changed 7 times across the last 12 snapshots
- bfx-lnd0 has weak short-term stability after 2 snapshot(s)
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 63/100
Stability score: 40/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (66.67%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260519-170002-71c1f1.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-19 09:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert
Trigger: Payment reliability recovered above 70/100.
Trigger type: reliability_recovery
Severity: Medium
Status: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 73/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 3 times across the last 12 snapshots, ACINQ has weak short-term stability after 2 snapshot(s), with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.
Signals:
- route leadership changed 3 times across the last 12 snapshots
- ACINQ has weak short-term stability after 2 snapshot(s)
- ACINQ is not the dominant recent node (bfx-lnd0)
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 78/100
Structural score: 99/100
Execution score: 60/100
Stability score: 52/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (75%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260519-090002-210bfe.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-18 17:00:05 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert
Trigger: Payment risk changed from low to moderate.
Trigger type: payment_risk_change
Severity: Medium
Status: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 69/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Moderate chance of success
Why: Payment reliability is moderate because route leadership changed 7 times across the last 12 snapshots, bfx-lnd0 has weak short-term stability after 1 snapshot(s), with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.
Signals:
- route leadership changed 7 times across the last 12 snapshots
- bfx-lnd0 has weak short-term stability after 1 snapshot(s)
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 66/100
Stability score: 38/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (58.33%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260518-170003-740732.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-18 09:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert
Trigger: Payment risk changed from moderate to low.
Trigger type: payment_risk_change
Severity: Medium
Status: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 76/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 6 times across the last 12 snapshots, with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.
Signals:
- route leadership changed 6 times across the last 12 snapshots
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 63/100
Stability score: 42/100
Stability strength: Moderate
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (66.67%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260518-090002-e6264d.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-17 18:44:18 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert
Trigger: Manual force post requested from CLI.
Trigger type: manual_force
Severity: Medium
Status: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 71/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 4 times across the last 12 snapshots, ACINQ has weak short-term stability after 1 snapshot(s), with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.
Signals:
- route leadership changed 4 times across the last 12 snapshots
- ACINQ has weak short-term stability after 1 snapshot(s)
- ACINQ is not the dominant recent node (bfx-lnd0)
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 99/100
Execution score: 60/100
Stability score: 44/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (75%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260517-184418-37ffbe.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-17 17:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Payment risk changed from moderate to low.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 76/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 7 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 has moderate short-term stability and bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 63/100
Stability score: 42/100
Stability strength: Moderate
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (66.67%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260517-170003-b27885.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-17 09:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Route stability status changed from stable to shifting.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 69/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Moderate chance of success
Why: Payment reliability is moderate because route leadership changed 8 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 97/100
Execution score: 66/100
Stability score: 38/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (58.33%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260517-090003-d14ca8.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-16 17:00:03 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Route stability status changed from shifting to stable.
Status: STABLE ? Route conditions look consistent.
Payment reliability: 95/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Very likely to succeed
Why: Payment reliability is strong because no major instability signals detected.
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 80/100
Structural score: 99/100
Execution score: 53/100
Stability score: 71/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (91.67%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260516-170002-72597b.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-16 09:00:03 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Current leader changed from ACINQ to bfx-lnd0.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 76/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 6 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 has moderate short-term stability and bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 66/100
Stability score: 39/100
Stability strength: Moderate
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (58.33%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260516-090002-c95898.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-15 17:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Route stability status changed from stable to shifting.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 81/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 3 times recently, even though ACINQ has moderate short-term stability.
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 79/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 66/100
Stability score: 49/100
Stability strength: Moderate
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (58.33%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260515-170003-4490c4.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-15 09:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Route stability status changed from shifting to stable.
Status: STABLE ? Route conditions look consistent.
Payment reliability: 100/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Very likely to succeed
Why: Payment reliability is strong because no major instability signals detected, even though ACINQ has moderate short-term stability.
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 81/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 60/100
Stability score: 67/100
Stability strength: Moderate
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (75%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260515-090003-29811a.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-14 17:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Current leader changed from ACINQ to bfx-lnd0.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 69/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Moderate chance of success
Why: Payment reliability is moderate because route leadership changed 7 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 66/100
Stability score: 38/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (58.33%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260514-170002-d3a9fc.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-14 09:00:03 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Dominant node changed from ACINQ to bfx-lnd0.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 73/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 3 times recently.
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 78/100
Structural score: 99/100
Execution score: 60/100
Stability score: 52/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (75%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260514-090002-36add3.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-13 17:00:03 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Current leader changed from bfx-lnd0 to ACINQ.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 73/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 4 times recently, even though ACINQ is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 78/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 70/100
Stability score: 37/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: ACINQ (50%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260513-170002-024d45.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-13 09:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Current leader changed from ACINQ to bfx-lnd0.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 69/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Moderate chance of success
Why: Payment reliability is moderate because route leadership changed 7 times recently.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 63/100
Stability score: 40/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: ACINQ (66.67%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260513-090002-9bcc5e.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-12 17:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Current leader changed from bfx-lnd0 to ACINQ.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 72/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 3 times recently.
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 77/100
Structural score: 99/100
Execution score: 56/100
Stability score: 54/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (83.33%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260512-170002-610255.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-12 09:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Current leader changed from ACINQ to bfx-lnd0.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 69/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Moderate chance of success
Why: Payment reliability is moderate because route leadership changed 8 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 97/100
Execution score: 63/100
Stability score: 41/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (66.67%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260512-090003-8e53e7.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-11 17:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Current leader changed from bfx-lnd0 to ACINQ.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 73/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 3 times recently.
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 78/100
Structural score: 99/100
Execution score: 60/100
Stability score: 52/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (75%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260511-170003-9fa6c3.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-11 09:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Current leader changed from ACINQ to bfx-lnd0.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 72/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 3 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 77/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 56/100
Stability score: 55/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (83.33%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260511-090003-65e067.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-10 17:00:03 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Payment risk changed from low to moderate.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 71/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 4 times recently.
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 99/100
Execution score: 60/100
Stability score: 44/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (75%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260510-170002-793187.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-10 09:00:03 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Payment risk changed from moderate to low.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 76/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 5 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 has moderate short-term stability and bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 97/100
Execution score: 63/100
Stability score: 42/100
Stability strength: Moderate
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (66.67%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260510-090002-72ad0e.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-09 17:00:05 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Payment risk changed from low to moderate.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 71/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 3 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 97/100
Execution score: 56/100
Stability score: 54/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (83.33%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260509-170003-d35352.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-07 17:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Route stability status changed from stable to shifting.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 78/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 4 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 has moderate short-term stability and bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 60/100
Stability score: 46/100
Stability strength: Moderate
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (75%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260507-170002-5673fd.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-07 09:00:03 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Route stability status changed from shifting to stable.
Status: STABLE ? Route conditions look consistent.
Payment reliability: 100/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Very likely to succeed
Why: Payment reliability is strong because no major instability signals detected, even though bfx-lnd0 has strong short-term stability and bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 82/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 50/100
Stability score: 90/100
Stability strength: Strong
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (100%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260507-090002-bf3d97.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-06 09:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Current leader changed from ACINQ to bfx-lnd0.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 71/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 4 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 76/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 63/100
Stability score: 42/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (66.67%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260506-090002-749345.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-05 17:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Route stability status changed from watching to shifting.
Status: SHIFTING ?? Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 71/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 7 times recently.
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 78/100
Structural score: 99/100
Execution score: 70/100
Stability score: 35/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (50%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260505-170002-57a1b7.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-04 16:22:59 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Initial reliability state captured.
Status: WATCHING ? Still building confidence.
Payment reliability: 90/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Very likely to succeed
Why: Payment reliability is strong because no major instability signals detected, even though bfx-lnd0 has strong short-term stability and bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 78/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 53/100
Stability score: 67/100
Stability strength: Strong
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (91.67%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260504-162259-38d9c5.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-04 16:12:22 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ?
Trigger: Route stability status changed from shifting to watching.
Status: WATCHING ? Still building confidence.
Payment reliability: 86/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Very likely to succeed
Why: Payment reliability is strong because no major instability signals detected, even though bfx-lnd0 has moderate short-term stability and bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current leader: bfx-lnd0
Confidence score: 78/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 53/100
Stability score: 66/100
Stability strength: Moderate
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (91.67%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze now models both.
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260504-161221-a52dd5.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-04 15:58:27 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ⚡
Trigger: Route stability status changed from watching to shifting.
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 72/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 3 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant recent node.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 98.02
Stability score: 50/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 3
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (83.3%)
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260504-155827-0710bb.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-04 15:21:58 GMT

- reply

Fair point on CLN vs LND. Optaimaze is currently modeling network structure (liquidity/connectivity/stability), not implementation-level routing behavior… yet.

2026-05-04 13:49:20 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ⚡
Trigger: Initial reliability state captured.
Status: WATCHING 👀 Still building confidence.
Payment reliability: 82/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but no major instability signals detected, even though bfx-lnd0 has strong short-term stability and bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant node.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.74
Stability score: 61/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 2
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (91.7%)
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260504-134920-443448.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-04 09:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ⚡
Trigger: Current route changed from bfx-lnd0 to ACINQ.
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 39/100
Payment risk: Severe
Expected outcome: High failure risk
Why: Payment failure risk is high because route leadership changed 4 times recently.
Current recommendation: ACINQ
Route score: 99.36
Stability score: 46/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 4
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (75%)
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/latest-payment-reliability.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-03 17:00:04 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ⚡
Trigger: Route stability status changed from watching to shifting.
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 33/100
Payment risk: Severe
Expected outcome: High failure risk
Why: Payment failure risk is high because route leadership changed 5 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant node.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.74
Stability score: 44/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 5
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (66.7%)
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/latest-payment-reliability.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-03 13:20:42 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ⚡
Trigger: Initial reliability state captured.
Status: WATCHING 👀 Still building confidence.
Payment reliability: 82/100
Payment risk: Low
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but no major instability signals detected, even though bfx-lnd0 has strong short-term stability and bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant node.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.74
Stability score: 61/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 2
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (91.7%)
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/latest-payment-reliability.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-02 22:55:09 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Alert ⚡
Trigger: Initial reliability state captured.
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 42/100
Payment risk: High
Expected outcome: Elevated failure risk
Why: Payment risk is elevated because route leadership changed 4 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant node.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.74
Stability score: 49/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 4
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (83.3%)
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/latest-payment-reliability.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-02 22:06:38 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
Why: Payment reliability is moderate because route leadership changed 3 times recently, even though bfx-lnd0 has strong short-term stability and bfx-lnd0 is also the dominant node.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 98.02
Stability score: 51/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 3
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (83.3%)
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/latest-payment-reliability.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-02 17:00:01 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
This is useful signal, but not a route to blindly trust yet.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.74
Stability score: 39/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 8
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: ACINQ (50%)
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/latest-payment-reliability.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-02 09:00:02 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
This is useful signal, but not a route to blindly trust yet.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 98.02
Stability score: 50/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 3
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (83.3%)
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/latest-payment-reliability.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-01 21:40:53 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
This is useful signal, but not a route to blindly trust yet.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.74
Stability score: 49/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 4
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (83.3%)
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/latest-payment-reliability.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-01 21:28:02 GMT

Lightning Payment Reliability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
This is useful signal, but not a route to blindly trust yet.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.46
Stability score: 50/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 4
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (83.3%)
Visual snapshot:
https://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/latest-payment-reliability.png
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-01 21:25:44 GMT

Lightning Route Stability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
This is useful signal, but not a route to blindly trust yet.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.46
Stability score: 50/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 4
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (83.3%)
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights.php
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-01 21:14:45 GMT

Lightning Route Stability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
This is useful signal, but not a route to blindly trust yet.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 98.02
Stability score: 50/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 4
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (83.3%)
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights.php
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-01 17:00:03 GMT

Lightning Route Stability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
This is useful signal, but not a route to blindly trust yet.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.74
Stability score: 44/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 7
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (66.7%)
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights.php
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-01 09:00:01 GMT

Lightning Route Stability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
This is useful signal, but not a route to blindly trust yet.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.46
Stability score: 47/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 4
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (75%)
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights.php
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-05-01 01:47:14 GMT

Lightning Route Stability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
This is useful signal, but not a route to blindly trust yet.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.46
Stability score: 44/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 6
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (66.7%)
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights.php
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-04-30 17:00:02 GMT

Lightning Route Stability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
This is useful signal, but not a route to blindly trust yet.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.74
Stability score: 46/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 6
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (75%)
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights.php
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-04-30 15:57:03 GMT

- reply

That’s interesting. We’re seeing similar patterns in the data.
Are you seeing that mainly due to channel distribution or fee structure?

2026-04-30 15:53:07 GMT

Optaimaze is live.
We track Lightning route stability, reliability, and routing signals over time.
Not just “best route,” but whether that route is actually stable.
Live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights.php
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin

2026-04-30 15:38:37 GMT

Lightning Route Stability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING ⚠️ Route leadership is changing.
This is useful signal, but not a route to blindly trust yet.
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.74
Stability score: 47/100
Confidence: High
Confidence trend: Stable
Winner changes: 3
Volatility: Low
Dominant node: bfx-lnd0 (75%)
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights.php
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze

2026-04-30 15:13:35 GMT

Lightning Route Stability Update ⚡
Status: SHIFTING
Current recommendation: bfx-lnd0
Route score: 97.46
Stability score: 46/100
Confidence: High
Winner changes: 4
Volatility: Low
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights.php
#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Optaimaze

2026-04-30 14:48:38 GMT

Hello world